Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Coastal vulnerability assessment of Gujarat coast to sea level rise using GIS techniques: a preliminary study

  • Published:
Journal of Coastal Conservation Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Assessing the preparedness of the coastal region to the anticipated sea level rise is a major task among the coastal management authority, where identification of relative vulnerable of coast is a prime concern. The present research work has utilized Remote Sensing and GIS techniques for assessing vulnerability of the Gujarat coast due to predicted sea level rise. Synergetic use of satellite remote sensing, numerical simulations and filed observations has been done to generate coastal thematic information followed by validation. Coastal vulnerability assessment of the entire Gujarat coast on 1:50,000 scale were carried out considering five physical parameters. They are; coastal geomorphology, coastal slope, shoreline change rate, mean spring tidal range, and significant wave height. The rank values of all the five physical variables are integrated through additive method to compute a Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) where the relative ranking is assigned to various coastal segments based on the vulnerability level. The CVI values categorize Gujarat coast into four risk level classes. The results show that 785 km (45.67 %) of the Gujarat coast is under high to very high risk category and 934 km (54.33 %) of the Gujarat coast is under Moderate to Low risk category due to an anticipated rise in sea level. The coastal regions under very high risk category are along northwestern parts of the Gulf of Khambhat, the northernmost parts of the Gulf of Kachchh and western parts of the Kachchh coast. The southern parts of the Saurashtra coast and southwestern parts of the Kachchh coast is under the low risk category along with isolated segments along the eastern parts of the Gulf of Khambhat. The approach developed for assessing vulnerability of the coast to predicted sea level rise using remote sensing and GIS techniques can be used effectively by coastal management authorities and decision makers to devise better coastal zone management plans as well as to ensure efficient mitigation measures to minimize the losses due to possible impact of predicted sea level rise through which appropriate measures to protect life, property and environment can be timely planned.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Allan JC, Komar PD (2006) Climate controls on US West Coast erosion processes. J Coast Res 22:511–529

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • AMAP (Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program) (2012) Arctic Climate Issues 2011: Changes in Arctic Snow, Water, Ice and Permafrost, Oslo, pp 1–97

  • Banerjee A (2005) Tsunami deaths. Curr Sci 88:1358

    Google Scholar 

  • Brown LR (2001) Rising sea level forcing evacuation of island country. Earth Policy Inst. Available via http://www.earth-policy.org/Updates/Update2.htm. Accessed 2 Aug 2008

  • Cazenave A, Dominh K, Guinehut S, Berthier E, Llovel W, Ramillien G, … Larnicol G (2009) Sea level budget over 2003–2008: a reevaluation from GRACE space gravimetry, satellite altimetry and Argo. Glob Planet Chang 65(1):83–88

  • Census of India (2011) (http://censusindia.gov.in/)

  • Chadha RK, Latha G, Yeh H et al (2005) The tsunami of the great Sumatra earthquake of M.9.0 on 26 December 2004—impact on the east coast of India. Curr Sci 88:1297–1301

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen SS, Chen LF, Liu QH, Li X, Tan Q (2005) Remote sensing and GIS-based integrated analysis of coastal changes and their environmental impacts in Lingding Bay, Pearl River Estuary, South China. Ocean Coast Manag 48(1):65–83

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coastal Regulation Zone (CRZ) Notification 2011, Ministry of Environment, Forests and Climate Change, Govt. of India. (http://www.moef.nic.in/downloads/public-information/CRZ-Notification-2011.pdf). Accessed 15 Jan 2012

  • Crowell M, Leatherman SP, Buckley MK (1991) Historical shoreline change: error analysis and mapping accuracy. J Coast Res 7:839–852

    Google Scholar 

  • Diez PG, Perillo GME, Piccolo MC (2007) Vulnerability to sea-level rise on the coast of Buenos Aires province. J Coast Res 23:119–126

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dolan R, Fenster MS, Holme SJ (1991) Temporal analysis of shoreline recession and accretion. J Coast Res 7:723–744

    Google Scholar 

  • Doukakis E (2005) Coastal vulnerability and risk parameters. Eur Water 11(12):3–7

