Abstract
Digitalization and technologization affect numerous domains, promising advantages but also entailing risks. Hence, when decision-makers in highly-regulated domains like Finance implement these technological advances—especially Artificial Intelligence—regulators prescribe high levels of transparency, assuring the traceability of decisions for third parties. Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is of tremendous importance in this context. We provide an overview of current research on XAI in Finance with a systematic literature review screening 2,022 articles from leading Finance, Information Systems, and Computer Science outlets. We identify a set of 60 relevant articles, classify them according to the used XAI methods and goals that they aim to achieve, and provide an overview of XAI methods used in different Finance areas. Areas like risk management, portfolio optimization, and applications around the stock market are well-researched, while anti-money laundering is understudied. Researchers implement both transparent models and post-hoc explainability, while they recently favored the latter.
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1 Introduction
The Finance industry is under constant development, always using and adapting to new technological opportunities (Gimpel et al. 2018)—like Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Data Analytics—that shape private and working lives worldwide. Financial institutions benefit from technological advances, recently from AI deployment (Alt et al. 2018; Goodell et al. 2021): Due to their strong predictive performance, AI-based systems are becoming increasingly crucial for decision-making in various settings and offer a wide range of opportunities for companies to exploit the economic potential of augmentation (Collins et al. 2021). In line with this development, academia renewed its interest in researching the application of AI in the financial sector (Cao 2022; Padmanabhan et al. 2022). The application scenarios in the area of Finance are very diverse and have specific requirements for implementing automated systems. However, they have in common that they illustrate resentment against the black-box nature of AI-based systems, thus limiting their widespread use and hampering exploiting their full potential. This is where Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods can help to counteract these adoption and implementation hurdles and exploit automation's full potential in regulated industries like Finance. Therefore, research on XAI in Finance gains interest (Adadi and Berrada 2018).
In general, XAI tries to mitigate the problem of non-transparency of AI and provides explanations to make the inner workings of AI models interpretable and easy to understand, as AI-generated rules from data are often unintelligible for humans. This unintelligibility creates a barrier concerning explainability and ultimately hinders the practical deployment of AI models, especially in highly-regulated application domains like Finance. Thus, XAI is a driver of further AI usage and adoption (Adadi and Berrada 2018; Janiesch et al. 2021; Mirbabaie et al. 2021; Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019) in particular in these domains as it helps to mitigate the current black-box nature of AI-based systems, i.e., unobservable inner workings.
Therefore it is not surprising that technological development has already found its way into the Finance domain. There are multiple areas of Finance examining and the first already employing XAI techniques, including risk management and portfolio optimization. One application scenario within risk management, which refers to a state of corporate failure (Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019), is default prediction. This specific area deals with predicting the probability of lenders committing default by using information such as profiles or loan history. As a mass business, there is a frequent and continuous need to reevaluate the default risk. AI methods support these endeavors, e.g., by assessing enormous amounts of available data and making informed recommendations. However, the reasons for these recommendations are often not transparent or comprehensible, leading to implementation resentment. XAI addresses these reservations by complementing AI-based suggestions with explanations to ensure they are discrimination-free and thoroughly founded, rendering the AI methods usable in the industry (Park et al. 2021).
In addition to these adoption hurdles, in a highly-regulated application domain such as Finance, laws and regulations condition the need for using XAI systems, as AI systems often would not comply with the law (Weber et al. 2020). Recent law initiatives, e.g., the US Financial Transparency Act of 2021 (FTA) (Maloney 2021) or the EU Artificial Intelligence Act (AIA) (European Commission 2021), prescribe very high levels of transparency when applying AI-supported decision-making in practice (Hoofnagle 2013; Elliott et al. 2021) in order to ensure trust in and reliability of these systems. The proposed US FTA gives the following justification: The act aspires to make reported information electronically searchable, to enable the creation of RegTech (i.e., technology supporting regulatory processes) and AI applications, and to decrease regulatory compliance burdens through standards and the enhancement of transparency and accountability.Footnote 1 The proposed EU AIA addresses AI’s risks or negative consequences for individuals or society, stating: “Rules for AI available in the Union market or otherwise affecting people in the Union should therefore be human centric, so that people can trust that the technology is used in a way that is safe and compliant with the law, including the respect of fundamental rights.” Regarding transparency, the AIA underlines proportionality, imposing higher transparency requirements on so-called high-risk AI systems such as those in Finance or Healthcare. Besides, the EU General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) requires that decisions must always be the responsibility of people (Art. 22 GDPR), requiring some trust from employees and their ability to trace decisions made by an AI. Furthermore, some national authorities, e.g., the German Federal Financial Supervisory Authority, enforce additional requirements on the financial industry in particular, e.g., about the traceability of decisions and thus increased transparency (Pasquale 2015; BaFin 2018), which has always played an essential role (Vishwanath and Kaufmann 1999). Accordingly, evaluating XAI systems in Finance is essential for the applicability of such systems in these highly-regulated application domains, as automation aside from XAI models is less feasible from a regulatory point of view.
Nevertheless, research on XAI in Finance is widely dispersed (Elliott et al. 2021), making it more difficult for researchers and practitioners to unlock the full potential of XAI in the Finance domain. This paper aims to aggregate this scattered knowledge to provide an overview of the current state of research, including possible future research avenues, and to support practitioners’ implementation of XAI in financial business practice. A structured overview could represent another step towards realizing the full potential of AI-based systems, especially XAI systems, due to prevailing regulations, in the financial industry.
While there is research dealing with AI in Finance, from a more technological perspective in IS and CS, or XAI in general, there is no paper reviewing the current state of research on XAI in Finance in leading international journals and conferences (Arrieta et al. 2019). Searching for related research, we were only able to find qualitative literature reviews. These include dealing with aspects of the trustworthiness of AI employment in systemic risk assessment (Daníelsson et al. 2021), deep learning and anti-money laundering as a combination of a specific XAI method with a specific area in Finance (Kute et al. 2021), the design of smart markets, that, by using computational tools, help human decision-makers make real-time decisions in complex trading environments (Bichler et al. 2010), or banking in general (Burgt 2020). With our study presenting a systematic literature review (SLR), we follow calls for further research from the academic community concerning the compliance behavior in highly-regulated application domains such as Finance and how researchers, practitioners, and regulators should react to recent developments in AI and XAI (Ciatto et al. 2020). The need for this research is deepened by practitioners agreeing on the necessity of trustworthiness of AI in Finance, which is achievable through explainability (IEEE 2021). Besides, regulators in many countries demand greater transparency and explainability of decisions in the financial sector by requiring XAI rather than AI-based systems (Kalyanathaya 2022). Accordingly, we advance research and practice by reviewing relevant Finance, IS, and CS literature and performing an SLR to aggregate yet disorganized research on XAI in Finance.
