Abstract
Objectives
To examine the effectiveness of young offender rehabilitation programs in Europe as part of an international project on the transnational transfer of approaches to reducing reoffending.
Methods
A literature search of approximately 27,000 titles revealed 25 controlled evaluations that fulfilled eligibility criteria, such as treatment of adjudicated young offenders below the age of 25, equivalence of treatment and control groups, and outcomes on reoffending. In total, the studies contained 7,940 offenders with a mean age of 17.9 years.
Results
Outcomes in the primary studies ranged widely from odds ratio (OR) = 0.58 to 6.99, and the mean effect was significant and in favor of treatment (OR = 1.34). Behavioral and cognitive-behavioral treatment ranked above average (OR = 1.73), whereas purely deterrent and supervisory interventions revealed a slightly negative outcome (OR = 0.85). Programs that were conducted in accordance with the risk–need–responsivity principles revealed the strongest mean effect (OR = 1.90), which indicates a reduction of 16 % in reoffending against a baseline of 50 %. Studies of community treatment, with small samples, high program fidelity, and conducted as part of a demonstration project had larger effects; high methodological rigor was related to slightly smaller outcomes. Large effect size differences between evaluations from the UK and continental Europe disappeared when controlling for other study characteristics.
Conclusions
Overall, most findings agreed with North American meta-analyses. However, two-thirds of the studies were British, and in most European countries there was no sound evaluation of young offender treatment at all. This limits the generalization of results and underlines the policy need for systematic evaluation of programs and outcome moderators across different countries.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The full number of studies yielded within each database is catalogued in Appendix ii.
Assuming a recidivism rate of 50 % in the control groups, the recidivism rate in the treatment groups can be calculated using the following formula for OR effect sizes:
$$ {\text{Treatment group recidivism rate}} = \frac{{OR}}{{(1 + OR)}} $$We gratefully acknowledge the editors for providing this helpful formula.
After examining the properties of the data for potential multicollinearity and the existence of outliers, we determined that none of the standard assumptions had been violated and meta-regression could proceed.
References
An asterisk (*) denotes the study was included in the meta-analysis.
*Andrée Löfholm, C., Olsson, T., Sundell, K., & Hansson, K. (2009). Multisystemic Therapy with conduct-disordered young people: Stability of treatment outcomes two years after intake. Evidence and Policy, 5(4), 373-397
Andrews, D. (1995). The psychology of criminal conduct and effective treatments. In J. McGuire (Ed.), What works: Reducing reoffending (pp. 63–78). New York: Wiley.
Andrews, D., & Bonta, J. (2010). The Psychology of criminal conduct (5th ed.). Newark: LexisNexis.
Andrews, D., Zinger, I., Hoge, R., Bonta, J., Gendreau, P., & Cullen, F. (1990). Does correctional treatment work? A clinically relevant and psychologically informed meta-analysis. Criminology, 28(3), 369–404.
Andrews, D. A., Bonta, J., & Wormith, S. (2006). The recent past and near future of risk and/or needs assessment. Crime and Delinquency, 52(1), 7–27.
Andrews, D. A., Bonta, J., & Wormith, S. (2011). The Risk-Need-Responsivity (RNR) model: does adding the good lives model contribute to effective crime prevention? Criminal Justice and Behavior, 38, 735–755.
Aos, S., Phipps, P., Barnoski, R., & Lieb, R. (2001). The comparative costs and benefits of programs to reduce crime, 4th ed. Washington State Institute for Public Policy. Retrieved May 23, 2012, from http://www.wsipp.wa.gov/rptfiles/costbenefit.pdf.
Aos, S., Miller, M., & Drake, E. (2006). Evidence-based adult corrections programs: What works and what does not. Olympia: Washington State Institute of Public Policy.
Borenstein, M., Hedges, L., Higgins, J., & Rothstein, H. (2009). Introduction to meta-analysis. Chichester: Wiley.
