Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Can research on the early marine life stage of juvenile chum salmon Oncorhynchus keta forecast returns of adult salmon? A case study from eastern Hokkaido, Japan

  • Original Article
  • Biology
  • Published:
Fisheries Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

To examine the efficacy of juvenile salmon research as a tool for forecasting adult returns, the results from a study on the early marine life stage of juvenile chum salmon, conducted in the Nemuro Strait during 1999–2002 (i.e., 1998–2001 brood years), were compared with the return rates of adult salmon. Among the four brood years, the 2000 brood year (i.e., salmon migrating to the sea in 2001) was previously reported as showing higher abundance, higher growth rate and better somatic condition during the coastal residency period. Consequently, we expected it to have the highest return rate, under a hypothesis that juvenile survival in coastal residency regulates brood-year strength. Contrary to this expectation, the 2000 brood year had almost the lowest return rate. Alternatively, a statistical model in which sea surface temperature during the first year of marine life and size at release were utilized as explanatory variables reconstructed the actual variability in return rates more accurately than that based on the early marine life stage. Possible reasons for the discrepancy between the results of the juvenile salmon research and adult returns are discussed, and we suggest improvements for future research on juvenile salmon.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Beamish RJ (2007) Getting the message out. N Pac Anadr Fish Comm Bull 4:1–6

    Google Scholar 

  2. Schindler DE, Augerot X, Fleishman E, Mantua NJ, Riddell B, Ruckelshaus M, Seeb J, Webster M (2008) Climate change, ecosystem impacts, and management for Pacific salmon. Fisheries 33:502–506

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Mantua NJ, Hare SR, Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Francis RC (1997) A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78:1069–1079

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2007) Climate change 2007 synthesis report. IPCC, Geneva

  5. Briscore RJ, Adkison MD (2005) Biophysical factors associated with the marine survival of Auke Creek, Alaska, coho salmon. Trans Am Fish Soc 134:817–828

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Greene CM, Jensen DW, Pess GR, Steel EA (2005) Effects of environmental conditions during stream, estuary, and ocean residency on Chinook salmon return rates in the Skagit River, Washington. Trans Am Fish Soc 134:1562–1581

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Saito T, Nagasawa K (2009) Regional synchrony in return rates of chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) in Japan in relation to coastal temperature and size at release. Fish Res 95:14–27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Parker RR (1968) Marine mortality schedules of pink salmon of the Bella Coola River, central British Columbia. J Fish Res Bd Canada 25:757–794

    Google Scholar 

  9. Healey MC (1982) Timing and relative intensity of size-selective mortality of juvenile chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) during early sea life. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 39:952–957

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Bax NJ (1983) Early marine mortality of marked juvenile chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) released into Hood Canal, Puget Sound, Washington, in 1980. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 40:426–435

    Google Scholar 

  11. Pearcy WG (1992) Ocean ecology of North Pacific salmonids. University of Washington Press, Seattle

    Google Scholar 

  12. Quinn TP (2005) The behavior and ecology of Pacific salmon and trout. University of Washington Press, Seattle

    Google Scholar 

  13. North Pacific Anadromous Fish Commission (2003) A review of the research on the early marine period of Pacific salmon by Canada, Japan, Russia, and the United States. N Pac Anadr Fish Comm Bull 3, Vancouver

  14. Mayama H, Ishida Y (2003) Japanese studies on the early ocean life of juvenile salmon. N Pac Anadr Fish Comm Bull 3:41–67

    Google Scholar 

  15. Hayano H, Asami H, Hirano K (1997) Abundance of micro-animals (especially, Harpacticoid copepods) during the release of juvenile chum salmon, Oncorhynchus keta and adult return rate into the coastal area off Mashike, Japan Sea, northern Hokkaido. Sci Rep Hokkaido Fish Hatch 51:11–16 (in Japanese with English abstract)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Irie T (1990) Ecological studies on the migration of juvenile chum salmon, Oncorhynchus keta, during early ocean life. Bull Seikai Natl Fish Res Inst 68:1–142 (in Japanese with English summary)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Saito T, Shimizu I, Seki J, Nagasawa K (2009) Relationship between zooplankton abundance and marine life history of juvenile chum salmon Oncorhynchus keta in eastern Hokkaido, Japan. Fish Sci 75:303–316

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  18. Koo TSY (1962) Age designation in salmon. In: Koo TSY (ed) Studies of Alaska red salmon. University of Washington Press, Seattle, pp 37–48

    Google Scholar 

  19. LeBrasseur RJ, Parker RR (1964) Growth rate of central British Columbia pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha). J Fish Res Bd Canada 21:1101–1128

    Google Scholar 

  20. Vila-Gispert A, Moreno-Amich R (2001) Fish condition analysis by a weighted least squares procedure: testing geographical differences of an endangered Iberian cyprinodontid. J Fish Biol 58:1658–1666

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Beamish RJ, Mahnken C (2001) A critical size and period hypothesis to explain natural regulation of salmon abundance and the linkage to climate and climate change. Prog Oceanogr 49:423–437

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Ueno Y, Ishida Y (1996) Summer distribution and migration routes of juvenile chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) originating from rivers in Japan. Bull Nat Res Inst Far Seas Fish 33:139–147

