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Scenario Planning for Sustainable Forest Management

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Sustainable Forest Management

Part of the book series: Managing Forest Ecosystems ((MAFE,volume 1))

Abstract

By anticipating the future in a systematic way forest scenario planning can reduce uncertainty and improve the chance that future developments will agree with specified objectives. Scenario planning models may be developed for large scale applications on a national or subcontinental scale or for use in local planning. This contribution specifically deals with scenario techniques on the forest management unit level. A series of techniques for generating timber harvest scenarios, including age-class simulation, area change models and multi-period harvest scheduling for even-aged forests as well as continuous cover forests are presented with numerical examples, including various optimization techniques. Specific end products require a particular quality of the raw material, and as the end products do become more variable and the processing opportunities more sophisticated, the importance of raw material quality increases. Therefore, not only are total yields and volumes of interest in forest scenario planning, but increasingly also the distribution of tree species, tree dimensions and timber quality. For this reason, a specific application involving the structure of timber product yields is discussed. Finally, scenario techniques for evaluating forestry activities are presented with two examples: a beech forest in Europe and a timber farm in South Africa.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Forest Management, University of Göttingen, Büsgenweg 5, D-37077, Göttingen, Germany

    Klaus von Gadow

  2. Stora Enso Forest Consulting, Kuparintie 47, 50100, Imatra, Finland

    Janna Puumalainen

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  1. Klaus von Gadow
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Insitute of Forest Management, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany

    Klaus von Gadow

  2. University of Joensuu, Joensuu, Finland

    Timo Pukkala

  3. Instituto Superior de Agronomía, Lisbon, Portugal

    Margarida Tomé

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von Gadow, K., Puumalainen, J. (2000). Scenario Planning for Sustainable Forest Management. In: von Gadow, K., Pukkala, T., Tomé, M. (eds) Sustainable Forest Management. Managing Forest Ecosystems, vol 1. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-9819-9_9

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