*Bottoms, A. E. (1995). Intensive community supervision for young offenders: Outcomes, process and cost. (Cambridge, UK: Institute of Criminology)
Bottoms, A., Dignan, J., et al. (2004). Youth justice in Great Britain. In M. Tonry & A. Doob (Eds.), Youth crime and youth justice: Comparative and cross-national perspectives. Crime and justice: A review of research (Vol. 31, pp. 21–183). Chicago: University of Chicago.
Brayford, J., Cowe, F., & Deering, J. (2010). What else works – Back to the future? In J. Brayford, F. Cowe, & J. Deering (Eds.), What else works? Creative work with offenders (pp. 254–268). Portland: Willan.
*Cann, J., Falshaw, L., & Friendship, C. (2005). Understanding ‘What Works’: Accredited cognitive skills programmes for young offenders. Youth Justice, 5(3), 165-179
Cleland, C., Pearson, F., Lipton, D., & Yee, D. (1997). Does age make a difference? A meta-analytic approach to reductions in criminal offending for juveniles and adults. San Diego: Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology.
*Curran, D., Kilpatrick, R., Young, V., & Wilson, D. (1995). Longitudinal aspects of reconviction: Secure and open intervention with juvenile offenders in Northern Ireland. The Howard Journal of Criminal Justice, 24(2), 97-123
Doob, A. N., & Tonry, M. (2004). Varieties of youth justice. In M. Tonry & A. Doob (Eds.), Youth crime and youth justice: Comparative and cross-national perspectives. Crime and justice: A review of research, vol. 31 (pp. 1–20). Chicago: University of Chicago.
Dowden, C., & Andrews, D. (1999). What works in young offender treatment: a meta-analysis. Forum on Corrections Research, 11(2), 21–24.
Dowden, C., & Andrews, D. (2003). Does family intervention work for delinquents? Results of a meta-analysis. Canadian Journal of Criminology and Criminal Justice, 45(3), 327–342.
Dünkel, F., & Pruin, I. (2010). Young adult offenders in the criminal justice systems of European countries. In F. Dünkel, J. Grzywa, P. Horsfield, & I. Pruin (Eds.), Juvenile justice systems in Europe: Current situation and reform developments, vol. 4 (pp. 1557–1580). Mönchengladbach: Forum Verlag Godesberg.
Durlauf, S. N., & Nagin, D. (2011). Imprisonment and crime: can both be reduced? Criminology and Public Policy, 10(1), 13–54.
Eisner, M. (2009). No effects in independent prevention trials: can we reject the cynical view? Journal of Experimental Criminology, 5(2), 163–183.
Farrington, D. (1986). Age and crime. In M. Tonry (Ed.), Crime and justice: A review of research, vol. 7 (pp. 189–250). Chicago: University of Chicago.
Farrington, D. P. (2003). Methodological quality standards for evaluation research. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 587(1), 49–68.
Farrington, D., Ditchfield, J., Hancock, G., Howard, P., Jolliffe, D., Livingston, M., et al. (2002). Evaluation of two intensive regimes for young offenders. Home Office Research Study 239. London: Home Office.
Garrido, V., Morales, L. A., & Sánchez-Meca, J. (2006). What works for serious juvenile offenders? A systematic review. Psicothema, 18(3), 611–619.
Gensheimer, L., Mayer, J., Gottschalk, R., & Davidson, W., II. (1986). Diverting youth from the juvenile justice system: A meta-analysis of intervention efficacy. In S. Apter & A. Goldstein (Eds.), Youth violence: Programmes and prospects (pp. 39–57). Elmsford: Pergamon.
Gottschalk, R., Davidson, W., II, Gensheimer, L., & Mayer, J. (1987). Community-based interventions. In H. Quay (Ed.), Handbook of juvenile delinquency (pp. 266–289). New York: Wiley.