With the paper at hand, we contribute to academia’s emerging interest in XAI in Finance research in different dimensions. First, our research offers guidance for scientists to understand the growing emphasis on XAI in Finance research that we also found in other domains (Wells and Bednarz 2021; Islam et al. 2022). Second, when taking a closer look at the goals these research endeavors and the application of XAI in practice try to achieve, we confirm an imbalance already highlighted by prior research (e.g., Arrieta et al. 2019). Third, scientists looking for the distribution of a specific XAI method in Finance may find answers in our results, as we provide an overview of current research on XAI, especially in Finance. As our final set of articles reveals, only a few papers deal with whether the developed or applied XAI methods meet regulatory requirements (except for, e.g., Park et al. 2021). This is a prerequisite for the implementation in practice, thus highlighting a critical future research avenue.
Practitioners, such as legislators, regulators, and Finance managers, benefit from our research, as we provide basics of XAI methods employed in Finance, a yet dispersed research area. Looking for existing XAI applications in their specific Finance areas, Finance managers may consult our study to learn about ready-to-employ solutions to add transparency to their AI-based systems. Alternatively, existing knowledge about XAI models and possible application scenarios in the company can be matched. Practitioners can use our study to gain a quick overview of already acceptable methods from a regulatory point of view. Policymakers may respond to the shift from transparent models to post-hoc explainability by designing corresponding laws and regulatory requirements. Finally, practitioners may infer trends in XAI in Finance to prepare their employees for future challenges through specialized XAI trainings.
The remainder of this study is structured as follows. Next, we present a section about related literature introducing the areas of AI and XAI on the one hand and the Finance domain (i.e., technological influences and areas where AI and XAI are applicable) on the other. In this way, we establish common ground for the characteristics of different XAI models, reconvene why the explainability of AI is crucial for decision-making, describe the main concepts of how to achieve it, and introduce the possibilities for usage of (X)AI-based systems in Finance. Then, we give an overview of our research method, followed by a presentation of our results. We conclude with a discussion of the theoretical and managerial implications of our research next to limitations and avenues for future research.
2 Related literature
2.1 Artificial Intelligence
AI is a key technology of the 21st century which is applied in various areas, e.g., search engines, voice recognition, and interactive interpreters (Russell et al. 2016). Starting from the mid of last century (McCarthy et al. 1955), benefiting from Big Data, cheap computing power and storage, and improved algorithms, AI faces unseen opportunities nowadays. It is expected to largely change society through productivity-enhancing automation and job replacement.Footnote 2
In research, AI is considered a subarea of Computer Science (CS) (Shapiro 1992). Still, consensus lacks a single AI definition, as intelligence itself is not adequately defined (Legg and Hutter 2007; Rzepka and Berger 2018). Thus, there are numerous definitions of AI. The founders of AI gave the first definition as “making a machine behave in ways that would be called intelligent if a human were so behaving” (McCarthy et al. 1955, p. 11). More recently, Russell et al. (2016) systematized eight currently discussed definitions by seeking human intelligence or rationality and focusing on either thinking or acting. Recent definitions emphasize intelligent agents interacting with their environment and pre-set goals (Russell et al. 2016). AI is also influenced by other disciplines (Shapiro 1992), e.g., mathematics, economics, and psychology (Russell et al. 2016).
Although there is a plethora of AI research (e.g., Abdel-Karim et al. 2021; Cao 2020, 2022; Goodell et al. 2021; Martin 2019; Rai et al. 2019; Zheng et al. 2019), practical implementation lags due to the so-called black-box nature of most AI-based systems, thus missing to unlock the full potential of AI implementation. The black-box nature refers to a lack of explainability and interpretability of AI-based systems, primarily arising from the opacity of many of today's AI-based systems. Hence, the nature of inputs and outputs can be observed and understood chiefly, but not the exact processing steps in between—the black box. Accordingly, users or programmers of these systems cannot determine what influence which variable had on the decision or how this decision arose from the input variables. This is difficult for traceability, which is partly mandatory for regulatory purposes, but also the trust in such systems. XAI, a sub-class of AI systems, counteracts the general black-box nature of AI-based systems (Doran et al. 2017; Rosenfeld and Richardson 2019; Arrieta et al. 2019; Ciatto et al. 2020; Sanneman and Shah 2020; Verhagen et al. 2021).
2.2 Explainable Artificial Intelligence
In our work, we follow the definition of XAI given by Arrieta et al. (2019), that states as follows: “Given an audience, an explainable Artificial Intelligence is one that produces details or reasons to make its functioning clear or easy to understand.” (Arrieta et al. 2019, p. 6). Thereby, we impose ease of understanding of AI for humans and use targeted explanation techniques such as XAI. In general, we can view explainability as a vital attribute of AI models, which indicates any procedure that intends to clarify its inner workings. This is predominantly known as understandability in the XAI literature and denotes specifically the model characteristics that help a human understand how the AI system works (Montavon et al. 2018). Additionally, this is tied to interpretability, which we can define as the ability to provide a model with meaning in understandable terms to humans through, e.g., transparency, if an AI model is by itself understandable. Thus, explainability is twofold, leading to model explainability, i.e., the ability of the system to reveal its inner workings, and human understandability, i.e., the capability of humans to understand the factors and the knowledge contained within an AI model. Employing XAI can lead to increased trust, e.g., by consumers and employees, and accountability in deployed AI models (Rai et al. 2019; Martin 2019; Elliott et al. 2021). Increased trust ultimately results in more widespread adoption of AI applications (Adadi and Berrada 2018; Janiesch et al. 2021; Mirbabaie et al. 2021; Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019). Especially in highly-regulated application domains or in environments with highly consequential decisions—like Finance, Healthcare, and Automotive—this requirement can be crucial for a successful application. Nevertheless, these industries are predestined for the application of AI systems due to the vast amounts of available data and automatable processes. In this vein, the need for XAI emerged, as it supports the evaluation and justification of AI systems (Zheng et al. 2019; Meske et al. 2022). Recent calls for, e.g., trustworthy (Thiebes et al. 2021) or sustainable AI (Bawack et al. 2022) underline the need for an exaggerated concept of AI.
Next to defining XAI, it is essential to reconvene various goals of explainability of AI evolved from the literature. In general, all these goals help to understand why the explainability of AI is needed and performed, especially when acting in a highly-regulated application domain such as Finance (Cao 2022). Thus, we follow an established nomenclature of XAI goals (Arrieta et al. 2019) and include the following nine goals: trustworthiness, causality, transferability, informativeness, confidence, fairness, accessibility, interactivity, and privacy awareness. These goals, presented in Table 1, relate to what XAI aspires to compel.
