Advertisement

Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Applied in China

  • Guangsheng WangEmail author
  • Zhijie Yin
  • Jianqing Yang
  • Yuhong Yan
Reference work entry

Abstract

In China, to prolong lead-time prediction in order to meet with the requirement of flood defense, short range ensemble stream flow prediction is implemented. Based on the forecasting and the historical storm model, a group of precipitation data is generated as input of rainfall-runoff model. Furthermore, to meet with the requirement of water resources management, in the humid regions rainfall-runoff ensemble prediction has been applied for monthly runoff prediction, in large basins conditional probability method has also been applied to assess the next monthly runoff probability under a fixed runoff initial condition.

Keywords

Hydrological ensemble prediction Short range flood forecasting Monthly runoff prediction Rainfall runoff ESP Conditional probability prediction 

References

  1. H. Bao, Z. Linna, Flood forecast of Huaihe River based on TIGGE ensemble predictions. J. Hydraul. Eng. 23(2), 216–224 (2012) (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  2. China Water Conservancy and Hydropower Planning and Design Institute, Water resources and its development and utilization assessment in China. China Water & Power Press, Beijing China (in Chinese), (2014)Google Scholar
  3. A.K. Gobena, T.Y. Gan, Incorporation of seasonal climate forecasts in the ensemble streamflow prediction system. J. Hydrol. 385(1–4), 336–352 (2010)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. G. Wang, etc., Applied hydrological forecasting method. China Water Power Press Beijing Chian. (2008) (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  5. Y. Long, T. Fuqiang, H. Heping, Modified ESP with information on the atmospheric circulation and teleconnection incorporated and its application. J. Tsinghua Univ. (Sci. Technol.) 53(5), 606–612 (2013) (in Chinese)Google Scholar
  6. Z. Rrenjun, The Xinanjiang model applied in China. J. Hydrol. 135, 371–381 (1992)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. Y. Tao, Q. Duan, A. Ye, etc., An evaluation of post-processed TIGGE multimodel ensemble precipitation forecast in the Huai river basin. J. Hydrol. 519, 2890–2905 (2014)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. L. Yan, H. Jun, W. Jinxin, Application of ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) to medium-and-long-term water resources prediction. J. China Hydrol. 28, 25–28 (2008) (in Chinese)Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Guangsheng Wang
    • 1
    Email author
  • Zhijie Yin
    • 1
  • Jianqing Yang
    • 1
  • Yuhong Yan
    • 1
  1. 1.Bureau of Hydrology, Ministry of Water ResourcesBeijingChina

Personalised recommendations