Abstract
A typhoon leading is an important natural disaster to many disasters to China. A giant wave caused by it has brought large threat for an offshore project. Based on the maximum entropy principle, one new model which has 4 undetermined parameters is constructed, which is called the discrete maximum entropy probabilistic model. In practical applications, the design wave height is considered as soon as possible in a typhoon affected sea areas, the result fits the observed data well. Further more this model does not have the priority compared with other distributions as Poisson distribution. The model provides a theoretical basis for the engineering design more reasonable when considering typhoon factors comprehensively.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Camargo Suzana J, Adam H Sobel. 2005. Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity and ENSO. J Climate, 18: 2996–3006
Dong Sheng, Hao Xiaoli, Li Feng, et al. 2005. Long term distribution of disaster-caused typhoon storm surges in the coastal area. Advances in Water Science, 16(1): 42–46
Jiang Jianfei, Hu Liangjian, Tang Jian. 2004. Numerical analysis and the test of MATLAB. Beijing: Science Press, 67–70
Kirby W H, Moss M E. 1987. Summary of floodfrequency analysis in the United States. Journal of Hydrology, 96: 5–14
Langley R M, El-Shaarawi A H. 1986. On the calculation of extreme wave heights: a review. Ocean Engineering, 13(1): 93–118
Liu T F. 1982. Long term distributions of hurricane characteristics. Pro Offshore Technology Conference OTC, 4325: 305–313
Liu Defu, Dong Sheng. 2000. System analysis of disaster prevention design criteria for coastal and estuarine cities. China Ocean Engineering, 14(1): 69–78
Liu T F, Ma F S. 1980. Prediction of extreme wave heights and wind velocities. Journal of the Waterway Port Coastal and Ocean Division, ASCE, 106: 469–479
Webster P J, Holland G J, Curry J A, et al. 2005. Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 309: 1843–1846
Shi Daoji. 2006. The practical methods of extreme value statistics. Tianjin: Tianjin Science and Technology Press, 60–77
Xia Huayong, Li Shuhua. 2001. An analysis on annual extreme wave height distributions along Guangxi coast. Tropic Oceanology, 20(1): 1–6
Xu Delun, Zhang Jun. 2004. Maximum entropy estimation of n-year extreme wave heights. China Ocean Engineering, 18(1): 307–314
Ye Qixiao, Liang Zaizhong. 1992. The handbook of mathematics. Beijing: Science Press, 441–451
Zhang Xiaohui, Sheng Chunyan, Shao Zihe. 2006. Analysis of storm surge at coastal area of Qingdao. Marine Forecasts, 23(9): 42–46
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Foundation item: Open Fund of the Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting under contract No. LOMF1101; the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No. 40776006; Shanghai Typhoon Research Fund under contract No. 2009ST05.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Wang, L., Zhang, J., Li, Y. et al. A statistical analysis of typhoon frequency and application in design wave height. Acta Oceanol. Sin. 30, 24–32 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-011-0130-7
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-011-0130-7