Abstract
We discuss dynamic hedging of counterparty risk for a portfolio of credit derivatives by the local risk-minimization approach. We study the problem from the perspective of an investor who, trading with credit default swaps (CDS) referencing the counterparty, wants to protect herself/himself against the loss incurred at the default of the counterparty. We propose a credit risk intensity-based model consisting of interacting default intensities by taking into account direct contagion effects. The portfolio of defaultable claims is of generic type, including CDS portfolios, risky bond portfolios and first-to-default claims with payments allowed to depend on the default state of the reference firms and counterparty. Using the martingale representation of the conditional expectation of the counterparty risk price payment stream under the minimal martingale measure, we recover a closed-form representation for the locally risk minimizing strategy in terms of classical solutions to nonlinear recursive systems of Cauchy problems. We also discuss applications of our framework to the most prominent classes of credit derivatives.
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Notes
Canabarro [13] argues that the high market volatility experienced during the global financial crisis created challenges for the dynamic hedge of CVA.
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Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank two anonymous referees for the careful reading and helpful comments to improve the presentation of this paper. The research of L. Bo is supported by Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 11471254.
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A Proofs
A Proofs
Proof of Lemma 2.2
By Definition 2.2, we have the representation of the dividend process of the first-to-default claim given by
The third term of the above dividend process is in fact given by
Notice that for all \(i=1,\ldots ,N\), we have \(\tau _i\ge {\bar{\tau }}_1=\tau _1\wedge \cdots \wedge \tau _N\), a.s.. Hence \(\mathbf{1}_{\tau _i\le {\bar{\tau }}_1}=\mathbf{1}_{\tau _i={\bar{\tau }}_1}\), a.s.. Thus the above equality becomes that
This results in the dividend representation given by Eq. (11). \(\square \)
Proof of Proposition 2.3
Using (7), it holds that, for \(t\in [0,T]\),
Then, it follows from (15) that, for \(t\in [0,T]\),
Recall that Z(z) and K(z) are deterministic functions on \(z\in {{{\mathcal {S}}}}=\{0,1\}^{N+1}\).
Using integrations by parts, it follows that
On the other hand, Itô’s formula gives that for \(u\in [t,T]\),
For \(j=1,\ldots ,N+1\), \(M_j^{ {\mathbb {Q}} }=(M_j^{ {\mathbb {Q}} }(t))_{t\in [0,T]}\) is the \({\mathbb {G}}\)-martingale given in Proposition 2.1. Hence, Eq. (90) yields that
This results in the price representation given by \(S(t,T)=F(t,X(t),H(t))-Z(H(t))K(H(t))\), where
using that the pair (X, H) is a \({\mathbb {G}}\)-adapted Markov process. Then the price representation (17) follows from the decomposition of F(t, x, z) given by
This completes the proof of the lemma. \(\square \)
Proof of Proposition 2.4
On \((t,x)\in [0,T)\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\), we rewrite (26) as follows:
with \(u(T,x)=\alpha _1\xi ^{(l)}(1-K^{(l)})+\alpha _2Z^{(l)}K^{(l)}\) for all \(x\in \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). The coefficients
We will apply Theorem 1 of Heath and Schweizer [24] to prove existence and uniqueness of classical solutions to Eq. (93) by verifying that their imposed conditions [A1], [A2], [A3’] and [A3a’]-[A3e’] hold in our case. Consider a sequence of bounded domains \(D_n:=(\frac{1}{n},n)^{N+1}\), \(n\in \mathbb {N} \), with smoothed corners and satisfying \(\bigcup _{n=1}^{\infty }D_n=\mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). Thus we verified that the condition [A3’] on the domain of the equation holds. By the assumptions (A1)–(A3), the conditions [A1] and [A2] for the coefficients \(\mu (x)+\sigma (x)\widetilde{\theta }(x,z)\) and \(\sigma (x)\) can be satisfied. This also implies that [A3a’] holds. Moreover, since \(\sigma \sigma ^{\top }(x)\) is continuous and invertible under the assumptions (A1) and (A2), \(\sigma \sigma ^{\top }(x)\) is uniformly elliptic on \((t,x)\times {\overline{D}}_n\), i.e. [A3b’] holds. Notice that \(F_{\alpha }^{(l+1),j}(t,x+w_j)\) is bounded and \(C^{1,2}\) in (t, x) by the induction hypothesis. Additionally, notice that h(x) is linear in x. Then the conditions [A3c’] and [A3d’] on the coefficients h(x) and w(t, x) on \((t,x)\in [0,T]\times {\overline{D}}_n\) are satisfied. Finally we need to verify [A3e’]. For this, it suffices to prove the uniform integrability of the family
Here, the underlying \(\mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\)-valued process \(({\check{X}}^{(t,x)}(s))_{s\in [t,T]}\) is the unique strong solution of
By the inductive hypothesis that \(F_{\alpha }^{(l+1),j}(t,x)\) is nonnegative and bounded on \([0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\) for all \(j\notin \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}\), there exists a constant \(C>0\) independent of (t, x) such that for all \((t,x)\in [0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\),
This yields the existence of a constant \(C>0\), independent of (t, x), such that
This yields the uniform integrability of the family (94). It implies the condition [A3e’] of Heath and Schweizer [24] is satisfied. Using Theorem 1 of Heath and Schweizer [24], Eq. (93) admits a unique classical solution u(t, x) on \([0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\).
