Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Health Care in the United States, System Dynamics Applications to

  • Living reference work entry
  • Latest version View entry history
  • First Online:
Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Log in via an institution

Institutional subscriptions

Bibliography

  • American Diabetes Association (ADA) and National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) (2002) The prevention or delay of type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Care 25:742–749

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • American Heart Association (AHA) (2009) Heart disease and stroke statistics 2010 update: a report from the American Heart Association. Circulation 121:e46–e215

    Google Scholar 

  • Anderson R (1994) Populations, infectious disease and immunity: a very nonlinear world. Philos Trans R Soc Lond Ser B Biol Sci B346:457–505

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion (CDC/NCCDPHP) (2007) Chronic disease overview. Available at http://www.cdc.gov/nccdphp/overview.htm

  • Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group (DPPRG) (2002) Reduction in the incidence of type 2 diabetes with lifestyle intervention or metformin. N Engl J Med 346:393–403

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Edelstein B, Hirsch G, Frosh M, Kumar J (2015) Reducing early childhood caries in a Medicaid population: a systems model analysis. J Am Dent Assoc 146(4):224–232

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Flegal KM, Carroll MD, Ogden CL, Johnson CL (2002) Prevalence and trends in obesity among US adults, 1999–2000. JAMA 288:1723–1727

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Forrester JW (1961) Industrial dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Forrester JW (1980) Information sources for modeling the national economy. J Am Stat Assoc 75:555–574

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Forrester JW, Senge PM (1980) Tests for building confidence in system dynamics models. In: System dynamics, TIMS studies in the management sciences. North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp 209–228

    Google Scholar 

  • Gunning-Schepers LJ (1989) The health benefits of prevention: a simulation approach. Health Policy Spec Issue 12:1–255

    Google Scholar 

  • Halloran EM, Longini IM, Nizam A, Yang Y (2002) Containing bioterrorist smallpox. Science 298:1428–1432

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  • Heirich M (1999) Rethinking health care: innovation and change in America. Westview Press, Boulder

    Google Scholar 

  • Hirsch GB (2004) Modeling the consequences of major incidents for health care systems. In: 22nd international system dynamics conference. System Dynamics Society, Oxford. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Hirsch G (2006) A generic model of contagious disease and its application to human-to-human transmission of avian influenza. In: Proceedings of the international conference of the System Dynamics Society, Nijmegen. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Hirsch G, Homer J (2004) Modeling the dynamics of health care services for improved chronic illness management. In: 22nd international system dynamics conference. System Dynamics Society, Oxford. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Hirsch GB, Immediato CS (1999) Microworlds and generic structures as resources for integrating care and improving health. Syst Dyn Rev 15:315–330

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirsch GB, Homer JB, Evans E, Zielinski A (2010) A system dynamics model for planning cardiovascular disease interventions. Am J Public Health 100(4):616–622

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirsch GB, Edelstein BL, Frosh M, Anselmo T (2012a) A simulation model for designing effective interventions in early childhood caries. Prev Chronic Dis 9:110219. https://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2012/11_0219.htm

  • Hirsch G, McCleary K, Meyer K, Saeed K (2012b) Deceased donor potential for organ transplantation: a system dynamics framework. International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, St. Gallen. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Hirsch G, Homer J, Wile K, Trogdon JG, Orenstein D (2014) Using simulation to compare four categories of intervention for reducing cardiovascular disease risks. Am J Public Health 104(7):1187–1195

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirsch G, Homer J, Tomoaia-Cotisel A (eds) (2015) System dynamics applications to health and health care. Virtual issue of System Dynamics Review (15 previously published articles with new Introduction and Extended Bibliography). http://onlinelibrarywiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1099-1727/homepage/VirtualIssuesPage.html

  • Hoard M, Homer J, Manley W, Furbee P, Haque A, Helmkamp J (2005) Systems modeling in support of evidence-based disaster planning for rural areas. Int J Hyg Environ Health 208:117–125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Homer J, Milstein B (2002) Communities with multiple afflictions: a system dynamics approach to the study and prevention of syndemics. In: 20th international system dynamics conference. System Dynamics Society, Palermo. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Homer J, Milstein B (2004) Optimal decision making in a dynamic model of community health. In: 37th Hawaii international conference on system sciences. IEEE, Waikoloa. http://csdl.computer.org/comp/proceedings/hicss/2004/2056/03/2056toc.htm

