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Strategic analysis of a brownfield revitalization conflict using the grey-based graph model for conflict resolution

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EURO Journal on Decision Processes

Abstract

A definition of grey preference, based on grey numbers, is incorporated into a multiple decision-maker graph model for conflict resolution, to model human behaviour in a strategic conflict featuring uncertainty—in this case, a dispute arising over brownfield redevelopment. To analyse a strategic conflict, the relative preferences of each decision maker over all feasible states are required for a stability analysis. However, because of incomplete information, cognitive limitations of decision makers, the interplay of stakeholders and sheer complexity, it can be hard to capture accurately the preferences of all decision makers across all possible scenarios or states. Moreover, analysis is difficult when more than two decision makers are involved, as coordinated moves against a focal decision maker must be taken into account when identifying stable states. In this paper, a grey preference structure is used to represent decision makers’ uncertain preferences in a graph model. Then two types of grey stability (grey Nash stability and grey sequential stability) and corresponding equilibria are calculated for a model of a brownfield redevelopment conflict that occurred in Kitchener, Ontario, Canada.

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Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments that improved the quality of the paper. Hanbin Kuang was supported by the National Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars of China under Grants No. 71325002 and 61225012; the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 71071028; and the Fundamental Research Funds for State Key Laboratory of Synthetical Automation for Process Industries under Grant No. 2013ZCX11. Finally, we thank Prof. J. Kilgour and C. Hipel, who assisted in editing this manuscript.

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Correspondence to D. Marc Kilgour.

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Kuang, H., Bashar, M.A., Kilgour, D.M. et al. Strategic analysis of a brownfield revitalization conflict using the grey-based graph model for conflict resolution. EURO J Decis Process 3, 219–248 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40070-015-0042-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40070-015-0042-4

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