Abstract
The study region comprises the Sidi Bouzid shallow aquifer, which is located in the western part of Central Tunisia. It is mainly occupied by agricultural land with intensive use of chemical fertilizers especially nitrates. For this reason, nitrate measurement was performed in 38 water samples to evaluate and calibrate the obtained models. Several environmental parameters were analyzed using groundwater nitrate concentrations, and different statistical approaches were applied to assess and validate the groundwater vulnerability to nitrate pollution in the Sidi Bouzid shallow aquifer. Multiple linear regression (MLR), analyses of covariance (ANCOVA), and logistic regression (LR) were carried out for studying the nitrate effects on groundwater pollution. Statistical analyses were used to identify major environmental factors that control the groundwater nitrate concentration in this region. Correlation and statistical analyses were conducted to examine the relationship between the nitrate (dependent variable) and various environmental variables (independent variables). All methods show that “groundwater depth” and “land use” parameters are statistically significant at 95% level of confidence. Groundwater vulnerability map was obtained by overlaying these two thematic layers which were obtained in the GIS environment. It shows that the high vulnerability area coincides with the likelihood that nitrate concentration exceeds 24.5 mg/l in groundwater. The relationship between the groundwater vulnerability classes and the nitrate concentrations provides satisfactory results; it showed an Eta-squared correlation coefficient of 64%. So, the groundwater vulnerability map can be used as a synthetic document for realistic management of groundwater quality.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aller L, Bennet T, Lehr JH, Petty RJ, Hackett G (1987) DRASTIC: a standardized system for evaluating ground water pollution potential using hydrogeologic settings. EPA-600/2-87-035. EPA, Washington, DC
Antonakos AK, Lambrakis NL (2007) Development and testing of three hybrid methods for assessment of aquifer vulnerability to nitrates, based on the DRASTIC model, an example from NE Korinthia, Greece. J Hydrol 333(2–4):288–304
Chatterjee S, Hadi AS, Price B (2000) Regression analysis by example. Wiley
Chenini I, Khemiri S (2009) Evaluation of ground water quality using multiple linear regression and structural equation modelling, Tunisia. Int J Environ Sci Technol 6(3):509–519
Dreiseitl S, Ohno-Machado L (2002) Logistic regression and artificial neural network classification models: a methodology review. J Biomed Inform 35:352–359
Focazio MJ, Reilly TE, Rupert MG, and Helsel DR (2002) Assessing ground-water vulnerability to contamination: providing scientifically defensible information for decision makers, U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1224, 33 p
Gardner KK, Vogel RM (2005) Predicting ground water nitrate concentration from land use. Ground Water 43:343–352. doi:10.1111/j.1745-6584.2005.0031.x
Hamed Y, Ahmadi R, Hadji R, Mokadem N, Dhia HB, Ali W (2014) Groundwater evolution of the Continental Intercalaire aquifer of Southern Tunisia and a part of Southern Algeria: use of geochemical and isotopic indicators. Desalin Water Treat 52(10–12):1990–1996
Helsel DR, Hirsch RM (2002) Statistical methods in water resources. Elsevier, New York
Holman IP, Palmer RC, Bellamy PH, Hollis JM (2005) Validation of an intrinsic groundwater pollution vulnerability methodology using a national nitrate database. Hydrogeol J 13:665–674
Howden NJK, Burt TP (2009) Statistical analysis of nitrate concentrations from the Rivers Frome and Piddle (Dorset, UK) for the period 1965–2007. Ecohydrology 2:55–65. doi:10.1002/eco.39
Huan H, Wang J, Teng Y (2012) Assessment and validation of groundwater vulnerability to nitrate based on a modified DRASTIC model: a case study in Jilin City of northeast China. Sci Total Environ 440:14–23
Hutcheson GD (2011) Ordinary least-squares regression. In: Moutinho L, Hutcheson GD (eds) The SAGE dictionary of quantitative management research pages. SAGE Publications Inc., Thousand Oaks, pp 224–228
Javadi S, Kavehkar N, Mousavizadeh MH, Mohammadi K (2011) Modification of DRASTIC model to map groundwater vulnerability to pollution using nitrate measurements in agricultural areas, Iran. J Agric Sci Technol 13(2):239–249
Kaown D, Hyun Y, Bae GO, Lee KK (2007) Factors affecting the spatial pattern of nitrate contamination in shallow groundwater. J Environ Qual 36:1479. doi:10.2134/jeq2006.0361
Kihumba AM, Longo JN, Vanclooster M (2016) Modelling nitrate pollution pressure using a multivariate statistical approach: the case of Kinshasa groundwater body, Democratic Republic of Congo. Hydrogeol J 24:425–437
