Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Relative role of sea surface temperature and snow on Indian summer monsoon seasonal simulation using a GCM

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Arabian Journal of Geosciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Indian summer monsoon is a global scale phenomenon controlled by different land, ocean, and atmospheric parameters. Sea surface temperature (SST) and snow are two of the major parameters, which may alter the spatial and temporal patterns of circulation and rainfall during Indian summer monsoon. In the current paper, we study the monsoon variability using long integrations (20 years) of the Indian Institute of Technology Delhi (IITD) Spectral model at T80L18 resolution with observed and climatological SST and snow. Study shows response of IITD GCM in simulating the Indian summer monsoon rainfall and circulation relative to the snow and SST as boundary conditions. The model’s response to SST and snow is examined by conducting four types of experiments by varying observed and climatological values of snow and SST. This paper discusses the seasonal total rainfall for country as a whole and 850 and 200 hPa wind for the period of 20 years starting from 1985 to 2004. The model has been integrated in the ensemble mode with five different initial conditions from the last week of April and first week of May. The model is able to capture the climatological patterns of seasonal total rainfall and averaged wind at lower and upper levels. Observed snow in the presence of climatological SST as a boundary condition shows much impact on rainfall and circulation than observed SST in the presence of climatological snow. Model performance is good in simulating the normal and excess monsoon conditions; it shows poor skill in capturing deficit monsoon years.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Baede APM, Jarraud M, Cubasch U (1979) Adiabatic formulation and organisation of ECMWF’s spectral model. ECMWF Tech Rep No 7:40

    Google Scholar 

  • Bamzai AS, Shukla J (1999) Relation between Eurasian snow cover, SD and the Indian summer monsoon: an observational study. J Clim 12:3117–3132

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barnett TP, Dumenil L, Schlese U, Roeckner E, Latif M (1989) Effect of Eurasian snow cover on regional and global limate variations. J Atmos Sci 46(6):661–685

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buizza R (1997) Potential forecast skill of ensemble prediction and spread and skill distributions of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Mon Weather Rev 125:99–119

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Charney JG, Shukla J (1981) Predictability of monsoons. In: Lighthill SJ, Pearce RP (eds) Monsoon dynamics. Cambridge University Press, pp. 99–109

  • Chen TC, Yen MC (1994) Interannual variation of the Indian monsoon simulated by the NCAR community climate model: effect of the tropical Pacific SST. J Clim 7:1403–1415

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cohen J (1994) Snow cover and climate. Weather:151–156

  • Dash SK, Chakrapani B (1989) Simulation of a winter circulation over India using a global spectral model. Earth Planet Sci Proc Indian Acad Sci Sect 98:189–205

    Google Scholar 

  • Dash SK, Mohandas S (2005) Comparative study of different orographic representations with respect to the Indian summer monsoon simulation. Acta Geophys Pol 53(3):325–340

    Google Scholar 

  • Dash SK, Singh GP, Vernekar AD, Shekhar MS (2004) A study on the number of snow days over Eurasia, Indian rainfall and seasonal circulations. Meteorog Atmos Phys 86:1–13

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dash SK, Singh GP, Shekhar MS, Vernekar AD (2005) Response of the Indian summer monsoon circulation and rainfall to seasonal snow depth anomaly over Eurasia. Clim Dyn 24:1–10

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dash SK, Partha Sarthi P, Panda SK (2006) A study on the effect of Eurasian snow on the summer monsoon circulation and rainfall using a spectral GCM. Int J Climatol 26:1017–1025

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dickson RR (1984) Eurasian snow cover versus Indian monsoon rainfall - an extension of the Hahn-Shukla results. Ctim Appl Met 23:171–173

    Google Scholar 

  • Douville H, Royer JF (1996) Sensitivity of the Asian summer monsoon to an anomalous Eurasian snow cover within the metro-France GCM. Clim Dyn 12:449–466

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fennessy MJ et al. (1994) The simulated Indian monsoon: a GCM sensitivity study. J Climatol 7:33–43

  • Folland CK, Rowell DP (eds) (1995) Workshop on the simulations of the climate of the twentieth century using GISST, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research. CRTN, Bracknell, p 56

    Google Scholar 

  • Hahn DG, Shukla J (1976) An apparent relationship between Eurasian snow cover and Indian monsoon rainfall. J Atmos Sci 33:2461–2462

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Halder S, Dirmeyer PA (2017) Relation of Eurasian snow cover and Indian summer monsoon rainfall: importance of the delayed hydrological effect. AMS J Clim 30(4):1273–1289

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Joseph PV (1981) Ocean atmosphere interaction on a seasonal scale over North Indian Ocean and Indian monsoon rainfall and cyclonic track – a preliminary study. Mausam 32:237–246