    Google Scholar 

  • Garg JK, Singh TS, Murthy TUR (1998) Wetland of India, Space Application Centre (ISRO), Ahmedabad. Project Report on Nation Wide Wetland

  • Gehrels W, Marshall W, Gehrels M, Larsen G, Kirby J, Eiríksson J, Heinemeier J, Shimmield T (2006) Rapid sea-level rise in the North Atlantic Ocean since the first half of the nineteenth century. The Holocene 16:949–965

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gornitz V (1991) Global coastal hazards from future sea level rise. Glob Planet Chang 3(4):379–398

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hanh PTT, Furukawa M (2007) Impact of sea level rise on coastal zone of Vietnam. Bull Coll Sci Univ Ryukyus 84:45

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen J, Sato M, Ruedy R, Lo K, Lea DW, Medina-Elizade M (2006) Global temperature change. Proc Natl Acad Sci 103(39):14288–14293

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001. Impacts, adaptration and vulnerability. Contribution of working Group-II to the Third assessment report of the Inter-government Panel on Climate Change. In: McCarthy JJ et al (eds) Cambridge University Press, pp 1–1032

  • IPCC (2007) Summary for policymakers. In: Soloman SD, Manning QM, Chen Z, Miller HL (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 1–18

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (2013) Summary for policymakers. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (eds) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC-CZMS (1992) Global climate change and the rising challenge of the sea. Report of the Coastal Zone Management Subgroup, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, The Hague

    Google Scholar 

  • Kemp AC, Horton BP, Culver SJ, Corbett DR, van de Plassche O, Gehrels WR, … Parnell AC (2009) Timing and magnitude of recent accelerated sea-level rise (North Carolina, United States). Geology 37(11):1035–1038.

  • Klein RJT, Reese S, Sterr H (2000) Climate change and coastal zones: an overview of the state-of-the-art on regional and local vulnerability. In: Giupponi CA, Shechther M (eds) Climate change in the Mediterranean: socio-economic perspective of impacts, vulnerability and adaptation. Edward Elgar Publishing, Camberley, pp 245–278

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar TS, Mahendra RS, Nayak S, Radhakrishnan K, Sahu KC (2010) Coastal vulnerability assessment for Orissa State, East coast of India. J Coast Res 26:523–534

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • ManiMurali R, Ankita M, Amrita S, Vethamony P (2013) Coastal vulnerability assessment of Puducherry coast, India, using the analytical hierarchical process. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 13(12):3291–3311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McLean RF, Tsyban A, Burkett V, Codignotto JO, Forbes DL, Mimura N, Ittekkot V (2001) Coastal zones and marine ecosystems. In: McCarthy JJ et al (eds) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 343–379

  • Meehl GA, Washington WM, Collins WD, Arblaster JM, Hu A, Buja LE, … Teng H (2005) How much more global warming and sea level rise? Science 307(5716):1769–1772

  • MOEF (Ministry of Environment and Forests) Government of India (2009) Draft summary report, Integrated Coastal Zone Management Project-Assisted by World Bank: Environment and Social Assessment Report, November 2009. (http://www.moef.nic.in/downloads/public-information/Notice_ICZM.pdf)

  • Nayak S (1994) Application of remote sensing data for estimation of impact of sea level rise along the Gujarat coast. Global Change Studies: Scientific Results from ISRO Geosphere Biosphere Programme

  • Nayak S (2002) Use of satellite data in coastal mapping. Indian Cartogr 22:147–157

    Google Scholar 

  • O’Regan PR (1996) The use of contemporary information technologies for coastal research and management: a review. J Coast Res 12:192–204

    Google Scholar 

  • Pendleton EA, Thieler ER, Williams SJ (2004) Coastal vulnerability assessment of Cape Hettaras National Seashore (CAHA) to sea level rise. USGS Open File Report 2004, 1064

  • Pendleton EA, Thieler ER, Williams SJ (2006) Coastal vulnerability assessment of Glacier Bay National Park to sea-level rise: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2005-1248, Web Only. Available online at URL: http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2005/1248