Hamilton, L., Koehler, J.A., & Lösel, F. (2011) Programmes to reduce reoffending throughout Europe: Three surveys on current practice. Final report of the project 'Strengthening transnational approaches to reducing reoffending', Appendix D. Retrieved May 23, 2012, from https://webmail.springer-sbm.com/owa/redir.aspx?C=23b359279c184631ba3922062a783e9d&URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.cepprobation.org%2fuploaded_files%2fRep%2520STARR%2520ENG.pdf.
Hanson, R. K., Gordon, A., Harris, A., Marques, J. K., et al. (2002). First report of the collaborative outcome data project on the effectiveness of psychological treatment for sex offenders. Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment, 14(2), 169–194.
Hanson, R. K., Bourgon, G., Helmus, L., & Hodgson, S. (2009). The principles of effective correctional treatment also apply to sexual offenders: a meta-analysis. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 36(9), 865–891.
Harper, G., & Chitty, C. (Eds.). (2005). The Impact of corrections on reoffending: A review of ‘What Works’, 2nd ed. Home Office Research Study 291. London: Home Office.
Hasselblad, V., & Hedges, L. V. (1995). Meta-analysis of screening and diagnostic tests. Psychological Bulletin, 117(1), 167–168.
Hollin, C. (2002). Risk–Needs assessment and allocation to offender programmes. In J. McGuire (Ed.), Offender rehabilitation and treatment: Effective programmes and policies to reduce reoffending (pp. 309–332). Chichester: Wiley.
Hollin, C. R. (2008). Evaluating offending behaviour programmes: does only randomization glister? Criminology and Criminal Justice, 8, 89–106.
Hollin, C., & Palmer, E. J. (2009). Cognitive skills programmes for offenders. Psychology Crime & Law, 15(2), 147–164.
Janson, C.-G. (2004). Youth justice in Sweden. In M. Tonry & A. Doob (Eds.), Youth crime and youth justice: Comparative and cross-national perspectives. Crime and justice: A review of research, vol. 31 (pp. 391–441). Chicago: University of Chicago.
*Kruissink, M. (1990). The Halt program: Diversion of juvenile vandals. Dutch penal law and policy: Notes on criminological research from the research and documentation centre. The Hague: Ministry of Justice.
Landenberger, N., & Lipsey, M. (2005). The positive effects of cognitive-behavioural programs for offenders: a meta-analysis of factors associated with effective treatment. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 1(4), 451–476.
Latimer, J., Dowden, C., & Morton-Bourgon, K. (2003). Treating youth in conflict with the law: A new meta-analysis. Rep. RR03YJ-3e. Ottawa: Department of Justice.
Lipsey, M. (1992). Juvenile delinquency treatment: A meta-analytic inquiry into the variability of effects. In T. Cook, H. Cooper, D. Cordray, H. Hartmann, L. Hedges, R. Light, T. Louis, & F. Mosteller (Eds.), Meta-analysis for explanation: A casebook (pp. 83–127). New York: Russell Sage.
Lipsey, M. (2003). Those confounded moderators in meta-Analysis: Good, bad, and ugly. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 587(1), 69–81.
Lipsey, M., & Cullen, F. (2007). The effectiveness of correctional rehabilitation: a review of systematic reviews. Annual Review of Law and Social Science, 3, 297–320.
Lipsey, M. W., & Wilson, D. B. (1998). Effective intervention for serious juvenile offenders. In R. Loeber & D. P. Farrington (Eds.), Serious and violent juvenile offenders: Risk factors and successful interventions (pp. 313–345). London: Sage.
Lipsey, M., Chapman, G., & Landenberger, N. (2001). Cognitive-behavioral programs for offenders. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 578(1), 144–157.
Lipsey, M., Petrie, C., Weisburd, D., & Gottfredson, D. (2006). Improving evaluation of anti-crime programs: summary of a National Research Council report. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 2(3), 271–307.
