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Field Implementation of a Predictive Control Strategy in District Heating Systems: A Tale of Two Demonstration Sites

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Energy Informatics (EI.A 2023)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNCS,volume 14468))

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Abstract

District heating systems have become increasingly complex by integrating even more efficient technologies to help decarbonize the built environment. However, the full potential of such systems has yet to be reached due to inadequate controls. Predictive control has emerged as a promising solution to leverage operational data, modelling capabilities and various forecasts (weather conditions, price signals, carbon intensity) to optimize district energy system operation in real time. This paper discusses practical hurdles and lessons learned from the implementation of an artificial intelligence (AI)-based model predictive control (MPC) strategy in two Canadian district heating systems. These systems are equipped with natural gas boilers, which supply space and water heating through a steam network. This AI-based MPC strategy builds upon district heating demand forecasting models and data-driven boiler performance curves to optimize boiler thermal outputs that minimize greenhouse gas emissions. Practical hurdles include the usual suspects – data collection and preparation, communication with the control system, equipment maintenance – but also unexpected aspects such as weather forecast access issues and partial application of the recommendations. Lessons learned deal with the adoption of the proposed strategy, the potential for performance improvement of multi-boiler district heating systems, and the scalability and generalization to more complex systems.

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Acknowledgments

The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support of Natural Resources Canada through the Greening Government Fund. The authors would like to thank our external partners for sharing their experience, providing data and feedback, and implementing the proposed strategies. Internal and external reviewers are also acknowledged for their useful comments.

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Correspondence to Etienne Saloux .

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Saloux, E., Runge, J., Zhang, K. (2024). Field Implementation of a Predictive Control Strategy in District Heating Systems: A Tale of Two Demonstration Sites. In: Jørgensen, B.N., da Silva, L.C.P., Ma, Z. (eds) Energy Informatics. EI.A 2023. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 14468. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48652-4_21

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48652-4_21

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-031-48651-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-48652-4

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