Skip to main content
Log in

The application of neural network to the analysis of earthquake precursor chaotic time series

  • Published:
Acta Seismologica Sinica

Abstract

Artificial neural network (NN) is such a model as to imitate the structure and intelligence feature of human brain. It has strong nonlinear mapping function. To introduce NN into the study of earthquake prediction is not only an extension of the application of artificial neural network model but also a new try for precursor observation to serve the earthquake prediction. In this paper, we analyzed the predictability of time series and gave a method of application of artificial neural network in forecasting earthquake precursor chaotic time series. Besides, taking the ground tilt observation of Jiangning and Xuzhou Station, the bulk strain observation of Liyang station as examples, we analyzed and forecasted their time series respectively. It is indicated that the precision of this method can meet the needs of practical task and therefore of great value in the application to the future practical earthquake analysis and prediction.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • DING Yu-guo, JIANG Zhi-hong. 1998. Signal Disposal for Time Series of Weather Data [M]. Beijing: Meterology Publishing House, 115–119 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Grassberger P, Procaccia J. 1984. Dimensions and entropies of strange attractors from a fluctuating dynamics approach [J]. Physica D, 13: 34–54.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • HAO Bo-lin. 1993. Starting with Parabolas — An Introduction to Chaotic Dynamics [M]. Shanghai: Shanghai Scientific and Technological Education Publishing House, 127 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • JIANG Chun, FENG De-yi, WANG De-xin, et al. 1994. Some application of neural network model to earthquake prediction [J]. Earthquake Research in China, 10(3): 262–269 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • JIAO Ming-ruo, LIU Bao-heng. 1996. Application of fractal dimension theory to the water radon analysis [J]. Earthquake, 16(2): 183–189 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • LI Qiang. 1998. Research on earthquake precursor attractor and its predictability [J]. Earthquake Research in China, 14(4): 71–77 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • LI Qiang, XU Gui-ming, HUANG Yun. 1999. The variation of chaotic and multi-fractal characteristic for water level and its application in earthquake prediction [J]. Earthquake, 19(3): 274–280 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • LIANG Zi-bin. 1997. Diagnostic variation of earthquake precursor attractor [J]. Northwestern Seismological Journal, 19(3): 73–76 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • WANG Dong-sheng, CAO Lei. 1995. Chaos, Fractal and Their Application [M]. Hefei: Publishing House of Science and Technology University of China, 389–411 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • WANG De-xin. 1992. A NN method for modeling [J]. Decision-making and Its Supporting System, 2(2): 82–87 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

About this article

Cite this article

Qiang, L. The application of neural network to the analysis of earthquake precursor chaotic time series. Acta Seimol. Sin. 13, 434–439 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-000-0025-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-000-0025-8

Key words

CLC number

Navigation