Introduction

The Icelandic ice sheet (IIS) and other Northern Hemisphere Pleistocene ice sheets have traditionally been regarded as slowly responding to insolation changes and climate forcing [28, 84], but recent advances in our understanding of ice sheet behaviour show that some ice sheets have responded much faster to regional and global climate changes than previously thought [10, 14]. Although increased summer ablation, caused by rising northern latitude insolation [1, 13], was the primary control of initial retreat of ice sheets from their Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) positions, continued warming and deglaciation initiated rapid glacio-eustatic sea-level rise [8, 9, 21, 45, 46], which may have hastened the transformation of marine-based ice sheets into floating ice shelves, which in turn may have rapidly disintegrated because of reduced ice-bed coupling, eventually leading to very fast deglaciation or ice sheet collapse [32]. Denton et al. [17] stated that Northern Hemisphere LGM ice sheets at their maximum, with marine-based sectors expanded across continental shelves with maximum isostatic depression beneath them, were prone to become unstable and collapse into the adjacent oceans, and a holistic perspective needs to consider contributing feedbacks such as global sea-level rise, ice-stream dynamics, isostatic adjustments, subglacial temperature regimes and hydrology, as well as calving dynamics. For palaeo-ice sheets the relative importance of these factors are poorly constrained and they remain a challenge to modellers [43].

The extremely rapid retreat of a marine-based ice sheet from the shelf around Iceland and the subsequent formation of highly elevated Marine Limit (ML) shorelines indicate that the deglaciation was the result of a collapse of the IIS rather than being the result of a long-term negative mass-balance [36]. This ice sheet collapse coincided with a period of rapid relative eustatic sea-level (RESL) rise that peaked during the meltwater pulse 1A (Mwp-1A) event [11, 12, 16, 21, 45, 46, 79]. Syvitski et al. [77] suggested that rapid eustatic sea-level rise was a causal factor in the rapid deglaciation, and Ingólfsson and Norðdahl [36] suggested that rapid sea-level rise most likely destabilized the ice sheet and subsequently led to its collapse. Ingólfsson and Norðdahl [36] pointed out the important role of glacio-isostasy in the deglaciation scenario, as the Icelandic crust (lithosphere) and asthenosphere respond very quickly to changes in glacial loading and unloading (c.f. [72]), and suggested that the very high ML shorelines could not have formed unless the deglaciation was extremely rapid. Our aim here is to review current understanding of the deglaciation of Iceland, test the tentative suggestion of Ingólfsson and Norðdahl [36] that rapid sea-level rise destabilized the IIS and led to its collapse, and to present a hypothesis that takes into consideration variables that controlled and/or affected the sequence of events that ultimately led to the collapse of the IIS. The considered variables are time and duration of the LGM situation and the deglaciation of the shelf, age of the ML shorelines and concurrent conditions of North Atlantic Ocean currents and their pattern, and changes in RESL and glacio-isostatic position of the land.

Previous research

The main uncertainty in reconstructing the last deglaciation of Iceland has for long been the poor chronological resolution, which reflects the relative sparsity of well-dated stratigraphical sites on land and from the shelf around Iceland. Norðdahl [52] accounted for the development of the earliest models describing an uninterrupted and continuous deglaciation of the Late Weichselian IIS. He outlined how the models had developed towards recognizing single, double, and finally multi re-advance mode of deglaciation, where the ice sheet oscillations were depicted primarily as reactions to climate forcing. None of these models could explain how and why ML shorelines at relatively high altitudes were formed at about 14.7 ka BP, in times of none known glacier re-advance nor any other increased loading on the crust to explain a temporary equilibrium between glacio-isostatic uplift and RESL rise facilitating formation of these shorelines. Norðdahl and Pétursson [54] and Pétursson et al. [63] compiled all available data for the maximum glacier extent on the shelf around Iceland and proposed LGM ice-marginal positions on the shelf off Iceland (Fig. 1). Spagnolo and Clark [75] analyzed data from the Olex sea floor bathymetry database and recognized moraine-like features on the shelf around Iceland, much in agreement with the earlier research. Hubbard [30] and Hubbard et al. [31] modelled a LGM ice sheet using a three-dimensional thermomechanical model returning an extensive and very dynamic offshore ice sheet characterized by numerous independent but connected accumulation centres from west to east above central Iceland; centres that were drained by large fast flowing outlet ice streams that penetrated well into the heart of the ice sheet delivering about 600 km3 a−1 of ice and freshwater into the ocean around the ice sheet. The LGM ice sheet had a substantial proportion of its base (63–81 %) grounded below LGM sea-level [30], which means that that part of the ice sheet was marine-based and thus sensitive to sea-level rise and arrival of relatively warm Atlantic water eventually surrounding the ice sheet [31]. The modelled extent of a LGM IIS fairly well resembles earlier empiric attempts to reconstruct the configuration of the ice sheet [56] (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1
figure 1

Ostensible LGM extent of the Icelandic ice sheet based on moraines and other physical evidence on the Iceland shelf. The modelled outline and land-based portion of the ice sheet are according to Hubbard et al. [31]. Modified after Norðdahl and Pétursson [54]

The IIS LGM has not yet been dated, as sediment cores retrieved from the shelf west and north off Iceland have provided dates that only constrain the LGM situation there. Radiocarbon dates between 29.1 and 45.7 ka BP (Table 1, 1–2) pre-date the LGM while dates between 13.7 and 18.6 ka BP (Table 1, 3–4) post-date it on the shelf around Iceland [3, 18, 54, 77]. On the Reykjanes peninsula in Southwest Iceland, basal till carrying fossiliferous sediment clasts have yielded an age of about 28.2 ka BP (Table 1, 5). Six more samples have returned ages between 24.4 and 27.7 ka BP (Table 1, 6–7), pre-dating a glacier advance towards an LGM position west off Southwest Iceland [54]. The LGM situation was, thus, most likely reached sometime between 24.4 and 18.6 ka BP.

