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Understanding decision making during emergencies: a key contributor to resilience

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EURO Journal on Decision Processes

Abstract

The resilience of systems derives from many inputs, relating both to design and to operational planning. In the latter context the role and effective functioning of the ‘blue light’ emergency services is often critical. The judgements and decisions that have to be made are complex and time-constrained, often undertaken before all the critical information that might be wanted is available. Recent developments in decision research, notably the on-going dual process debate, suggest that the process of decision making adopted is often more complex than had previously been appreciated and strongly linked to both context and individual factors, notably expertise. In the light of such developments, this paper presents an empirical study of emergency responders working in realistic, non-laboratory conditions. It argues that recent moves to recognise the need to support, through the way in which information is provided, more intuitive as well as analytic modes of thinking in decision support are timely and that an important research agenda exists linking decision support design with a fuller understanding of exactly how individuals make their decisions in emergency conditions.

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Acknowledgments

This research was funded by ESRC and 1Spatial, a Cambridge-based software company specialising in high volume, business critical data. The authors would like to thank Dr. Mike Sanderson of 1Spatial and Dr Robert MacFarlane of the Cabinet Office Emergency Planning College for his help in providing access for data collection. Special thanks to all the participants for sharing their experience. The views stated here are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as representing the emergency services in the UK or the funders.

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Correspondence to A. D. Pearman.

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Mishra, J.L., Allen, D.K. & Pearman, A.D. Understanding decision making during emergencies: a key contributor to resilience. EURO J Decis Process 3, 397–424 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40070-015-0039-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40070-015-0039-z

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