Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Prioritizing regionalization efforts in life cycle assessment through global sensitivity analysis: a sector meta-analysis based on ecoinvent v3

  • UNCERTAINTIES IN LCA
  • Published:
The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Purpose

Regionalization in life cycle assessment (LCA) aims to increase the representativeness of LCA results and reduce the uncertainty due to spatial variability. It may refer to adapting processes to better account for regional technological specificities (inventory regionalization) or adding of spatial information to the elementary flows (inventory spatialization) which allow using more regionalized characterization factors. However, developing and integrating regionalization requires additional efforts for LCA practitioners and database developers that must be prioritized.

Methods

We propose a stepwise methodology for LCA practitioners to prioritize data collection for regionalization based on global sensitivity analysis (GSA) using Sobol indices. It involves several GSA to select the impact categories (ICs) that require further inventory data collection (IC ranking), prioritize between inventory regionalization and inventory spatialization (LCA phase ranking), and target specific data to collect. Then we propose a method to derive sector-specific recommendations using statistical tests to prioritize inventory regionalization versus spatialization and the ICs on which to focus inventory data collection. These recommendations are meant to help LCA practitioners and database developers define their strategy for regional data collection by focusing on data that have the highest potential to reduce the uncertainty of the results.

Results and discussion

The applicability of the methodology is illustrated through three case studies using the ecoinvent v3 database and the regionalized impact methodology IMPACT World+: one on prioritizing data collection in a single biofuel product system and two meta-analyses of all product systems in two distinct economic sectors (biofuel production and land passenger transport). Recommendations for regionalization can be derived for an economic sector and appear to be different from one economic sector to another. GSA seems to be more relevant to prioritize regionalization efforts than an impact contribution analysis (ICA) approach often used to prioritize data collection in LCA. However, further improvements, such as accounting for spatial correlations and better computational times for GSA, are required to implement it in LCA.

Conclusions

We recommend using the methodology based on GSA to efficiently prioritize regionalization efforts between ICs and between inventory regionalization and inventory spatialization. We proved that the implementation of IC ranking and LCA phase ranking is computationally feasible and therefore invite current LCA software providers to unlock this new horizon in LCA interpretation. We also invite to expand the meta-analysis to all sectors in an LCA database.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Baitz M, Albrecht S, Brauner E et al (2012) LCA’s theory and practice: like ebony and ivory living in perfect harmony? Int J Life Cycle Assess 18:5–13

    Google Scholar 

  • Borgonovo E, Plischke E (2016) Sensitivity analysis: a review of recent advances. Eur J Oper Res 248:869–887

    Google Scholar 

  • Boulay A, Bulle C, Bayart J-B et al (2011) Regional characterization of freshwater use in LCA: modeling direct impacts on human health. Environ Sci Technol 45:8948–8957

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Boulay AM, Bare J, Benini L, Berger M, Lathuillière MJ, Manzardo A, Margni M, Motoshita M, Núñez M, Pastor AV, Ridoutt B, Oki T, Worbe S, Pfister S (2018) The WULCA consensus characterization model for water scarcity footprints: assessing impacts of water consumption based on available water remaining (AWARE). Int J Life Cycle Assess 23:368–378

    Google Scholar 

  • Bulle C, Margni M, Patouillard L, Boulay AM, Bourgault G, de Bruille V, Cao V, Hauschild M, Henderson A, Humbert S, Kashef-Haghighi S, Kounina A, Laurent A, Levasseur A, Liard G, Rosenbaum RK, Roy PO, Shaked S, Fantke P, Jolliet O (2019) IMPACT World+: a globally regionalized life cycle impact assessment method. Int J Life Cycle Assess. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-019-01583-0

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Chaudhary A, Verones F, de Baan L, Hellweg S (2015) Quantifying land use impacts on biodiversity: combining species-area models and vulnerability indicators. Environ Sci Technol 49:9987–9995

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Clavreul J, Guyonnet D, Tonini D, Christensen TH (2013) Stochastic and epistemic uncertainty propagation in LCA. Int J Life Cycle Assess 18:1393–1403

