Introduction

Police interviewing of suspects is one of the most crucial stages in criminal investigations (Hartwig et al. 2005a, b; Milne and Bull 1999). Through an interview, the police can obtain valuable information that can assist in solving a criminal case (Leo 2008). In some cases, an interview can also lead to a confession or admission of guilt, which, in turn, will make prosecution easier (Kassin 2008; Stephenson and Moston 2008). Because of its importance, multiple models for interviews have been proposed and utilised depending on the jurisdiction (e.g. the Reid model in North America; Leo 2008; the PEACE model in the UK; Shepherd and Griffiths 2013). To ensure the success of such models, the interviewers themselves are central to the process (Leo 2008), and Baldwin (1993) identified the qualities of a good interviewer through a thorough analysis of police interviews. He described that good officers should know the relevant law, study the available evidence, and think of the best structure of the interview. Soukara et al. (2002) also found that preparation was considered by police detectives to be a core element of successful suspect interviewing.

It has, however, only been in the last 20 years or so that interview training has emphasised the importance of planning ahead of interviews (Scott et al. 2015). Despite such training, field studies conducted in the UK suggest concerns with some of the interview skills that are believed to be associated with planning (Clarke and Milne 2001; Walsh and Bull 2010; Walsh and Milne 2008). Walsh and Milne (2007) found that, while most investigators acknowledged the importance of planning, far fewer actually said they undertook the task (see also Baldwin 1993; Cherryman and Bull 2001; Clarke and Milne 2001; Walsh and Bull 2011). The main reason offered was that they had insufficient time to plan. It is, however, not known whether this given reason is a valid one. Moreover, previous research has tended to explore how much criminal investigators prepare for interviewing rather than what factors influence investigators’ decisions whether or not to plan (Clarke and Milne 2001; Walsh and Bull 2010). As a result, little remains known about actual planning and preparation of investigative interviews. The present study is the first study known to the authors that aims to examine which matters (including whether time pressure is responsible for not planning interviews or whether other reasons might be more strongly associated).

Planning for Investigative Interviews

An early definition of planning for investigative interviews described the task as “the mental process of getting ready to interview” and preparation as “considering what needs to be made ready prior to interview. It includes such things as the location, the environment and the administration” (Central Police Training Unit (CPTU) 1993, p. 1, cited in Milne and Bull 1999, p. 159). Since that initial clarification, other researchers have provided suggestions as to the sub-tasks appropriate to planning (McGurk et al. 1993; Milne and Bull 1999; National Crime Faculty (NCF) 1996; Schollum 2005). Schollum (2006) aggregated these tasks for all investigative interviewing contexts, including those involving victims and witnesses (see Table 1).

Table 1 Tasks required when planning for interviews

Further activities include the following: (i) contingency planning for the suspect’s potential defence(s), (ii) considering the method/order of disclosing several items of evidence/information, and (iii) organising the sequence of topics and questions each need to be added to Table 1 (Dando and Bull 2011; Hartwig et al. 2006; Walsh and Bull 2015).

The importance of pre-interview groundwork has been repeatedly mentioned in the literature as a pivotal attribute of good interviewers (Baldwin 1993; Bull 2013; Cherryman and Bull 2001; Soukara et al. 2002; Walsh and Bull 2010; Walsh and Milne 2008). Planning before interviewing victims, witnesses, and suspects has been incorporated within a prescribed model of interviewing in England and Wales (i.e. PEACE, an acronym for its recommended five stages of planning, engaging and explaining, account gathering, closing, and evaluating interviews—see Shepherd and Griffiths 2013 for a more detailed explanation of the model). Since its introduction in the 1990s in England and Wales, various other countries have begun to employ the model (e.g. Scandinavia, Canada, and Australia, albeit on occasions in adapted forms, see Bull 2014; Walsh et al. 2016). Regardless of such modifications, it has been commonly contended that investigators should conduct substantial groundwork ahead of interviews.

