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A Case for Modal Fragmentalism

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Abstract

The idea of fragmentalism has been proposed by Kit Fine as a non-standard view of tense realism. This paper examines a modal version of the view, called modal fragmentalism, which combines genuine realism and realism of modality. Modal fragmentalism has been recently discussed by Iaquinto. But unlike Iaquinto, who primarily focused on possibilities de re, in this paper, we focus on expressions of possibilities de dicto. We argue that the chief idea of modal realism should be that different worlds are distinguished not just in terms of how things are differently with respect to each world, but also in terms of how things could have been differently with respect to each world. This demands a realism-oriented semantics for suppositional contents, and more specifically, for conditionals. By deploying a multidimensional semantics for conditionals, we show that there are good reasons to consider modal fragmentalism as a serious approach in metaphysics, which shares many similarities with the fragmentalism of tense.

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Notes

  1. It is worth pointing out that there is an unfortunate terminological complication here: Due to Lewis’s influence, what we call the ‘genuine realism’ of possible worlds (sometimes also called ‘concretism’ in the literature) is usually labeled as the view of ‘modal realism’. But under Fine’s terminology, ‘modal realism’ rather specifically means the realism of modality—the view that there are irreducibly modal facts. And since Lewis takes worlds but not modalities to be irreducibly real, his allegedly ‘modal realist’ view in fact counts as ‘modal antirealism’ in Fine’s terms. Therefore, in order to avoid confusion, in the rest of this paper we will use ‘reductionism’ instead of ‘modal antirealism’ to denote Lewis’s realist view of worlds; and we won’t be using the ambiguous term ‘modal realism’ any more but will instead stick to the phrase ‘realism of modality’ for the (Finean) view that there are irreducibly modal facts.

  2. Cf. Lewis (1983, 157f.). Here the expression ‘something obtains’ can be regarded as just a slightly theoretical way of saying ‘something is the case’.

  3. Characterizing ersatzism as the view that worlds are abstract rather than concrete are not fully accurate, though. (By the way, some philosophers, most notably Zalta (Zalta 1983), Linsky and Zalta (1994, 1996), do not take the abstract/concrete distinction to be absolute; instead, they have argued for a view that objects could be contingently concrete or non-concrete.) Therefore, for a better distinction between genuine and ersatz worlds, we could perhaps follow the suggestion in Berto and Jago (2019, §§2.1–2.2): genuine worlds represent (de dicto) possibilities directly by having them as parts; and as to ersatz worlds, we can adopt the negative definition that they are real entities that nonetheless do not represent in the way genuine worlds do. Thanks to an anonymous referee for this journal for pressing me to try to make things clearer on these various options and distinctions.

  4. Neither will we consider Bricker’s view, which endorses both (a) and (b) but also holds that there is a special actual world. Bricker’s actualist-concretist view is an interesting approach that is worth investigating, but we have to leave it for another occasion.

  5. Divers (1999) identifies sentences that are just like (2) but prefixed by an explicit modal sentential modifier as cases of ‘advanced modalizing’, of which he has proposed a redundancy analysis. According to the redundancy analysis, adding a ‘possibly’-operator to (2) brings about no semantic effect to the truth-condition of the sentence. Cf. also Jago (2016).

  6. Cf. Fine (2005b, 321).

  7. Related discussions cf. Williamson (2002), Sider (2011, 247–49), and also Lewis’s own discussion in Lewis (1986, 112).

  8. Cf. Fine (2005a, 271,285).

  9. The proposal made in McDaniel (2004) is akin to such a relativist view. In Fine (2005a), he has argued against temporal relativism. But one might make a similar argument against modal relativism: The main idea is that while the relativists maintain that the constitution of reality by facts is irreducibly relative to worlds, the worlds themselves are nonetheless deemed to constitute reality in an absolute manner. Since relativists nonetheless require a mechanism that refers to the worlds, they thus need a separate ontology of worlds to enable the reference. But then, they could suffer from similar problems as reductionists do.