    Google Scholar 

  • Collet P, Lardon L, Steyer J-P, Hélias A (2014) How to take time into account in the inventory step: a selective introduction based on sensitivity analysis. Int J Life Cycle Assess 19:320–330

    Google Scholar 

  • Gregory JR, Noshadravan A, Olivetti EA, Kirchain RE (2016) A methodology for robust comparative life cycle assessments incorporating uncertainty. Environ Sci Technol 50:6397–6405

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Groen EA, Heijungs R (2017) Ignoring correlation in uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in life cycle assessment: what is the risk? Environ Impact Assess Rev 62:98–109

    Google Scholar 

  • Groen EA, Heijungs R, Bokkers EAM, de Boer IJM (2014) Methods for uncertainty propagation in life cycle assessment. Environ Model Softw 62:316–325

    Google Scholar 

  • Groen EA, Bokkers EAM, Heijungs R, de Boer IJM (2017) Methods for global sensitivity analysis in life cycle assessment. Int J Life Cycle Assess 22:1125–1137

    Google Scholar 

  • Heijungs R (1996) Identification of key issues for further investigation in improving the reliability of life-cycle assessments. J Clean Prod 4:159–166

    Google Scholar 

  • Heijungs R (2010) Sensitivity coefficients for matrix-based LCA. Int J Life Cycle Assess 15:511–520

    Google Scholar 

  • Helmes RJK, Huijbregts MAJ, Henderson AD, Jolliet O (2012) Spatially explicit fate factors of phosphorous emissions to freshwater at the global scale. Int J Life Cycle Assess 17:646–654

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Henriksson PJG, Heijungs R, Dao HM, Phan LT, de Snoo GR, Guinée JB (2015) Product carbon footprints and their uncertainties in comparative decision contexts. PLoS One 10:1–11. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0121221

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Hernández-Padilla F, Margni M, Noyola A, Guereca-Hernandez L, Bulle C (2017) Assessing wastewater treatment in Latin America and the Caribbean: enhancing life cycle assessment interpretation by regionalization and impact assessment sensibility. J Clean Prod 142:2140–2153

    Google Scholar 

  • Herrmann IT, Hauschild MZ, Sohn MD, McKone TE (2014) Confronting uncertainty in life cycle assessment used for decision support. J Ind Ecol 18:366–379

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Huijbregts MAJ (1998) Uncertainty in LCA LCA methodology application of uncertainty and variability in LCA part I: a general framework for the analysis of uncertainty and variability in life cycle assessment. Int J Life Cycle Assess 3:273–280

    Google Scholar 

  • Huijbregts M, Norris G, Bretz R (2001) Framework for modelling data uncertainty in life cycle inventories. Int J Life Cycle Assess 6:127–132

    Google Scholar 

  • Igos E, Meyer R, Benetto E et al (2015) Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses in LCA: a review and application to noise characterization. In: SETAC Europe 25th Annual Meeting

  • Imbeault-Tétreault H (2010) Propagation analytique de l’incertitude à travers le calcul matriciel d’une analyse du cycle de vie

  • International Organization for Standardization (ISO) (2006a) ISO14040:2006 Environmental management-life cycle assessment-principles and framework

  • International Organization for Standardization (ISO) (2006b) ISO14044:2006 Environmental management—life cycle assessment—requirements and guidelines

  • Iooss B, Lemaître P (2015) A review on global sensitivity analysis methods. In: Dellino G., Meloni C. (eds) Uncertainty management in simulation-optimization of complex systems. Operations Research/Computer Science Interfaces Series, vol 59. Springer, Boston, MA, pp 101–122

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacques J, Lavergne C, Devictor N (2006) Sensitivity analysis in presence of model uncertainty and correlated inputs. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 91:1126–1134

    Google Scholar 

  • Laurin L, Amor B, Bachmann TM, Bare J, Koffler C, Genest S, Preiss P, Pierce J, Satterfield B, Vigon B (2016) Life cycle assessment capacity roadmap (section 1): decision-making support using LCA. Int J Life Cycle Assess 21:443–447

