Abstract
Using approximately 30,000 arrest records from the Pinellas County Sheriff’s Office in Florida and neighborhood characteristics from the U.S. Census American Community Survey, this study examines the relationship between foreign-born status and recidivism. In addition, we investigate whether any plausible relationship between foreign-born status and recidivism is conditioned by neighborhood characteristics. The results from hierarchical logistic regression analyses reveal that foreign-born offenders are less likely to recidivate than native offenders. Furthermore, the negative effect on recidivism for foreign-born offenders is amplified in neighborhoods with higher socioeconomic inequality. We discuss implications for policy and future research.
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Notes
When cross-referencing arrestees, we included arrestees that resided at the same zip code over the 2010–2015 period. Arrestees that moved during this period were excluded from the study. The full sample yielded results that were parallel to those presented in the study. At the same time, we acknowledge the possibility that the arrestee may have recidivated while they were not living at the place of residence declared in the dataset. For instance, the arrestee may have resided temporarily with their relatives or friends in a different zip code when reoffending while keeping their initial zip code as their official place of residence. Equally important is the fact that many reoffending individuals may have never been reported to the police. For example, undocumented foreign-born individuals may carefully avoid law violations or participate less in legal activities such as driving due to fear of deportation (Wong, Hickman, and Suttorp-Booth 2015). Thus, we must remain open to the possibility that some of the effects reported in this study are, at least in part, due to reporting bias. Finally, as noted before, our study also does not account for potential arrests outside of the PCSO’s jurisdiction. However, prior research suggests that recidivism is geographically concentrated and that reoffenders are likely to return to the criminogenic neighborhoods they left behind (e.g., La Vigne et al., 2003). Accordingly, we believe that our study reflects the actual processes in place. Yet, the extent to which the recidivism and place of residence synch up temporally and geographically cannot be untangled empirically with the data at hand. As such, we urge future work to probe this topic further, for example, by utilizing detailed survey data or detailed qualitative and/or ethnographic work.
In the case of the race variable, Hispanic was included within the original data as a type of race instead of ethnicity. Because we did not have additional information on the racial background of Hispanic arrestees (e.g., Hispanic black, Hispanic white), we continued the use of Hispanic as a race instead of as an ethnicity.
Additional analysis showed Hispanics constitute the largest share of foreign-born population in the sample, whereas Asians constitute a relatively minor share. A substantial share of foreign-born persons are White, which prompted us use the label “foreign-born arrestees” rather than, for example, “foreign-born Latino arrestees” (see Appendix A).
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Piatkowska, S.J., Camacho, J. Foreign-born arrestees and recidivism: a multilevel analysis of arrest data from a Florida county Sheriff’s office. Crime Law Soc Change 77, 479–501 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10611-021-10005-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10611-021-10005-y