Volume 132, Issue 1

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September 2015

Managing Uncertainty in Predictions of Climate and Its Impacts

Issue Editors:

Andy Challinor,
Christopher Ferro

10 articles in this issue

Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review
Anna Wesselink
Andrew Juan Challinor
Emma Suckling
OriginalPaper Open access 12 August 2014 Pages: 1 - 14
Towards a typology for constrained climate model forecasts
A. Lopez
E. B. Suckling
M. R. Allen
OriginalPaper Open access 06 December 2014 Pages: 15 - 29
Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation
Leonard A. Smith
Emma B. Suckling
Hailiang Du
OriginalPaper Open access 17 July 2015 Pages: 31 - 45
On judging the credibility of climate predictions
Friederike E. L. Otto
Christopher A. T. Ferro
Emma B. Suckling
OriginalPaper Open access 22 June 2013 Pages: 47 - 60
Near-term prediction of impact-relevant extreme temperature indices
H. M. Hanlon
G. C. Hegerl
D. M. Smith
OriginalPaper Open access 12 August 2014 Pages: 61 - 76
Attribution analysis of high precipitation events in summer in England and Wales over the last decade
Friederike E. L. Otto
Suzanne M. Rosier
Jara Imbers Quintana
OriginalPaper Open access 11 October 2014 Pages: 77 - 91
Comparing the effects of calibration and climate errors on a statistical crop model and a process-based crop model
James Watson
Andrew J. Challinor
Christopher A. T. Ferro
OriginalPaper Open access 15 October 2014 Pages: 93 - 109
What can ecosystem models tell us about the risk of eutrophication in the North Sea?
S. Saux Picart
J. I. Allen
J. Holt
OriginalPaper Open access 22 March 2014 Pages: 111 - 125
Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming
Raphael Calel
David A. Stainforth
Simon Dietz
OriginalPaper Open access 14 September 2013 Pages: 127 - 141
The communication of physical science uncertainty in European National Adaptation Strategies
S. Lorenz
S. Dessai
P. M. Forster
OriginalPaper Open access 27 July 2013 Pages: 143 - 155

Volume 132, Issue 1

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