Abstract
Climate change is a global challenge faced by everyone, but the developing countries are highly vulnerable to variations in the environment. This research focuses on the Punjab province of Pakistan and evaluates the impacts and consequences of climate change on general public at local and divisional level. In order to cope with the impacts of climatic changes at all levels, especially divisional level, raising reliable awareness and dispersing actionable knowledge regarding mitigating and adapting measures is significantly important. Therefore, recognition of information gaps, improvements in the level of alertness, and development of preventive measures in each sector is imperative. The impacts of climate change are observed across the country through gradual increase in temperature, human health issues, pest diseases, droughts, floods, and irregular weather patterns leading to changes in lifestyles, and these issues are likely to continue in the future. The main cause of climate change in Punjab, Pakistan, can be attributed to excessive release of greenhouse gases (GHG) into the atmosphere due to human activities involving inefficient energy usage, rapid urban expansion, improper waste management, industrial development, increasing transportation, agricultural activities, and livestock mismanagement. The findings of this study revealed that transportation sector is the major source of GHG emissions in the country, followed by industrialization and waste, at national, as well as divisional, level. The extent of impacts of climate change at divisional level is distinguishable and displayed a direct relationship with climate, geography, variation of effects, and modes of production in various regions of Punjab. The study strategically investigated all nine divisions of the province for comprehensive understanding of climate change phenomenon, and the results indicated that nearly three-fourths of the respondents have never indulged in taking steps towards climate change mitigation and adaptation. The study adopted a mixed (qualitative and quantitative) approach where the findings can act as set of guidelines for governmental authorities in formulating, assisting in preparation, instructing, and guiding policies for climate change mitigation and adaptation at national, local, and divisional levels.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abid M, Ashfaq M, Abdul Quddus M, Avais Tahir M, Fatima N (2011) A resource use efficiency analysis of small Bt cotton farmers in Punjab. Pakistan Pakistan J Agric Sci 48:75–81
Abid M, Scheffran J, Schneider AU, Ashfaq M (2015) Farmers’ perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province. Pakistan Earth Syst Dyn 6:225–243. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-225-2015
Abid M, Schilling J, Scheffran J, Zulfiqar F (2016) Climate change vulnerability, adaptation and risk perceptions at farm level in Punjab. Pakistan. Sci. Total Environ. 547:447–460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.11.125
Abourizk S (2010) Toward environmentally sustainable construction processes: the U.S. and Canada’s perspective on energy consumption and GHG/CAP emissions 354–370. https://doi.org/10.3390/su2010354
Adger N, Brown W, Katrina H, Mike (2005) Redefining global environmental change. Glob Environ Chang 15:1–4. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.002
Akhmat G, Zaman K, Shukui T, Irfan D, Khan MM (2014) Does energy consumption contribute to environmental pollutants? Evidence from SAARC countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res 21:5940–5951. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-014-2528-1
Alexander L, Allen M (2013) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis: summary for policymakers: working group I contribution to the IPCC fifth assessment report. WMO, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva
Allo M, Loureiro ML (2014) The role of social norms on preferences towards climate change policies: a meta-analysis. Energy Policy 73:563–574. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.04.042
Awais M, Wajid A, Saleem MF, Nasim W, Ahmad A, Raza MAS, Bashir MU, Mubeen M, Hammad HM, Habib Ur Rahman M, Saeed U, Arshad MN, Hussain J (2018) Potential impacts of climate change and adaptation strategies for sunflower in Pakistan. Environ Sci Pollut Res 25:13719–13730. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-1587-0
Bhaktikul K (2012) State of knowledge on climate change and adaptation activities in Thailand. Procedia - Soc Behav Sci 40:701–708. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.03.252
Butt AB, Hussain M, Butt H, Ahmed A (2019) Pro-Environmental Behaviors and Ecological Responsibilities: An Evaluation of Pakistani University Students’ Behavioral Intentions towards Climate Change 4531:129–153
Change, C., 2017. Towards building a climate resilient nation 2015–2018
Chen M (2016) Extending the theory of planned behavior model to explain people’s energy savings and carbon reduction behavioral intentions to mitigate climate change in Taiwan–moral obligation matters. J Clean Prod 112:1746–1753
China G. gas emissions in, 2007. .pdf.crdownload
CMF (2014) City Mayors Foundation, UK,. https://doi.org/www.citymayors.com,(accessed on 10.12.17)
