Abstract
The existing literature mostly assumes a positive relationship between democracy and tax compliance. Combining individual-level data from the World Value Survey and country-level data from the Polity IV Project and World Development Indicators, our empirical analysis provides an alternative finding: while tax compliance does increase with the degree of democratization, our heterogeneous effect analysis shows that this association is exclusively pronounced under well-established democratic regimes. By contrast, the democratic transition under autocracies or hybrid regimes substantially erodes tax compliance. We also find that tax compliance plays an important role in shaping tax structure, leading to a higher share of direct tax revenues. Our research therefore highlights the significance of better understanding of the determinants and consequences of tax compliance across various political regimes.
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Notes
This information is based upon the estimates from World Institute for Development Economics Research at United Nations University.
These years are: 1981–1982, 1984, 1989–1991, 1995–2015, and 2016.
The survey questionnaires are available from http://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/wvs.jsp, last retrieved on July 31 2019.
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The authors thank Weiwei Ye, Yifei Gu, Minzi Zhou for excellent research assistance.
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Zheng, B., Gu, Y. & Xu, D. No Taxation Without Representation? An Empirical Examination of the Relationship Between Democratization and Tax Compliance. Chin. Polit. Sci. Rev. 5, 200–221 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41111-019-00131-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41111-019-00131-3