Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science

Living Edition
| Editors: Robert A. Meyers

Tsunamis: Bayesian Probabilistic Analysis

  • Anita Grezio
  • Stefano Lorito
  • Tom Parsons
  • Jacopo Selva
Living reference work entry
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27737-5_645-1


Aleatory variability

In the present context, it is the assumed random variability of the parameters characterizing the future hazardous events or, in other words, the random variability in the model describing the physical system under investigation.

Bayesian statistics

An approach to statistics which represents unknown quantities with probability distributions that in one interpretation represent the degree of belief that the unknown quantity takes any particular value. Data are considered fixed, and the parameters of distributions representing the state of the world or hypotheses are updated as evidences are collected.


The tendency of a measurement process or statistical estimate to over- or underestimate the value of a population parameter on average.

Conditional probability

The probability that an event will occur under the condition or given knowledge that another event occurs.


In Bayesian statistics, the property of parametric families of distributions for...


Posterior Distribution Likelihood Function Beta Distribution Tsunami Wave Epistemic Uncertainty 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.
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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media LLC 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  • Anita Grezio
    • 1
  • Stefano Lorito
    • 2
  • Tom Parsons
    • 3
  • Jacopo Selva
    • 1
  1. 1.Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e VulcanologiaBolognaItaly
  2. 2.Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e VulcanologiaRomaItaly
  3. 3.USGS MS-999Menlo ParkUSA