  • Homer J, Ritchie-Dunham J, Rabbino H, Puente LM, Jorgensen J, Hendricks K (2000) Toward a dynamic theory of antibiotic resistance. Syst Dyn Rev 16:287–319

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Homer J, Hirsch G, Minniti M, Pierson M (2004) Models for collaboration: how system dynamics helped a community organize cost-effective care for chronic illness. Syst Dyn Rev 20:199–222

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Homer J, Milstein B, Dietz W, Buchner D, Majestic E (2006) Obesity population dynamics: exploring historical growth and plausible futures in the U.S. In: 24th international system dynamics conference. System Dynamics Society, Nijmegen. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Homer J, Hirsch G, Milstein B (2007) Chronic illness in a complex health economy: the perils and promises of downstream and upstream reforms. Syst Dyn Rev 23(2–3):313–334

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Homer J, Milstein B, Wile K, Trogdon J et al (2010) Simulating and evaluating local interventions to improve cardiovascular health. Prev Chronic Dis 7(1):080231. http://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2010/jan/08_0231.htm

  • Homer J, Wile K, Yarnoff B, Trogdon JG et al (2014) Using simulation to compare established and emerging interventions to reduce cardiovascular disease risks in the United States. Prev Chronic Dis 11(E195):1–14. http://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2014/14_0130.htm

  • Homer J, Hirsch G, Milstein B, Fisher E (2016) Combined regional investments could substantially enhance health system performance and be financially affordable. Health Aff 35(8):1435–1443

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Honeycutt AA, Boyle JP, Broglio KR et al (2003) A dynamic Markov model for forecasting diabetes prevalence in the United States through 2050. Health Care Manag Sci 6:155–164

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hovmand P, Ford D, Flom I, Kyriakakis S (2009) Victims arrested for domestic violence: unintended consequences of arrest policies. Syst Dyn Rev 25(3):161–181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jones AP, Homer JB, Murphy DL, Essien JDK, Milstein B, Seville DA (2006) Understanding diabetes population dynamics through simulation modeling and experimentation. Am J Public Health 96(3):488–494

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaplan EH, Craft DL, Wein LM (2002) Emergency response to a smallpox attack: the case for mass vaccination. Proc Natl Acad Sci 99:10935–10940

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  • LeClaire R, Hirsch G, Bandlow A (2009) Learning environment simulator: a tool for local decision makers and first responders. In: Proceedings of the international conference of the System Dynamics Society, Albuquerque. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Lee P, Paxman D (1997) Reinventing public health. Ann Rev Public Health 18:1–35

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lich KH, Tian Y, Beadles CA, Williams L et al (2014) Strategic planning to reduce the burden of stroke among veterans: using simulation modeling to inform decision making. Stroke 45:2078–2084

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mahamoud A, Roche B, Homer J (2012) Modelling the social determinants of health and simulating short-term and long-term intervention impacts for the city of Toronto, Canada. Soc Sci Med 93:247–255

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Manley W, Homer J et al (2005) A dynamic model to support surge capacity planning in a rural hospital. In: 23rd international system dynamics conference, Boston. http://www.systemdynamics.org/publications.htm

  • Milstein B, Hirsch G, Minyard K (2013) County officials embark on new collective endeavors to rethink their local health systems. J County Adm 1–10

    Google Scholar 

  • Milstein B, Jones A, Homer J, Murphy D, Essien J, Seville D (2007) Charting plausible futures for diabetes prevalence in the United States: a role for system dynamics simulation modeling. Prev Chronic Dis 4(3). http://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2007/jul/06_0070.htm

  • Milstein B, Homer J, Hirsch G (2010) Analyzing national health reform strategies with a dynamic simulation model. Am J Public Health 100:811–819