  • Pethick JS, Crooks S (2000) Development of a coastal vulnerability index: a geomorphological perspective. Environ Conserv 27(4):359–367

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pye K, Blott SJ (2006) Coastal processes and morphological change in the Dunwich-Sizewell area, Suffolk, UK. J Coast Res 22:453–473

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ramanamurthy MV, Sundaramoorthy S, Pari Y et al (2005) Inundation of seawater in Andaman and Nicobar islands and parts of Tamil Nadu coast during 2004 Sumatra tsunami. Curr Sci 88:1736–1740

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao N, Subraelu KP, Rao VT, Malini HB, Ratheesh R, Bhattacharya S, Rajawat AS, Ajai (2008) Sea-level rise and coastal vulnerability: an assessment of Andhra Pradesh coast, India through remote sensing and GIS, J Coast Conserv 12:195–207

  • SAC (1991) Manual for mapping of coastal wetlands/landform and shoreline changes using satellite data. Space Applications Centre (ISRO), Ahmedabad, India, No. IRS-UP/SAC/MCE/TN/32/91. pp 28–38

  • SAC (2012) Coastal Zones of India, Space Applications Centre (ISRO), pp 601, ISBN: 978-81-909978-9-8

  • Scott DB (2005) Coastal changes, rapid. In: Encyclopedia of coastal science, pp 253–255

  • Shaw J, Taylor RB, Forbes DL, Solomon S, Ruz MH (1998) Sensitivity of the coasts of Canada to sea-level rise. Bull Geol Surv Can 505:1–79

    Google Scholar 

  • Sood RK, Subramaniyam V, and Sahai B (1982) Quarternary geomorphology of Kathiawad coast. First National Seminar on Quareternary Environment. Papers (Rd. S.S. Merh). Hindustan Publishing Corp. (India). Delhi, pp 3–12

  • Strohecker K (2008) World sea levels to rise 1.5 m by 2100: scientists, an Environmental News Network and Reuters publication. Available via http://www.enn.com/wildlife/article/34702. Accessed 24 July 2008

  • Thieler ER, Hammar-Klose ES (2000) National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Future Sea-Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast. U.S. Geological Survey, Open-File Report 00-179, 1 sheet. Available online at: http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/of00-179/

  • Thieler ER, Hammer-Klose ES (1999) National assessment of coastal vulnerability to sea level rise: preliminary results for the U.S. Atlanta coast. USGS, Open File Report 99, 593

  • Thom BG, Cowell PJ (2005) Coastal changes, gradual. In: Schwartz ML (ed) Encyclopedia of coastal sciences. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 251–253

    Google Scholar 

  • Turner JM, Bindschadler R, Convey P, di Prisco G, Fahrbach E, Gutt J, Hodgson D, Mayewski P, Summerhayes C (2009) Antarctic climate change and the environment. Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research, Cambridge, p 526

    Google Scholar 

  • United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) (2007). hysical alteration and destruction of habitats. www.unep.org. Accessed 27 Feb 2008

  • Unnikrishnan AS, Kumar KR, Fernandes SE, Michael GS, Patwardhan SK (2006) Sea level changes along the Indian coast: observations and projections. Curr Sci 90(3):362–368

    Google Scholar 

  • Wood R (2008) Climate change: natural ups and downs. Nature 453(7191):43–45

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors express their sincere gratitude to Shri A S Kiran Kumar, Director, SAC, Ahmedabad for providing required data and support. The authors are thankful to Dr. Ramesh Ramachandran, Director and Dr. Purvaja Ramachandran, Scientist-G, NCSCM, Chennai for providing valuable guidance, support and constant encouragement. The authors are also grateful to the reviewer for their valuable suggestion.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Manik Mahapatra.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Mahapatra, M., Ramakrishnan, R. & Rajawat, A.S. Coastal vulnerability assessment of Gujarat coast to sea level rise using GIS techniques: a preliminary study. J Coast Conserv 19, 241–256 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11852-015-0384-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11852-015-0384-x

Keywords

Navigation