    Google Scholar 

  23. Ueno Y (1998) Distribution, migration, and abundance estimation of Asian juvenile salmon. Salmon Rep Ser 45:83–103

    Google Scholar 

  24. Nagasawa K (2000) Winter zooplankton biomass in the subarctic North Pacific, with a discussion on the overwintering survival strategy of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.). N Pac Anadr Fish Comm Bull 2:21–32

    Google Scholar 

  25. Fukuwaka M, Sato S, Takahashi S, Onuma T, Sakai O, Tanimata N, Makino K, Davis ND, Voklov AF, Seong KB, Moss JH (2007) Winter distribution of chum salmon related to environmental variables in the North Pacific. N Pac Anadr Fish Comm Tech Rep 7:29–30

    Google Scholar 

  26. Urawa S (2000) Ocean migration route of Japanese chum salmon with a reference to future salmon research. Natl Salmon Resour Center Newsl 5:3–9 (in Japanese)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Yatsu A, Kaeriyama M (2005) Linkages between coastal and open-ocean habitats and dynamics of Japanese stocks of chum salmon and Japanese sardine. Deep Sea Res II 52:727–737

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (2002) Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach, 2nd edn. Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  29. National Salmon Resources Center (2000–2003) Database on early life history of Pacific salmon in Japan; Salmon Database 8-11(3). National Salmon Resources Center, Sapporo (in Japanese)

  30. National Salmon Resources Center (2002–2008) Database on biological assessment of Pacific salmon populations in Japan; Salmon Database 10-15(1). National Salmon Resources Center, Sapporo (in Japanese)

  31. Takahashi H (2009) Findings obtained from otolith-thermally marked salmon. FRA Salmon Res Rep 3:6–7 (in Japanese)

    Google Scholar 

  32. Fisher JP, Pearcy WG (2005) Seasonal changes in growth of coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) off Oregon and Washington and concurrent changes in the spacing of scale circuli. Fish Bull 103:34–51

    Google Scholar 

  33. Kaeriyama M (1989) Comparative morphology and scale formation in four species of Oncorhynchus during early life. Jpn J Ichthyol 35:445–452

    Google Scholar 

  34. Salo EO (1991) Life history of chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta). In: Groot C, Margolis L (eds) Pacific salmon life histories. USB, Vancouver, pp 231–309

  35. Brett JR (1995) Energetics. In: Groot C, Margolis L, Clarke WC (eds) Physiological ecology of Pacific salmon. USB, Vancouver, pp 1–68

  36. Morita K, Morita SH, Fukuwaka M, Matsuda H (2005) Rule of age and size at maturity of chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta): implications of recent trends among Oncorhynchus spp. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 62:2752–2759

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Nara K (2006) Results of the first five-year program of NASREC. Natl Salmon Resour Center Newsl 16:1–3 (in Japanese)

    Google Scholar 

  38. Wells BK, Friedland KD, Clarke LM (2003) Increment patterns in otoliths and scales from mature Atlantic salmon Salmo salar. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 262:293–298

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Moss JH, Beauchamp DA, Cross AD, Myers KW, Farley EV Jr, Murphy JM, Helle JH (2005) Evidence for size-selective mortality after the first summer of ocean growth by pink salmon. Trans Am Fish Soc 134:1313–1322

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Karpenko VI (2003) Review of Russian marine investigations of juvenile Pacific salmon. N Pac Anadr Fish Comm Bull 3:69–88

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

We are grateful to the staff of the Nemuro, Ichani and Nijibetsu field stations of NASREC for valuable advice and biological data on adult salmon used in the study. Two anonymous reviewers provided constructive comments that improved the early version of the manuscript.

Author information

Author notes

  1. Ikutaro Shimizu

    Present address: National Research Institute of Fisheries Science, Fisheries Research Agency, Yokohama, Kanagawa, 236-8648, Japan

  2. Jiro Seki

    Present address: , Eniwa, Hokkaido, 061-1372, Japan

  3. Eiichi Hasegawa

    Present address: National Research Institute of Fisheries Engineering, Fisheries Research Agency, Kamisu, Ibaraki, 314-0408, Japan

Authors and Affiliations

  1. National Salmon Resources Center, Fisheries Research Agency, Sapporo, Hokkaido, 062-0922, Japan

    Toshihiko Saito, Ikutaro Shimizu, Jiro Seki, Toshiki Kaga & Eiichi Hasegawa

  2. School of Biological Science and Engineering, Tokai University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, 005-8601, Japan

    Hiromi Saito

  3. Graduate School of Biosphere Science, Hiroshima University, Higashi-Hiroshima, Hiroshima, 739-8528, Japan

    Kazuya Nagasawa

Authors
  1. Toshihiko Saito
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Ikutaro Shimizu
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Jiro Seki
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Toshiki Kaga
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Eiichi Hasegawa
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  6. Hiromi Saito
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  7. Kazuya Nagasawa
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Toshihiko Saito.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Saito, T., Shimizu, I., Seki, J. et al. Can research on the early marine life stage of juvenile chum salmon Oncorhynchus keta forecast returns of adult salmon? A case study from eastern Hokkaido, Japan. Fish Sci 76, 909–920 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12562-010-0286-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12562-010-0286-7

Keywords

Search

Navigation