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CME Disturbance Forecasting

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Abstract

CME disturbances at Earth arise from the sheath that arrives in front of the ICME and from the ICME itself. The geoeffective environment is qualitatively different in the sheath than within the ICME. Consequently two types of forecast procedures using solar observations of phenomena associated with the release of the CME as input parameters have been developed to treat the two types of environment. This chapter surveys efforts that have resulted in implementable (at least in principle) forecast algorithms for sheath and ICME disturbances and discusses uncertainties associated with both.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Center for Space Physics, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA

    G. Siscoe

  2. Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany

    R. Schwenn

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  1. G. Siscoe
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  2. R. Schwenn
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Correspondence to G. Siscoe.

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Siscoe, G., Schwenn, R. CME Disturbance Forecasting. Space Sci Rev 123, 453–470 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11214-006-9024-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11214-006-9024-y

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