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Predicting habitat suitability for the wart-biter bush cricket (Decticus verrucivorus) in Europe

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Abstract

The wart-biter bush cricket is a relatively abundant species in mainland Europe, but has been declining at the northern edge of its range. With the predicted changes to the global climate that are expected to occur over the next century, it is probable that many species will shift their ranges polewards and to higher altitudes to track suitable climates. In this paper, a species distribution model was used to explore the effects of potential climate change scenarios on the distribution of the wart-biter bush cricket. The model predicts that suitable habitat will shift towards the north and to higher altitudes under a moderate climate change scenario, and that under severe climate change, the cricket will be left with very little suitable habitat in Europe. This highlights the threat of climate change to the species, but also the importance of maintaining the current habitat in the northern and high altitude areas of its range, as these areas may become important strongholds for the species in the future.

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Acknowledgements

We are very grateful to the Up on the Downs Landscape Partnership Scheme for supporting this project.

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  1. Species Recovery Trust, 37 Albany Road, Salisbury, SP1 3YQ, UK

    Charlotte Carne

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  1. Charlotte Carne
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Correspondence to Charlotte Carne.

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Carne, C. Predicting habitat suitability for the wart-biter bush cricket (Decticus verrucivorus) in Europe. J Insect Conserv 21, 287–295 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10841-017-9975-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10841-017-9975-1

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