Abstract
The present paper deals with a new fractional SIRS-SI model describing the transmission of malaria disease. The SIRS-SI malaria model is modified by using the Caputo–Fabrizio fractional operator for the inclusion of memory. We also suggest the utilization of vaccines, antimalarial medicines, and spraying for the treatment and control of the malaria disease. The theory of fixed point is utilized to examine the existence of the solution of a fractional SIRS-SI model describing spreading of malaria. The uniqueness of the solution of SIRS-SI model for malaria is also analyzed. It is shown that the treatments have great impact on the dynamical system of human and mosquito populations. The numerical simulation of fractional SIRS-SI malaria model is performed with the aid of HATM and Maple packages to show the effect of different parameters of the treatment of malaria disease. The numerical results for fractional SIRS-SI malaria model reveal that the recommended approach is very accurate and effective.
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1 Introduction
Malaria is a life-threatening mosquito-borne blood illness in the developing portion of the globe and especially in Asia and Africa. It is caused by a plasmodium parasite. The reports by the WHO show that malaria is a major risk to human life and remains a high-risk infectious illness. The financial load on the infected areas by malaria disease is massive and requires serious public health attention. Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases is a very strong tool to understand the dynamical system of disease spreading and control strategies. Recently many scientists and mathematicians have suggested mathematical models for malaria transmission. Agusto et al. [1] reported a SIR having infection rate of nonlinear type with the aid of vaccination for the human population. Abdullahi et al. [2] analyzed the outcomes of treatment as a control variable on the malaria transmission process. Mandal et al. [3] formulated the mathematical representation of malaria transmission with the situation of person-to-person transmission via blood transfusions and malaria-infected ladies having pregnancy. Chiyaka et al. [4] suggested a modified mathematical modeling by assuming that the persons also belonging to the recovered group have a probability to be susceptible. Rafikov et al. [5] reported an efficient control strategy of malaria vector with the aid of genetically altered mosquitoes. Yang [6] suggested another approach for describing the malaria transmission connected with global warming and local socioeconomic circumstances. In a recent work, Senthamarai et al. [7] utilized the HAM to examine the spreading of malaria illness in an SIRS-SI model. However, all these approaches and mathematical models have their own limitation due to local nature of integer-order derivatives. Therefore fractional derivative approaches are suggested in mathematical modeling of biological and physical systems [8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21].
Very recently, Caputo and Fabrizio [22] reported a novel operator namely the Caputo–Fabrizio (CF) fractional operator involving a nonsingular kernel. Furthermore, the additional properties of this operator were put up by Losada and Nieto [23]. The suitability and efficiency of the CF fractional operator have been demonstrated by many researchers. Singh et al. [24] reported a mathematical model for computer viruses incorporating the CF fractional operator. Singh et al. [25] suggested an innovative idea for mathematical modeling of giving up smoking dynamics with the aid of the CF fractional operator. Djida and Atangana [26] studied a water flow within a confined aquifer connected to an arbitrary order operator in the terms of the Caputo–Fabrizio and many others. Inspired by ongoing investigations on the CF fractional derivative and their effectiveness, we employ this derivative in SIRS-SI malaria model for inclusion of memory. The existence and uniqueness of the solution of SIRS-SI model describing spreading of malaria involving memory effects is shown by applying the fixed-point theory. The numerical computation for the fractional SIRS-SI malaria model is executed by using HATM [27,28,29,30,31] and Padé approximation [32]. The present paper is developed as follows. In Sect. 2, we present the required results pertaining to the CF operator of arbitrary order. In Sect. 3, we give a mathematical formulation of fractional SIRS-SI malaria model. Section 4 concerns with the existence and uniqueness analysis of solution of SIRS-SI model representing the malaria having fractional order. In Sect. 5, we use the efficiency of HATM for examining fractional SIRS-SI malaria model. In Sect. 6, we investigate the effect of various parameters on humans and mosquitoes. Finally, in Sect. 7, we conclude.