Research examining interview planning and preparation has mostly been conducted as part of overall field evaluations of the PEACE model (Clarke and Milne 2001; Walsh and Milne 2008; Walsh and Bull 2010). Such research has tended to judge how well interview preparation has been conducted by examining if, for example during interviews, investigators appeared to (i) be familiar with the case details, (ii) have actually undertaken groundwork beforehand, (iii) be prepared when faced with alibis and the like from suspects, (iv) conduct the interview in a logical order of topic development, and (v) be familiar with the legal points needed to be proven concerning the suspected offences under investigation. However, research examining what they actually do in terms of preparation for interviews remains rare. Regardless, research has often found that investigators admitted to undertaking little or no planning ahead of interviews, despite professing its importance (Walsh and Milne 2007). Even more uncommon in prior research is an exploration of what factors appear to be associated with investigators’ decisions whether or not to plan.

Important to investigator decision-making (i.e. in the context of the present study, whether to plan) may well be an investigative mindset (Mortimer and Shepherd 1999; Shepherd and Griffiths 2013). Defectiveness in decision-making (e.g. developing either a single or premature hypothesis, confirmation bias or stereotyping) has been repeatedly mentioned as a critical factor in investigative failures (Ask and Granhag 2005; Hill et al. 2008; Kassin et al. 2003; Rassin et al. 2010; Rossmo 2009). Despite this, little research had been conducted into what influences investigators’ decision-making (Fahsing and Ask 2013). Shepherd and Griffiths (2013) suggest that various actual or perceived workplace pressures may lead investigators to decide upon more expedient ways of investigation, describing this state as one of “defensive avoidance” (Janis and Mann 1977). Such a notion (as a means of coping with decisional conflict) in the context of interview planning is manifest in the (i) minimisation of mental demands, (ii) evasion of complex judgement, and (iii) undertaking detailed investigation (Shepherd and Griffiths 2013). Such a situation, for example, may lead to the generation of a premature and single-case hypothesis, reflecting only minimal mental effort and expeditious action (which supports a pre-determined case theory). Accordingly, as thorough planning requires exerted cognitive effort (rather than avoidance), investigators possessing a high need for cognitive closure (see Kruglanski and Webster 1996) might be reasonably assumed to display a relatively low level of planning.

Mortimer and Shepherd (1999) have also argued that investigators’ mindset influences pre-interview activities such as gathering and analysing information. Investigators’ own schemata and confirmation biases may act as critical elements in accessing, processing, interpreting, and evaluating such information. This can lead to potentially erroneous decision-making throughout the entire investigation (see Shepherd and Griffiths 2013). Mortimer (1994) found that many investigators had a confession-seeking bias tendency, which affected how, and whether, they undertook subsequent information gathering. Other studies have also found that most investigators presume suspects to be guilty before an interview takes place (Fahsing and Ask 2013; Walsh and Bull 2011; Walsh and Milne 2007). Mortimer (1994) also contended that police investigators’ occupational norms influence investigators’ reasoning, judgement, and decision-making. Following these arguments, cognitive factors and the occupational culture may well also account for attitudes towards pre-interview investigative activity, including planning.

Another factor that might well influence investigators’ decision-making as to whether or not to plan thoroughly (if at all) concerns their own estimations as to how effectively they conduct interviews without having sufficient preparation. A recent study (Walsh et al. 2017) found that investigators consistently over-estimate their interview skills, compared to an independent assessment of the same interviews (which found their skills generally to be at mediocre levels). It might be reasonably presumed that interviewers, lacking self-awareness as to their lack of competence in interviewing skills, might fail to connect such shortfalls to a lack of planning and preparation, particularly as it has been found they rarely evaluate their own interview performance (Walsh and Milne 2007). Moreover, field studies of investigative interviews have found strong correlations between planning skills and subsequent interview performance (Clarke and Milne 2001; Walsh and Bull 2010, 2015). Walsh and Bull (2010) found that those interviewers, whose planning skills were rated as skilled, more often than not obtained a detailed account from suspects (being the aim of the PEACE model), while those interviewers rated as least skilled almost always only obtained fractional accounts.