Finally, it is crucial to inspect how we can achieve explainability. The first important distinction is between understandable models by design and so-called black-box models, which require external XAI techniques to enable human understanding. Thus, we differentiate between transparent models and post-hoc explanation techniques.Footnote 3
Transparent models must satisfy specific properties to be explainable to decision-makers. First, they are decomposable in that each part is fully explainable or interpretable by design, e.g., input parameters or computations. For instance, complex and non-interpretable input features would fail this criterion, making an AI model less understandable (Lou et al. 2012). Second, transparent models should satisfy algorithmic transparency, i.e., a decision-maker’s need to understand the process of the model to produce its output derived from its inputs. Thus, the decision-maker knows how the model would react in any given situation. Commonly used transparent models are linear/logistic regression, decision trees, k-nearest neighbors, rule-based learners, general additive models, or Bayesian models.3 To give an example, decision trees consist of a hierarchical structure for decision-making, primarily supporting classification problems. Decision trees display different features and feature values on each tree level. Generally, they are easy to understand for a human decision-maker as they easily represent input features and the output variable. Figure 1 provides an exemplary decision tree for forecasting bank loans loss-given-default. The tree reflects a recovery horizon of 24 months and estimates the expected recovery rate (RR), depending on features like the loan size (Debt) and the age of the client’s relationship with the bank (AoR) measured in months.
Example decision tree (Bastos 2010, p. 2514)
When AI models do not satisfy the properties of transparent models, post-hoc explainability methods come into place. These methods provide interpretable information for decision-makers to understand the AI model’s process of producing its output for a given input. The literature (e.g., Arrieta et al. 2019) distinguishes between two different post-hoc explainability methods: model-agnostic and model-specific.3 Model-agnostic methods can be applied to any given AI model. Such methods can be classified into three categories: explanation by simplification, feature relevance explanation, and visual explanation. One example of explanation by simplification is local explanation techniques such as Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) and all its variants. LIME is a rule extraction technique and builds locally linear models around the prediction of the model that it tries to explain (Ribeiro et al. 2016). Other well-known model-agnostic techniques, such as Shapley Additive explanations (SHAP), fall within the feature relevance explanation. With SHAP, the authors offer a way to measure the influence of relevant input features by calculating a feature importance score for each particular prediction (Lundberg and Lee 2017). Although LIME and SHAP may be visualized, it is not their defining characteristic, leading to the third category: visualization techniques such as Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) (Goldstein et al. 2015). ICE allows graphing the functional relationship between the predicted response and the feature for individual observations. For instance, Fernández (2020) predicts bank solvency in the United States and uses ICE plots for sensitivity analysis. Figure 2 shows the individual observations, plotting the mortgage rate on the x-axis and the bank solvency (measured as the level of regulatory capital among risk-weighted assets) on the y-axis. From here, one can deduce two breakpoints in solvency: With rising mortgage rates, there are two drops in bank solvency, one at mortgage rates of 5% and the other at about 8.5%.
Example ICE plot (Fernández 2020, p. 145)
These techniques help visualize the model parameters of any supervised AI algorithm. However, visualizations are less common model-agnostic explanation techniques since ensuring their applicability to any AI model’s inner structure is challenging.
Model-specific methods can only be applied to their respective category of AI models such as, e.g., ensembles and multiple classifier systems, support vector machines (SVMs), and neural networks.3 For the latter, simplification techniques like DeepLIFT compute importance scores for multi-layer neural networks. With this approach, one can compare various neuron activations to a reference activation and assign a score based on the computed difference (Shrikumar et al. 2017).
2.3 Technological advances in Finance
Finance is a broad field of applications with very diverse requirements for technical systems and automation, mainly due to regulatory and legal requirements. Still, the domain continuously uses and adapts to new technological opportunities (Gimpel et al. 2018; Zheng et al. 2019), like AI and XAI. This phenomenon is also referred to as FinTech, i.e., financial technology. Previously, research emphasized the application of AI in Finance (e.g., Cao 2020, 2022; Goodell et al. 2021; Zheng et al. 2019). Cao (2020, 2022) evaluates the challenges of financial businesses and provides a comprehensive overview of solutions through classic and modern AI in Finance and economics. Goodell et al. (2021) present a holistic retrospection of the extant literature on AI application in Finance through co-citation and bibliometric-coupling analyses of 283 articles for the last three decades. They derive the following thematic clusters: financial distress and corporate failure, algorithmic and high-frequency trading, forecasting and predictive analysis, text mining and sentiment analysis, financial fraud, pricing and valuation, scheduling, and investor behavior and trade classification. Zheng et al. (2019) specifically analyze financial intelligence, which they define as FinTech 3.0, i.e., the third stage of technological advancements in Finance after computers (FinTech 1.0) and the internet (FinTech 2.0). Financial intelligence achieves “intelligent and accurate calculation responsibility and (…) lead[s] the overall change in the financial industry” (Zheng et al. 2019, p. 914). They describe the AI key application areas of wealth management, risk management, financial security, financial consulting, and blockchain. While there is a considerable amount of publications aggregating research on AI in Finance, there is no paper reviewing the current state of research on XAI in Finance. Due to the high regulations applying to domains like Finance and practical requirements, e.g., for the transparency of decisions, XAI can play a decisive role in augmenting processes in such domains. Hence, it is necessary to discuss XAI related to the different application areas in Finance. Research divides Finance into several areas (e.g., Huang et al. 2020; Hentzen et al. 2021; Goodell et al. 2021). Particularly pivotal and commonly discussed for AI deployment are the Finance areas of risk management, stock market, portfolio optimization, anti-money laundering, and electronic financial transaction classification.
Risk management (e.g., default and bankruptcy prediction, fraud detection) is concerned with identifying, measuring, and controlling financial risks (Zheng et al. 2019). Financial institutions continuously perform it, and regulators require it (Adams and Hagras 2020). Default and bankruptcy prediction refers to a state of (corporate) failure (Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019). Default prediction is concerned with predicting the probability of debtors, e.g., credit card holders and financial institutions, to commit default using available information, e.g., profiles, loan history, and repayment history. Bankruptcy prediction deals with publicly available information and derives, e.g., accounting ratios to determine the likelihood of a company going bankrupt, a valuable information for potential investors and current creditors (Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019; Zheng et al. 2019). Fraud detection involves uncovering unauthorized (fraudulent) transactions on accounts (Jarovsky et al. 2018). AI methods support these endeavors by assessing numerous cases, e.g., credit card applications, or enormous amounts of available data, e.g., in the case of public companies, and suggesting possible actions, like approving or denying credit card applications or loans. XAI complements these suggestions with explanations to ensure they are discrimination-free and thoroughly founded, rendering the AI methods usable in the industry (Park et al. 2021). More precisely, in the case of default prediction, e.g., a gradient tree-boosted model may get employed (Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019). This model performs a binary classification by assigning loans to small and medium-sized enterprises into two categories: defaults and non-defaults. Among approximately 50 different predictor variables, this AI model uses the number of days of delay until repayment (delay days) to predict rare events, such as loan defaults. Here, the authors introduce two model-agnostic post-hoc explainability tools for the interpretation of the AI model (i.e., two XAI models): variable importance measures (feature relevance explanation) and partial dependence plots (visual explanation). Variable importance measures quantify and illustrate single variables’ importance for the prediction (Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019). Further, partial dependence plots (see Fig. 3) visualize the model by showing how a single variable influences the prediction outcome aggregated for several observations. For instance, plotting the age of the accounting data provided by a company (age accounting data) or the delay days against default probability illustrates the model. As Fig. 3 shows, a lower age accounting data and fewer delay days are related to a lower default probability. Additionally, the linear relationship in the case of age accounting data and the non-linear relationship in the case of delay days is recognizable. These illustrations help overcoming the black-box nature of AI-based systems.