2 Preliminaries
Definition 1
Let \(\psi \in H^{1}(\ell _{1},\ell _{2})\), \(\ell _{2} > \ell _{1}\), \(\lambda \in (0,1]\). Then the CF fractional operator [22] is expressed as
In this expression \(M(\lambda )\) satisfies the condition \(M(0) = M(1) = 1\) [22].
Definition 2
The integral operator of fractional order corresponding to the CF fractional derivative is defined as [23]
Definition 3
The Laplace transform of \({}_{0}^{CF}D{}_{t} ^{\lambda } \psi (t)\) is represented as
3 Fractional SIRS-SI malaria model with exponential law
We suppose that the population of human is categorized into the following three groups:
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Group I: Susceptible human denoted by \(S_{h}\);
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Group II: Infected human denoted by \(I_{h}\);
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Group III: Recovered human denoted by \(R_{h}\).
The population of mosquito is categorized into the following two groups:
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Group I: Susceptible mosquito denoted by \(S_{m}\);
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Group II: Infected mosquito denoted by \(I_{m}\).
Let us suppose that the person who is born is transferred to the susceptible group with fixed rate \(\alpha _{h}\) per unit time. Peoples in the susceptible group are transferred to the infected group because of blood exchanging with rate \(\omega \gamma _{1}\) per unit time (here ω indicates the average number of blood transfusions between the susceptible and infected groups in a fixed time period, whereas \(\gamma _{1}\) stands for the probability of disease transfer from an infected person to a susceptible person) or through an infected mosquito bite with rate \(\xi \gamma _{2}\) per unit time (here ξ stands for the average number of infected mosquito bites on a susceptible person in a fixed time period, whereas \(\gamma _{2}\) stands for the probability of disease transfer to susceptible persons through infected mosquitoes). Persons in the susceptible group transfer into the recovered group because of vaccination with rate δ per unit time. The persons in the susceptible group expire with rate \(\eta _{h}\). A newly born baby is infected by malaria because of inbred at rate μ per unit time. The persons in infected group can transfer to the recovered group because of using antimalarial drugs at rate cν per unit time (here c stands for the rate of people healing, and ν indicates the potency of antimalarial medicines). Peoples in the infected group can expire with rate \(\eta _{h}\) and die because of malaria disease with rate ε per unit time. Peoples in recovered group die with rate \(\eta _{h}\) per unit time. Moreover, mosquitoes are born and transferred to the susceptible group at a fixed rate \(\alpha _{m}\) per unit time. The mosquitoes in the susceptible group can transfer into the infected group by biting of mosquito to the infected persons with rate \(e\gamma _{3}\) per unit time (here e stand for the average number of susceptible mosquito bites to the infected persons in a fixed time period, and \(\gamma _{3}\) indicates the possibility of disease passing to susceptible mosquitoes from the infected peoples) or can expire with rate \(\eta _{m}\) per unit time. The average per capita rate of loss of immunity is β per unit time. The mosquitoes belonging to the susceptible and infected groups can expire due to exercise of spraying with rate σ per unit time. The mosquitoes belonging to the infected group can die with rate \(\eta _{m}\) per unit time. The governing equations for the SIRS-SI malaria model are presented as follows:
Since the integer-order derivative is local in nature, the presented SIRS-SI malaria model (4) does not describe different effects on humans and mosquitoes in efficient manner. Therefore, to include the memory effects in the description of malaria disease, we extend the model (4) by employing the newly proposed Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative as follows:
with the initial conditions
Let us suppose that B is the Banach space of continuous real-valued functions defined on an interval I with the associated norm
In Eq. (7), we have \(\Vert S_{h} \Vert = \sup \{ \vert S_{h}(t) \vert :t \in I \}\), \(\Vert I_{h} \Vert = \sup \{ \vert I_{h}(t) \vert :t \in I \}\), \(\Vert R _{h} \Vert = \sup \{ \vert R_{h}(t) \vert :t \in I \}\), \(\Vert S_{m} \Vert = \sup \{ \vert S_{m}(t) \vert :t \in I \}\), and \(\Vert I_{m} \Vert = \sup \{ \vert I_{m}(t) \vert :t \in I \}\). Specifically, \(B = E(I) \times E(I) \times E(I) \times E(I) \times E(I)\), where \(E(I)\) stands for the Banach space of continuous real-valued functions on I and the associated sup norm.