Table 1 Radiocarbon dated samples referred to in this paper with references to their original publication

The onset of deglaciation of the Iceland shelf most likely occurred at about or a little later than 18.6 ka BP—the oldest radiocarbon date post-dating the LGM on the shelf [54]. Foraminiferal assemblages and radiocarbon dates from a sediment core retrieved from the shelf off North Iceland show that relative warm Irminger sea-water had reached that area no later than 16.3 ka BP and that at about 15.7 ka BP (Table 1, 8–9) the strength of the palaeo-Irmingar Current was reduced and relatively cold water-masses characterized the environment until early Holocene times [18]. Off West Iceland both sediments and foraminiferal assemblages, dated to about 15.0 ka BP (Table 1, 10) indicate ice-distal conditions and immigrations of slope species onto the shelf there in association with relative warm Irminger sea-water [40]. Series of radiocarbon dates from a sediment core retrieved from the shelf off West Iceland [40], with a basal date of about 15.0 ka BP, have produced an age-depth model returning an age of about 15.6 ka BP for the earliest deglaciation and onset of deposition of marine sediments there [54]. Considering the general pattern of ocean currents and circulation around Iceland [81] it is evident that when warm sea-water reached the waters off North Iceland it was already west off Iceland and probably all around the island.

Subsequently to the arrival of warm Atlantic sea-water around Iceland the ice sheet started to retreat and according to radiocarbon dated marine shells from the Melrakkaslétta peninsula in Northeast Iceland (Fig. 1), ML shorelines at 50–60 m a.s.l. were formed at about 14.8 ka BP (Table 1, 11) and at that time the shelf off Northeast Iceland must have been ice free [54, 62]. In West Iceland, marine shells and a whalebone have yielded dates for two broadly synchronous ML shorelines at about 150 and 105 m a.s.l, respectively, some 20 km apart. At Stóri-Sandhóll and Stóra-Fellsöxl, shells and whalebone, respectively, date the ML to about 14.7 ka BP (Table 1, 12–15) [36]. Lloyd et al. [49] attributed an age of about 14.1 ka BP (Table 1, 16) to a ML shoreline at about 80 m a.s.l. in Northwest Iceland. Formation of these highly elevated ML shorelines show that when the shorelines were formed there prevailed a temporal equilibrium between the rate of glacio-isostatic uplift and that of RESL rise.

By comparing the time for onset of initial deglaciation of the Iceland shelf to the age of ML shorelines, the shelf areas seem to have been totally deglaciated during a time span of about 300 years (between 15.0 and 14.7 ka BP). Syvitski et al. [77] suggested that the dominant ablation mode was calving rather than melting. During this time RESL was continuously rising [21, 45, 46]. Ingólfsson and Norðdahl [36] tentatively suggested that floating and destabilization of the marine based part of the IIS led to its collapse and rapid disappearance from the shelf around Iceland. Following a temporal near glacio-isostatic equilibrium and formation of ML shorelines at about 14.7 ka BP, the IIS reacted to an ongoing climatic improvement, melted and retreated into the interior parts of Iceland. Estimated age of subareal lava flows and lava capped tuyas in Northeast Iceland [48, 78] indicate that the IIS had been reduced to about 25–20 % of its LGM-size at about 13.8 ka BP [55, 56]. The relative sea level (RSL) history of Iceland is fairly well known, and constrained by numerous 14C dates (Fig. 2). It reveals exceptionally rapid isostatic responses to changes in glacial loading and unloading during the deglaciation of Iceland.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Development of RSL changes based on data from West Iceland. Modified from Ingólfsson et al. [37], Norðdahl and Pétursson [54], Norðdahl et al. [56] and Pétursson et al. [63]

Materials and methods

The highly elevated ML shorelines formed during the early stages of the last deglaciation of Iceland and the early Holocene depletion of glacio-isostatic uplift [54, 72] bear witness to highly sensitive interaction between changes in loading and unloading of the crust, physical properties of the crust (lithosphere) and the asthenosphere underneath Iceland. Below, we account for some of these properties and factors controlling the rate of glacio-isostatic uplift and subsidence of the crust and what has controlled the rate of changes in the mass balance of the IIS during its last deglaciation, i.e., changes in loading and unloading of the crust.

Lithospheric and asthenospheric properties below Iceland

Vertical crustal deformation—isostatic uplift and subsidence—is known to have progressed at very high rates in Iceland because asthenospheric material could readily flow from or towards a centre of loading and unloading [72], Ingólfsson and Norðdahl [36, 54]. Rates of glacio-isostatic uplift and subsidence are controlled by the rate of loading and unloading of the crust, i.e., the mass balance of the ice sheet, and by the physical properties of the lithosphere and the asthenosphere below Iceland. Rheological structure of Iceland has been determined by seismology, and by magnetotelluric and GPS surveys that together have revealed a layered structure of the lithosphere [64]. First, there is about 4 km thick brittle and laterally variable upper crust underlain by about 8 km thick elastic lower crust, and then another about 8 km thick ductile and laterally more uniform layer [22, 64]. The asthenosphere below Iceland is about 200 km thick with relatively low viscosity that enables it to flow at high velocities (e.g. [4, 22, 73]). High rates of glacio-isostatic adjustments in Iceland are, therefore, explained by rapid deglaciation, thickness and physical properties of the lowermost crust possibly with high fraction of partial melt [64], and viscosity of plastically deformable asthenosphere, or thickness of the crust. Bjarnason and Schmeling [6] have shown that both crust and lithosphere are thinner in West Iceland compared with e.g. Northwest and East Iceland. Different altitudes of ML shorelines in these parts of Iceland could possibly be explained by these differences in crustal structure.

