Skip to main content
Log in

Optimal policy with a total order quantity commitment contract in the presence of a spot market

  • Published:
Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this paper, the optimal policy is considered when the buyer faces two supply sources: one is the contract supplier from which the buyer orders over a specific contract period (say, a year) at a pre-agreed price, and the other is the spot market. However, when ordering from the contract supplier, the buyer must fulfill a pre-determined total order quantity, or the so-called definite total order quantity commitment, over the whole contract period. In other words, the commitment secures the buyer a fixed price but obliges him/her a total order quantity over the contract period. Although the spot market gives the buyer more flexibility in terms of order quantities, its prices are volatile. Such a combination of contract and spot procurements is often observed in practice. Within the contract period, there are multiple sub-periods, during each of which the buyer reviews the inventory, issues an individual order, and uses the on-hand inventory to meet the random demand. Thus, in each (ordering) period, the buyer will weigh between the current known spot price (by procuring from the spot market) and a lower future price (by waiting while consuming the remaining commitment). An optimal dual ordering policy is characterized for each period, depending on the on-hand inventory level, the spot price, and the remaining commitment quantity. The optimal policy in each period is also shown to be independent of the contract price. Through a numerical study, the inventory cost is demonstrated to be (1) insensitive to the contract price when the total commitment quantity is lower than the total expected demand over the contract period and (2) non-increasing in the variability of spot prices.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Ann, T.H. & Maguire, F. (2005). BHP to decide on $2.3 billion ore expansion plans. Bloomberg News, June 2nd, 2005

  2. Anupindi, R. & Bassok, Y. (1998). Supply contracts with quantity commitments and stochastic demands. In: Tayur, S., Ganeshan, R., Magazine, M. (eds.), Quantitative Models for Supply Chain Management. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  3. Arnold, J., Minner, S. & Eidam, B. (2006). Raw material procurement with fluctuating prices. Technical Report

  4. Bassok, Y. & Schuster, D.B. (1995). Supply contract with early termination. In: INFORMS New Orleans Conference, October 29–November 1, 1995

  5. Bassok, Y. & Anupindi, R. (1997). Analysis of supply contracts with total minimum commitment. IIE Transactions, 29: 373–381

    Google Scholar 

  6. Bonser, J.S. & Wu, S.D. (2001). Procurement planning to maintain both short-term adaptiveness and long-term perspective. Management Science, 47: 769–786

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Chen, F.Y. & Krass, D. (2001). Analysis of supply contracts with minimum total order quantity commitments and non-stationary demands. European Journal of Operational Research, 131: 309–323

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  8. Fabian, T., Fisher, J.L., Sasieni, M.W. & Yardeni, A. (1959). Purchasing raw materials on a fluctuating market. Operations Research, 7: 107–122

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Feng, Q. & Sethi, S. (2008). Procurement flexibility under price uncertainty. McCombs Research Paper Series No. IROM-04-09

  10. Golabi, K. (1995). Optimal inventory policies when ordering prices are random. Operations Research, 33: 575–588

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Guzel, A. (2004). Optimal commodity procurement under stochastic prices. Technology, 7: 29–39

    Google Scholar 

  12. Hannon, D. (2005). Why natrual gas prices remain so volatile. Purchasing, January 13th, 2005. Available via DIALOG. http://www.purchasing.com

  13. Haksoz, C. & Seshadri, S. (2007). Supply chain operations in the presence of a spot market: a review with discussion. Journal of the Operations Research Society, 58: 1412–1429

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Hill, L. (2010). Canada’s Canpotex sells potash to India at $370/t. Miningweekly.com, February 19th, 2010

  15. HKTDC. (2007). Cost escalation and trends for export price increase — a look at the rising production costs in the PRD. Available via DAILOG. http://info.hktdc.com/econforum/tdc/tdc070901.htm.

  16. Inderfurth, K. & Kelle, P. (2008). Capacity reservation under spot market price uncertainty. Working paper

  17. Kalymon, B.A. (1971). Stochastic prices in a single-item inventory purchasing model. Operations Research, 19: 1434–1458

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  18. Kingsman, G.G. (1969). Commodity purchasing. Operations Research Quarterly, 20: 59–79

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Magirou, V.F. (1982). Stockpiling under price uncertainty and storage capacity constraints. European Journal of Operational Research, 11: 233–246

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  20. Minner, S. (2003). Multiple-supplier inventory models in supply chain management: a review. International Journal of Production Economics, 81: 265–279

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Porteus, E.L. (2002). Foundations of Stochastic Inventory Theory. Stanford University Press. California

    Google Scholar 

  22. Seifert, R.W., Thonemann, U.W. & Hausman, W.H. (2004). Optimal procurement strategies for online spot markets. European Journal of Operations Research, 152: 781–799

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  23. Tally Metal Sales Inc. (2010). Available via DIALOG. http://www.tally-metal.com/. Cited on June 2nd, 2010

  24. Yi, J. & Scheller-Wolf, A. (2003). Dual sourcing from a regular supplier and a spot market. Working paper

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Youhua (Frank) Chen.

Additional information

This work was partially supported by Hong Kong RGC Grant No. 410907, NSFC Grant Nos. 70725001, 70821001 and 71090401/71090400.

Wei Zhang is a Ph.D. candidate of School of Management at University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China. His research interests include production and operations management, and inventory management.

Youhua (Frank) Chen is an associate professor at the Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, the Chinese University of Hong Kong. He obtained his Ph.D. degree from the University of Toronto. His current research is focused on interfaces between operations and marketing, and inventory models with risk considerations.

Zhongsheng Hua received his Ph.D. degree in computer science from the University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China, in 2000. He is currently a Professor and the Vice Dean of the School of Management, USTC. His research interests include decision analysis, production and operations management, and supply chain management.

Weili Xue graduated from the Chinese University of Hong Kong with a Ph.D. degree in Systems Engineering and Engineering Management in 2009. He obtained his BS and Master degrees from Nanjing University. Dr. Xue is current a consultant at Yurun Group, Nanjing, China.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Zhang, W., Chen, Y.(., Hua, Z. et al. Optimal policy with a total order quantity commitment contract in the presence of a spot market. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 20, 25–42 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-011-5155-0

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-011-5155-0

Keywords

Navigation