4 Existence and uniqueness analysis
This section deals with the existence and uniqueness analysis of the solution of the fractional SIRS-SI malaria model with exponential law. It is very important to know about the existence and uniqueness of the solution of any mathematical model in natural sciences. Therefore we examine the existence and uniqueness of the solution of fractional SIRS-SI malaria model by using fixed point theory [33,34,35].
We apply the fractional integral operator (2) to Eq. (5), which gives
Using the notation suggested in [23], we have
For clarity, we express
Theorem 1
The kernels \(\varOmega _{1}\), \(\varOmega _{2}\), \(\varOmega _{3}\), \(\varOmega _{4}\), and \(\varOmega _{5}\) satisfy the Lipschitz condition and contraction if
Proof
We initiate with \(\varOmega _{1}\). For two functions \(S_{h}\) and \(S_{h1}\), we have
On applying the properties of norm on Eq. (11), it yields
Taking \(b_{1} = \omega \gamma _{1}a_{2} + \xi \gamma _{2}a_{5} + ( \delta + \eta _{h})\), where \(\Vert S_{h}(t) \Vert \le a_{1}\), \(\Vert I_{h}(t) \Vert \le a_{2}\), \(\Vert R_{h}(t) \Vert \le a_{3}\), \(\Vert S_{m}(t) \Vert \le a_{4}\), and \(\Vert I _{m}(t) \Vert \le a_{5}\) are bounded functions, we get
Thus the Lipschitz condition is satisfied for \(\varOmega _{1}\). Furthermore, if
Similarly, we can prove that the kernels \(\varOmega _{2}(t,I_{h})\), \(\varOmega _{3}(t,R_{h})\), \(\varOmega _{4}(t,S_{m})\), and \(\varOmega _{5}(t,I_{m})\) satisfy the Lipschitz conditions
On using the notations of the earlier stated kernels, Eq. (9) reduces to the system
Next, we construct the following recursive formulas:
along with the initial conditions
We express the difference between the succession terms as
It is worth observing that
Now we easily obtain the following result:
Applying the triangle inequality to Eq. (20), we get
It is already proved that the kernels satisfy the Lipschitz condition, so Eq. (21) gives
Consequently, we arrive at the subsequent result
Using the same process, we derive the following results:
Taking (23) and (24) into account, we obtain the existence of the solution of the considered model. □
Theorem 2
The SIRS-SI malaria model involving the CF fractional operator expressed in Eq. (5) has a solution if there exists \(t_{0}\) such that
Proof
As we know, the functions \(S_{h}(t)\), \(I_{h}(t)\), \(R_{h}(t)\), \(S _{m}(t)\), and \(I_{m}(t)\) are bounded. Using the results presented in Eqs. (23)–(24) and utilizing the recursive algorithm, we get
Hence the solution of the considered model exists and is continuous.
Now, to show that Eq. (15) is a solution of the model (5), we take
Thus we have
Using this process recursively, we get
Then at \(t_{0}\), we have
Taking the limit on Eq. (29) as n tends to infinity gives
Similarly, we get
This completes the proof of the existence theorem.
Next, we prove the uniqueness of a solution of the fractional SIRS-SI malaria model (5).