    Google Scholar 

  • Lesage P, Samson R (2016) The Quebec life cycle inventory database project. Int J Life Cycle Assess 21:1282–1289

    Google Scholar 

  • Lesage P, Mutel C, Schenker U, Margni M (2018) Uncertainty analysis in LCA using precalculated aggregated datasets. Int J Life Cycle Assess 23:2248–2265

    Google Scholar 

  • Most T (2012) Variance-based sensitivity analysis in the presence of correlated input variables. Conference: 5th International Conference on Reliable Engineering Computing, At Brno, Czech Republic

  • Muller S, Lesage P, Ciroth A, Mutel C, Weidema BP, Samson R (2016) The application of the pedigree approach to the distributions foreseen in ecoinvent v3. Int J Life Cycle Assess 21:1327–1337

    Google Scholar 

  • Mutel C (2017) Brightway: an open source framework for life cycle assessment. J Open Source Softw 2:doi: https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00236

    Google Scholar 

  • Mutel CL, Hellweg S (2009) Regionalized life cycle assessment: computational methodology and application to inventory databases. Environ Sci Technol 43:5797–5803

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Mutel CL, Pfister S, Hellweg S (2012) GIS-based regionalized life cycle assessment: how big is small enough? Methodology and case study of electricity generation. Environ Sci Technol 46:1096–1103

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Mutel CL, de Baan L, Hellweg S (2013) Two-step sensitivity testing of parametrized and regionalized life cycle assessments: methodology and case study. Environ Sci Technol 47:5660–5667

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Padey P, Girard R, le Boulch D, Blanc I (2013) From LCAs to simplified models: a generic methodology applied to wind power electricity. Environ Sci Technol 47:1231–1238

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Page EB (1963) Ordered hypotheses for multiple treatments: a significance test for linear ranks. J Am Stat Assoc 58:216–230

    Google Scholar 

  • Patouillard L, Bulle C, Margni M (2016) Ready-to-use and advanced methodologies to prioritise the regionalisation effort in LCA. Mater Tech 104:105

    Google Scholar 

  • Patouillard L, Bulle C, Querleu C, Maxime D, Osset P, Margni M (2018) Critical review and practical recommendations to integrate the spatial dimension into life cycle assessment. J Clean Prod 177:398–412

    Google Scholar 

  • Pfister S, Scherer L (2015) Uncertainty analysis of the environmental sustainability of biofuels. Energy Sustain Soc 5:1–12

    Google Scholar 

  • Pfister S, Koehler A, Hellweg S (2009) Assessing the environmental impacts of freshwater consumption in LCA. Environ Sci Technol 43:4098–4104

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Plouffe G, Bulle C, Deschênes L (2015) Assessing the variability of the bioavailable fraction of zinc at the global scale using geochemical modeling and soil archetypes. Int J Life Cycle Assess 20:527–540

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Potting J, Hauschild M (2006) Spatial differentiation in life cycle impact assessment: a decade of method development to increase the environmental realism of LCIA. Int J Life Cycle Assess 11:11–13

    Google Scholar 

  • Refsgaard JC, van der Sluijs JP, Højberg AL, Vanrolleghem PA (2007) Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process—a framework and guidance. Environ Model Softw 22:1543–1556

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinhard J, Mutel CL, Wernet G, Zah R, Hilty LM (2016) Contribution-based prioritization of LCI database improvements: method design, demonstration, and evaluation. Environ Model Softw 86:204–218

    Google Scholar 

  • Riggs LS (1989) Numerical approach for generating beta random variates. J Comput Civ Eng 3:183–191

    Google Scholar 

  • Ross S, Evans D (2002) Excluding site-specific data from the LCA inventory: how this affects life cycle impact assessment. Int J Life Cycle Assess 7:141–150

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Roy P-O, Deschênes L, Margni M (2013) Uncertainty and spatial variability in characterization factors for aquatic acidification at the global scale. Int J Life Cycle Assess 19:882–890

