Volcanic Hazards and Early Warning
Definition of the Subject
The hazards and risks posed by volcanic eruptions are increasing inexorably with time. This trend is the direct result of continuing exponentialgrowth in global population and progressive encroachment of human settlement and economic development into hazardous volcanic areas. One obvious strategyin reducing volcano risk is the total abandonment of hazardous volcanic regions for human habitation. Clearly, this is utterly unrealistic; many hazardousvolcanoes are located in densely populated areas, for most of which land-use patterns have been fixed by history, culture, and tradition for centuries ormillennia. Moreover, people also are exposed to potential volcano hazards by simply being passengers aboard commercial airliners flying over volcanicregions and possibly encountering a drifting volcanic ash cloud from a powerful explosive eruption [5]. Thus, the only viable option in reducing volcano risk is the timely issuance of early warning of possible...
Notes
Acknowledgments
This article has benefited from constructive reviews and helpful suggestions by L. J. Patrick Muffler and Fred Klein (both of the USGeological Survey, Menlo Park) on an earlier draft. To them, I offer them my sincere thanks. The views expressed in this article have been shaped by mypersonal involvement in responses to several of the volcanic crises in recent decades, and by enlightening and instructive interactions and discussionswith many colleagues in the global volcanological community.
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