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Value of CSF Biomarkers in Predicting Risk of Progression from aMCI to ADD in a 5-Year Follow-Up Cohort

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Abstract

The aim of this study is to approach cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) Aβ1-42 and p-Tau181 as risks factors in predicting progression from amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) to Alzheimer’s disease dementia (ADD) in a 5-year follow-up. Forty-two individuals diagnosed as aMCI or subjective cognitive impairment (SCI) were evaluated in 2013 and reevaluated in 2018. CSF Aβ1–42 and p-Tau181 were measured by immunoenzymatic assay. Differences in cognitive performance between endpoint and baseline were verified by neuropsychological tests. Of the aMCI individuals, 45.2% progressed to ADD in 5 years. The relative risk to develop ADD in individuals with aMCI and Aβ1–42 < 618.5 pg/mL was 5.8 times higher than in those whose levels were above this cutoff (P = 0.0011). Moreover, the relative risk among those in which the p-Tau181/Aβ1–42 ratio was higher than 0.135 was 3.83 times greater (P = 0.0001). Both Aβ1–42 and p-Tau181 levels explained 47.5% of ΔCERADs variance (P < 0.001), whereas Aβ1–42 alone explained 38.6% (P < 0.001). Aβ1–42 provided 5.8 times higher cumulative risk to the progression from aMCI to ADD in a 5-year follow-up. The p-Tau181/Aβ1–42 ratio was no better than Aβ1–42 alone. However, p-Tau181 levels helped to explain an extra 9% of ΔCERADs variance.

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Funding

This study was supported by the CAPES-CNPQ (Grant number: 476387/2013-2) and FIPE (Process: 13-0009). All authors declare that their funding source had no role in the study design, in the collection, analysis and interpretation of data, in the writing of the report, and in the decision to submit the paper for publication.

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Contributions

All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by Liara Rizzi and Luciane Missiaggia. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Liara Rizzi, and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Liara Rizzi.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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This study was approved by the local research ethics committee Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre (number 13-0009) and is in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.

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All participants or their legally authorized representative gave their written consent in order to participate in this study.

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Rizzi, L., Missiaggia, L., Schwartz, I.V.D. et al. Value of CSF Biomarkers in Predicting Risk of Progression from aMCI to ADD in a 5-Year Follow-Up Cohort. SN Compr. Clin. Med. 2, 1543–1550 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42399-020-00437-3

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