Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in
Book cover

Handbook of Climate Change Management pp 1–17Cite as

A Time Series Analysis of the Nexus Between Climate Change and Cassava Production in Southwest Nigeria

  • Living reference work entry
  • First Online:

Abstract

The variations in the mean climate variables have caused a threat to popular food crops in Nigeria in terms of production, availability, and sufficiency. Therefore, the relationship between climate change and cassava production in Southwest Nigeria spanning the period of 1980 to 2015 was critically examined in this chapter. The time series data used were analyzed using auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) and Granger causality test. The outcomes of ARDL model indicated a long-run cointegration relationship between the variables. Also, the result of the error correction model at one lag period confirmed the long-run dynamics between cassava production and climate change because of its appropriate negative sign and significant probability level. It illustrates that any imbalance arising from the previous years as a result of shock will approach the long-run equilibrium in the present year at the speed of about 20%, 9%, and 74% for Ogun, Ondo, and Oyo States, respectively. The results of the Granger causality test showed a bidirectional and unidirectional causality movement that runs from cassava production to climate change and vice versa in all the states. Therefore, a policy aimed at organizing and strengthening training programs on climate change awareness and coping strategies should be provided by the government to the cassava farmers in order to enhance their adaptive capacity.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

References

  • Adefolalu DOA (2007) Climate change and economic sustainability in Nigeria. Paper presented at the international conference on climate change, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, 12–14 June 2007

    Google Scholar 

  • Adger WN, Huq S, Brown K, Conway D, Hulme M (2003) Adaptation to climate change in the developing world. Prog Dev Stud 3:179

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Akpenpuum TD, Busari RA (2013) Impact of climate on tuber crops yield in Kwara State, Nigeria. Am Int J Contemp Res 3(11):179–183

    Google Scholar 

  • Ayinde OE, Muchie M, Olatunji GB (2011) Effect of climate change on agricultural productivity in Nigeria: a co-integration model approach. J Hum Ecol 35(3):189–194

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bello OB, Ganiyu OT, Wahab MKA, Afolabi MS, Oluleye F, Ig SA, Mahmud J, Azeez MA, Abdulmaliq SY (2012) Evidence of climate change impacts on agriculture and food security in Nigeria. J Environ Stud 5(1):123–156

    Google Scholar 

  • Boansi D (2017) Effect of climatic and non-climatic factors on cassava yields in Togo: agricultural policy implications. Climate 5(2):1–21

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bradshaw B, Dolan H, Smit B (2004) Farm-level adaptation to climate variability and change; crop diversification in the Canadian prairies. Clim Chang 67(1):119–141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • FAO (2008) Climate change and food security: a framework document. FAO, Rome

    Google Scholar 

  • FAO (2017) The future of food and agriculture – trends and challenges. FAO, Rome

    Google Scholar 

  • Gujarati DN, Porter DC (2009) Basic econometrics, 5th edn. McGraw-Hill International Editions Economics Series, Singapore

    Google Scholar 

  • Ikhile CI (2007) Impacts of climate variability and change on the hydrology and water resources of the Benin-Owena River Basin. Ph.D thesis submitted to the Department of Geography and Regional Planning, University of Benin, Benin City, Nigeria

    Google Scholar 

  • Jarvis A, Ramirez-Villegas J, Herrera Campo BV, Navarro-Racines C (2012) Is cassava the answer to African climate change adaptation? Trop Plant Biol 5(1):9–29. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12042-012-9096-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Joseph O, Adanma RA (2015) Response of Nigeria cassava expansion initiatives to climate changes, economic growth and some policy instrument (1970–2012). Int J Food Agric Econ 1(2):65–72

    Google Scholar 

  • Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R (2006) A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on African cropland. CEEPA discussion paper no. 8. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Matemilola S, Elegbede I (2017) The challenges of food security in Nigeria. Open Access Library J 4:e4185. https://doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1104185

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mbanasor JA, Nwachukwu IN, Agwu NM, Onwusiribe NC (2015) Impact of climate change on the productivity of cassava in Nigeria. J Agric Environ Sci 4(1):138–147

    Google Scholar 

  • Mohamed A, Sahbi F, Muhammad S, Frederic T (2014) The role of natural gas consumption and trade in Tunisia’s output. Working paper series, IPAG Business School, 2014 – 057. [Online]. Available: http://www.ipag.fr/fr/accueil/la-recherche/publications-WP.html

  • Mupakati T, Tanyanyiwa VI (2017) Cassava production as a climate change adaptation strategy in Chilonga Ward, Chiredzi District, Zimbabwe. Jàmbá: J Disaster Risk Stud 9(1):a348. https://doi.org/10.4102/jamba.v9i1.348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NBS (2018) Nigeria Bureau of Statistics: overview of GDP in Q2. August, 2018

    Google Scholar 

  • Nhemachena C, Hassan R (2007) Micro-level analysis of farmers’ adaptation to climate change in Southern Africa. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) discussion paper no. 00714. Environment and Production Technology Division, IFPRI, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Nwaiwu JC, Onubuogu GC, Chukwu AO (2014) Empowering small-scale farmers through the adoption of soil degradation technologies: a case study of arable crop farmers in Imo State, Nigeria; 2015 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference; July 1–2, 2015; Cambridge, UK; pp 1–12

    Google Scholar 

  • Nwajiuba C, Onyeneke R (2010) Effects of climate on the agriculture of Sub-Saharan Africa. Lessons from Southeast Rain Forest Zone of Nigeria. A paper presented at the oxford business and economics conference program, June 28–29, 2010. St Hugh’s College Oxford University, Oxford, UK Internet Paper

    Google Scholar 

  • Odjugo PAO (2010) General overview of climate change impacts in Nigeria. J Hum Ecol 29(1): 47–55

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olutumise AI, Okogbue EC, Omonijo AG (2017) Assessing relationship between selected climate variables, human diseases and crop production using ARDL approach – the example of Ondo State, Nigeria. Sci Paper Ser Manage Econ Eng Agric Rural Dev 17(3):253–264

    Google Scholar 

  • Oyinbo O, Adegboye GA, Sulaiman R (2012) Retrospective study of causal relationship between climate variability and crop production in Nigeria. J Occup Saf Environ Health 1(1):79–83

    Google Scholar 

  • Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RJ (2001) Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. J Appl Econ 16:289–326

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Ondo State, Nigeria

    Babatunde Peter Ekundayo & Olumide Oyewole Akinrinola

  2. Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba-Akoko, Ondo State, Nigeria

    Adewale Isaac Olutumise

Authors
  1. Babatunde Peter Ekundayo
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Adewale Isaac Olutumise
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Olumide Oyewole Akinrinola
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Adewale Isaac Olutumise .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. FTZ-ALS, HAW Hamburg, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

    Walter Leal Filho

  2. School of Social Sciences, CHC Higher Education, Carindale, Australia

    Johannes Luetz

  3. Center for Food Security Studies, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

    Desalegn Ayal

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this entry

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this entry

Ekundayo, B.P., Olutumise, A.I., Akinrinola, O.O. (2021). A Time Series Analysis of the Nexus Between Climate Change and Cassava Production in Southwest Nigeria. In: Leal Filho, W., Luetz, J., Ayal, D. (eds) Handbook of Climate Change Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22759-3_312-1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22759-3_312-1

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-22759-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-22759-3

  • eBook Packages: Springer Reference Earth and Environm. ScienceReference Module Physical and Materials ScienceReference Module Earth and Environmental Sciences

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation