Abstract
Knowledge about the background solar wind plays a crucial role in the framework of space-weather forecasting. In-situ measurements of the background solar wind are only available for a few points in the heliosphere where spacecraft are located, therefore we have to rely on heliospheric models to derive the distribution of solar-wind parameters in interplanetary space. We test the performance of different solar-wind models, namely Magnetohydrodynamic Algorithm outside a Sphere/ENLIL (MAS/ENLIL), Wang–Sheeley–Arge/ENLIL (WSA/ENLIL), and MAS/MAS, by comparing model results with in-situ measurements from spacecraft located at 1 AU distance to the Sun (ACE, Wind). To exclude the influence of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), we chose the year 2007 as a time period with low solar activity for our comparison. We found that the general structure of the background solar wind is well reproduced by all models. The best model results were obtained for the parameter solar-wind speed. However, the predicted arrival times of high-speed solar-wind streams have typical uncertainties of the order of about one day. Comparison of model runs with synoptic magnetic maps from different observatories revealed that the choice of the synoptic map significantly affects the model performance.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The offset in the temperature values is probably caused by a scaling factor used in the model to scale the output from internal values to physical quantities. When requesting model runs on the CCMC homepage, the scaling factor cannot be modified by the user.
References
Arge, C.N., Pizzo, V.J.: 2000, Improvement in the prediction of solar wind conditions using near-real time solar magnetic field updates. J. Geophys. Res. 105, 10465 – 10480. doi: 10.1029/1999JA900262 .
Baker, D.N., Li, X., Turner, N., Allen, J.H., Bargatze, L.F., Blake, J.B., Sheldon, R.B., Spence, H.E., Belian, R.D., Reeves, G.D., Kanekal, S.G., Klecker, B., Lepping, R.P., Ogilvie, K., Mewaldt, R.A., Onsager, T., Singer, H.J., Rostoker, G.: 1997, Recurrent geomagnetic storms and relativistic electron enhancements in the outer magnetosphere: ISTP coordinated measurements. J. Geophys. Res. 102, 14141 – 14148. doi: 10.1029/97JA00565 .
Crooker, N.U., Cliver, E.W.: 1994, Postmodern view of M-regions. J. Geophys. Res. 99, 23383. doi: 10.1029/94JA02093 .
Gloeckler, G., Balsiger, H., Bürgi, A., Bochsler, P., Fisk, L.A., Galvin, A.B., Geiss, J., Gliem, F., Hamilton, D.C., Holzer, T.E., Hovestadt, D., Ipavich, F.M., Kirsch, E., Lundgren, R.A., Ogilvie, K.W., Sheldon, R.B., Wilken, B.: 1995, The solar wind and suprathermal ion composition investigation on the Wind spacecraft. Space Sci. Rev. 71, 79 – 124. doi: 10.1007/BF00751327 .
Gopalswamy, N., Lara, A., Lepping, R.P., Kaiser, M.L., Berdichevsky, D., St. Cyr, O.C.: 2000, Interplanetary acceleration of coronal mass ejections. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27, 145 – 148. doi: 10.1029/1999GL003639 .
Jian, L.K., Russell, C.T., Luhmann, J.G., MacNeice, P.J., Odstrcil, D., Riley, P., Linker, J.A., Skoug, R.M., Steinberg, J.T.: 2011, Comparison of observations at ACE and Ulysses with Enlil model results: stream interaction regions during Carrington rotations 2016 – 2018. Solar Phys. 273, 179 – 203. doi: 10.1007/s11207-011-9858-7 .
Lee, C.O., Luhmann, J.G., Odstrcil, D., MacNeice, P.J., de Pater, I., Riley, P., Arge, C.N.: 2009, The solar wind at 1 AU during the declining phase of solar cycle 23: comparison of 3D numerical model results with observations. Solar Phys. 254, 155 – 183. doi: 10.1007/s11207-008-9280-y .
Levine, R.H., Altschuler, M.D., Harvey, J.W.: 1977, Solar sources of the interplanetary magnetic field and solar wind. J. Geophys. Res. 82, 1061 – 1065. doi: 10.1029/JA082i007p01061 .
Linker, J.A., Mikić, Z., Biesecker, D.A., Forsyth, R.J., Gibson, S.E., Lazarus, A.J., Lecinski, A., Riley, P., Szabo, A., Thompson, B.J.: 1999, Magnetohydrodynamic modeling of the solar corona during whole Sun month. J. Geophys. Res. 104, 9809 – 9830. doi: 10.1029/1998JA900159 .
Lionello, R., Linker, J.A., Mikić, Z.: 2009, Multispectral emission of the Sun during the first whole Sun month: magnetohydrodynamic simulations. Astrophys. J. 690, 902 – 912. doi: 10.1088/0004-637X/690/1/902 .
McComas, D.J., Bame, S.J., Barker, P., Feldman, W.C., Phillips, J.L., Riley, P., Griffee, J.W.: 1998, Solar Wind Electron Proton Alpha Monitor (SWEPAM) for the Advanced Composition Explorer. Space Sci. Rev. 86, 563 – 612. doi: 10.1023/A:1005040232597 .
Mikić, Z., Linker, J.A., Schnack, D.D., Lionello, R., Tarditi, A.: 1999, Magnetohydrodynamic modeling of the global solar corona. Phys. Plasmas 6, 2217 – 2224. doi: 10.1063/1.873474 .
Odstrčil, D.: 2003, Modeling 3-D solar wind structure. Adv. Space Res. 32, 497 – 506. doi: 10.1016/S0273-1177(03)00332-6 .
Odstrčil, D., Linker, J.A., Lionello, R., Mikic, Z., Riley, P., Pizzo, V.J., Luhmann, J.G.: 2002, Merging of coronal and heliospheric numerical two-dimensional MHD models. J. Geophys. Res. 107, 1493. doi: 10.1029/2002JA009334 .
Ogilvie, K.W., Chornay, D.J., Fritzenreiter, R.J., Hunsaker, F., Keller, J., Lobell, J., Miller, G., Scudder, J.D., Sittler, E.C. Jr., Torbert, R.B., Bodet, D., Needell, G., Lazarus, A.J., Steinberg, J.T., Tappan, J.H., Mavretic, A., Gergin, E.: 1995, SWE, a comprehensive plasma instrument for the Wind spacecraft. Space Sci. Rev. 71, 55 – 77. doi: 10.1007/BF00751326 .
Owens, M.J., Spence, H.E., McGregor, S., Hughes, W.J., Quinn, J.M., Arge, C.N., Riley, P., Linker, J., Odstrcil, D.: 2008, Metrics for solar wind prediction models: comparison of empirical, hybrid, and physics-based schemes with 8 years of L1 observations. Space Weather 6, 8001. doi: 10.1029/2007SW000380 .
Richardson, I.G., Cane, H.V.: 2010, Geoeffectiveness of ICMEs during 1996 – 2009. AGU Fall Meeting Abs., C8.
Riley, P., Linker, J.A., Mikić, Z.: 2001, An empirically-driven global MHD model of the solar corona and inner heliosphere. J. Geophys. Res. 106, 15889 – 15902. doi: 10.1029/2000JA000121 .
Riley, P., Linker, J.A., Lionello, R., Mikic, Z.: 2012, Corotating interaction regions during the recent solar minimum: the power and limitations of global MHD modeling. J. Atmos. Solar-Terr. Phys. 83, 1 – 10. doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2011.12.013 .
Rotter, T., Veronig, A.M., Temmer, M., Vršnak, B.: 2012, Relation between coronal hole areas on the Sun and the solar wind parameters at 1 AU. Solar Phys. 281, 793 – 813. doi: 10.1007/s11207-012-0101-y .