In addressing the large research gap regarding what factors determine whether interviewers decide whether or not to plan, it was necessary to operationalise the construct of planning for investigative interview. Based on the authors’ expertise and thorough understanding of the interview process, planning for interviews with suspects in the present study is understood as: “investigators’ constructive preparation activity for interviewing suspects, which involves setting specific aims and objectives, planning for potential defences, and organising an appropriate sequence of topics, questions and evidence/information disclosure in order to fulfil the purpose of the interview (that is, the gathering of a reliable and comprehensive account)”.

Theoretical Framework of Investigative Interview Planning

In addition to such operationalisation of interview planning, we also established that there were no suitable measurement tools available to assess planning in an investigative interview context. As such, it was necessary to create one for the current study. This was grounded in theoretical perspectives that will be discussed in the current section. The theory of planned behaviour (Ajzen and Fishbein 2000; Fishbein and Ajzen 1975) was adapted as a framework for the present study (see Fig. 1). In brief, the theory accords that human behaviour is anchored by three kinds of beliefs: behavioural beliefs (i.e. attitude towards the behaviour), normative beliefs (i.e. subjective norm), and control beliefs (i.e. perceived behavioural control) (Ajzen 2006). Each type of belief is argued to effect, either favourably or unfavourably, subsequent components (Ajzen 2006).

Fig. 1
figure 1

Structural model of the theory of planned behaviour (Ajzen 2006)

Subjective norm, according to Ajzen (1991), relates to the possible presence of any social pressure (whether approval or disapproval) that effects the act of planning, which may be evident in strong organisational cultures such as policing (Davis 2013; Mortimer 1994). Perceived behavioural control has two aspects (i.e. internal and external). The former is thought to be associated with Bandura’s “perceived self-efficacy” concept (1982), being found to mediate participants’ perseverance on solving intellectual problems (Cervone and Peake 1986). External factors (such as perceived time pressure—see Walsh and Milne 2007) might be related to “perceived controllability over behaviour” (Conner and Armitage 1998, p. 1439). Individuals’ intentions represent the motivational factors which influence their behaviour, indicating how much people will exert effort in order to perform the behaviour. Conner and Armitage (1998, p.1450) argued, however, that “intentions do not always lead to the successful enactment of behaviour”.

Investigators’ decision-making was also incorporated into the framework. Investigative mindset and defensive avoidance are argued to be integral components of the concept of the need for cognitive closure (or NFCC; see Kruglanski 1989, 1996). NFCC refers to individuals’ preference for unambiguity, with those assessed with a high need being characterised by a tendency to form quick judgements based on a solitary hypothesis, despite inconclusive evidence, while avoiding others’ dissenting viewpoints (Kruglanski and Webster 1996). While Ask and Granhag (2005) did not find confirmation bias linked to NFCC among investigators, the current study examined whether NFCC is associated with insufficient planning.

In summary, in building a theoretical framework of planning for interviews with suspects (see Fig. 2), the present study suggests an exploratory model of investigators planning, based on the existing theory of planned behaviour, while incorporating the two additional factors of NFCC, and perceived time pressure.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Theoretical model of interview planning behaviour

In light of the foregoing, we hypothesised that there would be positive associations between interviewers’ (i) attitudes towards undertaking the planning task, (ii) cultural expectations and beliefs concerning the task, (iii) beliefs as to their own ability to undertake interviews efficaciously without thorough planning, and (iv) perceived planning intent and planning behaviour. In addition, it was hypothesised that “time pressure” and NFCC would have a moderating effect on the relationship between intention and planning.

Method

Materials

A questionnaire was developed following the above theoretical framework. Having first obtained ethical approval from the authors’ home university, the questionnaire (see Appendix 1) was successfully piloted with 15 investigators (i.e. no issues of ambiguity were found with the questions, while reporting relative ease in both understanding and completing the questionnaire). The instrument firstly involved a series of demographic questions relating to gender, rank, and length of professional experience. Three dichotomous questions were also asked relating to respondents’ experience/views concerning training (in either the PEACE model or any preparation training). Thirty items associated with the theory of planned behaviour (TPB) were assessed using a seven-point Likert scale, where 1 = Strongly disagree and 7 = Strongly agree. The 15 NFCC-related questions followed the work of Roets and Van Hiel (2011) using an ascending six-point Likert scale, where 6 = Strongly agree). Each of the two sets of questions was interspersed. Further, some questions were inversely coded (see Appendix 1: reverse coded items = Nos. 2, 10, 19, 22, and 23 TPB questions; Nos. 2, 10, and 15 of the NFCC ones).