Previous glacio-isostatic studies and modelling have returned asthenospheric viscosity estimates of 1–2 × 1018 Pa s [22], 4–10 × 1018 Pa s [58], and 1 × 1019 Pa s [4]—below a 10–30 km thick elastic lithosphere. Pagli et al. [58] reported recent uplift rates in reaction to the ongoing thinning of Icelandic glaciers between +9 and +25 mm a−1 and Árnadóttir et al. [4] as high as +23 mm a−1. Recently, an uplift rate of some +35 mm a−1 has been reported for northwestern Vatnajökull [15]. Viscosity values as low as 5 × 1017 Pa s for the asthenosphere below Vatnajökull were proposed by Sjöberg et al. [73] in order to explain discrepancies between observed and predicted uplift rate as high as +19 mm a−1. These modern uplift rates are regarded as very high compared to uplift rates in areas with different lithospheric and asthenospheric rheology. It is important in this context to underline that the very rapid deglaciation of the IIS and unloading of the crust were occurring at about the same rate, generating very high rates of uplift and flow of asthenospheric material towards the centre of uplift. Radiocarbon dated relative sea level curves and ages of ML shorelines help understanding rates of uplift during the deglaciation. In Reykjavík, Southwest Iceland, a maximum uplift rate of about +46 mm a−1 occurred between 12.0 and 10.7 ka BP [37]. In Northwest Iceland (Breiðafjörður) Lloyd et al. [49] showed that an early deglacial (Bølling–Allerød) uplift progressed at a rate of about +56 mm a−1 between 14.1 and 13.3 ka BP. Early Holocene uplift rate of about +107 mm a−1 has been shown for the Skagi peninsula in North Iceland between 11.5 and 11.3 ka BP [69], and in Berufjörður, East Iceland, glacio-isostatic uplift may have progressed at rates as high as +34 mm a−1 between 12.0 and 11.2 ka BP [53]. The yet highest known rate of uplift in Iceland commenced at about 14.7 ka BP and progressed at a minimum rate of about +159 mm a−1 until about 14.0 ka BP [54].

Thickness of a plastic ice sheet

To evaluate glacio-isostatic movements of the crust in post-LGM times, it is necessary to estimate the thickness of the ice sheet and the elevation of its surface at each time and location on a longitudinal profile between its edge and centre (Fig. 3). For that we have used the ice sheet returned by an Optimum LGM Experiment (OLE) of a three dimensional thermomechanical model of the LGM IIS [30, 31]. To reconstruct the LGM ice sheet we have used a best-fit-curve [logarithmic] to the modelled longitudinal profile (OLE) of the Icelandic LGM ice sheet (Fig. 3);

$$ {h_i = 584 \cdot \ln ({R_0 - r}) - 5153} $$
(1)

where h i is the glacier thickness; R 0 is the radius of the ice sheet; r is the distance from centre of the ice sheet. For comparison, we have also plotted two slightly different longitudinal profiles of a perfectly plastic ice sheet (Fig. 3) but with slightly different shear stresses (τ 0) at the base of the ice sheet according to Paterson [59] (Eq. 2) and Nye [57] (Eq. 3). These profiles are expressed as:

$$ {h_i = \sqrt {\frac{2\tau_0 }{\rho g}} \cdot \sqrt {R_0 - r} = 4.0 \cdot \sqrt {R_0 - r} } $$
(2)
$$ h_i = \sqrt {\frac{2\tau_0 }{\rho g}} \cdot \sqrt {R_0 - r} = 4.7 \cdot \sqrt {R_0 - r} $$
(3)

where h i , R 0 and r are as before; τ 0 is the ice sheet basal shear stress; ρ is the ice density; g is the acceleration of gravity.

Fig. 3
figure 3

A longitudinal profile (blue) for an optimum LGM Experiment (OLE) of a 3D thermomechanical model of the IIS [31] and a best-fit-curve to it (red) along a flowline above the Faxaflói bay between the Snæfellsnes and Reykjanesskagi peninsulas in Southwest Iceland (see the inserted map of Iceland). Two profiles (black and green) for a perfectly plastic ice sheet [57, 59] are shown for comparison with the profile from Hubbard et al. [31]. The modern landscape along this profile is obtained from a topographic map (1:750,000) and it is characterized by a broad shelf continuously rising from −350 m b.s.l. to about 700 m a.s.l. in the centre of Iceland and also by high coastal mountain (Mt. Skarðsheiði) and volcanoes (Mt. Eiríksjökull and Mt. Hrútfell) in the interior part of Iceland

Glacio-isostatic uplift and equilibrium

Our calculations of glacio-isostatic subsidence assume near isostatic equilibrium at all times during the post-LGM reduction of the ice sheet, and that equilibrium could be established in only tens of years rather than in hundreds of years. This assumption is, e.g., supported by Sigmundsson’s [71] results. He concluded that if a 1000 m thick ice sheet with a radius of 160 km was instantly removed from a 10 km thick crust with 1 × 1019 Pa s asthenosphere viscosity, the consequent glacio-isostatic uplift would be more or less depleted in little more than 400 years. For our calculations of a maximum glacio-isostatic subsidence beneath the centre of the ice sheet, we have used a simple equation (Eq. 4) from Gray [24] for the subsidence at glacio-isostatic equilibrium:

$$ D_{\hbox{max} } = H_i \cdot \frac{\rho_i }{{\rho_{\text{as}} }} $$
(4)

where D max is glacio-isostatic subsidence; H i is ice thickness; ρ i is density of ice and ρ as is asthenosphere density (3.370 Mg m−3, [38]). To calculate the glacio-isostatic subsidence at the edge of the ice sheet we have used an equation (Eq. 5) from Walcott [82] in Gray [24]:

$$ W_d = \frac{2H\rho_i }{{10({\rho_{\text{as}} - \rho_i })}} = \frac{H}{13.4} $$
(5)

where W d is depression at the ice margin; H is maximum surface elevation for a given ice sheet; ρ i and ρ as as before.

Eustasy-glacier volume and relative eustatic sea-level

The major cause of sea-level change over interglacial–glacial cycles is the exchange of water between ice and ocean and the crust’s dynamic response to the changing surface load [46], and during LGM ice volume maximum, RESL was some 120–130 m lower than today [21, 45, 61]. This lowering was equal to ice volume equivalent sea level as low as −140 to −134 m [45, 46]. The time and duration of the LGM (ice volume maximum) have been defined from about 29.0 ka BP and until about 21.0 ka BP when land-based glaciers started melting [13, 45, 46]. Between 16.5 and 8.2 ka BP RESL rose at an average rate of about +12.0 mm a−1 [46]. Mwp-1A (e.g. [8, 12, 21, 45, 46, 60]) is now understood to have started at about 14.5 ka BP and ended at about 14.0 ka BP with a maximum rate of RESL rise as high as +46.0 mm a−1 [16, 46]. In Younger Dryas times, between 12.5 and 11.5 ka BP, the rate of RESL rise was temporarily reduced. From 8.2 to about 2.5 ka BP ocean sea level rose at progressively reduced rate and reached its present position [46]. The approximate position of RESL is needed when evaluating the rate of glacio-isostatic adjustment during the deglaciation of Iceland, and the position of RESL at different occasions is determined by rates of RESL rise according to Lambeck et al. [45] at different times during the Late Weichselian.