*Little, M., Kogan, J., Bullock, R., & van der Laan, P. (2004). ISSP: An experiment in multi-systemic responses to persistent young offenders known to children’s services. British Journal of Criminology, 44(2), 225-240
Lloyd, C., Mair, G., & Hough, M. (1994). Explaining reconviction rates: A critical analysis. Home Office Research Study 136. London: HMSO.
*Lobley, D., & Smith, D. (2007). Persistent young offenders: An evaluation of two projects. (Aldershot, UK: Ashgate)
Lösel, F. (1995). The efficacy of correctional treatment: A review and synthesis of meta-evaluations. In J. McGuire (Ed.), What works: Reducing reoffending. Guidelines from research and practice (p. 79). Chichester: Wiley.
Lösel, F. (2000). The efficacy of sexual offender treatment: A review of German and international evaluations. In P. J. van Koppen & N. H. M. Roos (Eds.), Rationality, information and progress in psychology and law (pp. 145–170). Maastricht: Metajuridica Publications.
Lösel, F. (2012a). Offender treatment and rehabilitation: What works? In M. Maguire, R. Morgan, & R. Reiner (Eds.), The Oxford handbook of criminology (pp. 986–1016). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Lösel, F. (2012b). Towards a third phase of ‘what works’ in offender rehabilitation. In R. Loeber & B. C. Welsh (Eds.), The future of criminology (pp. 196–203). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Lösel, F., & Beelmann, A. (2003). Effects of child skills training in preventing antisocial behaviour: a systematic review of randomized evaluations. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 587(1), 84–109.
Lösel, F., & Köferl, P. (1989). Evaluation research on correctional treatment in West Germany: A meta-analysis. In H. Wegener, F. Lösel, & J. Haisch (Eds.), Criminal behavior and the justice system (pp. 334–355). New York: Springer.
Lösel, F., & Pomplun, O. (1998). Jugendhilfe statt untersuchungshaft: Eine evaluationsstudie zur heimunterbringung. Studien und materialen zum straf- und massregelvollzug, vol. 7. Pfaffenweiler: Centaurus.
Lösel, F., & Schmucker, M. (2005). The effectiveness of treatment for sexual offenders: a comprehensive meta-analysis. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 1(1), 117–146.
Lösel, F., Köferl, P., & Weber, F. (1987). Meta-evaluation der sozialtherapie. Stuttgart: Enke.
Lösel, F., Bottoms, A. E., & Farrington, D. P. (Eds.). (2012). Young adult offenders. Lost in transition? Milton Park, UK: Routledge.
Lowenkamp, C., Latessa, A., & Holsinger, A. (2006). The risk principle in action: what have we learned from 13,676 offenders and 97 correctional programs? Crime and Delinquency, 52(1), 77–93.
MacKenzie, D. (2006). What works in corrections: Reducing the criminal activities of offenders and delinquents. New York: Cambridge.
Maguire, M., Grubin, D., Lösel, F., & Raynor, P. (2010). ‘What works’ and the correctional services accreditation panel: taking stock from an inside perspective. Criminology and Criminal Justice, 10, 37–58.
McGuire, J. (2002). Motivation for what? Effective programmes for motivated offenders. In M. McMurran (Ed.), Motivating offenders to change: A guide to enhancing engagement in therapy (pp. 157–172). Chichester: Wiley.
McMurran, M. (2002). Motivation to change: selection criterion or treatment need? In M. McMurran (Ed.), Motivating offenders to change (pp. 3–13). Chichester: Wiley.
*McMurran, M., & Boyle, M. (1990). Evaluation of a self-help manual for young offenders who drink: A pilot study. British Journal of Clinical Psychology, 29(1), 117-119
Ministry of Justice (UK). (2010). Compendium of reoffending statistics and analysis. Ministry of Justice Statistics Bulletin. London: Ministry of Justice.