Example partial dependence plots (Sigrist and Hirnschall 2019, p. 28)
Trading in the stock market benefits from AI usage, as the latter is expected to impede emotionally, and thus irrational, investment decisions and find patterns beyond human recognizability (Ferreira et al. 2021). Price prediction estimates the future value of a specific stock, option, or index. To achieve this, human and AI predictors use various input factors from within the stock market, e.g., past prices and trading volumes, and outside of it, e.g., press releases, annual reports, and social media (Ito et al. 2021). XAI supports this automated process by delivering explanations to highlight on which specific input variables investment decisions or price predictions are based. To give another example of the application of XAI from the area of trading in the stock market, we closer inspect technical analysts. They rely in their trading strategies on historical charts and heuristic approaches, trying to extrapolate future asset prices, as opposed to fundamentalists, who strictly base their trading behavior on asset prices derived from efficient market hypothesis’ fundamental values (Brock and Hommes 1998). Technical analysts’ behavior provides ground for applying reinforcement learning to retrieve the used “rules-of-thumb” (rule-base learners). This refers to determining “the amount of relevant historical information as well as the optimal parameters of the technical rules employed” (Bekiros 2010, p. 1154), as a common problem discussed with the technical analysts’ approach is the lack thereof. Here, using AI that is by design interpretable, as its outcome consists of parameters of fuzzy inference rules (transparent XAI model), supports the cause of XAI (Bekiros 2010).
Portfolio optimization deals with asset allocation, which is considered one of the most relevant research fields in asset management (Zhang et al. 2020a). It refers to finding a set of investment assets that fulfills the needs of a particular investor while usually simultaneously maximizing a particular goal (Ferreira et al. 2021). Advanced models allow investors to include their expectations and confidence level, while Big Data enables the incorporation of, e.g., market sentiments or other macroeconomic factors such as gross domestic product growth or inflation (Zhu et al. 2020). AI models help solve this complex problem by automatically deriving conclusions from these large amounts of data with multiple input variables. At the same time, XAI adds interpretability to these conclusions, e.g., a portfolio output, to narrow down the relevant factors for specific asset allocations.
Money laundering refers to techniques of “hiding proceeds of crime” (Levi and Reuter 2006, p. 289). Anti-money laundering measures are, e.g., know-your-customer requirements that ensure that banks verify their customers' identity by checking government-issued IDs. The application of AI models may improve this process by handling large amounts of data and detecting anomalies, thus revealing potential money laundering cases. However, as money laundering suspicions can prevent customers from financial transactions, interpretability in the form of XAI for these automatically generated suspicions is needed (Kute et al. 2021). The mere results of an AI model are not sufficient in this case. Instead, explanations for the decisions are crucial.
Electronic financial transaction classification is concerned with classifying transactions that bank account holders perform into categories, e.g., groceries or transportation (Maree et al. 2020). While less regulated than others, this area is of pivotal importance for AI applications in Finance. Hence, we include this area in our consideration. Financial institutions may use this classification to present value-adding products to customers like digital financial advisors. Individuals’ electronic financial transactions are highly personal (Achituve et al. 2019). Thus, applications based on these transactions include the risk of privacy intrusions and discrimination. Misclassification of transactions could also impede the usability, and thus profitability, of a digital financial advisor, which determines the need for explainability.
To sum up, Finance is a highly-regulated application domain with a tremendous need for explanations when employing AI techniques (Zheng et al. 2019). Regulators and supervisors require banks to illuminate their activities when using AI (Burgt 2020; Weber et al. 2020; Adams and Hagras 2020), hence requiring the deployment of XAI models in specific application scenarios.
3 Method
The conducted SLR aims to provide a comprehensive overview of previously dispersed research and a research agenda for XAI in Finance. This contributes to the goal of anchoring and facilitating XAI usage in the financial sector, thereby advancing theory and practice alike. In the following, we describe the methodology and employed search strategy for our SLR.
SLRs present the current state of research on a particular topic by aggregating prior research results. In this vein, SLRs also uncover less researched areas of the topic under investigation (e.g., Kitchenham et al. 2011; Okoli and Schabram 2010; Snyder 2019). Consequently, SLRs aim to aggregate the extracted research outcomes of previously conducted studies and their propositions (Okoli and Schabram 2010; Kitchenham et al. 2011). Thus, SLRs cluster the current state of research according to predefined criteria and thereby contribute to the conceptualization of the topic under investigation (Paré et al. 2015; Snyder 2019). Derived results of an SLR target researchers and practitioners (Kitchenham et al. 2011; van Aaken and Buchner 2020). Researchers benefit from a comprehensive overview of previous research and the developed future avenues for research, whereas practitioners can employ the derived overview as a guideline for their operations (Kitchenham et al. 2011; Snyder 2019).
We designed our SLR according to well-established guidelines in IS research, specifically those by Kitchenham (2004). By following these guidelines, we ensured a transparent and reproducible process, providing trustable, reliable, and rigorous research outcomes. Besides, we employed a detailed review protocol to ensure further transparency and reproducibility. The review protocol covered the whole process from conceptualization to the actual search and evaluation of results. It provided detailed information on the conducted search, inclusion and exclusion criteria, search strategy, and analysis procedure.
The initial search for articles employed three search term domains connected by the operator “AND” to ensure the fit with the topic under investigation. One domain aimed at explainability, one fostered AI implementation, and a third one ensured the applicability to the financial domain (see Table 2). This helped us to limit the number of retrieved articles and ensured the relevance of the derived studies. We searched the title and abstract for the chosen search terms to provide a broad set of relevant prior research. Nevertheless, an SLR does not aim at providing an exhaustive overview of prior research on a particular topic but rather guidance on the previously conducted research. Summing up, the search focused on publications addressing XAI in the financial context while excluding prior research emphasizing AI or other application scenarios (e.g., Healthcare, Automotive).
