Abstract
Earthquakes of M ≥ 5 tend to be locally damaging, specifically when these are the aftershocks of larger earthquakes, as the main shock would have weakened the structures. For the rescue operations and general well-being of the local residents, it is helpful if an estimate is available as to how long M ≥ 5 aftershocks would continue to occur. Earthquakes M ≥ 6.5 tend to be followed by aftershocks of M ≥ 5. In this study, aftershock sequences of seven earthquakes of magnitude M ≥ 6.5 were analyzed. Six among these are in the Himalayan region and the remaining one is in the near vicinity in China. The analysis suggests that the number of M ≥ 5 aftershocks and the duration of their occurrence decrease with the decrease of the mainshock magnitude. For the 2008 Sichuan earthquake of M 7.9 there were 136 M ≥ 5 aftershocks, while for 1975 Kinnaur earthquake of M 6.8 there were only 9. The aftershock duration of the Himalayan region earthquakes obeys the exponential law T=AecM, where the A and c are constants associated with regional fault settings. This relation is helpful in providing an estimate of the time for which M ≥ 5 aftershock activity would continue after the occurrence of a M ≥ 6.5 earthquakes.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Cui, P., Chen, X. Q., Zhu, Y. Y., Su, F. H., Wei, F. Q., Han, Y. S., … and Zhuang, J. Q. (2011) The Wenchuan earthquake (May 12, 2008), Sichuan province, China, and resulting geohazards. Natural Hazards, v.56(1), pp.19–36.
Gupta, H. K. and Gupta, G. D. (Eds.). (1995) Uttarkashi Earthquake (20th October 1991). Jour. Geol. Soc. India, v.30, pp.1–233.
Gupta, H. K., Rao, N. P., Shashidhar, D. and Mallika, K. (2008) The Disastrous M 7.9 Sichuan Earthquake of 12 May 2008. Jour. Geol. Soc. India, v.72(3), pp.325–330.
Gupta, H., Purnachandra Rao, N. and Yeats, R. (2009). The Devastating Muzaffarabad Earthquake of 8 October 2005 in Western Himalaya. Jour. Seismology, v.13(3), pp.313–420.
Gupta, H. K. (2015) The Mw 7.8 April 25, 2015 Nepal earthquake (End of a long-term seismic quiescence?). Jour. Geol. Soc. India, v.85(6), p.641.
Hayes, GP., Myers, E.K., Dewey, J.W., Briggs, R.W., Earle, P.S., Benz, H.M., Smoczyk, G.M., Flamme, H.E., Barnhart, W.D., Gold, R.D. and Furlong, K.P. (2017) Tectonic summaries of magnitude 7 and greater earthquakes from 2000 to 2015. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2016-1192, p.148. doi:https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20161192.
Hazarika, P., Kumar, M.R., Srijayanthi, G, Raju, P.S., Rao, N.P. and Srinagesh, D. (2010) Transverse tectonics in Sikkim Himalaya: evidences from seismicity and focal mechanism data. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., v.100, pp.1816–1822
Hussain, A. and Yeats, R.S. (2009) Geological setting of the 8 October 2005 Kashmir earthquake. Jour. Seismology, v.13(3), pp.315–325.
Kayal, J. R. (1996) Precursor seismicity, foreshocks and aftershocks of the Uttarkashi earthquake of October 20, 1991 at Garhwal Himalaya. Tectonophysics, v.263(1–4), pp.339–345.
Knopoff, L. and Gardner, J. K. (1972) Higher seismic activity during local night on the raw worldwide earthquake catalogue. Geophys. Jour. Internat., v.28, pp.311–313.
Kumar, M.R., Hazarika, P., Prasad, G.S., Singh, A. and Saha, S. (2012). Tectonic implications of the September 2011 Sikkim earthquake and its aftershocks. Curr. Sci., v. 102(5), pp. 788–792.
Kumar, R., Yadav, R.B.S. and Castellaro, S. (2020) Regional earthquake magnitude conversion relations for the Himalayan seismic belt. Seismol. Res. Lett., v.91(6), pp.3195–3207.
Nyffenegger, P. and Frohlich C. (1998) Recommendations for Determining p Values for Aftershock Sequences and Catalogs. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., v.88(5), pp.1144–1154.
Omori, F. (1894) On the after-shocks of earthquakes, Jour. College of Science, Imperial University of Tokyo, v.7, pp.111–200.