Kura NU, Ramli MF, Ibrahim S, Sulaiman WNA, Aris AZ, Tanko AI, Zaudi MA (2015) Assessment of groundwater vulnerability to anthropogenic pollution and seawater intrusion in a small tropical island using index-based methods, Malaysia. Environ Sci Pollut Res 22(2):1512–1533
Lobo Ferreira JP and Cabral M (1991) Proposal for an operational definition of vulnerability for the European Community’s Atlas of groundwater resources, in the framework of the meeting of the “European institute for water, groundwater work group Brussels”, Lisbon
Margat J (1968) Vulnérabilité des nappes d’eau souterraine à la pollution (groundwater vulnerability to contamination). Bases de la cartographie, (Doc) BRGM, 68SGL198 HYD, Orleans France
McLay CDA, Dragten R, Sparling G, Selvarajah N (2001) Predicting groundwater nitrate concentrations in a region of mixed agricultural land use: a comparison of three approaches, New Zealand. Environ Pollut 115(2):191–204
Mokadem N, Demdoum A, Hamed Y, Bouri S, Hadji R, Boyce A, Laouar R, Sâad A (2016) Hydrogeochemical and stable isotope data of groundwater of a multi-aquifer system: Northern Gafsa basin–Central Tunisia. J Afr Earth Sci 114:174–191
Neshat AR, Pradhan B, Pirasteh S, Shafri HZM (2013) Estimating groundwater vulnerability to pollution using a modified DRASTIC model in the Kerman agricultural area, Iran. Environ Earth Sci. doi:10.1007/s12665-013-2690-7
Neshat AR, Pradhan B, Dadras M (2014) Groundwater vulnerability assessment using an improved DRASTIC method in GIS, Iran. Resour Conserv Recycl 86:74–86
Panagopoulos GP, Antonakos AK, Lambrakis NJ (2006) Optimization of the DRASTIC method for groundwater vulnerability assessment via the use of simple statistical methods and GIS, Greece. Hydrol J 14:894–911
Piscopo G (2001) Groundwater vulnerability map, explanatory notes, Castlereagh Catchment, NSW. Department of Land and Water Conservation, Australia Found at: http://www.dlwc.nsw.gov.au/care/water/groundwater/reports/pdfs/castlereagh_map_notes.pdf.
Rupert MG (2001) Calibration of the DRASTIC groundwater vulnerability mapping method, U.S. Groundwater 39(4):625–630
Saidi S, Bouri S, Dhia HB (2010) Groundwater vulnerability and risk mapping of the Hajeb-Jelma Aquifer (Central Tunisia) using a GIS-based DRASTIC model, Tunisia. Environ Earth Sci 59:1579–1588
Saidi S, Bouri S, Dhia HB (2013) Groundwater management based on GIS techniques, chemical indicators and vulnerability to seawater intrusion modelling: application to the Mahdia–Ksour Essaf aquifer, Tunisia. Environ Earth Sci 70(4):1551–1568
Secunda S, Collin ML, Melloul AJ (1998) Groundwater vulnerability assessment using a composite model combining DRASTIC with extensive agricultural land use in Israel’s Sharon region, Israel. J Environ Manag 54:39–57
Shapiro SS, Wilk MB, Chen HJ (1968) A comparative study of various tests of normality. J Am Stat Assoc 63:1343–1372
Singer MB, Stella JC, Dufour S, Piégay H, Wilson RJS, Johnstone L (2012) Contrasting water-uptake and growth responses to drought in co-occurring riparian tree species. Ecohydrology. doi:10.1002/eco.1283
Smida H (2008) Apports des Systèmes d’Informations Géographiques (SIG) pour une approche intégrée dans l’étude et la gestion des ressources en eau des systèmes aquifères de la région de Sidi Bouzid (Tunisie centrale). Thèse de la Faculté des Sciences de Sfax, Université de Sfax, 283p.
Spruill TB, Showers WJ, Howe SS (2002) Application of classification tree methods to identify nitrate sources in ground water. J Environ Qual 31:1538–1549
Vrba J, Zaporozec A (1994) Guidebook on mapping groundwater vulnerability. International Association of Hydrogeologists, vol 16. International Contributions to Hydrogeology, Heise Hannover, p 131
Yesilnacar E, Topal T (2005) Landslide susceptibility mapping: a comparison of logistic regression and neural networks methods in a medium scale study, Hendek region (Turkey). Eng Geol 79:251–266
Acknowledgements
The authors warmly thank the anonymous reviewers for their detailed and constructive criticisms, which were of great help in improving this manuscript. The authors also wish to express their thanks to Prof. Ahmed REBAI, Laboratory Director, Sfax Biotechnology Center (CBS) for carefully editing and proofreading statistical approaches of the present study.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This article is part of the Topical Collection on Georesources and Environmental Management
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Jmal, I., Ayed, B., Boughariou, E. et al. Assessing groundwater vulnerability to nitrate pollution using statistical approaches: a case study of Sidi Bouzid shallow aquifer, Central Tunisia. Arab J Geosci 10, 364 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-017-3143-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-017-3143-5