Relative sea-level changes and formation of ML shorelines

Relative sea level is controlled by RESL and glacio-isostasy at given times and places, and for shorelines to be formed, littoral and sublittoral sediments to be accumulated, and marine organism to settle and thrive in such an environment, the rate of eustatic change has to be equal to the rate glacio-isostatic uplift, meaning that the rate of RSL change becomes equal to zero for a period of time. Rates of RESL changes were always positive with rising sea-level throughout the deglaciation. Both temporal and spacial variations in glacio-isostatic uplift rates were much greater and generally positive (uplifting) but locally and temporarily negative with subsiding crust. Together these two components—rates of RESL change and rates of glacio-isostatic uplift—determined highly variable rates of RSL change. This relationship can be express as:

$$ {R_{\text{RSL}} = R_{\text{Eu}} - R_{\text{Up}} = \frac{{\delta ({h_{\text{Eu}} }) - \delta ({h_{\text{Up}} })}}{ - \delta (t)}} $$
(6)

where R RSL is the rate of relative sea-level change, R EU is the rate of relative eustatic sea-level change, R Up is rate of glacio-isostatic uplift, h Eu and h Up are the vertical positions of RESL and raised shorelines at times t 1 and t 2. Solving this equation for different rates of RESL rise and glacio-isostatic uplift yields three principal results where:

$$ {\text{If}}\quad R_{\text{RSL}} <\,0 \to R_{\text{Up}} > R_{\text{Eu}} \quad {\text{Then}}\;{\text{we}}\;{\text{have}}\;{\text{regression}}\;{\text{of}}\;{\text{RSL}} $$
(6a)
$$ {\text{If}}\quad R_{\text{RSL}} \sim \, 0\to R_{\text{Up}} \sim \,R_{\text{Eu}} \quad {\text{Then}}\;{\text{we}}\;{\text{have}}\;{\text{formation}}\;{\text{of}}\;{\text{a}}\;{\text{shoreline}} $$
(6b)
$$ {\text{If}}\quad R_{\text{RSL}} > 0 \to R_{\text{Up}} < R_{\text{Eu}} \quad {\text{Then}}\;{\text{we}}\;{\text{have}}\;{\text{transgression}}\;{\text{of}}\;{\text{RSL}} $$
(6c)

These different results for rate of R RSL can also be expressed graphically and of special interest is the situation when R Up is close or equal to R Eu (Eq. 6b), i.e., when extensive shorelines were formed and temporarily the rate of RSL change was close or equal to zero (Fig. 4). Such plateaus (R RSL ~ 0) occurred when the rate of glacio-isostatic uplift was decreased to such a degree that it was about the same as the rate of RESL rise. There are basically three possible ways for such a situation to occur (Fig. 4): Firstly, during a period of an ongoing regression of RSL (R RSL < 0), rate of glacio-isostatic uplift was considerably but temporarily reduced to equal the rate of RESL rise (R RSL ~ 0). For that to occur glacier load on the local crust must have been stable (unchanged), i.e., an isostatic equilibrium prevailed for a period of time. Regression of RSL was resumed when glacier load on the crust was again reduced because of negative mass balance and retreat of the glaciers. Secondly, when glacio-isostatic equilibrium was reached due to stabilization of the glacier load which reduced the rate of glacio-isostatic uplift to equal to the rate of RESL rise, which again changed the rate of RSL change to a value close to zero (R RSL ~ 0) (Fig. 4). A subsequent transgression of RSL (R RSL < 0) could only occur through inversion of glacio-isostasy, i.e., when an ongoing uplift of the crust was reversed into subsidence caused by increased glacier loading on the crust due to positive mass balance and advance of the glaciers. Thirdly, when an isostatic equilibrium was reached, following a period of glacio-isostatic subsidence due to glacier growth and increased loading on the crust, an ongoing transgression of RSL (R RSL > 0) was temporarily brought to a halt (R RSL ~ 0) (Fig. 4). The subsequent regression of RSL (R RSL < 0) was caused by renewed and relatively rapid glacio-isostatic uplift that in turn was caused by reduced glacier load due to negative mass-balance of the glaciers in early Holocene times (Fig. 4).

Fig. 4
figure 4

A conceptual diagram for relative sea-level (RSL) changes emphasizes that shorelines are more likely to be formed when the rate of glacio-isostatic uplift is about equal to the rate of RESL rise, i.e., when the rate of RSL change is equal to zero. Such a situation arises when (1) an ongoing rate of glacio-isostatic uplift is reduced to equal the rate of RESL rise, (2) when the rate of positive glacio-isostatic uplift becomes negative, and (3) when the rate of negative glacio-isostatic uplift becomes positive

Climatic development around the North Atlantic Ocean

The NGRIP ice cores retrieved from the Greenland ice sheet have been analyzed for variations in stable oxygen isotope (18O/16O) ratios, expressed as δ18O ‰, which reflect changes in the isotopic composition of both the evaporated sea water and the precipitation up on top of the Greenland ice sheet. Changes in δ18O ‰ values in the NGRIP ice cores can be used as an indirect proxy for climatic changes and have been correlated with concurrent temperature variations in the North Atlantic Region. Here we use the δ18O curve from the NGRIP ice cores with the GICC05 chronology [65] as a proxy for comparing general development of North Atlantic climate with rapid changes in extent of the Icelandic ice sheet during the Late Weichselian—between 19.0 and 11.0 ka BP (Fig. 5).