In order to do justice to the topic at hand, we included the top-ranked (A + and A) Finance journals according to the German Academic Association of Business Research (VHB) in the search. Further, we included the eight Information Systems (IS) basket journals (i.e., European Journal of Information Systems, Information Systems Journal, Information Systems Research, Journal of AIS, Journal of Information Technology, Journal of MIS, Journal of Strategic Information Systems, MIS Quarterly), and the top CS journals according to the Scimagor Journal Ranking. We included CS as a research area to capture a more technical angle to the topic and IS as research on the intersection of technology and practical implementation. Besides, the search process also covered several databases (i.e., ACM Digital Library, AIS eLibrary, IEEE Xplore) related to IS and CS research to provide an extensive overview of current research findings, thus following similar SLRs (e.g., Bouncken et al. 2015; Sageder et al. 2018; Malinova and Mendling 2021). We included peer-reviewed publications in leading international journals and conference proceedings to ensure high-quality standards. Besides, we limited the search to publications since 2010 to provide a more recent overview of current research in a rapidly changing environment of XAI research endeavors. The same search strategy (i.e., search terms and criteria) is independently applied to each outlet and database. The search took place from October 2021 to January 2022 to provide the most recent picture of current research, up to and including the year 2021. The initial search yielded 2,022 results. Upon excluding duplicates, the set consisted of 2,000 results. Figure 4 visualizes the steps of our SLR process and provides additional information on the particular quantities (i.e., initially, 545 results from Finance, 870 results from IS, and 607 results from CS).
The screening process employed a set of exclusion criteria to ensure the relevance of the results and the focus on the research goal. Besides publication date and focus on peer-reviewed outlets, we defined the following rigid exclusion criteriaFootnote 4 to filter out irrelevant publications:
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The paper deals with Finance but not with XAI.
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The paper deals with XAI but not with Finance.
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The paper deals with AI and Finance but not with XAI.
The screening process consisted of several steps. First, we checked the result set for relevance to the research project and the criteria utilizing their titles, abstracts, and keywords. In questionable cases, we also screened additional publication sections like the introduction and conclusion. We excluded all articles with a misfit concerning research goals and search criteria, in our case, 1,757 publications. This led to 243 publications relevant to the following screening step. Within the next step, we evaluated these publications in detail according to their full texts. Fifty-four publications finally matched the search criteria and research goals. The far-reaching search caused relatively high exclusion rates during the process. However, conducting a more comprehensive search was necessary to provide an overview of the intersection of XAI and Finance. After screening the derived publications for relevance, we browsed these retained publications for key publications (i.e., backward search). The backward search yielded another six relevant publications. Hence, the final set featured a total of 60 articles (see Appendix 1 for the complete list).
The last step of the SLR covered the coding of the final publication set. We coded according to publication details (i.e., publication, year, methodology) and the thematic focus and application (i.e., XAI method and goal, area of Finance). To the best of our knowledge, no suitable coding scheme is available. Thus, we developed a multiple classification-coding scheme (i.e., coders can assign one publication to several classifications). The developed coding scheme spanned a matrix that connects the XAI application and the area of Finance (according to the presented nomenclatures). However, the developed coding scheme should ensure an iterative, discursive process instead of being a rigid scheme. Three coders independently performed the coding, discussing possible deviations and settling them in mutual agreement.
4 Results
4.1 General overview
We present the publication trend of XAI research in Finance in Fig. 5. The graph shows the number of articles published in the respective year. Figure 5 indicates that XAI research in Finance was already relevant a decade ago, followed by a paucity around 2013 and 2014. We find the most articles for 2020 with n = 17 articles, followed by 2021 with the second-most n = 16 articles. Thus, the two recent years account for over 55% of the articles we found, indicating this research area to be of considerable growth. We assume this to manifest the current AI and XAI trend in research (Collins et al. 2021), e. g. due to rising transparency needs by policymakers, we also find in other domains regarding XAI (Wells and Bednarz 2021; Islam et al. 2022).
In Fig. 6, we provide an overview of the methods used in XAI research in Finance.Footnote 5 The majority of the reviewed articles present theoretical models, which are subsequently applied to real market datasets (n = 32). For instance, Liu et al. (2021) propose a logistic regression model empowered with cross-features generated through deep neural networks, which they apply to multiple public and business datasets from real-world credit risk assessment applications. The runner-up method is the experiment performed by n = 18 articles in our subset. For instance, Ghandar and Michalewicz (2011) experiment with multi-objective evolutionary algorithms for stock price prediction to pursue the XAI goals of informativeness and confidence. Least used are the methods of qualitative literature review and case study, which are only employed by two research teams each, e.g., a case study by Mayer et al. (2020), who conduct an in-depth case study of a large German bank implementing an AI system supporting credit risk decisions.
We figure this focus on theoretical models with real market datasets and experiments to be an expression of the data-driven characteristic of AI and, subsequently, XAI. Most researchers employed either real or experiment-crafted datasets to present their XAI-related results in Finance. This adds to the practical applicability of the study at hand, as it shows Finance practitioners that XAI is already well-connected to, e.g., real market datasets and is thus more readily available for implementation in their specific Finance areas.
We find an imbalance in the disciplines from which the reviewed research articles originated. As Fig. 7 shows in the first bar, roughly a quarter (n = 13) of the sample is published in Finance literature such as the Journal of Banking and Finance, while the majority (n = 47) is based in the IS and CS disciplines with research outlets like Information Systems Research. This paucity of XAI research in Finance literature we found in our sample fosters further inspection. We conclude there is a further need for the Finance discipline to engage with research on XAI due to the specific requirements of this industry for such systems. Accordingly, it is insufficient if only more technically oriented disciplines, i.e., IS and CS, deal with it. Instead, the view of the application-specific discipline, i.e., Finance, is also valuable and essential. Besides, due to high regulatory requirements in this industry, law researchers should respond to law initiatives and laws such as the US FTA, the EU AIA, and the GDPR next to scientific calls for transparency in Finance (Vishwanath and Kaufmann 1999; Pasquale 2015; Weber et al. 2020) and deepen their research on XAI in regulated domains. We find a balanced distribution by looking at the publication form the authors in our subsample chose. Half of the articles were published in journals (n = 28), while the other half were introduced at conferences (n = 32), as the second bar of Fig. 7 shows. This balance implies that XAI in Finance is an established research field future scientists might want to look at, as it is well-represented in both research trends capturing conferences and basic research advancing journals. In the lower bar of Fig. 7, we can see the distribution of the rankings the respective publication outlets received. We adopt the rating provided by the VHB, ranking outlets from A + (best quality and impact) to D (lower quality and impact), considering all discipline ratings.Footnote 6 We find only one article with the highest rank A + , while a fifth of our subsample’s articles were published in outlets receiving the second-best rank, A (n = 11). Interestingly, researchers publish most articles in journals or conference proceedings that received no rating (n.r.) by the VHB (n = 45). This fact may show that XAI in Finance is yet predominantly concerned with an application point of view, thus, possibly neglecting the theory-building and development part of research that could further pave the way for realizing the full potential of XAI in Finance. Additionally, research is driven by non-management disciplines such as IS and CS.
