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High Hepatitis B Viral Load Predicts Recurrence of Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Curative Resection

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Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery Aims and scope

Abstract

A retrospective cohort study was conducted to identify risk factors for recurrence of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative resection. A total of 317 patients who had received curative resection of pathologically proven small HCC (≤3 cm in diameter) were analyzed to ascertain the factors affecting recurrence. The median follow-up period was 33.7 months. Cumulative recurrence rates at 1, 3, and 5 years after resection were 23.5%, 49.5%, and 65.5%, respectively. Male sex, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥400 ng/mL, HBV DNA level ≥4 log10 copies/mL, prolonged prothrombin time, tumor size ≥2 cm, microvascular invasion, absence of capsular formation, moderate/poor tumor differentiation, and absence of postoperative interferon-alpha (IFN-α) treatment were associated with increased cumulative risk of HCC recurrence. By multivariate analysis, HBV DNA level ≥4 log10 copies/mL (P < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR) 2.110), AFP ≥400 ng/mL (P = 0.011, HR 1.574), microvascular invasion (P < 0.001, HR 1.767), and postoperative IFN-α treatment (P = 0.022, HR 0.562) remained to be independently associated with HCC recurrence. Those contributing to late recurrence (>2 years) were older age and HBV DNA level ≥4 log10 copies/mL. Patients with persistent HBV DNA level ≥4 log10 copies/mL at resection and follow-up had the highest recurrence risk (P < 0.001, HR 4.129). HBV DNA level ≥4 log10 copies/mL at the time of resection was the most important risk factor for recurrence. Postoperative IFN-α treatment significantly decreased the recurrence risk after resection.

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Acknowledgments

We thank Professor Nai-qing Zhao, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, China, for guide in the statistical analysis.

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Correspondence to Xi-Zhong Shen.

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Financial support

This study was financially supported by The National High Technology Research and Development Program of China 863 Project (No. 2006AA02Z4C5) and China National Key Projects for Infectious Diseases (2008ZX10002-017).

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Qu, LS., Jin, F., Huang, XW. et al. High Hepatitis B Viral Load Predicts Recurrence of Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Curative Resection. J Gastrointest Surg 14, 1111–1120 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11605-010-1211-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11605-010-1211-1

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