Fig. 5
figure 5

Variations in stable oxygen isotope (18O/16O) ratios in the NGRIP ice-core (expressed as δ18O ‰) between 11.0 and 19.0 ka BP with the GICC05 (Greenland Ice Core Chronology 2005) chronology [65]. Important dates and events in the history of the IIS are marked on the graph

Land-based glaciers started melting about 21.0 ka BP with a subsequent rise of RESL [46] and generally increased δ18O ‰ values for the NGRIP ice cores reflecting variable but a slow and continuous improvement of the climate until shortly after 15.0 ka BP when an abrupt rise in the δ18O ‰ values occurred and culminated at about 14.5 ka BP (Fig. 5). The initial deglaciation of the shelf off Northwest Iceland and arrival of warm sea water off North Iceland fall within this period of improved climate and with the collapse of the IIS occurring just before the onset of the Early Bølling dramatic climatic improvement at about 14.7 ka BP. From that time onward, the δ18O ‰ values decreased during the Bølling–Allerød interstadial and reached a temporary minimum 12.6 ka BP. The Younger Dryas cold spell is reflected by the slowly increasing δ18O ‰ values between 12.6 and 11.7 ka BP when there again was an abrupt increase in the δ18O ‰ values leading the Early Holocene climatic improvement (Fig. 5).

Results

Earlier research efforts on the areal extent of the IIS have focused on describing and dating its LGM extent on the shelf (Fig. 1), its retreat from the shelf, formation of ML shorelines, and subsequent re-advances. By combining our understanding of Late Weichselian changes in the extent and thickness of the IIS with reconstruction of concurrent glacio-isostatic behavior of the Iceland crust and RESL rise we explain the collapse of the ice sheet, and how and why rapid uplift of the crust could temporarily be brought to a halt (isostatic equilibrium) allowing formation of ML shorelines and accumulation of related fossiliferous sediments.

Below, we present a conceptual two dimensional glacio-isostatic equilibrium model that describes the effect of simultaneous glacio-isostatic responses to changes in glacier load on the crust and RESL changes for a few important periods (time slices) in the history of the Late Weichselian IIS along a profile above the Faxaflói bay between the Snæfellsnes and Reykjanesskagi peninsulas in Southwest Iceland, from the edge of the Iceland shelf to the interior of the island (Fig. 3). The high coastal mountain Mt. Skarðsheiði (1000 m) and two high interior mountains, Mt. Eiríksjökull (1675 m a.s.l.) and Mt. Hrútfell (1400 m a.s.l.) (Fig. 3) were covered by the LGM ice sheet and the profile demonstrates the considerable effect of glacio-isostatic subsidence during the LGM.

The LGM (24.4–18.6 ka BP)

Radiocarbon dates from the Iceland shelf and the Reykjanes peninsula constrain the duration of the maximum extent of the IIS to a period of some 6000 years, between 24.3 and 18.6 ka BP, which compares well with a Northern Hemisphere LGM ice volume maximum [13, 45]. The areal extent of the LGM ice sheet covering Iceland and the shelf at that time is roughly constrained by marine geological data and bathymetry (Fig. 1) but the best estimate of its thickness is obtained from Hubbard [30] and Hubbard et al. [31]. The LGM IIS had an estimated surface area of 3.29 × 105 km2 and volume of about 3.09 × 105 km3, while its average and maximum thicknesses were 940 and >2000 m, respectively. Longitudinal profile of the LGM ice sheet is obtained by using a best-fit-curve (Eq. 1) to the modelled OLE surface of the ice sheet (Figs. 3, 6) [31].

Fig. 6
figure 6

The LGM (24.4–18.6 ka BP)—longitudinal equilibrium profile of the LGM ice sheet along a flow line between the edge of the shelf and the interior of West Iceland, based on a best-fit-curve (Fig. 3) to the modelled OLE surface of the ice sheet [31], with the surface of the crust lowered to a glacio-isostatic equilibrium. During LGM the glacio-isostatic subsidence was about −165 m at the edge of the ice sheet, −480 m in the centre of the shelf, and −570 m at the present-day coastline. At the same time the interior was subsided by about −600 m. With RESL some −125 m below present sea level, about 65 % of the Icelandic ice sheet was marine based in West Iceland

The load exerted onto the crust below the IIS resulted in considerable glacio-isostatic subsidence (Eqs. 4, 5); about −165 m at the edge and as much as −600 m below the centre of the ice sheet. Accordingly, Mt. Skarðsheiði—the high coastal mountain in West Iceland—was isostatically lowered by about −575 m and covered by about 1000 m of ice. At LGM the interior mountains were lowered by about −600 m and covered by about 700 and 1000 m of ice, respectively (Fig. 6). The shelf areas were also isostatically depressed, with the present-day coastline (±0 m a.s.l.) isostatically subsided by about −570 m, which resulted in a shelf with its deepest part little less than halfway between the edge of the shelf and Mt. Skarðsheiði, causing an up-gradient flow of the basal part of the LGM ice sheet there (Fig. 6). Since the IIS at LGM was crossing a retrograde bedrock slope on the shelf, it was susceptible to the marine ice sheet instability mechanisms as grounding lines can be unstable on reverse bed slopes [20, 26, 70, 83]. This probably contributed significantly to reduced ice-bed coupling, grounding line retreat and calving once deglaciation set in.

The LGM position of RESL is generally considered to have been about 120–130 m lower than the present sea level, when hydro-isostatic variations have been taken into consideration [21, 45, 61]. Here we keep the LGM sea-level at −125 m b.s.l. until the beginning of RESL rise at 21.0 ka BP which produces relative water depths between 360 and 550 m on the shelf off West Iceland (Fig. 6). The OLE experiment [30, 31] produced an ice sheet where substantial proportion (~63 %) of it was grounded below LGM sea-level (Figs. 1, 6); thus, it was most likely sensitive to changes in the marine environment such as sudden sea-level rises (meltwater pulses) and increased sea water temperatures. A radiocarbon dated basal sample from a sediment core retrieved from the shelf off Northwest Iceland [3] indicates that at about 18.6 ka BP the Icelandic LGM ice sheet had started retreating from that part of the shelf.

The collapse (15.0–14.7 ka BP)

The shelf off West Iceland was rapidly deglaciated during a period of about 300 years [36], between about 15.0 ka BP, when the Icelandic ice sheet retreated from Jökuldjúp [40] and about 14.7 ka BP, when the ML shoreline was formed at the Stóri-Sandhóll locality in West Iceland [36] (Fig. 7). The deglaciation was so sudden that it is best described as a collapse of the marginal parts of the ice sheet. The IIS had already started retreating off Northwest Iceland at about 18.6 ka BP [3], and between this initial retreat and the collapse of the marine portion at about 15.0 ka BP the mass-balance of the ice sheet must have been changed from near equilibrium (LGM) to clearly negative with considerable loss of ice mass, probably through calving [77].