4.2 Overview concerning XAI goals and methods
We research which goals XAI in our subsample pursuits. For this purpose, our coding scheme grounds on the well-accepted nomenclature of XAI goals by Arrieta et al. (2019) and considers the nine goals of XAI mentioned above: trustworthiness, causality, transferability, informativeness, confidence, fairness, accessibility, interactivity, and privacy awareness. Table 3 provides an overview of the respective articles dealing with specific XAI goals. As the literature indicates (e.g., Arrieta et al. 2019), most XAI papers deal with the goal of informativeness, while the least deal with privacy awareness. We confirm these results for our sample of papers. Most of our sample (n = 43) deals with informativeness, while only two articles target the XAI goal of privacy awareness. This paucity of research with the goal of privacy awareness is somewhat interesting, as laws, e.g., the GDPR, emphasize privacy and the right to informational self-determination, especially in industries like the financial sector. Future research has to unravel this mismatch and identify potential reasons for it.
Next to the goals of XAI, we take a closer look at the XAI methods used in the reviewed sample. As for the list of XAI goals, we base our coding of XAI methods on prior literature (e.g., Arrieta et al. 2019). We distinguish between transparent AI models, which are interpretable without any further additions, and so-called post-hoc explainability, which complements existing AI models to create or improve their interpretability. For the latter, there is model-agnostic explainability on the one side, providing explainability regardless of the model, and model-specific explainability on the other, which improves explainability for distinct AI models (Arrieta et al. 2019).
Table 4 provides an overview of the reviewed articles and their XAI methods. Multi-method usage is possible, while six papers do not employ methods (Ghandar and Michalewicz 2011; Renault 2017; Oppold and Herschel 2019; Koshiyama et al. 2020; Daníelsson et al. 2021; Ge et al. 2021), but only deal with XAI from a high-level perspective considering goals. Thus, they are not included in Table 4 but in Table 3. The results indicate that roughly the same number of papers use transparent models (n = 26) or introduce XAI in the form of post-hoc explainability (n = 32). This balance represents researchers’ balanced preferences towards both kinds of XAI, transparent models next to post-hoc explainability, highlighting XAI in Finance as a well-recognized, established research stream. Additionally, we observe articles employing both kinds of XAI, thus comparing, e.g., neural networks and logistic regression (Adams and Hagras 2020), showing academia targeting both kinds of XAI individually and their combination and comparison. Decision trees are the most used method (n = 12) when only looking at transparent models, while general additive and Bayesian models are not used. Related studies (e.g., Arrieta et al. 2019; Chou 2019) confirm decision trees to be well-employed in XAI research, but we find a different picture regarding general additive models. Relevant research concerning XAI in the form of general additive models in Finance (Berg 2007; Taylan et al. 2007; Calabrese 2012) did not appear in our search. This fact eventually hints at possible limitations of this study and sparks further research as to why there has been no research on general additive models in Finance in top-tiered outlets since 2010. Looking at methods including post-hoc explainability (n = 37), we find roughly two-fifths being model-agnostic (n = 16) and three-fifths being model-specific (n = 21). Most model-specific methods deal with multi-layer neural networks (n = 14), while least model-specific methods focus on recurrent neural networks (n = 1) and none on SVMs. Among model-agnostic methods, an equal number of articles deal with explanation by simplification and feature relevance explanation (n = 5).
In Fig. 8, we provide an overview of the publication trend of XAI research in Finance grouped by explainability type. Research trends change over time regarding transparent models (blue) or post-hoc explainability (orange). Some papers employ both types of XAI, while others employ neither (n = 6), focusing on goals instead (see Table 3). While up to 2018, except for 2012, there has been more, or at least as much, research applying transparent models compared to post-hoc explainability, this trend recently shifted. If we consider the research-intense years of 2019–2021, the volume of research and its distribution changed. Research employing post-hoc explainability surpassed the former more popular transparent models by far with, e.g., almost four times as many papers dealing with post-hoc explainability (n = 11) than with transparent models (n = 3) in 2021. This development is in line with the general development of AI-based systems, where complex AI methods such as deep neural networks are more frequently used for decision-making.
Table 5 gives an overview of XAI methods concerning their application areas in Finance. This overview allows us to indicate blind spots, deriving fruitful avenues for future research, especially from a Finance point of view. From Table 5, we can infer underrepresented research areas in Finance, such as anti-money laundering. Up-and-coming scientists may evaluate the application of other XAI methods, e.g., rule-based learners or SVMs, to these areas to advance research and help practitioners employ AI models complemented with explainability. Of course, it is mandatory to investigate the absence of XAI methods applications in Finance areas derived from Table 5. Some combinations might be less than others or not fruitful at all. For instance, new researchers undertaking projects in this space should take a closer look at the Finance area of electronic financial transaction classification and try to apply XAI methods such as logistic/linear regression or visual explanation. Thus, they will advance research by supplementing the current research landscape with new insights or providing evidence for the impossibility of such an XAI method and Finance area combination. Furthermore, we may spot areas of Finance, which are already well-researched, such as risk management and portfolio optimization. These areas may benefit from applying new yet unused XAI methods, which we do not list in our overview in Table 5, or from comparing research between the methods mentioned above to acquire a broader perspective on the subject at hand, e.g., comparing transparent models and post-hoc explainability.
Furthermore, we discern that research tackled some, but not all, of the most pressing issues in Finance. Risk management is central to the Finance industry in many respects and essential for the successful continuation of a wide variety of agents. Hence, it is not surprising that prior research put much effort into researching the application of XAI in this Finance area due to its centrality to the domain (Adams and Hagras 2020). The same applies to the stock market and portfolio optimization, building blocks upon which the success of many agents in the domain of Finance grounds (Zhang et al. 2020a). Besides, anti-money laundering is one of the most pressing issues threatening financial systems (Kute et al. 2021). However, research so far has only rarely tackled this issue, posing the question of why that is the case. Classifying electronic financial transactions has recently become a differentiator in customers' eyes. Therefore, agents in the financial domain renewed their interest in this area (Maree et al. 2020).
Hence, prior research focused on more critical and also predestinated Finance areas and evaluated the application of at least one XAI method per area. However, there is still an imbalance urging research attention in the future on the one hand concerning the application of more diverse XAI methods to several areas. On the other hand, future research should assess less urgent but still promising areas in Finance for possible application of XAI methods.