Cobbinah PB, Anane GK (2016) Climate change adaptation in rural Ghana: indigenous perceptions and strategies 8:5529–5178. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2015.1034228
Cochran FV, Brunsell NA (2012) Temporal scales of tropospheric CO 2, precipitation, and ecosystem responses in the central Great Plains. Remote Sens Environ 127:316–328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.09.012
EDGAR (2009) European commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)/Netherlands environmental assessment agency (PBL). Emission database for global atmospheric research (EDGAR), release version 4.0
Ehigiamusoe KU, Lean HH (2019) Effects of energy consumption, economic growth, and financial development on carbon emissions: evidence from heterogeneous income groups
Evans R (2014) Cashew Cultivation , Access to Land and Food Walker Institute for Climate System Research Cashew Cultivation , Access to Land and Food Security in Brong-Ahafo Region , Ghana: Preventing the intergenerational transmission of poverty
Faria F, Klima K, Posen ID, Azevedo IM (2015) A new approach of science, technology, engineering, and mathematics outreach in climate change, energy, and environmental decision making. Sustainability: J Rec 8:261–271
Gdp R, Water P, Coopers H, July-march D, Minister P, Package AK, Manufacturing QI (2017) Overview of the economy. Pakistan Economic Survey 2016-17. pp. ii–xxii
Gill SE, Handley JF, Ennos AR, Pauleit S (2007) Adapting cities for climate change: the role of the green infrastructure. Built Environ 33:115–133. https://doi.org/10.2148/benv.33.1.115
Government of Punjab (2017) Punjab Climate Change Policy 2017
Graffeo M (2017) Environmental psychology: conflicting climate attitudes. Nat Clim Chang 7:314–314
Hammad badar AG, S.A.A (2007) Factor affecting agricultural production of Punjab, Pakistan. Pak. J. Agrilcultural Sci 44:506–510
Heede R, Oreskes N (2016) Potential emissions of CO2 and methane from proved reserves of fossil fuels: an alternative analysis. Glob Environ Chang 36:12–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.10.005
Huang W, Gao Q-X, Cao G, Ma Z-Y, Zhang W-D, Chao Q-C (2016) Effect of urban symbiosis development in China on GHG emissions reduction. Adv Clim Chang Res 7:247–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2016.12.003
Hussain M, Butt AR, Uzma F, Ahmed R, Islam T, Yousaf B (2019) A comprehensive review of sectorial contribution towards greenhouse gas emissions and progress in carbon capture and storage in Pakistan 20, 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1002/ghg.1890
Hussain M, Liu G, Yousaf B, Ahmed R, Uzma F, Ubaid M, Ullah H, Rahman A (2018) Regional and sectoral assessment on climate-change in Pakistan: social norms and indigenous perceptions on climate-change adaptation and mitigation in relation to global context. J Clean Prod 200:791–808. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.07.272
Imran MQ, Usama A, Zeeshan A, Rasli AM, Zaman K, Khan F (2016) Dynamic linkages among energy consumption, air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions and agricultural production in Pakistan: sustainable agriculture key to policy success. Nat Hazards 84:367–381. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2423-9
IOM (2014) IOM outlook on migration , Environment and Climate
IPCC (2013) Summary for Policymakers. Clim. Chang. 2013 Phys Sci Basis Contrib Work Gr I to Fifth Assess Rep Intergov Panel Clim Chang 33. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107415324
IPCC (2008) 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Inventories – A primer, Prepared by the National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme,. Intergov. Panel Clim. Chang. Natl. Greenh. Gas Invent. Program. 20
IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007 synthesis report, intergovernmental panel on climate Change [Core writing team IPCC. https://doi.org/10.1256/004316502320517344
IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Cambridge Univ Press 1–94
Cohen J (1988) Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences. Nature 506:274–275. https://doi.org/10.1038/506274a
Jibran M, Zuberi S, Shazia FA (2015) Greenhouse effect reduction by recovering energy from waste landfills in Pakistan. Renew Sust Energ Rev 44:117–131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.12.028
Kayani AS, Muddassir M, Khalid MW, Shah AH (2018) Impacts of climate change on agricultural land productivity: an evidence from Punjab province of Pakistan. J Anim Plant Sci 28:584–588
Khan AN, Ghauri BM, Jilani R, Rahman S (2011) Climate Change: emissions and sinks of greenhouse gases in Pakistan. In Proceedings of the Symposium on Changing Environmental Pattern and its impact with Special Focus on Pakistan
Khan A, Mohammad K, Ali J, Ali Z, Ahmad I, Ahmad NM (2016) The challenge of climate change and policy response in Pakistan. Environ Earth Sci 75:1–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-015-5127-7
Le Quéré C, Raupach MR, Canadell JG, Marland G, Bopp L, Ciais P, Conway TJ, Doney SC, Feely RA, Foster P, Friedlingstein P, Gurney K, Houghton RA, House JI, Huntingford C, Levy PE, Lomas MR, Majkut J, Metzl N, Ometto JP, Peters GP, Prentice IC, Randerson JT, Running SW, Sarmiento JL, Schuster U, Sitch S, Takahashi T, Viovy N, Van Der Werf GR, Woodward FI (2009) Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. Nat Geosci 2:831–836. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo689