Fig. 7
figure 7

The collapse (15.0–14.7 ka BP)—a marine based but grounded glacier rampart formed during continuous ablation and thinning of the ice sheet between 18.6 and 15.0 ka BP changing the LGM equilibrium profile into a distinctive concave surface profile. The thinning of the ice sheet caused a considerable glacio-isostatic uplift of the crust below the glacier rampart, preventing it from being turned into a floating ice shelf. At the time of collapse the coastal mountain Mt. Skarðsheiði may have protruded up through the glacier surface. The HU 93030-006 LCF core [40] on the outer shelf and the Stóri-Sandhóll ML locality [36], about 100 km apart, were deglaciated during a period of about 300 years. At that moment and according to a 2D glacio-isostatic equilibrium model the ML shoreline in Stóri-Sandhóll was just about on height with RESL

This change in mass-balance probably was broadly controlled by warming of the climate and the ocean. The overall climatic development in the North Atlantic Region between about 18.6 and 15.0 ks BP is reflected in low and variable but slowly increasing δ18O values in the NGRIP ice core (Fig. 5), indicating rather cold and harsh but slowly improving climatic conditions up to the time of the collapse of the IIS. A somewhat more sudden and possibly more dramatic impact on the marine environment around the IIS occurred at about 16.3 ka BP, when relatively warm Irminger sea water suddenly reached the shelf off North Iceland [18] (Fig. 5). Considering present ocean-current configuration around Iceland, Irminger sea water must have reached the shelf area off West Iceland at about 16.3 ka BP. Between 18.6 and 15.0 ka BP, RESL rose by about 22 m, at an average rate of about +6.3 mm a−1. About 2/3 of the RESL rise occurred during the last 1/4 of the time, between 16.0 and 15.0 ka BP, at an average rate of about +15.0 mm a−1. This high rate of RESL rise, thus, occurred just before the onset of the Mwp-1A at about 14.5 ka BP [16, 44, 46].

For the IIS to collapse, i.e., to disappear more or less simultaneously from the shelf and coastal parts of West Iceland, it could not undergo a normal frontal retreat (ablation) preserving the parabolic form of an equilibrium longitudinal surface profile. Instead, the ablation (deglaciation) must have changed the parabolic surface profile towards, and subsequently into, a distinctive concave surface profile of a grounded glacier rampart and an over-steepened ice stream behind it (Fig. 7). Such an extensive draw down of the marginal part of the IIS must have increased the flow-velocity of an already fast flowing ice stream [31], such as the one draining western parts of the IIS along Faxaflói, across coring site for 93030 LCF [40] in Jökuldjúp close to the edge of the shelf there, more than 100 km west off the Stóri-Sandhóll ML locality (Fig. 7). Hubbard [30] pointed out that the marine based ice sheet was very sensitive to sea-level changes and he also emphasized the importance of marginal processes that probably accounted for the best part of the mass wasting, notably by intensive calving at the margin of the ice sheet. During its 3600 years of initial deglaciation and formation of a grounded glacier rampart the IIS delivered about 600 km3 a−1 of ice and freshwater into the North Atlantic Ocean [31]. Between 18.6 and 15.0 ka BP flow of ice and freshwater from the Icelandic ice sheet was temporarily increased on an average by about 20 km3 a−1. The thinning of the parabolic ice sheet successively produced about 400 m thick glacier rampart that was grounded in about 350 m deep water when the crust below the rampart was at glacio-isostatic equilibrium with the ice load produced by the glacier rampart (Fig. 7). Although calving most likely was the dominant ablation mode, calving or floatation of the glacier rampart could not occur unless it became even thinner. The existence of such a glacier rampart at the western margin of the IIS explains how the Jökuldjúp coring site and the Stóri-Sandhóll ML locality could remain ice covered until about 15.0 ka BP, when the glacier rampart collapsed and these two locations became ice free during a period of about 300 years.

At the beginning of the collapse the thickness of the glacier rampart (Fig. 7) must have been reduced to such a degree that the effectiveness of its hydrostatic pressure barrier [7, 51, 68] was severely reduced and eventually breached allowing sea water to penetrate between the base of the glacier rampart and the sea floor, hence floating the rampart and transforming it into a calving ice shelf. At that stage, the marginal part of the IIS was more receptive than before to increased rate of RESL rise and increased temperature of sea water reaching the margin of the ice sheet and accelerating its rate of ablation. Ultimately, we suggest that these environmental changes caused the collapse of the marine based marginal part of the IIS and its swift removal from the shelf area between 15.0 and 14.7 ka BP. A 2D glacio-isostatic equilibrium model for such an over-steepened ice sheet produces a situation of a glacio-isostatic equilibrium for the underlying crust with the Stóri-Sandhóll ML locality just below the RESL at that time (Fig. 7). It has been argued [36] that the collapse of the IIS was driven by rising RESL. Given the standard error of radiocarbon dates, Mwp-1A occurring between 14.5 and 14.0 ka BP with RESL rising at a rate as high as +46.0 mm a−1 [16], and the collapse of marine based parts of the IIS roughly coincide in time. The onset of Mwp-1A coincides with the formation of the ML shoreline and accumulation of fine grained fossiliferous sublittoral sediments capped with littoral gravel sediments now reaching about 150 m a.s.l. and dated to about 14.7 ka BP at Stóri-Sandhóll in West Iceland [36] (Figs. 2, 5).

The early Bølling Marine Limit (14.8–14.5 ka BP)

The 150 m ML shoreline at Stóri-Sandhóll was formed when the IIS retreated across and eventually behind the present coastline in West Iceland. Two samples of more or less intact individuals of Balanus ssp. collected from the sublittoral sediments in Stóri-Sandhóll have returned an average age of about 14.7 ka BP for the formation of the ML shoreline there [36]. A whalebone recovered from coarse grained foreset beds of a littoral delta at the east end of Mt. Akrafjall has also been dated to about 14.7 ka BP. Littoral sediments at about 125 m a.s.l below the southern slopes of Mt. Skarðsheiði have tentatively been correlated with the dated ML shorelines at Mt. Akrafjall and Stóri-Sandhóll [36, 50, 54]. The age of the 3 dated samples collected from these two localities is statistically the same at a 95 % (±2σ) probability level with a weighted mean age of about 14.7 ka BP (Table 1, 15).