  10. While Fine himself did hint at the pluralist understanding (see e.g. Fine (2005a, 281)), the pluralist view is explicitly defended by Iaquinto (2019, 2020; Torrengo and Iaquinto (2019, 2020). However, metaphysical pluralism is not the only way of developing the idea of fragmentalism. The views suggested by Lipman (2015) and Loss (2017), for instance, are quite clearly monist. Thanks to the two anonymous referees for this journal for drawing my attention to this point.

  11. Cf. Lipman (2015), where he proposes to make the ‘co-obtainment’ of two facts the fundamental notion under fragmentalism.

  12. That is, we can perhaps understand the conception of fragments as representing a primitive modal ideology of the metaphysical structure of reality. Thanks to an anonymous referee for this journal for pushing me to be clearer at this point.

  13. To our understanding, expression with a ‘bare modal’ like ‘possibly p’ could be ambiguous: either it is subject to a redundancy analysis (when it applies to the modal space ‘at large’) or it is analyzable into suppositional contents—for the latter, finer restrictions on the metaphysical accessibility relation can be carried out by specifying the relevant conditions under supposition (but not the other way around).

  14. Again, although we reject Lewisian reductionism, nothing we have said serves as arguments against counterpart theory per se. As will be shown in this paper, the problem of realism does not emerge only when de re possibilities are involved.

  15. We provide a detailed semantics in the Appendix.

  16. Note that the world w in the formula ‘At w,ϕ’ is a nominal rather than a world-variable. According to hybrid logic, a nominal is true relative to exactly one point in the model: w is true relative to w iff the reference of w is identical to w. Cf. Blackburn et al. (2007, Chap. 14).

  17. In fact, as Fine (2005a) argues, tense fragmentalists also have good reasons to view the direct reference to a time as problematic. Related treatment cf. Torrengo and Iaquinto (2020).

  18. In fact, non-suppositional sentences also have this problem: The modifier ‘actually’ is supposed to pick out the actual world, but it has been argued by many that it may not be a rigidifying operator. Cf. e.g. Lewis (1986, 94) and Stalnaker (2014, Chap.1).

  19. Strictly speaking, here the operator ‘→’ needs to represent a counterfactual conditional. The core idea of distinguishing between counterfactuals and indicatives is to distinguish, philosophically, between (albeit usually inaccurately) metaphysical suppositions and epistemic suppositions. And of course, since our focus is metaphysical modalities, we will only consider the metaphysical conditionals. But since our semantics does not discriminate between the two (in fact, it can treat indicatives as a special case under a more general semantics of conditionals), our notation ‘→’ does not need to reflect the distinction.

  20. Two remarks: First, at first glance, the requirement that sentences like (11) express truly chancy events might seem to presuppose a specific doctrine of indeterminism. But we do not need to be committed to such a doctrine. Instead, we only need to see that a conditional like (11) expresses a suppositional condition unobservable at the speaker’s world. Second, some counterfactual expressions, admittedly, do not aim at indeterminacies but quite the contrary tend to express determinate causal connections, but at least, there is no obstacles for such conditionals, under some readings, to receive the same analysis proposed here. (This is a difficult topic and we would like to avoid giving any detailed discussion about the philosophical controversies concerning expressions of causality here.)

  21. Both Stalnaker and Lewis have of course adopted an ordering of worlds for the semantics of conditionals to really work, but we can safely ignore it here.

  22. Suppose Tom claims that had the coin been flipped, it would land on heads, and Harry claims that had the coin been flipped, it would land on tails. Of course, you don’t have to pick a side. But the intuition is that it is at least certain that one of them had made a true statement. Defense of (CEM) cf. Williams (2010) and Stefánsson (2018).

  23. The use of the term ‘counterfact’ is proposed by Richard Bradley, see Bradley (2012, 557ff).

  24. The counterfacts could be understood as abstract constructs. Although we have presumed a genuine realist view of modal fragments, it is consistent with such a view that there are, within a fragment, also abstract states of affairs like counterfacts beside the presumably concrete states of affairs (facts).