Also included in the questionnaire were questions relating to investigators’ attitudes. First, questions concerning evaluation ahead of planning were asked (see Table 8 in Appendix 2, items APP1–2). The questionnaire additionally covered more specified aspects of evaluation (that is, necessity, effectiveness, efficiency, and usefulness of interview planning). The questionnaire also included questions concerning subjective norms (adapted from Fishbein and Ajzen 2010) that related to investigators’ perceptions of external pressure from, say, peers or superiors (SN1–4). Self-efficacy was also included, which measured investigators’ beliefs in their own interview planning skill (SE1–6).

Regarding investigators’ motivation to undertake planning, intention (INT1–3—see Table 8 in Appendix 2) was measured. NFCC was measured by a single indicator, while perceived time pressure involved five questions (modified from Teng et al. 2010—see PTP1–5 in Table 8 in Appendix 2). Finally, the perceived level of planning interviews (PLPI) concerns investigators’ recall of their planning experiences (PLPI1–6) during the preceding 2 months before their survey responses.

Participants

Korean financial crime investigators (FCIs) were selected as the sample participants, since they generally undertake investigations themselves from the outset of the case. Convenience sampling was adopted because of time and environmental limitations. However, as the research involved police stations in a similar law enforcement area, systemic error was expected to be small. No incentives were given to respondents.

Procedure

During 2014, FCIs in eight police stations, located in Gyeonggi and Incheon areas of Korea, were selected as sources of possible participants. Each FCI team manager agreed to distribute the questionnaires to relevant FCI participants in their team, who were given a week to voluntarily complete the questionnaires. Participants were first instructed not to confer with their colleagues when completing the questionnaire and then place them. Once completed, they were each placed in sealed envelopes in a designated area for the team manager to collect, before their onward dispatch by the manager to the first author. Since the questionnaire contained no identifying information, the participants could be assured of their anonymity.

Results

Demography of the Participants

Of the approximate 125 distributed questionnaires,Footnote 1 95 completed ones were received. Eighty percent (n = 76) of the respondents were male, and of the whole sample, all but two indicated that they had undergone PEACE training (however, despite this training, only 82 felt that had received training in planning). Even so, 94.74% (n = 90) expressed a view that being trained to conduct planning was a necessity. Among the sample was one (1.05%) junior ranked frontline officer, while 30.53% (n = 29) were senior frontline police officers, 17.89% (n = 17) were assistant inspectors, 42.11% (n = 40) were inspectors, and 8.42% (n = 8) were senior inspectors. Forty-eight respondents each possessed over 3 years of investigation experience, regardless of their rank (with 35 of these possessing over 5 years of experience). Thirty (31.58%) respondents had been less than a year in post, while 17 respondents had been a FCI between 1 and 3 years.

Analytical and Statistical Framework

A second-generation statistical program of path modelling termed partial least squares (PLS-PM) was used for the data analysis, being a form of structural equation modelling (SEM). The PLS-PM is especially well suited for the present study with its relatively small sample size. The PLS-PM method estimates parameters of both inner (structural) and outer (measurement) models. “Outer model” refers to the evaluation of the relationship between observable indicators and latent (or unobservable) variables, such as attitudes and perceptions, while “inner model” involves the evaluation of the latent (or hidden) variables.

We used SmartPLS 3.0 to analyse both the outer and inner models. PLS algorithms were calculated with all indicators of each latent variable, followed by bootstrapping in order to assess statistical significance. The analysis criteria were based on the default setting (i.e. 300 maximum iterations and 500 sub-samples, where p = 0.05). Three potentially problematic indicators loaded especially poorly on the latent variable in question and were therefore excluded from later analysis. Firstly, SN4 was removed since it showed low loading (i.e. 0.35). Secondly, PLPI5 (and PTP2) were both excluded because they did not significantly load onto the proposed latent factor.