    Google Scholar 

  • Kar SC, Sugi M, Sato N (2001) Interannual variability of the Indiansummer monsoon and internal variability in the JMA globalmodel simulations. J Meteoreol Soc Japan 79:607–623

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keshavamurthy RN (1982) Response of the atmosphere to sea surface temperature anomalies over the equatorial Pacific and the teleconnections of the southern oscillation. J Atmos Sci 39:1241–1259

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kirtman BP, Shukla J (2000) On the influence of the Indian summer Monsoon on ENSO. Q J R Meteor Soc, 126:213–239

  • Kitoh A (1991) Interannual variations in an atmospheric GCM forced by the 1970-1989 SST. Part I: response of the tropical atmosphere. J Meteorol Soc Japan 69:251–269

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kripalani RH, Kulkarni A (1999) Climatology and variability of historical soviet snow depth data: some new erspectives in snow-Indian monsoon tele-connections. Clim Dyn 15:475–489

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Molteni F, Palmer TN (1993) Predictability and finite-time instability of the northern winter circulation. Q J R Meteorol Soc 119:269–298

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mooley DA, Parthasarathy B (1984) Indian summer monsoon rainfall and the east equatorial Pacific Sea surface temperature. Atmosphere-Ocean 22:23–35

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Palmer TN, Brankovic C, Viterbo P, Miller MJ (1992) Modeling interannual variations of summer monsoons. J Clim 5:399–417

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Panda SK, Dash SK, Bhaskaran B, Pattnayak KC (2016) Investigation of the snow-monsoon relationship in a warming atmosphere using Hadley Center climate model. Glob Planet Chang 147:125–136

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peings Y, Douville H (2009) Influence of the Eurasian snow cover on the Indian summer monsoon variability in observations and CMIP3 simulations. Clim Dyn 34:643–660

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rajeevan M, Pai DS (2006) On El Nino-Indian Monsoon Predictive Relationships. Research Report No: 4/2006, National Climate Centre, India Meteorological Department

  • Rajeevan M, Bhate J, Kale JD, Lal B (2005) Development of a high resolution daily gridded rainfall data for the Indian region. Met. Monograph Climatology No. 22/2005, National Climate Centre, India Meteorological Department

  • Saha SK, Halder S, Kumar KK, Goswami BN (2011) Pre-onset land surface processes and ‘internal’ interannual variabilities of the Indian summer monsoon. Clim Dyn 36:2077–2089

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sankar Rao M, Lau MK, Yang S (1996) On the relationship between Eurasian snow cover and the Asian summer monsoon. Int J Climatol 16:605–616

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Satyaban BR, Sikka DR, Mohit D, Venkata Ratnam J (2011) Dynamical simulation of Indian summer monsoon circulation, rainfall and its interannual variability using a high resolution atmospheric general circulation model. Int J Climatol 31:1927–1942

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shukla J (1975) Effect of Arabian Sea-surface temperature anomaly on Indian summer monsoon: a numerical experiment with the GFDL model. J Atmos Sci 32:503–511

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shukla J (1981) Dynamical predictability of monthly eans. J Atmos Sci 38:2547–2572

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shukla J, Mintz Y (1982) Influence of land-surface evapotranspiration on the earth’s climate. Science 215:1498–1500

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Toth Z, Kalnay E (1997) Ensemble forecasting at NCEP and the breeding method. Mon Weather Rev 127:3297–3318

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Turner AG, Slingo JM (2010) Using idealized snow forcing to test teleconnections with the Indian summer monsoon in the Hadley Centre GCM. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-6010805-3

  • Vernekar AD, Zhou J, Shukla J (1995) The effect of Eurasian snow cover on the Indian monsoon. J Clim 8:248–266

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Washington WM, Chervin RM, Rao GV (1977) Effects of a variety of Indian Ocean surface temperature anomaly patterns on the summer monsoon circulation: experiments with the NCAR general circulation model. Pure Appl Geophys 115:1335–1356

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yasunari T, Kitoh A, Tokioka T (1991) Local and remote responses to excessive snow mass over Eurasia appearing in the northern spring and summer c1imate-a study with the MRI GCM. J Meteorol Soc Japan 69:473–487

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zwiers FW (1993) Simulation of the Asian summer monsoon with the CCC GCM-1. J Clim 6:470–486

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was funded by the Department of Science and Technology (DST), Government of India, under the INDO-KOREA Joint Programme of Cooperation in Science and Technology (DST No: INT/Korea/P-06/2011). The authors are thankful to DST for the sponsored project.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. K. Panda.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Karri, S., Dash, S.K., Panda, S.K. et al. Relative role of sea surface temperature and snow on Indian summer monsoon seasonal simulation using a GCM. Arab J Geosci 11, 210 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3559-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3559-6

Keywords

Navigation