Lin B, Ahmad I (2016) Energy substitution effect on transport sector of Pakistan based on trans-log production function. Renew Sust Energ Rev 56:1182–1193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.12.012
Lin B, Raza MY (2019) Analysis of energy related CO 2 emissions in Pakistan. J Clean Prod 219:981–993. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.112
Liu T, Ma Z, Huffman T, Ma L, Jiang H, Xie H (2016) Gaps in provincial decision-maker’s perception and knowledge of climate change adaptation in China. Environ Sci Pol 58:41–51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.01.002
Loewenthal KM (2004) An introduction to psychological tests and scales (2 ed.). Hove, U. K.: Psychology Press., 2004
Mandal KG, Misra AK, Hati KM, Bandyopadhyay KK, Ghosh PK, Mohanty M (2004) Rice residue-management options and effects on soil properties and crop productivity. J Food Agric Environ 2:224–231
Masood M, Mugera AW, Schilizzi S (2016) Poverty and vulnerability in the Punjab, Pakistan: A multilevel analysis. J Asian Econ. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2016.04.001
Melissa R-DM, Nejadhashemi AP, Harrigan T, Woznicki SA (2017) Climate change and livestock: impacts, adaptation, and mitigation. Clim Risk Manag 16:145–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2017.02.001
Monroe MC, Oxarart A, Plate RR (2013) A role for environmental education in climate Change for secondary science educators. Appl Environ Educ Commun 12:4–18
Of, M., Change, C., 2012. National Climate Change Policy Government of Pakistan
Olsen, L., 2009. The employment effects of climate change and climate Change responses: a role for international labour standards ?
Onwezen MC, Bartels J, Antonides G (2014) Environmentally friendly consumer choices: cultural differences in the self-regulatory function of anticipated pride and guilt. J Environ Psychol 40:239–248
Qayyum A, Ahmad SR, Ahmad I, Hussain Y, Sameem M (2016) Science of the Total environment vulnerability and impact assessment of extreme climatic event: a case study of southern Punjab. Pakistan Sci Total Environ 580:468–481. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.11.155
Rauf O, Wang S, Yuan P, Tan J (2015) An overview of energy status and development in Pakistan. Renew Sust Energ Rev 48:892–931. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.04.012
Smit B, Skinner MW (2002) Adaptation options in agriculture to climate change: a. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang 7:85–114. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1015862228270
Steffen, B., Schmidt, T.S., Tautorat, P., 2019. Measuring whether municipal climate networks make a difference: the case of utility-scale solar PV investment in large global cities. Clim Policy 0, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1599804, 19
Stroik P, Chakraborty D, Ge W, Boulter J, Jamelske E (2019) Effect of reciprocity on public opinion of international climate treaties: experimental evidence from the US and China 3062. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2019.1617666
Ullah H, Rashid A, Liu G, Hussain M (2018) Perceptions of mountainous people on climate change, livelihood practices and climatic shocks: a case study of Swat District. Pakistan Urban Clim 26:244–257. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2018.10.003
Wollenberg A (2016) A study of consumer purchasing behaviour in emerging markets – the case of Indonesia and smartphones. Glob. J. Emerg. Trends e-Business, Mark Consum Psychol 2:361–379
Wu Y, Luo J (2018) The effects of an energy use paradigm shift on carbon emissions: a simulation study. Sustainab. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10051639
Zhang S (2019) Environmental Kuznets curve revisit in Central Asia: the roles of urbanization and renewable energy
Acknowledgments
We also greatly appreciate the efforts of Professor Dr. Fazal-e-Aleem, Dr. Munir Ahmed, Dr. Mudassir, Mr. Aftar Ali, Mr. Salman Ijaz, Ms. Rabia Aslam, Mr. Sarfraz Ahmad, Mr. Sheraz Ahmed Khan, Mr. Imran, Mr. Inam-ul-Haq, and Usman Ghani for the data collection; Mr. Fahad Asmi and Mr. Azfar Anwar for their help in data analysis; and Mr. Sarfraz Ahmad for his assistance in writing.
Funding
This study was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41672144) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (WK2080000103). Support was also provided by the Chinese Academy of Science (CAS) for the CAS-Young Scientist Award (2018FYB0002).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Responsible editor: Philippe Garrigues
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Electronic supplementary material
ESM 1
(DOCX 183 kb)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Hussain, M., Butt, A.R., Uzma, F. et al. Divisional disparities on climate change adaptation and mitigation in Punjab, Pakistan: local perceptions, vulnerabilities, and policy implications. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26, 31491–31507 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-06262-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-06262-z