The present study also investigated the potential for measurement error as a result of the chosen methodology (common method variance). The importance of testing this is evident as it can skew the results (Podsakoff et al. 2003). Common method bias was tested by two distinct approaches (see below) on how to address potential self-administered survey method biases. Harman’s single factor test was conducted by undertaking an exploratory, un-rotated factor analysis of all the indicators with the exception of NFCC. This produced showed six distinct factors, with the largest one explaining 33.7% of the variance, as shown in Table 2. Secondly, as there was no correlation which exceeded 0.90 between the indicators, no common method bias was found. This indicates that such systematic measurement error will not threaten the validity of the results and conclusions of the present study (Podsakoff et al. 2003).

Table 2 Harman’s factor analysis

The analysis of the measurement (outer) and structural (inner) model was conducted simultaneously but is presented separately here for the ease of reading.

Measurement Model (Outer Model)

Evaluation of the Formative Indicators

Firstly, the formative measurement model was tested because this should be differentiated from reflective indicators (Chin 2010). As we noted above, the aim of the measurement model is to establish the relationships between the observed variables (indicators) and the proposed latent factors. Following the initial indicator screening, multi-collinearity was checked for each of the formative indicators by the level of variance inflation factor (VIF). Next, a two-block model “redundancy analysis” was conducted to investigate the convergent validity of indicators. PLS bootstrapping was also conducted, and the indicators were considered significant at p < 0.05. For the assessment, three new models for each formative construct were created for redundancy analysis to assess convergent validity and analysed by PLS.

The attitude construct model for redundancy analysis showed a high correlation of 0.85 between its indicators (see Fig. 3). However, the weightings of two indicators (i.e. ATT5 and ATT6) were found not significant (p > 0.05). Nevertheless, it was decided to still include them due to their absolute contribution to each latent variable (i.e. high loadings with significant level, see Table 3) and their conceptual meaning for this study. Next, multi-collinearity was checked for each of the indicators by the level of VIF. It was found that, as the VIF for all attitude indicators was below Lowry and Gaskin’s (2014) threshold of rigour of 3.3 (see Table 3), multi-collinearity did not exist. This result indicated that sufficient validation of attitude indicators was achieved.

Fig. 3
figure 3

Redundancy analysis of attitude (ATT) indicators

Table 3 Analysis result of indicators

The self-efficacy construct was then similarly tested. The path coefficient was 0.79, argued as acceptable in such an exploratory study as the present one (see Fig. 4). Indicators SE3 and SE5 showed relatively stronger weightings than SE4 and SE6 (both of which were non-significant). Nonetheless, the latter indicators were not excluded as all outer model loadings were significant (p < 0.01). The VIFs for all self-efficacy indicators were below the acceptable criterion of 10 (Lowry and Gaskin 2014).

Fig. 4
figure 4

Redundancy analysis of self-efficacy (SE) indicators

Undergoing the same procedure, the PLPI construct was also similarly tested. The correlation between the PLPI indicators was 0.79 (see Fig. 5). As such, all formative indicators were found to be significant (see Table 3). Multi-collinearity was again not found (i.e. all indicators with VIF below 3.3).

Fig. 5
figure 5

Redundancy analysis of perceived level of planning interviews (PLPI) indicators

Evaluation of the Reflective Indicators

To assess the reflective indicators, the constructs were analysed by performing a confirmatory factor analysis. As shown in Table 4, all indicators showed high loadings over 0.70, except SN1 (0.67), which is acceptable, all being significant. Also, all composite reliabilities, used to assess internal consistency (being an alternative to Cronbach’s alpha), were found to be over 0.70 (i.e. the reliability threshold).