In the lower Borgarfjörður area, there are in total 14 radiocarbon dated samples that stratigraphically belong to a marine phase dated between 14.8 and 13.7 ka BP (Table 1, 12–14, 17–27) (Fig. 8). Six of these dates were obtained from the Ásbakkar diamicton, a glaciomarine facies association and the earliest marine phase in the area [3335], three of the 14 samples were collected from sublittoral sediments, thus directly dating the formation of the ML shoreline and five samples were collected from marine sediments that have been correlated with the earliest Late Weichselian marine phase (Fig. 8). Ordering these dates in accenting age reveals an interval with no dated samples between 14.5 and 14.0 ka BP (Fig. 8), dividing the 14 samples in two groups; a group of older samples (between 14.8 and 14.5 ka BP) and a group of younger samples (between 14.0 and 13.7 ka BP). The older 7 samples turn out to be statistically of the same age at a 95 % probability level (±2σ) with a weighted mean age of about 14.6 ka BP, representing a period of about 365 years for the ML situation in West Iceland, while the younger samples clearly demonstrate that the early Bølling marine environment (the Ásbakkar diamicton) existed at least until about 13.7 ka BP (Fig. 8).

Fig. 8
figure 8

The age of the 14 oldest dated samples of marine shells and a whalebone from West Iceland plotted against an arbitrary x axis reveal two groups of ages; an older one and a younger one covering a period of about 365 and 290 years, respectively. These groups are separated by a period of some 500 years without dates. The oldest and youngest dates are bracketing the duration of an Early Bølling marine environment in West Iceland. The dates are from Ingólfsson [34, 35], Magnúsdóttir and Norðdahl [50], and Ingólfsson and Norðdahl [36]

For about 365 years glacio-isostatic uplift and rise of RESL must have been progressing at about the same rate, allowing formation of a shoreline in accordance with Eq. (6b) and Fig. 4. For a balanced ice sheet (Fig. 9), the 2D glacio-isostatic equilibrium model produces a situation with the Stóri-Sandhóll ML locality positively (upwardly) offset by about 90 m, a discrepancy that supports the concept of an over-steepened ice sheet during the ML shoreline phase in West Iceland. A modelling attempt of the collapse situation (Fig. 7) returns a ML locality some 45 m below the RESL, a difference showing that a near equilibrium must have been prevailing between glacio-isostatic uplift and rise of RESL. The Mwp-1A was at that time progressing at a rate as high as +46 mm a−1 [16] and the rate of glacio-isostatic uplift must, therefore, have been close to or equal to that rate, which is quite high when compared with present-day maximum uplift rate of about +35 mm a−1 [15] but rather low when compared with maximum Icelandic deglacial uplift rates being as high as +159 mm a−1 [54]. Such an imbalance (lagging) in glacio-isostatic uplift was most likely caused by the extremely rapid removal of the ice sheet from the shelf area while the load of an over-steepened glacier in the coastal area was reduced at much lower rate, thus hampering glacio-isostatic recovery and allowing the ML shoreline situation to prevail during a period of about 365 years.

Fig. 9
figure 9

The early Bølling Marine Limit (14.8–14.5 ka BP)—a balanced ice-sheet profile with an underlying crust at glacio-isostatic equilibrium in West Iceland with the Stóri-Sandhóll ML locality upwardly offset by about 90 m. This discrepancy shows that the glacier load on the crust there must have been greater during the ML shoreline phase there (Fig. 8)

The formation of the Stóri-Sandhóll ML shoreline, the duration of the rapid Mwp-1A and the reduced rate of glacio-isostatic uplift coincides in time with the onset of the extremely swift early Bølling warming as it appears in the NGRIP δ18O isotope curve [65] (Fig. 5). Towards the end of this relatively short period of time, the rate of glacio-isostatic uplift must have been increased relative to the rate of RESL rise, inducing a slow relative regression of RSL and, thus, the formation of the marine terraces at levels below the 150 m level east of the Stóri-Sandhóll locality in West Iceland [36].

A Late Weichselian minimum glacier extent (13.8 ka BP)

The Ásbakkar diamicton [34, 35] represents the earliest Late Weichselian marine event in West Iceland. It is constrained by radiocarbon dates to the Bølling chronozone and prevailed at least until about 13.7 ka BP when RSL regressed below present sea level. An erosional contact (hiatus) between the Ásbakkar diamicton and the Ás beds,—a succeeding lithostratigraphic unit in the Melabakkar-Ásbakkar coastal cliffs—shows that RSL regressed at least below that contact, which is situated just a few metres above present sea level [34, 35, 54]. Data from West Iceland show that RSL most likely reached its deglacial minimum between 13.7 and 13.4 ka BP (Figs. 2, 5) when it was lowered down to or below present sea level there, yielding a rate of glacio-isostatic uplift somewhere between +130 and +230 mm a−1. This early Bølling accelerated rate of glacio-isostatic uplift and consequent fast regression of RSL signifies that the IIS had regained an equilibrium longitudinal profile and that the ice sheet was reacting to the Bølling climatic improvement and rapidly retreating towards the interior of Iceland (Figs. 10, 11). This period of rapid retreat coincides in time with Greenland Interstadial 1 (GI-1), between about 14.7–12.9 ka BP [66], where the warmth peaked at 14.7 and 14.6 ka BP (during GI-1e). According to numerical modelling of the Icelandic ice sheet (Hubbard pers. comm., 2005, [31]) it reached its minimum at about 13.8 ka BP, notably when RSL and glacier load and rate of glacio-isostatic uplift all were at temporary minima. At that time, based on 2D glacio-isostatic equilibrium modelling of the IIS, it was about 1400 m thick with a surface altitude close to 2000 m a.s.l. and a glacier load that suppressed the crust by about −390 m underneath the centre of the ice sheet and about −108 m at the edge while the coastal area and Mt. Skarðsheiði were fully uplifted and at a glacio-isostatic equilibrium (Fig. 10). With RESL at about −85 m b.s.l. the coastline was at that time situated as far as 20 km outside the present-day coastline, a situation that only lasted for a very short period of time before a transgression of RSL was initiated.