5 Conclusion and future research avenues
To exploit AI applications' full potential in Finance, XAI methods' employment seems promising. Using XAI instead of AI is decisive to ensure the necessary level of transparency and traceability required by regulatory and legal entities and achieve the trust needed for such systems to be deployed. However, research on XAI in Finance is highly dispersed over application areas and research methods (see Table 4). Frequently, researchers only investigated applying a particular XAI method to a specific use case. In this way, however, research takes place very isolated. This study provides an overview of previous research and aggregates prior research results to help exploit the full potential of XAI. Thus, we identify future research directions. To the best of our knowledge, there is no research reviewing the application of XAI in Finance on a broader level, albeit the necessity to implement XAI methods to ensure legally binding traceability and transparency of decisions made by the system in the financial industry. We are the first to provide an SLR and thus advance the fields of Finance, IS, and CS. This way, we contribute to conceptualizing the topic under investigation and answer respective calls for research. This paper aims to guide future research and to be a thorough approach to the subject. To achieve this goal, we reviewed relevant Finance, IS, and CS journals next to important databases, analyzing 60 articles in detail to acquire an overview of recent research (year 2010 to year 2021) dealing with this topic. We discuss our results by summarizing the implications for both researchers and practitioners. Finally, we present the limitations of our study and avenues for future research regarding XAI in Finance.
5.1 Theoretical implications
Our research contributes to academia’s emerging interest in XAI in Finance research (see Fig. 5). In this vein, we provide an easy-to-follow, low-threshold, comprehensive overview for interested scholars willing to get acquainted with XAI in Finance. We provide basics of XAI method application in Finance, next to areas of Finance where XAI employment is likely fruitful and pressing. Finally, we present research trends and cluster research and discuss the combinations of XAI methods and areas of Finance existing research focused. Due to the recent increase in publications, a reasonable amount of overlap between specific research streams emerged. In a perfect world, these scientists consolidate their work and progress together, rather than in parallel, into the future.
Our research offers broad guidance for scientists to understand the growing emphasis on XAI in Finance research, which we also found in other domains (Wells and Bednarz 2021; Islam et al. 2022). When looking at the disciplines that focused on XAI in Finance, we found a minority of research rooted in the Finance discipline. Thus, we especially encourage Finance researchers to evaluate how XAI may benefit their field of application. As most articles were published in outlets without a rating by VHB, we conclude that research predominantly took an application point of view, thus, possibly, neglecting the theory-building and development part of research. We highly encourage XAI and Finance researchers to consider engaging in theory building and development regarding XAI in Finance in high-ranked outlets.
When taking a closer look at the goals these papers try to achieve with the application of XAI, we notice an imbalance already highlighted by prior research (e.g., Arrieta et al. 2019). The reviewed articles mainly focus on the goals of informativeness and confidence but rather neglect the goals of, e.g., privacy awareness, accessibility, and causality. Hence, research pursuing these goals might be a fruitful avenue for future research, especially as laws, e.g., the GDPR, emphasize privacy and the right to informational self-determination. Future research has to unravel this mismatch and identify potential reasons for it.
Besides, theorists may benefit from our study employing it as an overview of current research on XAI and especially in Finance. While there is research dealing with AI in IS and CS (e.g., Abdel-Karim et al. 2021; Martin 2019; Rai et al. 2019) or Finance (e.g., Cao 2020, 2022; Goodell et al. 2021; Zheng et al. 2019) or XAI in general (e.g., Arrieta et al. 2019; Ciatto et al. 2020; Doran et al. 2017; Rosenfeld and Richardson 2019; Sanneman and Shah 2020; Verhagen et al. 2021), so far, there is no paper reviewing the current state of research on XAI in Finance in leading international journals and conferences. Scientists looking for the distribution of a specific XAI method in Finance find answers in our provided results. For instance, they may spot decision trees and multi-layer neural networks as well-researched XAI method applications in Finance or find an indication for the underrepresentation of, e.g., Bayesian models. Additionally, we provide interested researchers with a set of studies employing both kinds of XAI, transparent models next to post-hoc explainability, in the area of Finance, thus highlighting these comparing works.
With our overview of XAI methods and areas of Finance, we identified blind spots for future research. We provide a summary of XAI methods, which are less researched than others. Future researchers could focus on these underrepresented areas, e.g., k-nearest neighbors or SVMs, to broaden our understanding of applicable XAI methods in Finance, albeit having to investigate the reason for this research paucity first. Similarly, we point out fewer explored still pressing areas of Finance that could benefit from additional research on XAI method applicability to provide a better understanding of (potential) XAI method employment in Finance, e.g., anti-money laundering. Besides, new researchers undertaking projects should take a closer look at the Finance area of electronic financial transaction classification and try to apply XAI methods such as logistic/linear regression or visual explanation. Thus, they will advance research by supplementing the current research landscape with new insights or providing evidence for the impossibility of such an XAI method and Finance area combination. XAI applications in the Finance area of risk management, especially default and bankruptcy prediction, deserve further research, as financial institutions perform them continuously due to regulatory requirements (Adams and Hagras 2020). In addition, future research should evaluate less pressing Finance areas for the potential application of XAI in future. Still, applying XAI models to less pressing and therefore less present Finance areas could be rewarding for the domain concerning a more comprehensive understanding.
When analyzing the contributions of the final set of papers, most models can visibly outperform current industry practices and offer transparency and traceability of decisions, hence fulfilling the requirements for automating processes in Finance. Nevertheless, very few papers deal with whether the developed or applied methods and models actually meet regulatory requirements and can thus be implemented in practice (except for, e.g., Park et al. 2021). Especially in a highly-regulated application domain like Finance with legal requirements for using AI-based systems in practice, such an assessment should be part of the individual evaluations. Accordingly, this represents an important future research endeavor to examine and consider compliance with existing laws and regulations during the development and testing of methodologies. Summing up, we provide a research agenda for future XAI research in Finance incorporating different approaches to the issue.
Finally, our research results also emphasize the need for XAI compared to mere AI deployment in Finance. However, one of the problems targeted by XAI is not new to research. One may also interpret XAI as a means of information asymmetry reduction. Information asymmetry refers to a state where a party has less or other information than their counterpart in a (planned) mutual relationship or contract (Akerlof 1970). AI implementation might create such a situation between the AI user and the AI tool when the user knows less or nothing about the inner mechanisms of an applied AI tool. XAI may educate the user with such knowledge, thus helping reduce the aforementioned information asymmetry. In Finance, this helps increase trust and understandability of AI systems, ultimately leading to higher adoption rates. Currently, multiple XAI methods apply to areas of Finance such as risk management and the stock market. Hence, we conclude higher relevance of information asymmetries and needs for information asymmetry reduction in these areas.