Ouillon, G. and Sornette, D. (2005) Magnitude-dependent Omori law: Theory and empirical study. Jour. Geophys. Res., v. 10, p.B04306, doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2004JB003311.
Perumal, R. J. (2021) Geological Evidence of Great Earthquakes along the Eastern Himalayan Foothills. Jour. Geol. Soc. India, v.97(8), pp.823–826.
Rajendran, K., Rajendran, C. P., Thulasiraman, N., Andrews, R. and Sherpa, N. (2011) The 18 September 2011, North Sikkim earthquake. Curr. Sci., pp.1475–1479.
Rao, N. P., Kumar, P., Tsukuda, T. and Ramesh, D. S. (2006) The devastating Muzaffarabad earthquake of 8 October 2005: New insights into Himalayan seismicity and tectonics. Gondwana Res., v.9(4), pp.365–378.
Rao, N.P., Tiwari, V.M., Kumar, M.R., Hazarika, P., Saikia, D., Chadha, R.K. and Rao, Y.J.B. (2015) The Mw 6.9 Sikkim—Nepal earthquake of September 2011: a perspective for wrench faulting in the Himalayan thrust zone. Natural Hazards, v.77(1), pp.355–366, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-1588-y
Rastogi, B.K. (1995) Seismological studies of Uttarkashi earthquake of October 20, 1991. Mem. Geol. Soc. India, pp.43–50.
Rastogi, B.K. (2000) Chamoli earthquake of magnitude 6.6 on 29 March 1999. Jour. Geol. Soc. India, v.55(5), pp.505–514.
Raval, U. (2015) Correspondence-April 25, 2015 Nepal Earthquake. Jour. Geol. Soc. India, v.86(4), pp.504–504.
Singh, S., Jain, A. K., Sinha, P., Singh, V. N. and Srivastava, L. S. (1976) The Kinnaur earthquake of January 19, 1975: A field report. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., v.66(3), pp.887–901.
Stein, S. and Liu, M. (2009) Long aftershock sequences within continents and implications for earthquake hazard assessment. Nature, v.462(7269), pp.87–89.
Tandon, A. N. (1954) Study of the great Assam earthquake of August 1950 and its aftershocks. Indian Jour. Meteorol. Geophys., v.5, pp.95–137.
Thakur, V. C. and Kumar, S. (1994) Seismotectonics of the 20 October 1991 Uttarkashi earthquake in Garhwal, Himalaya, North India. Terra Nova, v.6(1), pp.90–94.
Toda, S. and Stein, R. S. (2018) Why aftershock duration matters for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., v.108(3A), pp.1414–1426.
Tosi, P., Rubeis, V. and Sbarra, P. (2010) Stacked Analysis of Earthquake Sequences: Statistical Space—Time Definition of Clustering and Omori Law Behavior, in Synchronization and Triggering: from Fracture to Earthquake Processes, edited by V. Rubeis, Z. Czechowski, and R. Teisseyre, v.1, pp.323–337, Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
Utsu, T. (1961) A statistical study of the occurrence of aftershocks. Geophys. Mag., v.30, pp.521–605.
Utsu, T. (1969). Aftershocks and earthquake statistics (1): Some parameters which characterize an aftershock sequence and their interrelations. Journal of the Faculty of Science, Hokkaido University. Series 7, Geophysics, v.3(3), pp.129–195.
Utsu, T., Ogata, Y. and Matsu’ura, R. (1995) The centenary of the Omori formula for a decay law of aftershock activity. Jour. Phys. Earth, v.43(1), pp.1–33.
Wu, Z. L., Jiang, C. S., Li, X. J., Li, G. J. and Ding, Z. F. (2014) Earthquake Phenomenology from the Field: The April 20, 2013, Lushan Earthquake. Singapore: Springer, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-4585-15-6. Appendix II.
Ziv, A. (2006) Does aftershock duration scale with mainshock size?. Geophys. Res. Lett., v.33, p.L17317, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027141
Acknowledgments
We thank Director, NGRI for his permission to publish this work. We acknowledge USGS for the catalog data used in this study. Harsh K. Gupta acknowledges NASI for Platinum Jubilee Fellowship. CSIR-National Geophysical Research Institute (CSIR-NGRI) reference number of the article is NGRI/Lib/2021/Pub-110.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Gupta, H.K., Rekapalli, R. A Short Note on the Aftershock Duration of Strong to Major Himalayan Earthquakes. J Geol Soc India 98, 611–614 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12594-022-2034-x
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12594-022-2034-x