Further, the estimate (95) implies that this solution is bounded for all \((t,x)\in [0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). This completes the proof of the proposition. \(\square \)
Proof of Lemma 2.5
It follows from Eq. (7) that
Using integration by parts (90), we have that
Since \(K(0)=0\), it follows from Proposition 2.4 that
Above, \(F_{(1,1,1)}(t,x,z)\) is the unique bounded classical solution to the recursive system of the backward Cauchy problems given by, on \((t,x,z)\in [0,T)\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\times {{{\mathcal {S}}}}\),
with the terminal condition
Applying Itô’s formula and (97), we obtain that
Using Eq. (96), we deduce
This yields the dynamics (28) of the gain process. \(\square \)
Proof of Lemma 3.3
We first verify that the density process \(\xi \) is strictly positive and square integrable. The assumption of \(0<1+{\hat{\lambda }}(t,x,z)\Psi _j(t,x,z)<\nu _j\) implies that \(\xi \) is strictly positive using the SDE-representation of the stochastic exponential. We next introduce the so-called mean-variance trade-off process given by
Then Assumption (A3) yields that \(\Xi =(\Xi (t))_{t\in [0,T]}\) is uniformly bounded. Using Proposition 3.7 of Choulli et al. [17], the process \(\xi \) satisfies the reverse Hölder inequality, see also Assumption 3.2 in Arai [2]. On the other hand, the structural condition given by \(B=-\int _0^{\cdot }{\hat{\lambda }}(s,X(s^-),H(s^-))d\left<Q\right>(s)\) implies that \(Y_{N+1}\xi \) is a local \( {\mathbb {P}} \)-martingale (see Ansel and Stricker [1]). Using the arguments in Sect. 3 of Arai [2], we have that \(\xi \) is the density process of the MMM \({\hat{ {\mathbb {P}} }}\) w.r.t. \( {\mathbb {P}} \). \(\square \)
Proof of Theorem 3.5
Without any loss of generality, we set \(L_{N+1}(z)=1\) for all \(z\in {{{\mathcal {S}}}}\). Then, in the default state \(z=0^{j_1,\ldots ,j_l}\), we rewrite Eq. (62) in the following abstract form: on \((t,x)\in [0,T)\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\),
with \(u(T,x)=0\) for all \(x\in \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). The coefficients are given by
We next apply Theorem 1 of Heath and Schweizer [24] to prove existence and uniqueness of classical solutions of Eq. (100) by verifying that their series of conditions [A1], [A2], [A3’] and [A3a’]-[A3e’] hold in our case. We first consider bounded domains \(D_n:=(\frac{1}{n},n)^{N+1}\), \(n\in \mathbb {N} \), with smoothed corners such that \(\bigcup _{n=1}^{\infty }D_n=\mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). We can then verify that the condition [A3’] holds in the domain of the equation. Using assumptions (A1)–(A3), the conditions [A1] and [A2] hold. The same assumption also implies that [A3a’] holds. Moreover \(\sigma \sigma ^{\top }(x)\) is uniformly elliptic on \((t,x)\times {\overline{D}}_n\), i.e. [A3b’] holds. Notice that the solution \(g^{(l+1),j}(t,x+w_j)\) is bounded and \(C^{1,2}\) in (t, x) by the induction hypothesis for \(j\notin \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}\). The function \(F_{(1,1,1)i}(t,x)\) is also bounded and \(C^{1,2}\) in (t, x) for \(i=1,\ldots ,{\bar{N}}\) by Proposition 2.4. Note that the positive \({\hat{F}}_j^{(l)}(t,x)\) is \(C^1\) in (t, x). Then the conditions [A3c’] and [A3d’] on the coefficients h(t, x) and w(t, x), \((t,x)\in [0,T]\times {\overline{D}}_n\), are satisfied. It is left to verify [A3e’]. For this, it suffices to prove the uniform integrability of the family
Here, for \(t\in [0,T]\), the \(N+1\)-dimensional Markov process \(({\hat{X}}^{(t,x)}(s))_{s\in [t,T]}\) satisfies a SDE with \({\hat{X}}^{(t,x)}(t)=x\) such that its infinitesimal generator is given by \(\bar{{{\mathcal {A}}}}\) in (60).