*Mitchell, J., & Palmer, E. (2004). Evaluating the ‘Reasoning and Rehabilitation’ program for young offenders. Journal of Offender Rehabilitation, 39(4), 31-45
*Newburn, T., & Shiner, M. (2005). Dealing with disaffection: Young people, mentoring and social inclusion. (Cullompton, UK: Willan)
*Ogden, T., & Hagen, K. (2006). Multisystemic treatment of serious behaviour problems in youth: Sustainability of effectiveness two years after intake. Child and Adolescent Mental Health, 11(3), 142-149
*Ogden, T., Hagen, K., & Andersen, O. (2007). Sustainability of the effectiveness of a programme of Multisystemic Treatment (MST) across participant groups in the second year of operation. Journal of Children’s Services, 2(3), 4-14
Pearson, F. S., Lipton, D. S., Cleland, C. M., & Yee, D. S. (2002). The effects of behavioral/cognitive-behavioral programs on recidivism. Crime & Delinquency, 48, 476–496.
*Raynor, P., & Vanstone, M. (1997). Straight Thinking on Probation (STOP), The Mid Glamorgan experiment. Probation Studies Unit Report, 4. (Oxford, UK: Centre for Criminological Research)
Redondo, S., Sánchez-Meca, J., & Garrido, V. (1999). The Influence of treatment programmes on the recidivism of juvenile and adult offenders: An European meta-analytic review. Psychology, Crime and Law, 5(3), 251–278.
Redondo, S., Sánchez-Meca, J., & Garrido, V. (2001). Treatment of offenders and recidivism: assessment of the effectiveness of programmes applied in Europe. Psychology in Spain, 5(1), 47–62.
Rosenthal, R. (1991). Meta-analytic procedures for social research. Newbury: Sage.
*Scholte, E., & Smit, M. (1988). Early social assistance for juveniles at risk. International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology, 32(3), 209-218.
*Shapland, J., Atkinson, A., Atkinson, H., Dignan, J., Edwards, L., Hibbert, J., Howes, M., Johnstone, J., Robinson, G., & A. Sorsby. (2008). Does restorative justice affect reconviction? The fourth report from the evaluation of three schemes. Ministry of Justice Research Series, 10/08. (London, UK: Home Office)
*Slot, N. (1983). The implementation and evaluation of a residential social skills training program for youth in trouble. (In W. Everaerd, C. Hindley, A. Bot, & J. J. van der Werf, (Eds.), Development in adolesence: Psychological, social, and biological aspects (pp.192-205). Amsterdam, Netherlands: Marinus Nijhoff.)
*Slot, N., & Bartels, A. (1983). Outpatient social skills training for youth in trouble; theoretical background, practice and outcome. (In W. Everaerd, C. Hindley, A. Bot, & J. J. van der Werf, (Eds.), Development in adolesence: Psychological, social, and biological aspects (pp.176-191). Amsterdam, Netherlands: Marinus Nijhoff.)
*St. James-Roberts, I., Greenlaw, G., Simon, A., & Hurry, J. (2005). National evaluation of Youth Justice Board mentoring schemes 2001 to 2004. (London, UK: Youth Justice Board).
*Sundell, K., Hansson, K., Andrée Löfholm, C., Olsson, T., Gustle, L.-H., & Kadesjö, K. (2008). The transportability of Multisystemic Therapy to Sweden: Short-term results from a randomized trial of conduct-disordered youths. Journal of Family Psychology, 22(4), 550-560.
Tong, L. S. J., & Farrington, D. P. (2006). How effective is the Reasoning and Rehabilitation programme in reducing offending? A meta-analysis of evaluations in four countries. Psychology, Crime and Law, 12, 3–24.
Tournier, P., & Barre, M. (1990). Enquête sur les systèmes pénitentiaires dans les membres du Conseils de l’Europe: Démographie carcérale comparée. Bulletin d’Information Pénitentiaire, 15, 4–44.