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Milstein B, Homer J, Briss P, Burton D, Pechacek T (2011) Why behavioral and environmental interventions are needed to improve health at lower cost. Health Aff 30(5):1–11

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Naidoo B, Thorogood M, McPherson K, Gunning-Schepers LJ (1997) Modeling the effects of increased physical activity on coronary heart disease in England and Wales. J Epidemiol Community Health 51:144–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) (2004) National Diabetes Statistics. http://diabetes.niddk.nih.gov/dm/pubs/statistics/index.htm

  • O’Connell JB, Bristow MR (1993) Economic impact of heart failure in the United States: time for a different approach. J Heart Lung Transplant 13(Suppl):S107–S112

    Google Scholar 

  • O’Donoghue T, Rabin M (2006) Optimal sin taxes. J Public Econ 90:1825–1849

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schlessinger L, Eddy DM (2002) Archimedes: a new model for simulating health care systems – the mathematical formulation. J Biomed Inform 35:37–50

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schorr LB (1997) Common purpose: strengthening families and neighborhoods to rebuild America. Doubleday/Anchor Books, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Singer M, Clair S (2003) Syndemics and public health: reconceptualizing disease in bio-social context. Med Anthropol Q 17:423–441

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sterman JD (1988) A skeptic’s guide to computer models. In: Grant L (ed) Foresight and national decisions. University Press of America, Lanham, pp 133–169

    Google Scholar 

  • Sterman JD (2000) Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. Irwin/McGraw-Hill, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  • Tengs TO, Osgood ND, Chen LL (2001) The cost-effectiveness of intensive national school-based anti-tobacco education: results from the tobacco policy model. Prev Med 33:558–570

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson KM, Tebbens RJD (2007) Eradication versus control for poliomyelitis: an economic analysis. Lancet 369:1363–1371

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • U.K. Prospective Diabetes Study Group (UKPDSG) (1998) Tight blood pressure control and risk of macrovascular and microvascular complications in type 2 diabetes. Lancet 352:703–713

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vennix JAM (1996) Group model-building: facilitating team learning using system dynamics. Wiley, Chichester

    Google Scholar 

  • Wagner EH, Sandhu N, Newton KM et al (2001) Effect of improved glycemic control on health care costs and utilization. JAMA 285(2):182–189

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wakeland W, Schmidt T, Gilson A, Haddox J, Webster L (2011) System dynamics modeling as a potentially useful tool in analyzing mitigation strategies to reduce overdose deaths associated with pharmaceutical opioid treatment of chronic pain. Pain Med 12(Suppl 2):S49–S58

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wallace R (1988) A synergism of plagues. Environ Res 47:1–33

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wolfson MC (1994) POHEM: a framework for understanding and modeling the health of human populations. World Health Stat Q 47:157–176

    ADS  Google Scholar 

  • Zack MM, Moriarty DG, Stroup DF, Ford ES, Mokdad AH (2004) Worsening trends in adult health-related quality of life and self-rated health-United States, 1993–2001. Public Health Rep 119:493–505

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Creator of Learning Environments, Wayland, MA, 01778, USA

    Gary B. Hirsch

  2. Homer Consulting, Barrytown, New York, 12507, USA

    Jack Homer

Authors
  1. Gary B. Hirsch
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Jack Homer
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gary B. Hirsch .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Ramtech Ltd., Larkspur, California, USA

    Robert A. Meyers

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer Science+Business Media LLC

About this entry

Cite this entry

Hirsch, G.B., Homer, J. (2017). Health Care in the United States, System Dynamics Applications to. In: Meyers, R. (eds) Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27737-5_270-3

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27737-5_270-3

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-27737-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-27737-5

  • eBook Packages: Springer Reference Physics and AstronomyReference Module Physical and Materials ScienceReference Module Chemistry, Materials and Physics

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Chapter history

  1. Latest

    Health Care in the United States, System Dynamics Applications to
    Published:
    29 April 2017

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27737-5_270-3

  2. Original

    Health Care in the United States, System Dynamics Applications to
    Published:
    03 December 2016

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27737-5_270-2

Search

Navigation