Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Spatio-temporal variations in precipitation on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain from 1963 to 2012

  • Published:
Journal of Earth System Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Spatio-temporal variations in precipitation are affecting agricultural production in China in the context of climate change. Based on daily precipitation data from 63 national meteorological stations on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain from 1963 to 2012, this paper analysed the spatio-temporal variations in precipitation in terms of precipitation days and intensity, using spatial interpolation, linear trend estimation and wavelet analysis. The results indicated that: (i) from 1963 to 2012, the number of annual precipitation days and intensity decreased gradually from the southeast to the northwest. Additionally, the distribution of the extreme precipitation index was similar to that of the annual precipitation index; (ii) the number of annual precipitation days and heavy precipitation days gradually decreased, while precipitation intensity and extreme precipitation days and extreme rainfall intensity remained relatively stable or decreased. The spatial patterns of annual variation trends were considerably different. The annual precipitation days and intensity trends are consistent with the overall trend, while that of the extreme rainfall index in some regions differs from the overall trend; (iii) the precipitation index displayed different periodic oscillations during the period, and the precipitation index values differed at different time scales. However, all the precipitation index values exhibited a 28-yr oscillation.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Beguería S, Angulo-Martínez M, Vicente-Serrano S M, López-Moreno J I and El-Kenawy A 2011 Assessing trends in extreme precipitation events intensity and magnitude using non-stationary peaks-over-threshold analysis: A case study in northeast Spain from 1930 to 2006; Int. J. Climatol. 31(14) 2102–2114.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ci H, Zhang Q, Zhang J, Bai Y and Liu J 2014 Spatiotemporal variations of extreme precipitation events within Xinjiang during 1961–2010; Geogr. Res. 33(10) 1881–1891, https://doi.org/10.11821/dlyj201410009 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dan S, Sharma V and Juyal V 2015 Observed linear trend in few surface weather elements over the northwest Himalayas (NWH) during winter season; J. Earth Syst. Sci. 124(3) 553–565, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-015-0560-2.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dong X, Gu W, Meng X and Liu H 2014 Change features of precipitation events in Shandong Province from 1961 to 2010; Acta Geogr. Sin. 69(5) 661–671, https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb201405009 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dziubiński I and Sitarski R 2015 A multivariate regression model for predicting precipitation in the Daqing mountains; Mt. Res. Dev. 28(28) 318–325.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fan L, Lu C H, Yang B and Chen Z 2012 Long-term trends of precipitation in the north China plain; J. Geogr. Sci. 22(6) 989–1001, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-012-0978-2.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frich P, Alexander L V, Della-Marta P, Gleason B, Haylock M, Klein Tank A M G and Peterson T 2002 Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century; Climatol. Res. 19 193–212, https://doi.org/10.3354/cr019193.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fu J, Li S and Luo D 2009 Impact of global SST on decadal shift of East Asian summer climate; Adv. Atmos. Sci. 26(2) 192–201, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-009-0192-z.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gu W, Li C and Pan J 2007 Relationship between interdecadal variation of North Pacific-Equatorial Indian Ocean SST and transition of rainfall pattern in East China around the 1970s; Climatol. Environ. Res. 12(2) 113–123, https://doi.org/10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2007.02.01 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gu X, Zhang Q and Zhang S 2016 Spatio-temporal properties of flood/drought hazards and possible causes and impacts in 1961–2010; Sci. Geogr. Sin. 36(3) 439–447, https://doi.org/10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.03.016 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guo E, Zhang J, Si H, Dong Z, Cao T and Lan W 2016 Temporal and spatial characteristics of extreme precipitation events in the midwest of Jilin province based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis method and copula functions; Theor. Appl. Climatol. 1–11, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1909-4.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • He Z and He J 2014 Temporal and spatial variation of extreme precipitation in the Yellow River basin from 1960 to 2012; Res. Sci. 36(3) 490–501 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang R, Cai R, Chen J and Zhou L 2006 Interdecadal variations of drought and flooding disasters in China and their association with the East Asian Climate System; Chin. J. Atmos. Sci. 30(5) 730–743, https://doi.org/10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2006.05.02 (in Chinese).

  • IPCC 2012 Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of working groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, 582p.