Ttofi, M., Farrington, D., & Baldry, A. (2008). Effectiveness of programmes to reduce school bullying: a systematic review. Stockholm: Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (Brottsförebyggande rådet – Brå).
Villetaz, P., Killias, M., & Zoder, I. (2006) The effects of custodial vs. non-custodial sentences on re-offending: A systematic review of the state of knowledge. Campbell Systematic Reviews, 13
Ward, T., & Brown, M. (2004). The good lives model and conceptual issues in offender rehabilitation. Psychology, Crime and Law, 10(3), 243–257.
Ward, T., & Maruna, S. (2007). Rehabilitation. New York: Routledge.
Weermann, F. (2007). Juvenile offending. (In M. Tonry, & C. Bijleveld, (Eds.), Crime and justice in the Netherlands. Crime and Justice: A Review of Research, vol. 35 (pp. 261-318). Chicago: University of Chicago.)
Weisburd, D., Lum, C., & Petrosino, A. (2001). Does research design affect study outcomes in criminal justice? Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 578(1), 50–70.
Welsh, B., & Farrington, D. (2001). A review of research on the monetary value of preventing crime. In B. Welsh, D. Farrington, & L. Sherman (Eds.), Costs and benefits of preventing crime (pp. 87–122). Oxford: Westview.
Wilson, D. (2009). Missing a critical piece of the pie: simple document search strategies inadequate for systematic reviews. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 5(4), 429–440.
Wilson, D., Bouffard, L., & MacKenzie, D. (2005). A quantitative review of structured, group-oriented, cognitive-behavioral programs for offenders. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 32(2), 172–204.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This study was carried out within the European cooperation project “Strengthening Transnational Approaches to Reducing Reoffending”. The project was funded by the European Union. We thank our partners from the UK Ministry of Justice, London Probation Trust, European Organization for Probation, and the Ministries of Justice of Bulgaria, France and Hungary for their cooperation. We also thank primary study authors for providing us with data to assist in the meta-analysis, and the anonymous peer reviewers for insightful suggestions that contributed to the improvement of this article.
Appendices
Appendix i: Keywords used to search electronic databases
Target Population | Youth Violen* OR Delinquen* OR Juvenile OR Hooligan* OR Hate |
AND | |
Intervention | Program* OR Treatment* OR Interven* OR Correcti* OR Therap* OR Counsel* OR Mentor* OR Rehabilitati* OR Cogniti* OR Relapse OR Boot Camp* OR Wilderness Challenge* OR Intensive OR Incarcerat* OR Court* OR Probation OR Mandated OR Inmate* OR Institution* OR Non-Institution* OR Prison* |
AND | |
Outcome | Effect* OR Outcome* OR Eval* OR Experiment* OR RCT* OR Quasi* OR Trial* OR Empirical* OR ES* OR Recidiv* OR Reoffen* |
Appendix ii: Searched Databases
Database | Number of Studies |
Bibliographic Databases | |
International Bibliography of the Social Sciences | 795 |
PSYCINFO | 4,018 |
PSYCARTICLES | 186 |
PUBMED | 336 |
COCHRANE Library | 67 |
EMBASE | 822 |
ISI Web of Knowledge | 4,018 |
Cambridge Scientific Abstracts (CSA) | 12,105 |
C2 SPECTR (ERIC) | 1,672 |
Science Direct | 2,282 |
| |
Governmental Publications | |
UK Home Office Research Database | 5 |
Brå-Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention | 0 |
| |
Internet Resources | |
Google Scholar | N/A |
MetaCrawler | N/A |
| |
Unpublished Resource Databases | |
Dissertation Abstracts International | 683 |
Total | 26,989 |
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Koehler, J.A., Lösel, F., Akoensi, T.D. et al. A systematic review and meta-analysis on the effects of young offender treatment programs in Europe. J Exp Criminol 9, 19–43 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11292-012-9159-7
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11292-012-9159-7