  25. The term ‘counteractual world’ also comes from Bradley (2012), which is just a technical word (invented to minimize confusion with notions) meaning the nominated world under the supposition in question.

  26. Moreover, the semantics fixes the major problem of probabilities of conditionals: The idea is that since the probability mass function is now defined on the suppositional space consisting of ordered pairs, the probability of a conditional can be given by conditional probabilities on worlds in a non-trivial way, which then supports the Ramsey Test. The objective probability 1/2 of (11) can also be accordingly generated. For details, see Stefánsson (2014). (Extra restrictions could be added to the suppositional space on demand, which will lead to deletion of certain ordered pairs from the table.)

  27. For Lewisian reductionism, it appears to be natural to conceive the selection function to be relative to the actual world, because all modal contents are eventually reducible to the non-modal contents at each world. This is the view that Lewis dubbed ‘Humean Supervenience’, which is central to his spatiotemporal conception of worlds. Criticism of this view from the modal perspective cf. e.g. Stefánsson (2018).

  28. Nevertheless, the branching-time depiction that is comparable to our realism of modality cannot be an ‘eternalist’ one. Cf. Torrengo and Iaquinto (2020) for their proposal of an A-theoretic branching-time model under the fragmentalist approach. According to a modality-realist point of view, states of affairs described under different modalities have different metaphysical statuses—as we mentioned in Footnote 24, the internal difference between facts and counterfacts within a fragment is consistent with the genuine realist view that all fragments themselves are metaphysically on a par.

  29. It should be stressed that even though we have points and fragments in our model and we allow for quantification over the points and fragments, they are only semantic representations. It thus does not mean that there are, ontologically speaking, entities called points and fragments as such that await to be modeled. Besides, a semantics for formulas like \(\Box \phi \) is not given here—for reasons that we mentioned in Footnote 13. And we leave it open that, under certain non-redundant readings of the metaphysical accessibility relation, formulas like \(\Box \phi \) might be reduced to special cases of world-nomination. Cf. e.g. Lewis (1973, §1.5).

  30. It is worth pointing out that although our interpretation of fragmentalism is in agreement with Torrengo and Iaquinto (2020), it nevertheless differs from Lipman (2015), according to which neither conjunction elimination nor conjunction introduction holds.

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Acknowledgments

Thanks to Yudi Huang, Jiangjie Qiu, Christopher Sun, Chuang Ye, and two referees for Philosophia for valuable comments and suggestions.

Funding

Financial support for the research is provided by Peking University Boya Postdoctoral Fellowship 2019-20.

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Correspondence to Yiwen Zhan.

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Appendix

Appendix

Language

For a set \({\mathscr{A}}\) of atomic sentences p,q,r,…, and a set Ω of nominals w1,w2,…, the formulas in language \({\mathscr{L}}\) are defined by the following inductive syntax rule:

$$\phi :: = \bot\ |\ p\ |\ \mathsf{w_{1}} \ |\ \neg\phi\ |\ \phi\wedge\phi\ |\ \mathsf{At\ w_{1}},\ \phi $$

Language \({\mathscr{L}}^{\rightarrow }\) is an extension on \({\mathscr{L}}\), added with the operator → for conditionals, such that \({\mathscr{L}}^{\rightarrow } \supseteq {\mathscr{L}}\), and for any \(\phi ,\psi \in {\mathscr{L}}\), \(\phi \rightarrow \psi \in {\mathscr{L}}^{\rightarrow }\).

Model

Our multidimensional model M is a tuple 〈W,P,F,V 〉 such that

  1. 1.

    W is a finite, non-empty set of points.

  2. 2.

    \(P\subseteq {\mathscr{P}}(W)\) is a set of (non-suppositional) propositions such that

    1. (2a)

      P

    2. (2b)

      If AP, then WAP

    3. (2c)

      If AP and BP, then ABP.