5.2 Managerial implications
Interested readers from business practice may also thrive by consulting our study. Our review provides an easy-to-follow, low-threshold, comprehensive overview for interested practitioners willing to get acquainted with XAI in Finance. Legislators, regulators, and Finance managers seeking to educate themselves benefit from our research, as we provide the basics of XAI methods employed in Finance. Additionally, we identify application areas in Finance where XAI employment is likely to be fruitful. We furthermore present research trends and cluster existing research, next to discussing the combinations of XAI methods and areas of Finance researched so far. As academia preferred the methods of real market datasets and experiments, it adds to this study’s practical applicability, showing practitioners that XAI is already well-connected to, e.g., real market datasets and thus more readily available for implementation.
Research on XAI in Finance is dispersed and thus makes it difficult for practitioners to get an overview of possibly suitable XAI methods for a specific application problem or to fathom possible areas of application for XAI methods. Our study maps XAI methods and areas of Finance, thus providing easy access to the deployment of XAI methods in practice. Hence, Finance managers planning to adopt XAI might consider our work an initial overview. Looking for existing XAI applications in their specific Finance areas, they may consult our study to learn about ready-to-employ solutions to add transparency and explainability to their yet black-box nature AI-based systems or not-yet automated processes. Alternatively, existing knowledge in the company about specific XAI models can be used, and possible application scenarios can be identified.
Accordingly, practitioners can use our study as a concrete guideline on how XAI can be implemented in Finance and thus gain a quick overview. This study aggregates yet scattered research on XAI in Finance to provide more copious and easier access to XAI in Finance, and thus brings us one step closer to unlocking the full potential of such systems in this industrial sector. In addition to providing general ideas for implementing XAI systems, the paper helps as a tangible overview of which financial sectors already have solutions that managers can consider in practice. In this vein, this study should anchor XAI usage in Finance.
Currently, practitioners lack concrete guidance on the legally compliant application of AI and XAI methods in Finance (Weber et al. 2020). Due to the highly-regulated application domain of Finance and its specific requirements for transparency and traceability of decisions and processes, practitioners face a very complex decision-making situation when they want to implement such methods in practice. Accordingly, this paper supports them in identifying already acceptable methods from a regulatory point of view, especially by motivating future research in this field of application. For instance, they could inspect the literature we presented and filter for works employing the method of case studies in order to observe what kinds of XAI were already applied in real Finance business cases.
Moreover, and most importantly, this study supports policymakers in establishing more specific regulations and prerequisites for using AI-based systems in Finance. As we showed in Fig. 8, research regarding XAI in Finance recently shifted from mainly incorporating explainability by design (transparent models) to mainly applying explanations through external XAI techniques (post-hoc explainability). Legislators and regulators may want to respond to this trend by designing laws and regulatory requirements concerning this type of XAI techniques. For instance, post-hoc explainability methods are independent of the AI models they explain, which might require a distinct legislative approach for the former than for the latter.
Finally, practitioners may infer current or future trends in XAI in Finance research to prepare their businesses for future challenges. Practitioners may employ our overview as a guideline for their yet-to-come operations. For instance, they could enhance their employees’ technical skills by educating them about XAI methods from our aggregated research endeavors, e.g., decision trees, a rather widely applied XAI method in Finance, or ensembles and multiple classifier systems, a yet relatively rarely used XAI method in Finance.
5.3 Future research
The results reveal several further research avenues worth evaluating: We highly encourage future scientists to further enrich the research on XAI application in Finance. More precisely, forthcoming researchers should focus on underrepresented areas
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of XAI goals, i.e., causality, accessibility, and privacy awareness,
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of XAI method employment, i.e., k-nearest neighbors, general additive models, Bayesian models, ensembles and multiple classifier systems, SVMs, recurrent neural networks, and the comparison of transparent models and post-hoc explainability, and
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of Finance, i.e., anti-money laundering and electronic financial transaction classification as well as less pressing Finance areas,
and especially their various combinations. It is essential and beneficial to have a broad understanding of XAI in Finance regarding specific goals, methods, and areas. Nevertheless, a broad understanding of the subject is important and should be a step for future research. Goals that have not yet been researched more intensively in the context of XAI in Finance nevertheless represent important fields of action for this domain. Particularly in Finance—and the correspondingly sensitive data—e.g., privacy awareness is of decisive importance and may even be required by regulation. There is a plethora of XAI methods applicable to the domain of Finance. However, most research focuses on only a few of these methods. Still, future research should exploit the versatility of established XAI methods. Only in this way can the potential of different methodologies be evaluated and thus also exploited. In addition, this study only examined Finance areas pressing and predestined for applying XAI in Finance or even requiring explainability. Accordingly, it makes sense to extend the focus of previous research to the yet understudies pressing areas as well as further Finance areas not yet that present in the scholarly discussion.
To ensure the practical relevance of research, researchers should focus on regulatory compliance of existing and new XAI methods in Finance. Only in this way can one exploit the potential of XAI in Finance. The practical use of such systems is highly regulated. Therefore, compliance is crucial for such systems' practical relevance. So far, there is hardly any discussion of the results in the context of regulatory compliance—a gap researchers should close with future studies.
Despite our best efforts, the findings and implications of our SLR are not without limitations, thus motivating future research. Although we tried to base our literature search on a broad variety of databases, there is still the possibility of researching more outlets, varying keywords, and including a broader publication date range to receive an even richer set of results (e.g., Berg 2007; Taylan et al. 2007). Even then, an exhaustive SLR remains impossible. We focused on recent research from the last decade to retrieve articles relevant to contemporary researchers and practitioners. Nevertheless, broadening and updating the SLR over time is an important avenue for future research.
The focus on XAI application in specific Finance areas may impose another limitation. However, this paper emphasized once again that even a highly-regulated application domain, such as the financial industry, does not represent a uniform field of application but rather many different areas with different requirements belonging to this industry. Accordingly, our research should motivate future scientists to perform similar analyses of the applicability of XAI methods in other areas of Finance and industries, including Healthcare and Automotive, and thus pave the way for a further spread of XAI in the most diverse industries with different requirements.
In conclusion, our study contributes to literature and practice by providing an easy-to-follow, low-threshold, comprehensive overview of previous works and a research agenda for future XAI research in Finance.
Data availability
The data sets used in our publication are not publicly available. Still, interested readers may get access to the data sets used for coding by contacting the authors.
Notes
Note, that this does not decrease regulatory compliance requirements (e.g., transparency, accountability) themselves. The decrease affects the burdens imposed by the requirements on the private sector through harmonization and standardized business reporting.
For further information see Russell et al. (2016).
For further information and an explanation of each of the models see Arrieta et al. (2019).
We applied these criteria in each of the screening steps to ensure the consistent pursuing of the research goal.
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Weber, P., Carl, K.V. & Hinz, O. Applications of Explainable Artificial Intelligence in Finance—a systematic review of Finance, Information Systems, and Computer Science literature. Manag Rev Q 74, 867–907 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11301-023-00320-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11301-023-00320-0