    Google Scholar 

  • Sakai S, Yokoyama K (2002) Formulation of sensitivity analysis in life cycle assessment using a perturbation method. Clean Techn Environ Policy 4:72–78

    Google Scholar 

  • Saltelli A (2017) Sensitivity analysis. Numbers policy Pract Probl Quantif

  • Saltelli A, Sobol’ IM (1995) About the use of rank transformation in sensitivity analysis of model output. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 50:225–239

    Google Scholar 

  • Saltelli A, Tarantola S (2002) On the relative importance of input factors in mathematical models. J Am Stat Assoc 97:702–709

    Google Scholar 

  • Saltelli A, Annoni P, Azzini I, Campolongo F, Ratto M, Tarantola S (2010) Variance based sensitivity analysis of model output. Design and estimator for the total sensitivity index. Comput Phys Commun 181:259–270

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sobol IM (1993) Sensitivity estimates for nonlinear mathematical models. Math Model Comput Exp 1:407–414

    Google Scholar 

  • Turconi R, Boldrin A, Astrup T (2013) Life cycle assessment (LCA) of electricity generation technologies: overview, comparability and limitations. Renew Sust Energ Rev 28:555–565

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Udo de Haes HA, Jolliet O, Finnveden G et al (1999) Best available practice regarding impact categories and category indicators in life cycle impact assessment. Int J Life Cycle Assess 4:66–74

    Google Scholar 

  • United Nations Statistics Division (2008) ISIC Rev.4 - Classifications Registry. In: 2008. https://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/isic-4.asp. Accessed 27 Feb 2018

  • Vigon BW, Tolle DA, Cornaby BW et al (1993) Life-cycle assessment: inventory guidelines and principles, EPA/600/R-. Washington, DC20460

  • Wardekker JA, van der Sluijs JP, Janssen PHM, Kloprogge P, Petersen AC (2008) Uncertainty communication in environmental assessments: views from the Dutch science-policy interface. Environ Sci Pol 11:627–641. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2008.05.005

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wei W, Larrey-Lassalle P, Faure T, Dumoulin N, Roux P, Mathias JD (2015) How to conduct a proper sensitivity analysis in life cycle assessment: taking into account correlations within LCI data and interactions within the LCA calculation model. Environ Sci Technol 49:377–385

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Weidema BP, Wesnæs MS (1996) Data quality management for life cycle inventories—an example of using data quality indicators. J Clean Prod 4:167–174

    Google Scholar 

  • Wender BA, Prado V, Fantke P, Ravikumar D, Seager TP (2018) Sensitivity-based research prioritization through stochastic characterization modeling. Int J Life Cycle Assess 23:324–332

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Wernet G, Bauer C, Steubing B, Reinhard J, Moreno-Ruiz E, Weidema B (2016) The ecoinvent database version 3 (part I): overview and methodology. Int J Life Cycle Assess 21:1218–1230

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilcoxon F (1945) Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biom Bull 1:80

    Google Scholar 

  • Xu C, Gertner GZ (2008) Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for models with correlated parameters. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 93:1563–1573

    Google Scholar 

  • Yang Y, Tao M, Suh S (2018) Geographic variability of agriculture requires sector-specific uncertainty characterization. Int J Life Cycle Assess 23:1581–1589

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We acknowledge the financial and technical support of IFP Energies nouvelles and of the industrial partners of the International Chair in Life Cycle Assessment (a research unit of the CIRAIG): Arcelor-Mittal, Hydro-Québec, LVMH, Michelin, Nestlé, Solvay, Optel Vision, Total, Umicore.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Laure Patouillard.

Additional information

Responsible editor: Andreas Ciroth

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Electronic supplementary material

ESM 1

(PDF 588 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Patouillard, L., Collet, P., Lesage, P. et al. Prioritizing regionalization efforts in life cycle assessment through global sensitivity analysis: a sector meta-analysis based on ecoinvent v3. Int J Life Cycle Assess 24, 2238–2254 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-019-01635-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-019-01635-5

Keywords

Navigation