Schatten, K.H., Wilcox, J.M., Ness, N.F.: 1969, A model of interplanetary and coronal magnetic fields. Solar Phys. 6, 442 – 455. doi: 10.1007/BF00146478 .
Smith, C.W., L’Heureux, J., Ness, N.F., Acuña, M.H., Burlaga, L.F., Scheifele, J.: 1998, The ACE magnetic fields experiment. Space Sci. Rev. 86, 613 – 632. doi: 10.1023/A:1005092216668 .
Stevens, M.L., Linker, J.A., Riley, P., Hughes, W.J.: 2012, Underestimates of magnetic flux in coupled MHD model solar wind solutions. J. Atmos. Solar-Terr. Phys. 83, 22 – 31. doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2012.02.005 .
Stone, E.C., Frandsen, A.M., Mewaldt, R.A., Christian, E.R., Margolies, D., Ormes, J.F., Snow, F.: 1998, The Advanced Composition Explorer. Space Sci. Rev. 86, 1 – 22. doi: 10.1023/A:1005082526237 .
Temmer, M., Rollett, T., Möstl, C., Veronig, A.M., Vršnak, B., Odstrčil, D.: 2011, Influence of the ambient solar wind flow on the propagation behavior of interplanetary coronal mass ejections. Astrophys. J. 743, 101. doi: 10.1088/0004-637X/743/2/101 .
Tóth, G., Sokolov, I.V., Gombosi, T.I., Chesney, D.R., Clauer, C.R., de Zeeuw, D.L., Hansen, K.C., Kane, K.J., Manchester, W.B., Oehmke, R.C., Powell, K.G., Ridley, A.J., Roussev, I.I., Stout, Q.F., Volberg, O., Wolf, R.A., Sazykin, S., Chan, A., Yu, B., Kóta, J.: 2005, Space weather modeling framework: a new tool for the space science community. J. Geophys. Res. 110, 12226. doi: 10.1029/2005JA011126 .
Tsurutani, B.T., Gonzalez, W.D., Gonzalez, A.L.C., Guarnieri, F.L., Gopalswamy, N., Grande, M., Kamide, Y., Kasahara, Y., Lu, G., Mann, I., McPherron, R., Soraas, F., Vasyliunas, V.: 2006, Corotating solar wind streams and recurrent geomagnetic activity: a review. J. Geophys. Res. 111, A07S01. doi: 10.1029/2005JA011273 .
Vršnak, B., Temmer, M., Veronig, A.M.: 2007, Coronal holes and solar wind high-speed streams: I. Forecasting the solar wind parameters. Solar Phys. 240, 315 – 330. doi: 10.1007/s11207-007-0285-8 .
Wall, J.V., Jenkins, C.R.: 2003, Practical Statistics for Astronomers, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Wang, Y., Sheeley, N.R. Jr.: 1990, Solar wind speed and coronal flux-tube expansion. Astrophys. J. 355, 726 – 732. doi: 10.1086/168805 .
Acknowledgements
We acknowledge the use of Wind data provided by the solar-wind experiment teams at GSFC. We thank the ACE/SWEPAM and MAG instrument team and the ACE Science Center for providing the ACE data. Simulation results for the ENLIL model have been provided by the Community Coordinated Modeling Center at Goddard Space Flight Center through their public Runs on Request system ( ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov ). The model runs for the MAS model were carried out by Predictive Science Inc. ( www.predsci.com/portal/home.php ). The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Commission FP7 Project COMESEP (project n∘ 263252, comesep.aeronomy.be ) and from the European Commission’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007 – 2013) under the grant agreement eHeroes (project n∘ 284461, www.eheroes.eu ). M. Temmer acknowledges the Austrian Science Fund (FWF): FWF V195-N16.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Gressl, C., Veronig, A.M., Temmer, M. et al. Comparative Study of MHD Modeling of the Background Solar Wind. Sol Phys 289, 1783–1801 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-013-0421-6
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-013-0421-6