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Does the low carbon transition impact urban resilience? Evidence from China’s pilot cities for carbon emission trading

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Abstract

The low-carbon transition is a systemic economic and social change that will inevitably have an impact on many areas of the urban system. Has China’s ongoing low-carbon transition impacted urban resilience (UR) systems while achieving urban energy saving and carbon emission reduction goals? This paper uses the implementation of the carbon emissions trading pilot policy (CETPP) as a “quasi-natural experiment.” It evaluates the impact of the policy on UR using a difference-in-differences model based on the data of prefecture-level cities from 2008 to 2020. The study shows that pilot carbon trading policies favor UR, and the market mechanism of carbon emissions has a heterogeneous cause influence on UR. The impact of pilot carbon trading policies on UR varies according to the respective moderating effects of institutional factors, green technology innovation, industrial structure rationalization, and output effects.

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Data availability

The data that support the findings of this study are available upon request from the corresponding author.

Notes

  1. See make the city like a “Spring” a brief account of the consultation meeting of Qingdao CPPCC on the construction of a resilient city. http://www.cppcc.gov.cn/zxww/2022/11/02/ARTI1667369109355643.shtml.

  2. See “The official launch of online trading in the national carbon emissions trading market.” http://politics.people.com.cn/n1/2021/0717/c1024-32160590.html.

  3. See United Nations Climate Agreement. https://www.un.org/zh/climatechange/paris-agreement

  4. “Scottish Cities Alliance puts Scotland on show with Pounds 10 billion Investment Prospectus.” M2 Presswire (2015).

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Funding

Support was provided by the National Social Science Foundation Project (grant no. 21XRK007); Scientific Research Program for Universities in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (grant no. XJEDU2021S1002); “Silk Road” Scientific Research Innovation Project for Graduate Students of Xinjiang University (grant no. SL2022002); Research and Innovation Program for Outstanding doctoral students (XJU2022BS008); the graduate research and innovation project of Xinjiang Autonomous Regions (XJ2023G009).

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  1. School of Economics and Management, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, 830047, China

    Sisi Zhang, Xiaoyu Ma, Qi Cui & Jiamin Liu

  2. Innovation Management Research Center, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, 830047, China

    Xiaoyu Ma

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SZ: writing—original draft preparation, software, validation, formal analysis; XM: conceptualization, funding acquisition, and supervision; QC: methodology, data curation; JL: writing—review and editing. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

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Zhang, S., Ma, X., Cui, Q. et al. Does the low carbon transition impact urban resilience? Evidence from China’s pilot cities for carbon emission trading. Environ Sci Pollut Res 31, 11128–11149 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-024-31903-3

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