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Assessing the geographical distribution of 76 Dendrobium species and impacts of climate change on their potential suitable distribution area in China

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Abstract

The geographical distribution of plant resources is of great significance for studying the origin, distribution, and evolution of species. Climate and geographical factors help shape the distribution of plant species. Dendrobium is a commonly used traditional medicine and a precious economic crop in China. Owing to the over-exploitation and increasing medicinal demand of Dendrobium species plants, systematic investigation of the geographical distribution of the plants and analysis of their potential distribution under climate change are important for protecting Dendrobium plants. We adopted DIVA-GIS to analyze the georeferenced records of 76 species of the Dendrobium species collected from 2166 herbarium records. We analyzed the eco-geographical distribution and species richness of the genus Dendrobium to simulate the distribution of current and future scenarios using MaxEnt. The results revealed the distribution of Dendrobium in 30 provinces of China, with species abundance in Yunnan, Guangxi, Guangdong, and Hainan. Our model identified the following bioclimatic variables: precipitation in the driest months and the warmest seasons, isothermality, and range of annual temperature. Among them, annual precipitation is the most crucial bioclimatic variable affecting the distribution of 16 selected Dendrobium species. The change of climate in the future will lead to an increase in habitat suitability for some Dendrobium species as follows: D. officinal 2.12%, D. hancockii by 6.00%, D. hercoglossum by 8.25%, D. devonianum by 7.71%, D. henryi by 9.40%, and D. hainanense by 13.70%. By contrast, habitat suitability will dramatically decrease for other Dendrobium species: D. chrysotoxum by 0.89%, D. chrysanthum by 12.68%, D. fimbriatum by 5.07%, D. aduncum by 11.44%, D. densiflorum by 18.47%, D. aphyllum by 8.05%, D. loddigesii by 16.45%, D. nobile by 5.41%, D. falconeri by 8.73%, and D. moniliforme by 10.61%. The reduction of these species will be detrimental to the medicinal and economic value of the genus Dendrobium. Therefore, targeted development and reasonable management strategies should be adopted to conserve these valuable resources.

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The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Funding

This work was supported by the Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Plant Resources Biorefinery (2021GDKLPRB02).

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All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by Surui Chen, Ziming Chen, Zejun Zhang, Yike Liu, Yani Xu, and Yiming Li. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Chunxing Pan and Lanyue Zhang. Validation was performed by Guanting Liu. Supervision was performed by Guangrong Liu and Kaiye Yang. Resources and writing - review & editing were performed by Zhiyun Du. All authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Zhiyun Du or Lanyue Zhang.

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Pan, C., Chen, S., Chen, Z. et al. Assessing the geographical distribution of 76 Dendrobium species and impacts of climate change on their potential suitable distribution area in China. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29, 20571–20592 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15788-0

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