Table 4 Results summary for outer models

To evaluate the convergent validity of the indicators, the average variance extracted (AVE) was examined (see Table 4), consistently finding values exceeding the threshold of 0.5 (Bagozzi and Yi 1988). Outer loadings of indicators on their latent construct were compared with the loadings of other indicators (see Table 5), concluding that the loadings had acceptable values (Lowry and Gaskin 2014). Each square root of AVE of the latent variables was examined (see Table 6). All the relationships were stronger than those between the latent variables. This indicates that the constructs have good discriminant validity.

Table 5 Cross loading of reflective models
Table 6 Discriminant validity by the square root of AVE

Structural Model (Inner Model)

Figure 6 shows the inner model results. As can be seen from this figure, three pathways were statistically significant (p < 0.05). The beta for the path between subjective norm and intention was 0.45, while the corresponding figures between self-efficacy and intention and, in turn, between intention and PLPI were found to be beta = 0.41 and beta = 0.80, respectively. The R 2 of intention was 0.65, and that of PLPI was 0.67 (p < 0.01). Attitude, subjective norm, and self-efficacy accounted for 65% of the variance in intention, while, in turn, intention accounted for 66.7% of the variance in PLPI. Not all paths between the latent variables were significant as can be seen from Table 7.

Fig. 6
figure 6

PLS results for interview planning factor relation. PTP perceived time pressures, ATT attitudes, SN subjective norms, INT intention, PLPI perceived level of planning interviews, SE self-efficacy, NFCC need for cognitive closure

Table 7 Summary of path coefficients and significance levels

Effect sizes were calculated, finding f square for the relationships between (i) self-efficacy and intention to be 0.42 and (ii) subjective norm and intention to be 0.33, while (iii) the effect size was 1.89 for intention on PLPI (where 0.40 values and above for f are deemed strong, while medium-strength effect sizes lie between 0.25 to 0.49 for f (see Gefen and Straub 2005).

Only attitude to intention and perceived time pressures to PLPI showed path coefficients at the level of p < 0.10. In addition, the proposed moderating effect of perceived time pressures and NFCC between intention and PLPI was not significant (i.e. perceived time pressures interaction = − 0.07 with p = 0.18, NFCC interaction = 0.01 with p = 0.61).

Discussion

As previous research upon the planning phase of investigative interviews has mostly examined only the level of planning, the present study set out to examine an area yet to be explored, that is, the possible reasons associated with investigators’ decision-making as whether or not to plan. As such, the current study adds to the increasing and expanding literature based on investigative interviewing.

The present exploratory study provided empirical understanding of factors proposed to be associated with investigators’ planning interviews with suspects. Firstly, it was hypothesised that interview planning would be positively associated by interviewers’ attitudes towards undertaking the task. Among the antecedent factors of the theory of planned behaviour, attitude was found to have a weak relationship with planning intentions. The findings indicated that regardless of their rank, career, or gender, most participants in our survey provided a positive evaluation of planning. Contrary to assumptions, however, investigators’ attitudes were not found to be associated with their interview preparations. This could be so due to the inconsistency between attitude and actual behaviour (Ajzen and Fishbein 2005). The relative importance of each indicator of investigators’ attitudes towards planning varied. Perceptions relating to the usefulness of planning and those concerning efficiency were found to be more important than indicators pertaining to perceived necessity of planning and its effectiveness, which were found to be much less influential.

As hypothesised, intention to plan was strongly associated with PLPI. This finding suggests that police investigators who have more intention to plan would, in turn, engage in more planning than those who have less. This supports the belief that intention is probably most strongly associated with the prediction of planning behaviour (Ajzen 1991; Armitage and Conner 2001). It is, however, acknowledged that this finding could possibly stem from one of the study’s methodological limitations, since PLPI was measured by surveying participants’ perceptions rather than their actual practice. Investigators may also have considered that since they believe that they undertake much planning, their intentions must be accordingly strong. If that is indeed the case, it might be the perceived level of planning that is prompting the intention, and not the reverse. As such, it is recommended that future research into this area is undertaken by other methods, such as observational or “think aloud” methodologies.