Let us assume that there exists another system of solutions of SIRS-SI malaria model (5), \(S_{h}^{*}(t)\), \(I_{h}^{*}(t)\), \(R_{h}^{*}(t)\), \(S_{m}^{*}(t)\), and \(I_{m}^{*}(t)\). Then
Taking the norms gives
Employing the results presented in (13) and (14), we get
which gives
□
Theorem 3
The fractional SIRS-SI malaria model (5) has a unique solution if
Proof
From Eq. (33) we have
Using Eq. (34) and properties of a norm in Eq. (35) gives
Thus we can see that
Using a similar procedure, we easily prove that
Thus the fractional SIRS-SI malaria model (5) has a unique solution. □
5 HATM for fractional SIRS-SI malaria model
In this section, we simulate the numerical results for the fractional SIRS-SI malaria model by using HATM. Firstly, we apply the Laplace transform to fractional SIRS-SI malaria model (5), which yields
By simplification this gives
We present the nonlinear operators as
and thus we have
Further, the deformation equations of kth order are expressed as
Applying the inverse Laplace transform to Eq. (42) yields
Taking the initial guess \(S_{h0}(t) = c_{1} + \{ 1 + \lambda (t - 1) \} \alpha _{h}\), \(I_{h0}(t) = c_{2}\), \(R_{h0}(t) = c_{3}\), \(S_{m0}(t) = c _{4} + \{ 1 + \lambda (t - 1)\} \alpha _{m}\), \(I_{m0}(t) = c_{5}\) and solving Eq. (43) for \(k = 1,2,3,\ldots \) , we get the values of \(S_{hk}(t)\), \(I_{hk}(t)\), \(R_{hk}(t)\), \(S_{mk}(t)\), and \(I_{mk}(t)\) for k≥1.
So, the solution of fractional SIRS-SI malaria model (5) is given as
6 Numerical results and discussions
This part is devoted to numerical simulation for the fractional SIRS-SI malaria model. The numerical results for the model (5) are computed by using the HATM and Padé approximation. To compute numerical results, we have taken the values of various parameters from distinct reliable sources [1, 2, 5]. The numerical simulation is performed fort \(\eta _{h} = 0.0004\), \(\eta _{h} = 0.04\), \(\varepsilon = 0.05\), \(\beta = 1/730\), \(\sigma = 1/730\), \(\alpha _{h} = 0.027\), \(\alpha _{m} = 0.13\), \(\omega = 0.038\), \(\xi = 0.13\), \(\gamma _{1} = 0.02\), \(\gamma _{2} = 0.010\), \(\gamma _{3} = 0.072\), \(c = 0.611\), \(e = 0.022\), \(\mu = 0.005\), \(\sigma \in [0,1]\), \(\delta \in [0,1]\), and \(\nu \in [0.01,1]\). The initial conditions are taken as \(S_{h}(0) = c_{1} = 40\), \(I_{h}(0) = c_{2} = 2\), \(R_{h}(0) = c_{3} = 0\), \(S_{m}(0) = c_{4} = 500\), and \(I_{m}(0) = c_{5} = 10\). Figure 1 depicts the influence of order of the CF fractional operator on different groups of human population, that is, susceptible humans, infected humans, and recovered humans. Figure 2 demonstrates the influence of order of the CF fractional derivative on different groups of mosquito population, that is, susceptible mosquitoes and infected mosquitoes. Figure 3 shows the influence of antimalarial drugs on different classes of human population. Figure 4 displays the impact of antimalarial drugs on different classes of mosquito population. Figure 5 presents the influence of treatment of vaccines on various classes of human population. Figure 6 exhibits the effect of treatment of vaccines on various groups of mosquito population. In Fig. 7, the influence of treatment of spraying on various classes of human population is displayed. In Fig. 8, the impact of treatment of spraying on distinct classes of mosquito population is shown.
7 Conclusions
In this paper, we studied a fractional SIRS-SI malaria model transmission along with a number of cures such as the utilization of vaccines, antimalarial medicines, and spraying. The power of this model was inclusion of memory effects. The theory of fixed point was employed to examine the existence and uniqueness of solution of the considered fractional SIRS-SI model describing the spreading of malaria. The HATM and Padé approximation were applied to perform numerical simulation. The effects of order of the CF fractional derivative, vaccines, antimalarial drugs, and spraying on different groups of human populations and mosquito populations were analyzed. From the results we conclude that the CF fractional derivative is very useful for describing the treatment and control of the malaria disease and similar type of problems.
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The authors extend their appreciation to the International Scientific Partnership Program ISPP at King Saud University for funding this research work through ISPP# 63.
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DK, JS, MAQ, and DB designed the study, developed the methodology, collected the data, performed the analysis, and wrote the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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Kumar, D., Singh, J., Al Qurashi, M. et al. A new fractional SIRS-SI malaria disease model with application of vaccines, antimalarial drugs, and spraying. Adv Differ Equ 2019, 278 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-019-2199-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-019-2199-9