  3. 3.

    We call F a set of fragments, or equally, a suppositional space, which can be generated as follows: If there are a total of n propositions A1,A2,…,An, we let each proposition represent a unique supposition. Then, the suppositional space is the cartesian product F = W × A1 ×… × An.

    Now for each fF, we can equivalently write it as a pair f = 〈w,wx〉, composed of a point w (the ‘actual world’) and a suppositional vector \(\mathbf {w}_{x} = \langle w_{A_{1}}, w_{A_{2}}, {\ldots } , w_{A_{n}}\rangle \) indicating a complete series of ‘counteractual worlds’. (We call \(w_{A_{i}}\) a counteractual world for Ai such that \(w_{A_{i}}\) is a point at which Ai is true under supposition.)

  4. 4.

    V is valuation function: \({\mathscr{A}}\cup \varOmega \mapsto {\mathscr{P}}(W)\), such that for all atoms \(p\in {\mathscr{A}}\), V (p) is a proposition, and for all nominals wiΩ, V (wi) is a singleton subset of W, and for any wW, ∃wjΩ such that wV (wj).

Semantics

The semantic clauses relative to a model M and a fragment 〈w,wx〉 are given as follows:Footnote 29 (Relativization to M will be dropped to ease readability.)

  1. (1)

    \(\llbracket p\rrbracket ^{M,\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\) iff wV (p).

  2. (2)

    \(\llbracket \neg \phi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\) iff \(\llbracket \phi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=0\).

  3. (3)

    \(\llbracket \phi \wedge \psi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\) iff \(\llbracket \phi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\) and \(\llbracket \psi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\).

  4. (4)

    \(\llbracket \mathsf {w_{1}}\rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle } =1\) iff wV (w1).

  5. (5)

    \(\llbracket \mathsf {At\ w_{1}},\ \phi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\) iff \(\llbracket \phi \rrbracket ^{\langle w',\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\) for wV (w1).

Specifically, we write ϕw = 1 if for any suppositional vector wx we always have \(\llbracket \phi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\). Then, the formula ϕ can be seen as expressing a non-suppositional proposition under M: |ϕ| = {w : ϕw = 1}. For a sentence ϕ such that |ϕ| = W, we write it as ⊤ and its negation ⊥. The semantics for conditional sentences can be given as follows:

  1. (6)

    \(\llbracket \phi \rightarrow \psi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\) iff

    1. (i)

      either |ϕ| =

    2. (ii)

      or |ϕ|≠ and \(\llbracket \mathsf {At\ w_{i}},\ \psi \rrbracket ^{\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\), where wi nominates the counteractual |ϕ|-world in wx.

Logical Consequence

To begin with, we define the truth in a model M as follows:

  1. (a)

    Mϕ iff there is a fragment 〈w,wx〉 s.t. \(\llbracket \phi \rrbracket ^{M,\langle w,\mathbf {w}_{x}\rangle }=1\).

    The validity of an inference as:

  2. (b)

    Σϕ iff for any M, if MΣ then Mϕ.

According to our definitions we can make the following observations: The first is that two contradictory sentences can be both true in a model:

  1. (o1)

    For some ϕ and M, Mϕ and M⊧¬ϕ.

But no model will ever make their conjunction true:

  1. (o2)

    For any ϕ and M, Mϕ ∧¬ϕ.

This follows from a more general feature of our interpretation of fragmentalism (which agrees with Torrengo and Iaquinto (2020)), namely that the following rule of conjunction elimination holds:

  1. (o3)

    ϕψϕ,ψ.

But the rule of conjunction introduction does not generally hold:

  1. (o4)

    ϕ,ψϕψ.

This is a desired result since ϕ and ψ might be two statements that are true at each of their respective fragments but are nevertheless never both true at a single fragment.Footnote 30

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Zhan, Y. A Case for Modal Fragmentalism. Philosophia 49, 1309–1328 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11406-020-00284-5

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