Abstract
Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) treatments progress over the years. However, the mortality remains higher than in the general population. Few studies have examined SLE patients’ survival in Brazil. This study aims to identify the main characteristics and risk factors to predict mortality and recognize the main causes of death in Brazilian patients with SLE. We retrospectively assessed clinical, demographic, and serological characteristics from 600 patients followed since 2001 in SLE outpatient clinic from Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre. Risk factors for mortality were examined by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. A p < 0.05 was considered significant. There were 527 survivors (87.83%). The main causes of death were cardiovascular disease (17%), infection (17%), and infection and SLE activity (17%). Risk factors for death were age at diagnosis (HR 1.065, CI 95% 1.039–10.092), SLICC damage index (HR 1.299, CI 95% 1.076–1569), antiphospholip syndrome (HR 3.021, CI 95% 1.307–6.985), and metilprednisolone pulse (HR 2.628, CI 95% 1.283–5.383). Antimalarials was a protective factor for death (HR 0.191, CI 95% 0.064–0.570). Cardiovascular disease, infection, and SLE activity associated with infection were the main known causes of deaths in our SLE patients. Secondary antiphospolipid syndrome, highest score in SLICC damage index, advanced age at diagnosis, and high dose of corticosteroids were risk factors for mortality. Antimalarials was an important protective factor.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Cardoso CRL, Signorelli FV, Papi JA, Salles GF (2008) Initial and accrued damage as predictors of mortality in Brazilian patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a cohort study. Lupus 17(11):1042–1048
Fors Nieves C, Izmirly P (2016) Mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus: an updated review. Curr Rheumatol Rep 18(4):21
Barrett O, Abramovich E, Dreiher MPHJ, Novack V, Abu-Shakra M (2014) Mortality due to sepsis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus and rheumatoid arthritis. Isr Med Assoc J 16(10):634–635
Telles RW, Lanna CCD, Reis RCP, Sousa FL, Rodrigues LA, Ribeiro AL (2010) Causes and predictors of death in 181 Brazilian patients with systemic lupus. Arthritis Rheum 62:1849
Telles RW, Lanna CCD, Souza FL, Rodrigues LA, Reis RCP, Ribeiro AL (2013) Causes and predictors of death in Brazilian lupus patients. Rheumatol Int 33(2):467–473
Hochberg M (1997) Updating the American College of Rheumatology revised criteria for classification of systemic lupus erythematosus. Arthritis Rheum 40(9):1725
Vitali C, Bombardieri S, Jonsson R, Al E (2002) Classification criteria for Sjögren’s syndrome: a revised version of the European criteria prposed by the American-European consensus group. Ann Rheum Dis 61:554–558
Gómez-Puerta J, Cervera R (2014) Diagnosis and classification of the antiphospholipid syndrome. J Autoimmun 48–49:20–25
Gladman D, Ginzler E, Goldsmith C, Fortin P, Liang M, Urowitz M et al (1996) The development and initial validation of the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology damage index for systemic lupus erythematosus. Arthritis Rheum 39(3):363–369
Bombardier C, Gladman DD, Urowitz MB, Caron D, Chang CH (1992) Derivation of the SLEDAI. A disease activity index for lupus patients. The committee on prognosis studies in SLE. Arthritis Rheum 35(6):630–640
González LA, Toloza SMA (2014) Impact of race and ethnicity in the course and outcome of systemic lupus erythematosus.40:433–54
Wadee S, Tikly M, Hopley M (2007) Causes and predictors of death in South Africans with systemic lupus erythematosus. Rheumatology 46(9):1487–1491
Wang Z, Wang Y, Zhu R, Tian X, Xu D, Wang Q et al (2015) Long-term survival and death causes of systemic lupus erythematosus in China a systemic review of observational studies. Baltimore (Medicine) 94(17):e794
Ugarte-gil MF, Pons-estel GJ, Molineros J, Wojdyla D, Mcgwin G, Nath SK et al (2016) Concise report disease features and outcomes in United States lupus patients of Hispanic origin and their Mestizo counterparts in Latin America: a commentary. Rheumatology (Oxford) 55(3):436–440
Merola JF, Bermas B, Lu B, Karlson E, Massarotti E, Schur PH et al (2014) Clinical manifestations and survival among adults with systemic lupus erythematosus according to age at diagnosis HHS public access. Lupus 23(8):778–784
Lerang K, Gilboe I, Thelle DS, Gran JT (2014) Mortality and years of potential life loss in systemic lupus erythematosus: a population-based cohort study. Lupus 23(14):1546–1552
Ruiz-Irastorza G, Egurbide M-V, Ugalde J et al (2004) High impact of antiphospholipid syndrome on irreversible organ damage and survival of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Arch Intern Med 164(1):77
Bartels CM, Buhr KA, Goldberg JW, Bell CL, Visekruna M, Nekkanti S et al (2014) Mortality and cardiovascular burden of systemic lupus erythematosus in a US population-based cohort. J Rheumatol 41(4):680–687
Yee C, Su L, Toescu V, Hickman R, Situnayake D, Bowman S et al (2015) Birmingham SLE cohort: outcomes of a large inception cohort followed for up to 21 years. Rheumatology (Oxford) 54(5):836–843
Thomas G, Mancini J, Sarlon G, Amoura Z, Harl J, Jougla E et al (2014) Mortality associated with systemic lupus erythematosus in France assessed by multiple-cause-of-death analysis. Arthritis Rheumatol 66(9):2503–2511
Rees F, Doherty M, Grainge MJ, Lanyon P, Davenport G, Zhang W (2016) Mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus in the United Kingdom 1999-2012. Rheumatology (Oxford) 55(5):854–860
Voss A, Laustrup H, Hjelmborg J, Junker P (2013) Survival in systemic lupus erythematosus, 1995–2010. A prospective study in a Danish community. Lupus 22(11):1185–1191
Souza DCC, Santo AH, Sato EI (2012) Mortality profile related to systemic lupus erythematosus: a multiple cause-of-death analysis. J Rheumatol 39(3):496–503
Yurkovich M, Vostretsova K, Chen W (2014 Apr) Overall and cause-specific mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a meta-analysis of observational studies. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) 66(4):608–616
Lee YH, Choi SJ, Ji JD, Song GG (2016) Overall and cause-specific mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus: an updated meta-analysis. Lupus 25(7):727–734
Ruiz-Irastorza G, Egurbide M, Pijoan J et al (2006) Effect of antimalarials on thrombosis and survival in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. Lupus 15:577–583
Alarcón G, McGwin G, Bertoli A et al (2007) Effect of hydroxychloroquine on the survival of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: Data from LUMINA, a multiethnic US cohort (LUMINA L). Ann Rheum Dis 66:1168–1172
Shinjo S, Bonfá E, Wojdyla D et al (2010) Antimalarial treatment may have a time-dependent effect on lupus survival: data from a multinational Latin American inception cohort. Arthritis Rheum 62:855–862
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
The study protocol was approved by local Ethics Committee and informed consent form was obtained from all participants at the beginning of the study or at the inclusion of new participants.
Funding
This study was supported by grants from the Research Incentive Fund (Fundo de Incentivo à Pesquisa e Eventos, FIPE) of Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nivel Superior, CAPES), and the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, CNPq).
Disclosures
None.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Hendler, J.V., de Souza, L., de Freitas Zernow, D.C. et al. Survival analysis of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus in a tertiary hospital in southern Brazil. Clin Rheumatol 36, 2005–2010 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10067-017-3735-1
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10067-017-3735-1