In line with the next hypothesis, the correlations suggested a strong relationship between subjective norm and planning intentions. Such a relationship is perhaps not surprising since such normative beliefs (or organisational culture) have repeatedly been considered an important factor in criminal investigations (Chan 2007; Crank 2010; Gottschalk 2007). The latter is likely related to the specific and unique working culture that dominates much police practice, which is mostly learned from “on the job” experience (Tong et al. 2009).

Interestingly, the variable of whether fellow investigators tended to investigate first before interviewing did not load onto the subjective norm construct. This was not unexpected because the content of the question is quite different from that of the other subjective norm indicators contained in the questionnaire, and consequently, the question may have been unfamiliar to participants. At the same time, two thirds of participants provided a rating for this question of less than the mid-point of the scale. As such, it might be assumed that the investigators’ perceptions concerning the culture of “investigate after interviewing” are relatively high. This finding would reflect inconsistency with the fundamental aims of investigative interviewing (i.e. where, whenever possible, interviews with suspects should be undertaken later in the investigative process). Considering that the survey involved financial crime investigators, this is a finding of some concern, if found to be one that plays out in practice. Such investigators have greater opportunity to defer interviews until after a comprehensive investigation has been completed, and fulsome evidence painstakingly gathered, than say, homicide or terrorism detectives (where matters of public protection from further harm are more likely to prompt both earlier arrest and interview of a suspect, before opportunity has occurred to collect much evidence).

Self-efficacy was found to have a strong relationship, as hypothesised, with both planning intention and PLPI. Indeed, self-efficacy was found to have a stronger association with intention than subjective norm. A possible explanation might involve the cognitively demanding activity associated with the planning of interviews. Prior research has found self-efficacy to have a significant relationship with various cognitive tasks (e.g. Celuch et al. 2010; Cervone and Peake 1986; Conner and Armitage 1998; Pajares and Kranzler 1995; Pajares and Schunk 2001). Self-efficacy has also been found to be associated with employee motivation and effort when learning difficult tasks (Lunenberg 2011). Walsh et al. (2017) found, in their study of investigators, a self-confidence about own interviewing ability, which, in turn, was found consistently inferior to that objectively assessed.

Of the examined self-efficacy indicators, that of “organising questions” was found to be of highest importance to investigators in their planning, while other indicators of “predicting suspects’ defences”, “knowing topics to ask”, and “knowing points to prove” were found to be much less important. The latter three interviewing tasks are, however, considered to be critical when planning interviews (Shepherd and Griffiths 2013; Walsh and Bull 2010). As such, it is a matter of concern that investigators feel that these activities merit less attention. Thus, this finding suggests that police investigators who have more intention to plan would, in turn, engage in more planning than those who have less. This supports the belief that intention is probably most strongly associated with the prediction of planning behaviour (Ajzen 1991; Armitage and Conner 2001).

Perceived time pressures and NFCC, somewhat counter-intuitively, were found to have a minimal correlation with PLPI. Participants apparently felt little time pressure for handling their cases, a finding that is inconsistent with prior research (Baldwin 1993; Cherryman and Bull 2001; Walsh and Milne 2007, 2008). This finding might be related to the previously mentioned speculation that financial crime investigators are more likely to be able to have greater opportunity to thoroughly investigate before interviewing (and thus, in principle at least, possess greater time for planning). However, it may be that time pressure, when perceived to be moderate, may act as a stimulant for planning (Baer and Oldham 2006; Freedman and Edwards 1988; Janssen 2001).

The findings of the present study suggest that law enforcement agencies may well need to enhance the importance of interview planning for officers trained in the PEACE model (through, say, good supervision following such training). While planning is a fundamental part of the PEACE model, studies suggest that it is a task to which officers rarely attend (Walsh and Bull 2011; Walsh and Milne 2007). Further, studies of interviews conducted in the field suggest that planning is mediocre in practice, with thorough and skilled planning rarely having taken place (Clarke and Milne 2001; Walsh and Bull 2010, 2012). Such studies have also noted the positive association between planning skills and the recommended PEACE interview outcomes of obtaining extensive accounts from suspects, underlining the importance of planning. Indeed, Griffiths (2008) found that officers’ planning skills faded over time after training, also noting that training alone (no matter how good) is insufficient in itself to ensure skills are maintained.

