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Towards Sustainable Rice Production in Asia: The Role of Climatic Factors

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Abstract

This empirical work aims to investigate the long-run impact of climatic factors (i.e., CO2 emissions, precipitation, and temperature), and non-climatic factors (i.e., cultivated area, fertilizer consumption, and rural labor force) on rice production in selected major Asian rice-producing countries over the period 1961–2016. The results of the heterogeneous panel cointegration test show the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship among the variables. The results of DOLS reveal that climatic factors such as CO2 emissions and temperature significantly reduced rice production in the long-run, while precipitation increased rice production in the long-run. Further findings show that non-climatic factors including cultivated area, fertilizer consumption, and rural labor force significantly enhanced rice production in the long run. It is evident from the findings that precipitation and production factors such as cultivated area, fertilizer consumption, and rural labor force played a vital role in increasing rice production and secure food security in major Asian rice-producing countries. Based on the present findings, this study suggests that to reduce the adverse effects of climate change and ensure food security, there is a need to improve adaptation strategies.

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Abbreviations

ADF:

Augmented dickey-fuller

CD:

Cross-sectional dependence

CADF:

Cross-sectional augmented dickey-fuller

CO2e:

Carbon dioxide emission

CFs:

Climatic factors

CIPS:

Cross-sectional Im, Pesaran and Shin

DOLS:

Dynamic least squares

D-H:

Dumitrescu-Hurlin

FAO:

Food and Agricultural Organization

GDP:

Gross domestic product

GHGs:

Greenhouse gases

GB:

Jarque–Bera

IPCC:

Intergovernmental panel on climate change

IPS:

Im, Pesaran and Shin

LR:

Long-run

LT:

Long term

LLC:

Levin, Lin and Chu

PP:

Phillips-Perron

RP:

Rice production

SSEA:

South and Southeast Asia

VIF:

Variance inflation factor

WB:

World bank

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu, 611130, China

    Abbas Ali Chandio & Yuansheng Jiang

  2. Department of Banking and Finance, Eastern Mediterranean University, via Mersin 10, Famagusta, North Cyprus, Turkey

    Korhan K. Gokmenoglu

  3. School of Economics, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China

    Munir Ahmad

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  1. Abbas Ali Chandio
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  2. Korhan K. Gokmenoglu
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  3. Munir Ahmad
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  4. Yuansheng Jiang
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Correspondence to Abbas Ali Chandio or Yuansheng Jiang.

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Chandio, A.A., Gokmenoglu, K.K., Ahmad, M. et al. Towards Sustainable Rice Production in Asia: The Role of Climatic Factors. Earth Syst Environ 6, 1–14 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-021-00210-z

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