Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Applied in China

  • Guangsheng WangEmail author
  • Zhijie Yin
  • Jianqing Yang
  • Yuhong Yan
Reference work entry


In China, to prolong lead-time prediction in order to meet with the requirement of flood defense, short range ensemble stream flow prediction is implemented. Based on the forecasting and the historical storm model, a group of precipitation data is generated as input of rainfall-runoff model. Furthermore, to meet with the requirement of water resources management, in the humid regions rainfall-runoff ensemble prediction has been applied for monthly runoff prediction, in large basins conditional probability method has also been applied to assess the next monthly runoff probability under a fixed runoff initial condition.


Hydrological ensemble prediction Short range flood forecasting Monthly runoff prediction Rainfall runoff ESP Conditional probability prediction 


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Guangsheng Wang
    • 1
    Email author
  • Zhijie Yin
    • 1
  • Jianqing Yang
    • 1
  • Yuhong Yan
    • 1
  1. 1.Bureau of Hydrology, Ministry of Water ResourcesBeijingChina

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