Fig. 10
figure 10

The Late Weichselian minimum glacier extent (13.8 ka BP)—according to the 3D thermomechanical modelling of the IIS (Hubbard pers. comm. 2005, [31]) the IIS was at its minimum at about 13.8 ka BP. At that time the crust in and off coastal West Iceland was fully uplifted while it was still subsided by about 390 m below the centre of the ice sheet

Fig. 11
figure 11

Configuration of the IIS at LGM, based on empirical data (e.g. [63]) and modelling, the minimum Bølling–Allerød extent and the culmination of the YD re-advance [31]

Summary and discussions

Recent studies and our 2D glacio-isostatic equilibrium model have highlighted the dynamics of the IIS since LGM:

  • At LGM, the volume of the IIS has been calculated to be about 3.09 × 105 km3 and the load exerted onto the crust below the IIS resulted in glacio-isostatic subsidence of about 165 m at its outer edge on the shelf and as much as 600 m below the centre of the ice sheet. The LGM ice sheet was crossing a retrograde bedrock slope on the shelf, making it susceptible to marine ice sheet instability mechanisms as it retreated under conditions of high RSL. The retreat from the maximum position was initially slow, starting some 18.6 ka BP, but the shelf areas were still largely ice covered until 15.0 ka BP.

  • The marine-based section of the IIS collapsed through extremely rapid calving between 15.0 and 14.7 ka BP. The shelf deglaciation was abrupt and by 14.7 ka BP the ice sheet had lost about 60 % of its LGM volume, or about 1.86 × 105 km3. The ML in West Iceland, at 150 m a.s.l., was formed during a more than 300 yearlong interval of equilibrium between RESL rise and isostatic uplift, when the IIS retreated to a position within the present coastline. Radiocarbon dates constrain the formation of the ML shoreline between 14.8 and 14.5 ka BP.

  • The collapse of the marine-based section of the IIS probably caused a pulse of ice rafted debris (IRD) to the surrounding oceans, and a number of studies show rapid increase in North Atlantic IRD around 15.0 ka BP (e.g. [19, 74]). Andrews [2] stated that a very rapid retreat of the IIS from the Icelandic shelf areas, which he dated to 16.0–15.0 ka BP, was reflected in increased IRD of Icelandic provenance in the Denmark Strait, and Geirsdóttir et al. [23] suggested that IRD peak in cores retrieved off Northwest Iceland reflected rapid deglaciation there between 15.0 and 14.6 ka BP. Andrews [2] concluded that the IIS was only an important contributor to IRD in regions close to Iceland itself, and it has been shown that proportion of IRD derived from volcanic rocks clearly decreases with increasing distance from Iceland [25, 80].

  • Sea level exerts control on ice sheets (e.g. [17, 42]) and a collapse of a marine-based ice sheet segment was not unique for the IIS. Landvik et al. [47] and Jakobsson et al. [39] outlined a very rapid disintegration of the marine-based Svalbard-Barents Sea ice sheet between 16.0 and 11.2 ka BP, and suggested that initial deglaciation of the Barents Sea coincided with, and was likely triggered by, rising global eustatic sea levels (c.f. [47, 85]). Hormes et al. [29] showed that the rapid deglaciation of the Svalbard inner shelf areas, between 15.0 and 14.0 ka BP, coincided with Mwp-1A, and that the collapse there occurred on a decadal to centennial time scale.

  • Once inside the present coast, continued retreat of the IIS was controlled by rapid North Atlantic warming. The ice sheet reached its minimum Late Weichselian size at about 13.8 ka BP, when it is calculated to have contained about 0.62 × 105 km3 of ice. The ice sheet had, thus, lost about 80 % of its LGM volume by 13.8 ka BP.

  • The extremely rapid (+130 to +230 mm a−1) isostatic rebound in response to the down-wasting of the ice sheet caused a rapid regression, with RSL falling below present sea level by 13.7 ka BP. With RESL at about −85 m below present sea level the coastline was at that time situated as far as 20 km outside the present-day coastline.

The sequence of events during the deglaciation of Iceland highlights important causal links and complex feedbacks in the interplay between the IIS, climate, sea-level changes and isostatic adjustments:

  • It agrees with the concept of marine-based ice sheet instability, where a combination of rapid RESL rise and ice sheet retreating on retrograde slope on the outer shelf could destabilize the ice sheet during the first phase of deglaciation.

  • The deglaciation of IIS was characterized by three steps: (1) slow deglaciation of the outer shelf, progressing between about 18.0–15.0 ka BP, mainly driven by sea-level rise and grounding line retreat on a retrograde slope; (2) an extremely rapid retreat from the mid-inner shelf areas between 15.0 and 14.7 ka BP, mainly driven by rapid sea-level rise and large-scale calving; (3) a slower retreat driven by North Atlantic warming once the ice sheet was inside the coast, between 14.7 and 13.8 ka BP.

  • The period between LGM and 13.8 ka BP was a transition between two relatively steady states of the IIS: a maximum state (where the ice sheet was in balance with climate and RESL), and a minimum state (once the ice sheet was inside the coast and reacting to mass-balance changes controlled by climate). The tipping point that led to rapid collapse of the ice sheet over the shelf areas and transition between these states was rapid rise in RESL that peaked during Mwp-1A.

Ice–ocean interaction is acknowledged to drive much of the recent increase in mass loss from both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets [42], primarily through forcing by increased ocean temperature. Although RESL forcing is presently quite slow compared with potential rates of forcing by oceanic warming [1, 5], rapid rise in RESL probably contributed significantly to the collapse of marine-based sections of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets during Termination 1 [10, 32]. The collapse of the IIS between 15.0 and 14.7 ka BP does not confirm with linear response to warming, but rather describes non-linear response, where the ice sheet experiences an abrupt collapse once a threshold defined by RESL is crossed. We propose that the rapid RESL rise peaking during Mwp-1A and being concurrent with the collapse of the IIS strongly suggest a causal relationship between the two events. Our modelling and data supports the tentative suggestion of Ingólfsson and Norðdahl [36] that rapid sea-level rise destabilized the IIS and led to its collapse.