  • Li Y, Hu J, He D and Liu J 2013 Variability of frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events and its impacts in the Red River Basin during 1960–2007; Geogr. Res. 32(1) 64–72, https://doi.org/10.11821/yj2013010007 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liao Y, Chen D and Xie Y 2011 Spatial and temporal distribution of dry spells in China; Acta Geogr. Sin. 67(3) 321–336, https://doi.org/10.11821/xb201203004 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu X, Zhang Z, Shuai J, Wang P, Shi W J, Chen Y and Tao F 2012 Effect of chilling injury on rice yield in Heilongjiang Province; Acta Geogr. Sin. 67(9) 1223–1232, https://doi.org/10.11821/xb201209007 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lucie A and Mekis E 2006 Changes in daily and extreme temperature and precipitation indices for Canada over the twentieth century; Atmos.-Ocean. 44(2) 177–193, https://doi.org/10.3137/ao.440205.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mantua N, Hare S, Zhang Y, Wallace J and Francis R 1997 A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production; Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 78 1069–1079.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moberg A and Jones P D 2005 Trends in indices for extremes in daily temperature and precipitation in central and western Europe, 1901–99; Int. J. Climatol. 25(9) 1149–1171, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1163.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Najafi and Moazami 2016 Trends in total precipitation and magnitude–frequency of extreme precipitation in Iran, 1969–2009; Int. J. Climatol. 36(4) 1863–1872, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4465.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ning X, Qin Y, Cui Y, Li X and Chen Y 2015 The spatio-temporal change of agricultural hydrothermal conditions in China from 1951 to 2010; Acta Geogr. Sin. 70(3) 392–406, https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb201503002 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parker L E and Abatzoglou J T 2016 Spatial coherence of extreme precipitation events in the Northwestern United States; Int. J. Climatol. 36(6) 2451–2460, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4504.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ragab R and Prudhomme C 2002 Climate change and water resources management in arid and semi-arid regions: Prospective and challenges for the 21st century. Biosyst. Eng. 81(1) 3–34.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rashid M M, Beecham S and Chowdhury R K 2015 Assessment of trends in point rainfall using continuous wavelet transforms; Adv. Water Resour. 82 1–15, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2015.04.006.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ren Z, Zhang M, Wang S, Qiang F, Zhu X and Dong L 2014 Changes in precipitation extremes in South China during 1961–2011; Acta Geogr. Sin. 69(5) 640–649 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Salamalikis V, Argiriou A and Dotsika E 2016 Periodicity analysis of \(\delta ^{18}\)O in precipitation over central Europe: Time–frequency considerations of the isotopic ‘temperature’ effect; J. Hydrol. 534 150–163.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth K E 1998 Atmospheric moisture residence times and cycling: Implications for rainfall rates and climate change; Climatol. Change  39(4) 667–694.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xu X, Zhang X, Dai E and Wei S 2014 Research of trend variability of precipitation intensity and their contribution to precipitation in China from 1961 to 2010; Geogr. Res. 33(7) 1335–1347, https://doi.org/10.11821/dlyj201407013 (in Chinese).

  • Yang B, Qing J, Zhang T, Xie S and Ma W 2014 Characteristics of precipitation change from 1961 to 2011 in southeast Chongqing; J. Meteorol. Environ. 30(3) 46–51 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Yin J, Yan D, Yang Z, Yuan Z, Yuan Y and Zhang C 2016 Projection of extreme precipitation in the context of climate change in Huang-Huai-Hai region, China; J. Earth Syst. Sci. 125(2) 1–13, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-016-0664-3.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zeng Y and Lu E 2015 Changes of summer rainfall and extreme precipitation during 1961–2010 in China; Adv. Climatol. Change Res. 11(2) 79–85, https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2015.02.001 (in Chinese).

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This research was supported by the National Basic Program of China (973 Program) No. 2012CB955800, the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 41671536 and 41501588), the Postdoctoral fund (2016M602232) and the Key Scientific Research Projects in Colleges and Universities (Nos. 17A170005 and 18A170002).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Environment and Planning, Henan University, Kaifeng, 475004, Henan, People’s Republic of China

    Yanan Li, Zhixiang Xie, Yaochen Qin & Shenghui Zhou

  2. Key Laboratory of Geospatial Technology for the Middle and Lower Yellow River Regions, Ministry of Education, Kaifeng, 475004, Henan, People’s Republic of China

    Yanan Li, Zhixiang Xie, Yaochen Qin & Shenghui Zhou

  3. Zhengzhou Tourism College, Zhengzhou, 450009, Henan, People’s Republic of China

    Yanan Li

Authors
  1. Yanan Li
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Zhixiang Xie
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Yaochen Qin
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Shenghui Zhou
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yaochen Qin.

Additional information

Corresponding editor: K Rajendran

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Li, Y., Xie, Z., Qin, Y. et al. Spatio-temporal variations in precipitation on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain from 1963 to 2012. J Earth Syst Sci 127, 101 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-018-0996-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-018-0996-2

Keywords

Search

Navigation