Abstract
According to the Carbon Brief Profile report by Timperley (2019), India has been identified as the world’s 3rd largest emitter of greenhouse gases (GHGs) after China and the USA. Following the Paris Agreement and India’s pledge as among the stakeholders at the global climate talks and how fast India ratified the Paris Agreement within a year on the 2nd of October 2016, it is essential to investigate the country’s (India) commitment in reducing its emission towards enhancing a positive environmental performance. Both structural breaks, linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL), were selected simultaneously for this study, but at a later stage, after being bound to cointegration estimation, the NARDL was dropped because of its inability to sustain the claim of cointegration in the analysis. The rest of the analyses were based on liner ARDL model (short-run and long-run) with diagnostic tests, Granger causality estimation. Ecological Footprint (EFP) was chosen as an indicator to environment because of its richness in measuring the environmental performance. The linear (ARDL) output affirms a positive and significant link among ecological footprint and agriculture, energy use, and population with a negative link between ecological footprint (EFP) and foreign direct investment (FDI). The Granger causality test indicates a one-way transmission passing from agriculture, foreign direct investment, energy use, and population to ecological footprint. Also, a one-way transmission was found passing to economic growth (GDP) from foreign direct investment (FDI) and feedback transmission was found between FDI and energy use. This finding has an implication to both economic and environmental performances; hence, the policy framework should be targeting the enhancement of economy via the foreign direct investment and agriculture with a focus on energy use and environmental performance.
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Highlights
• Mediation of the ecological footprint with agriculture and FDI for India.
• Comparison approach (with both linear and nonlinear ARDL) is employed
• Long- and short-run pollutant emission decomposition in India.
• Causality passing from agric, FDI, energy use, and population to ecological footprint.
• Feedback (two-way) transmission was found between FDI and energy use.
• Nexus among the selected variables is established.
• FDI, agriculture, and energy consumption influence pollutant emission.
• Energy portfolio diversification in India is more urgently necessary than ever.
Appendix
Appendix
Definition of terms
Terms | Full meaning |
---|---|
ARDL | Autoregressive distributed lag |
NARDL | Nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag |
FDI | Foreign direct investment |
GC | Granger causality |
GDP | Gross domestic product (rep. as GDP per capita) |
EFP = ecological footprint | Ecological Footprint (The Global Footprint Network (2018) describes the ecological footprint as “a measure of how much area of biologically productive land and water an individual, population, or activity requires to produce all the resources it consumes and to absorb the waste it generates, using prevailing technology and resource management practices).” |
CO2 = carbon emission | Carbon emission (according to World Bank (2018), carbon dioxide emissions are those stemming from the burning of fossil fuels and the manufacture of cement. They include carbon dioxide produced during consumption of solid, liquid, and gas fuels and gas flaring.) |
Pollution = environmental degradation | According to Environmental Management (2017) “Environmental pollution is defined as ‘the contamination of the physical and biological components of the earth/atmosphere system to such an extent that normal environmental processes are adversely affected’.” |
AIC | Akaike Information Criterion |
ADF | Augmented Dickey-Fuller test |
PP | Philip-Perron |
KPSS | Kwiatkowski-Philip-Schmidt-Shin |
EU | Energy use |
DW | Durbin Watson |
POP | Population |
CUSUM and CUSUM square | Cumulative sum and cumulative sum square |
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Udemba, E.N. Mediation of foreign direct investment and agriculture towards ecological footprint: a shift from single perspective to a more inclusive perspective for India. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27, 26817–26834 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-09024-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-09024-4