Walsh and Bull (2010) found some interviews in their sample (also of fraud investigators) were being conducted before an investigation had fully taken place, noting that such interviews were of a “fishing trip” characteristic. They had also rated these interviews, without exception, as the most poor in terms of planning skills (and likewise, least associated with the gaining of comprehensive accounts). Fraud investigators invariably have the luxury of being able to fully conduct a thorough investigation before any interview with identified suspects (compared, say, to violent crimes, where public safety issues may mean that an early arrest and interview of a suspect might be required before a thorough investigation has been allowed to take place). The findings from the present study suggest that occupational culture is associated with investigators’ decisions as to whether or not to plan. As such, if an “interview before (fully) investigating” occupational culture exists, wherever possible, such a maxim should be changed to “interview after (fully) investigating”.

Furthermore, current training should address both investigators’ motivation to plan, as well as their capabilities of accurately assessing their own performance, since the present study found that self-efficacy is critically important to planning intent. Griffiths (2008) found that planning is a complex task. However, investigators have been found to possess little self-awareness of how poor were their own planning skills (Walsh et al. 2017). Griffiths and Walsh (submitted) found that more accurate self-awareness was only apparent when investigators exercised skilled reflection. Additionally, training for interview planning should emphasise the dangers of planning inflexibly, when considering the dynamic nature of groundwork.

Study Limitations

The present study, as with all studies, possesses limitations. First, it used a self-administered questionnaire, which could be affected by various biases (e.g. consistency motif, social desirability, leniency bias, and genuine misremembering). Second, the findings may not be fully generalizable since it was confined to FCIs operating in South Korea. Third, there may also be generalisability issues relating to the fact that more than two thirds of respondents were quite senior officers, who may not regularly conduct interviews. On the other hand, almost a third stated that they had less than a year of professional experience. Nevertheless, over a third of respondents possessed more than 5 years of experience and it would be reasonably expected that their views emerged from the vantage point of their having conducted many interviews. When turning to investigators’ individual cognitive dispositions while NFCC was not found to significantly relate to PLPI, we speculate whether this finding might stem from the limitation to assess such cognitive disposition through abridged self-administered questionnaires. Indeed, other research (which also employed similar limited predictors) also found non-significant outcomes (O’Neill 2011). Ask and Granhag (2005) also found that NFCC did not significantly affect bias in investigative decision-making. As these authors recommend, a more valid test of this disposition might be needed.

Summary

Overall, this exploratory research has provided empirical understanding concerning investigators’ interview planning attitudes. Using the framework of a well-known theory of human behaviour, the study did find factors apparently associated with investigators’ planning. The working environment norms of police investigators were found to be strongly associated with planning intentions. Also, investigators’ self-efficacy of their planning-related capabilities was also found to have a strong relationship with intention and perceived level of planning. Above all, intention to plan was found to have a powerful association with interview planning. Contrary to common beliefs regarding possible reasons for poor planning (i.e. time pressure), the present study found that investigators’ own perception of their planning skills and their subjective norms appear to potentially play a more substantial role. Thus, necessary measures and academic research undertaken to improve any lack of planning might be less focused on the time pressure issue.

However, further research is required to understand the actual interview planning practice of police investigators, to establish how to enhance planning practice (e.g. by using think aloud methodologies). Recent research on developing effective strategies when interviewing suspects has emphasised the importance of developing an interview strategy (Dando et al. 2015; Hartwig et al. 2005a, b, 2006, 2007; van der Sleen 2009; Walsh and Bull 2015). The necessity to plan interviews should not be overlooked, being as important as other investigative tasks. Better-prepared interviewers will be better placed to challenge capricious and evasive suspects. Additionally, better-prepared investigators tend more often to establish the reliability of given accounts (Walsh and Bull 2010). Finally, interview planning is not a discrete task (Walsh et al. 2012). As such, further research is essential to examine all pre-interview groundwork (such as investigative decision-making) to help contribute to effective investigative interviewing.