Consider first the case \(N+1\in \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}\). Because \(g^{(l+1),j}(t,x)\) is bounded on \([0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\) by the induction hypothesis, there exists a constant \(C>0\) such that
where \(C>0\) is independent of (t, x). Next, consider the case \(N+1\notin \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}\). Also notice that \(F_{(1,1,1)i}(t,x)\) is bounded and \(C^{1,2}\) in (t, x) for \(i=1,\ldots ,{\bar{N}}\) by Proposition 2.4. Then there exists a constant \(C>0\) such that
Since \(N+1\in \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}^c\), \({\hat{F}}_{N+1}^{(l)}(s,{\hat{X}}^{(t,x)}(s))\le \sum _{k\notin \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}}{\hat{F}}_{k}^{(l)}(s,{\hat{X}}^{(t,x)}(s))\), a.s.. This implies that
where \(C>0\) is independent of (t, x). Thus we have verified the existence of a constant \(C>0\), independent of (t, x), such that
This yields the uniform integrability of the family (101). It implies that the condition [A3e’] of Heath and Schweizer [24] holds. Using Theorem 1 of Heath and Schweizer [24], we conclude that Eq. (100) admits a unique classical solution u(t, x) on \([0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\).
We next prove the solution is nonnegative and bounded on \([0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). Using the Feymann-Kac’s representation of the classical solution u(t, x), for \((t,x)\in [0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\),
If \(N+1\in \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}\), then Eq. (102) reduces to
Since the nonnegative function \(g^{(l+1),j}(t,x)\) is bounded on \([0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\) by the inductive hypothesis, there exists a constant \(C>0\) such that
Obviously, the above inequality yields the existence of a constant \(C>0\) such that \(0\le u(t,x)\le C\) for all \((t,x)\in [0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). Next, consider the case \(N+1\notin \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}\). It follows from (102) that
Then there exists a constant \(C>0\) such that
Since \(N+1\in \{j_1,\ldots ,j_l\}^c\), we have that
The above inequality gives a constant \(C>0\) such that \(0\le u(t,x)\le C\) for all \((t,x)\in [0,T]\times \mathbb {R}_+^{N+1}\). This completes the proof of the theorem. \(\square \)
Proof of Lemma 3.8
It follows from (69) that
Then, for any \(\varepsilon >0\),
By the assumption of the lemma, we have that \( {\mathbb {E}} [\int _0^T|({\hat{\lambda }}\Upsilon )(s,X(s),H(s))|^2ds]\le |{\hat{\lambda }}\Upsilon |_{\infty }^2T\). Since g(t, x, z) is the unique bounded classical solution of Eq. (59) by Theorem 3.5. Further, by Proposition 2.4 and Assumption (A3), there exists a constant \(C=C(T)>0\) such that \( {\mathbb {E}} [|E(T)|^2]\le C(T)+C(T) {\mathbb {E}} [\int _0^T\sum _{j=1}^{N+1}X_j^2(s)ds]\). This gives that
Using the condition \((1+\varepsilon )|{\hat{\lambda }}\Upsilon |_{\infty }^2T<1\) for some \(\varepsilon >0\), we get the estimate (70).
\(\square \)
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Bo, L., Ceci, C. Locally Risk-Minimizing Hedging of Counterparty Risk for Portfolio of Credit Derivatives. Appl Math Optim 82, 799–850 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00245-018-9549-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00245-018-9549-y