Skip to main content

Fiducial Inference

  • Reference work entry
  • First Online:
International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science

Introduction

The origin of Generalized Fiducial Inference can be traced back to R. A. Fisher (Fisher 1930, 1933, 1935) who introduced the concept of a fiducial distribution for a parameter, and proposed the use of this fiducial distribution, in place of the Bayesian posterior distribution, for interval estimation of this parameter. In the case of a one-parameter family of distributions, Fisher gave the following definition for a fiducial density f(θ | x) of the parameter based on a single observation x for the case where the cdf F(x | θ) is a monotonic decreasing function of θ:

$$f(\theta /x) = -\frac{\partial F(x\vert \theta )} {\partial \theta } .$$

In simple situations, especially in one parameter families of distributions, Fisher’s fiducial intervals turned out to coincide with classical confidence intervals. For multiparameter families of distributions, the fiducial approach led to confidence sets whose frequentist coverage probabilities were close to the claimed confidence...

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 1,100.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 549.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References and Further Reading

  • Barnard GA (1995) Pivotal models and the fiducial argument. Int Stat Rev 63:309–323

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Berger JO, Sun D (2008) Objective priors for the bivariate normal model. Ann Stat 36:963–982

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Casella G, Berger RL (2002) Statistical inference, 2nd edn. Wadsworth and Brooks/Cole, Pacific Grove, CA

    Google Scholar 

  • Chiang A (2001) A simple general method for constructing confidence intervals for functions of variance components. Technometrics 43:356–367

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Dawid AP, Stone M (1982) The functional-model basis of fiducial inference (with discussion). Ann Stat 10:1054–1074

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Dawid AP, Stone M, Zidek JV (1973) Marginalization paradoxes in Bayesian and structural inference (with discussion). J R Stat Soc Ser B 35:189–233

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Dempster AP (1966) New methods for reasoning towards posterior distributions based on sample data. Ann Math Stat 37:355–374

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Dempster AP (1968) A generalization of Bayesian inference (with discussion). J R Stat Soc Ser B 30:205–247

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Dempster AP (2008) The Dempster-Shafer calculus for statisticians. Int J Approx Reason 48:365–377

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Fisher RA (1930) Inverse probability. Proc Cambridge Philos Soc 26:528–535

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Fisher RA (1933) The concepts of inverse probability and fiducial probability referring to unknown parameters. Proc R Soc Lond A 139:343–348

    Google Scholar 

  • Fisher RA (1935) The fiducial argument in statistical inference. Ann Eugenics 6:91–98

    Google Scholar 

  • Fraser DAS (1961a) The fiducial method and invariance. Biometrika 48:261–280

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Fraser DAS (1961b) On fiducial inference. Ann Math Stat 32:661–676

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Fraser DAS (1966) Structural probability and a generalization. Biometrika 53:1–9

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Fraser DAS (1968) The structure of inference. Wiley, New York

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Glagovskiy YS (2006) Construction of fiducial confidence intervals for the mixture of cauchy and normal distributions. Master’s thesis, Department of Statistics, Colorado State University

    Google Scholar 

  • Grundy PM (1956) Fiducial distributions and prior distributions: an example in which the former cannot be associated with the latter. J R Stat Soc Ser B 18:217–221

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Hannig J (2009a) On asymptotic properties of generalized fiducial inference for discretized data. Tech. Rep. UNC/STOR/09/02, Department of Statistics and Operations Research, The University of North Carolina

    Google Scholar 

  • Hannig J (2009b) On generalized fiducial inference. Stat Sinica 19:491–544

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Hannig J, Abdel-Karim LEA, Iyer HK (2006a) Simultaneous fiducial generalized confidence intervals for ratios of means of lognormal distributions. Aust J Stat 35:261–269

    Google Scholar 

  • Hannig J, Iyer HK, Patterson P (2006b) Fiducial generalized confidence intervals. J Am Stat Assoc 101:254–269

