Abstract
The multiple equilibrium literature seeks explanations for excessive economic volatility, persistent poverty, market fads and fashions, and related macroeconomic phenomena that appear to be anomalies in standard models of rational economic behaviour. Terms like animal spirits, sunspots, irrational exuberance, indeterminacy, and bubbles describe situations of multiple equilibrium. All such ideas assert that future values of macroeconomic states cannot be predicted accurately from knowledge of economic fundamentals. This article describes four types of multiple equilibria common in macroeconomics (missing initial conditions, multiple laws of motion, multiple attractors, and non-fundamental state variables), discusses their causes and reviews what they teach us about economic policy.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Bibliography
Azariadis, C. 1981. Self-fulfilling prophecies. Journal of Economic Theory 25: 380–396.
Azariadis, C., and A. Drazen. 1990. Threshold externalities in economic development. Quarterly Journal of Economics 105: 501–526.
Azariadis, C., and L. Kaas. 2008. Credit and growth under limited commitment. Macroeconomic Dynamics 12(Supp. 1): 20–30.
Azariadis, C., and B. Smith. 1998. Financial intermediation and regime switching in business cycles. American Economic Review 88: 516–536.
Benhabib, J., and R. Farmer. 1994. Indeterminacy and increasing returns. Journal of Economic Theory 63: 19–41.
Bewley, T. 1986. Dynamic implications of the form of the budget constraint. In Models of economic dynamics, ed. H. Sonnenschein. New York: Springer.
Cass, D., and K. Shell. 1983. Do sunspots matter? Journal of Political Economy 91: 193–227.
Cooper, R., and A. John. 1988. Coordinating coordination failures in Keynesian models. Quarterly Journal of Economics 103: 441–464.
Diamond, P. 1965. National debt in a neoclassical growth model. American Economic Review 55: 1126–1150.
Duffy, J., and E. Fisher. 2005. Sunspots in the laboratory. American Economic Review 95: 510–529.
Galor, O. 1992. A two-sector overlapping generations model. Econometrica 60: 351–386.
Grandmont, J.-M. 1985. On endogenous competitive business cycles. Econometrica 53: 995–1045.
Hamilton, J. 1994. Time series analysis. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Kehoe, T., and D. Levine. 1993. Debt-constrained asset markets. Review of Economic Studies 60: 865–888.
Kiyotaki, N., and J. Moore. 1997. Credit cycles. Journal of Political Economy 105: 221–248.
Matsuyama, K. 1991. Increasing returns, industrialization, and indeterminacy of equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics 106: 617–650.
McCallum, B. 1990. New classical macroeconomics: A sympathetic account. In The state of macroeconomics, ed. S. Honkapohja. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
Murphy, K., A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny. 1989. Industrialization and the big push. Journal of Political Economy 97: 1003–1026.
Shiller, R. 1989. Market volatility. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Tirole, J. 1985. Asset bubbles and overlapping generations. Econometrica 53: 1499–1528.
Wallace, N. 1980. The overlapping generations model of fiat money. In Models of monetary economies, ed. J. Kareken and N. Wallace. Minneapolis: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
Woodford, M. 2003. Interest and prices. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Copyright information
© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Ltd.
About this entry
Cite this entry
Azariadis, C. (2018). Multiple Equilibria in Macroeconomics. In: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2709
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2709
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-95188-8
Online ISBN: 978-1-349-95189-5
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceReference Module Humanities and Social SciencesReference Module Business, Economics and Social Sciences