Abstract
Racial and ethnic segregation in U.S. metropolitan areas contributes to the existence of neighborhood poverty, with segregation typically conceptualized as occurring between central city and suburban neighborhoods due to the racially exclusive nature of suburbanization through much of the twentieth century. However, increasing suburbanization across race, ethnicity and socioeconomic status since around 1970 has complicated the spatial structure of residential inequalities among metropolitan areas. In this study, I assess how patterns of racial and ethnic inequality in exposure to neighborhood poverty changed across urban and suburban locations since 1980, and I investigate how different dimensions of segregation by race and ethnicity correspond to worsened racial and ethnic inequality in exposure to disadvantaged neighborhoods in urban as well as suburban areas. To study differences between suburbs, I contribute a novel approach for measuring suburban neighborhoods based on their density, housing stock age and overall degree of development. Results demonstrate how the conventional city-suburb dichotomy masks substantial differences between suburbs in (a) Black, Latino and White exposure to neighborhood disadvantage and (b) the degree to which patterns of segregation by race and ethnicity exacerbate Black–White and Latino–White inequalities in exposure to suburban neighborhood disadvantage. Black–White segregation exacerbates Black exposure to neighborhood poverty across space, especially in cities and older suburbs, while Latino–White segregation worsens Latino exposure to poor neighborhoods in cities as well as farther-flung rural and exurban areas.
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Notes
219 of these metropolitan areas were observed in all 5 time periods, while 12 smaller metropolitan areas were only observed four times because data was not available for 1980. For most metropolitan areas, tract data permits creating a set of consistently defined neighborhoods with only slight variation over time in the number of neighborhoods contributing to a segregation measure or neighborhood poverty exposure summary. In some metropolitan areas, there was a non-trivial increase in tract coverage between 1980 and the other periods. For example, the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA metropolitan area has about 100 more rural tracts for the 1990 through 2014–2018 ACS. Results were substantively similar when only using 1990 through the 2014–2018 ACS.
When clustering binary data, Jaccard distance is a commonly used alternative that ignores matching negatives (Finch 2005). Shared negative values are less informative when the binary covariates are 1000 rare events, and the simple matching distance would show high degrees of similarity for two cases with only 1 or 2 positives even if they share no common measures. However, in the present case, the positive values are neither rare nor expected to be more informative than the negatives. In other words, I intend for two tracts outside of the central city (i.e., matching values of 0) to contribute the same information to these neighborhoods’ overall comparability as two tracts being inside the central city (i.e., matching values of 1).
Results from these regression models and a brief interpretation are available in “Appendix 2”.
One concern with the dissimilarity index is that it can be sensitive to the presence of groups beyond the two being considered. In the present case, the growing racial and ethnic diversity within metropolitan areas presents a potential problem when looking at change in dissimilarity indices over time. The results of this study are consistent when the Segregation Index (S) is used to operationalize evenness in a manner that avoids this issue, but I present results using the dissimilarity index for comparability with previous research.
Since my primary interest with these models is the marginal effect of segregation on within-metropolitan differences in neighborhood poverty exposure, it is not essential to use a non-linear model (Papke and Wooldridge 2008), I accordingly estimate the within-unit association between segregation and neighborhood poverty exposure rates using a linear model.
Across all models, I use heteroskedatsticity-consistent (HC3) standard errors for coefficient testing, and in fixed effect models I cluster standard errors by metropolitan area in order to account for the serial correlation of observations over time (Long and Ervin 2000).
Regression coefficient tables for these models are available in “Appendix 3”.
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Acknowledgements
Partial support for this research came from a Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development research infrastructure Grant, P2C HD042828, to the Center for Studies in Demography & Ecology at the University of Washington.
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Appendices
Appendix 1: Additional Information About Hierarchical Clustering with Spatial Constraints
Using a spatial weights matrix that indicates which tracts are contiguous to other tracts, hierarchical clustering with spatial constraints seeks to maximize the homogeneity within clusters (on the sociodemographic measures) while limiting the solutions to those that maximize spatial homogeneity (i.e. contiguity of units into regions). The net result of this approach is that the spatial constraint reduces bumpiness or “checkerboarding” across space while preserving the derived clustering’s average composition on the sociodemographic measures of interest.
After matrices of distances in terms of sociodemographic measures and actual space are computed, the next step is to use an algorithm that uses a specific decision rule for determining how to cluster each case from the “bottom up”. The method of hierarchical clustering with spatial constraints introduced by Chavent et al. (2018) uses Ward’s method for this process. With each unit starting as its own cluster at first, Ward’s method then iteratively combines two existing clusters based on merging the pair that results in the smallest increase in the resulting clusters’ sum of squared variance. This method is useful for the present case because these clusters are accordingly compact (low variance) across the sociodemographic covariates of interest, in addition to being compact in terms of forming contiguous regions.
Ward’s method requires a single matrix of distances, so hierarchical clustering with spatial constraints accordingly uses a mixing parameter \(\lambda \) to determine the relative contribution of sociodemographic and spatial distances used with Ward’s method. Estimating an optimal \(\lambda \) value requires searching for the value with the greatest improvement in spatial homogeneity relative to lost sociodemographic homogeneity. I extract four clusters from the resulting dendrogram that Ward’s method produces corresponding to city, older suburb, newer suburb and rural/exurb locations.
Appendix 2: Housing Costs by Location
Distinguishing different types of locations in metropolitan area using characteristics of housing should have implications for the cost of renting or owning a housing unit in each area. For example, newer suburbs, by virtue of having a less dense, more recently constructed housing stock are expected to cost more to live in than city or older suburb neighborhoods, where units will be smaller and older, on average. To corroborate this expectation, I estimate models of logged median contract rent and value for neighborhoods according to the 2014–2018 American Community Survey for each of the four locations, with city neighborhoods set as the reference.
Table 4 presents coefficients from these log-linear models, with the coefficients for suburbs showing relative difference between the three suburban location types compared to city neighborhoods. These models indicate that median rents and values in newer suburbs (\(exp(\hat{y_{rent}}) = \$1155\), \(exp(\hat{y_{value}}) = \$262{,}268\)) are about 28% greater than the average city neighborhood (\(exp(\hat{y_{rent}}) = \$897\), \(exp(\hat{y_{value}}) = \$203{,}975\)), while older suburbs fall in between these locations in terms of housing cost (\(exp(\hat{y_{rent}}) = \$1024\), \(exp(\hat{y_{value}}) = \$240{,}247\)). Rural/exurb neighborhoods have the lowest typical cost among the four types of locations (\(exp(\hat{y_{rent}}) = \$797\), \(exp(\hat{y_{value}}) = \$195{,}048\)), with households trading proximity to valued amenities and job centers for more space per dollar.
Appendix 3: Linear Regressions of Black, Latino and White Neighborhood Poverty Exposure Across Locations, 1980 to the 2014–2018 ACS
See Tables 5.
Appendix 4: Fixed Effect Models of Black, Latino and White Neighborhood Poverty Exposure Across Locations and Metropolitan Segregation, 1980 to the 2014–2018 ACS
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Hess, C. Residential Segregation by Race and Ethnicity and the Changing Geography of Neighborhood Poverty. Spat Demogr 9, 57–106 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40980-020-00066-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40980-020-00066-3