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Hannig J, Iyer HK, Wang JC-M (2007) Fiducial approach to uncertainty assessment accounting for error due to instrument resolution. Metrologia 44:476–483

    Google Scholar 

  • Hannig J, Lee TCM (2009) Generalized fiducial inference for wavelet regression. Biometrika 96(4):847–860

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Hannig J, Wang CM, Iyer HK (2003) Uncertainty calculation for the ratio of dependent measurements. Metrologia, 4:177–186

    Google Scholar 

  • Iyer HK, Patterson P (2002) A recipe for constructing generalized pivotal quantities and generalized confidence intervals. Tech. Rep. 2002/10, Department of Statistics, Colorado State University

    Google Scholar 

  • Iyer HK, Wang JC-M, Mathew T (2004) Models and confidence intervals for true values in interlaboratory trials. J Am Stat Assoc 99:1060–1071

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Jeffreys H (1940) Note on the Behrens-Fisher formula. Ann Eugenics 10:48–51

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lidong E, Hannig J, Iyer HK (2008) Fiducial Intervals for variance components in an unbalanced two-component normal mixed linear model. J Am Stat Assoc 103:854–865

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Lidong E, Hannig J, Iyer HK (2009) Fiducial generalized confidence interval for median lethal dose (LD50). (Preprint)

    Google Scholar 

  • Lindley DV (1958) Fiducial distributions and Bayes’ theorem. J R Stat Soc Ser B 20:102–107

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • McNally RJ, Iyer HK, Mathew T (2003) Tests for individual and population bioequivalence based on generalized p-values. Stat Med 22:31–53

    Google Scholar 

  • Patterson P, Hannig J, Iyer HK (2004) Fiducial generalized confidence intervals for proportion of conformance. Tech. Rep. 2004/11, Colorado State University

    Google Scholar 

  • Salome D (1998) Staristical inference via fiducial methods. Ph.D. thesis, University of Groningen

    Google Scholar 

  • Stevens WL (1950) Fiducial limits of the parameter of a discontinuous distribution. Biometrika 37:117–129

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Tsui K-W, Weerahandi S (1989) Generalized p-values in significance testing of hypotheses in the presence of nuisance parameters. J Am Stat Assoc 84:602–607

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Tsui K-W, Weerahandi S (1991) Corrections: generalized p-values in significance testing of hypotheses in the presence of nuisance parameters. [J Am Stat Assoc 84 (1989), no. 406, 602–607; MR1010352 (90g:62047)]. J Am Stat Assoc 86:256

    Google Scholar 

  • Wandler DV, Hannig J (2009) Fiducial inference on the maximum mean of a multivariate normal distribution (Preprint)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang JC-M, Iyer HK (2005) Propagation of uncertainties in measurements using generalized inference. Metrologia 42:145–153

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang JC-M, Iyer HK (2006a) A generalized confidence interval for a measurand in the presence of type-A and type-B uncertainties. Measurement 39:856–863

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang JC-M, Iyer HK (2006b) Uncertainty analysis for vector measurands using fiducial inference. Metrologia 43:486–494

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang YH (2000) Fiducial intervals: what are they? Am Stat 54: 105–111

    Google Scholar 

  • Weerahandi S (1993) Generalized confidence intervals. J Am Stat Assoc 88:899–905

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Weerahandi S (1994) Correction: generalized confidence intervals [J Am Stat Assoc 88 (1993), no. 423, 899–905; MR1242940 (94e:62031)]. J Am Stat Assoc 89:726

    Google Scholar 

  • Weerahandi S (1995) Exact statistical methods for data analysis. Springer series in statistics. Springer-Verlag. New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilkinson GN (1977) On resolving the controversy in statistical inference (with discussion). J R Stat Soc Ser B 39:119–171

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Xu X, Li G (2006) Fiducial inference in the pivotal family of distributions. Sci China Ser A Math 49:410–432

    MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this entry

Cite this entry

Hannig, J., Iyer, H., Lee, T.C. (2011). Fiducial Inference. In: Lovric, M. (eds) International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04898-2_250

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics