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A theoretical grounding and test of the GEM model

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Abstract

The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor model combines insights on the allocation of effort into entrepreneurship at the national (adult working-age population) level with literature in the Austrian tradition. The model suggests that the relationship between national-level new business activity and the institutional environment, or Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions, is mediated by opportunity perception and the perception of start-up skills in the population. We provide a theory-grounded examination of this model and test the effect of one EFC, education and training for entrepreneurship, on the allocation of effort into new business activity. We find that in high-income countries, opportunity perception mediates fully the relationship between the level of post-secondary entrepreneurship education and training in a country and its rate of new business activity, including high-growth expectation new business activity. The mediating effect of skills perception is weaker. This result accords with the Kirznerian concept of alertness to opportunity stimulating action.

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Notes

  1. Note that we are not suggesting that the GEM model would constitute a ‘theory’ in its own right. To provide for meaningful interpretation of the GEM data, it is nevertheless important to discuss how the model relates to influential schools of thought within the domain of entrepreneurship.

  2. The box labeled New Firms was originally labeled Business Dynamics (Reynolds et al. 1999), then from 2000 to 2003 was labeled Business Churning (Reynolds et al. 2000, 2001a, b, 2002, 2003), and from 2004 to 2005 was labeled New Firms (Acs et al. 2005; Minniti et al. 2006). In the latest iteration (Bosma et al. 2008), it is labeled Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity.

  3. We would suggest adding the word “Economic” to this box in the GEM model.

  4. For an alternative reconciliation of the Schumpeterian and Kirznerian positions, which the GEM model could also accommodate, see Leibenstein (1987).

  5. Strictly speaking, Baumol’s main focus was on the allocation of entrepreneurs into ‘productive’ and ‘unproductive’ activities. Baumol’s notion of the allocation of effort can easily be extended to consider the allocation of effort into entrepreneurship in general.

  6. In a 1978 update of his earlier paper, Leibenstein renamed this “innovational” entrepreneurship (Leibenstein 1978, p. 40).

  7. In relation to motivation, we note a recent review of entrepreneurial motivation by Shane et al. (2003) in which the authors urge researchers to control for opportunity in studies of motivation. The GEM model may act as a useful guide in this respect.

  8. The focus of the GEM model is on what Baumol terms productive entrepreneurship. Thus, it is not relevant to the GEM model whether, as Baumol suggests, some individuals are entrepreneurial and others are not, and the question is what makes entrepreneurs choose productive over unproductive or destructive entrepreneurship, or whether, as von Mises suggests, anyone can behave entrepreneurially and the question is what prompts people to behave entrepreneurially rather than non-entrepreneurially.

  9. Indeed, in some countries, entrepreneurs are not permitted to trade until they can prove they have acquired such facilities. See, for example, http://www.doingbusiness.org/ExploreTopics/StartingBusiness/Details.aspx?economyid=195, accessed 21 June 2008.

  10. The latter has been traditionally referred to by GEM as “Cultural and Social Norms”. To distinguish it clearly from universal values, consideration might be given to changing the label to Entrepreneurial Attitudes.

  11. We do not consider the effect of entrepreneurship education and training on motivation further in this paper.

  12. The GEM 2000–2006 dataset covered the following high-income countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, The Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, the United Kingdom and USA. In addition, the dataset included the following low-income countries, defined as countries with GDP per capita less than US $20,000: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Croatia, Ecuador, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Jamaica, Jordan, Latvia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Russia, Slovenia, South Africa, South Korea, Thailand, Turkey, Uganda, Uruguay and Venezuela.

  13. Although Baumol sees his independent innovator as a synonym for Schumpeter’s entrepreneur, we interpret Schumpeter’s entrepreneur as the fulfiller of the function ‘new business activity;’ “not only those “independent” businessmen in an exchange economy who are usually so designated” (Schumpeter 1934, p. 74).

  14. In the data there were a number of unrealistically high job-expectation figures. We carefully examined the shapes of job expectation distributions and determined that any start-up attempt expecting more than 996 jobs could be set to zero without biasing the distribution.

  15. http://www.imf.org/external/ns/cs.aspx?id=28—accessed in August 2007.

  16. Correlation matrix is available from the authors upon request.

  17. We ran all tests using both fixed-effect and random-effect specification, as well as specifying robust and non-robust standard errors (i.e., with and without assuming heteroscedasticity in error terms). No major differences in results were observed, and none of the significant influences reported in this paper showed sensitivity to analysis specification. As a further check of robustness, we also employed a large number of different variable combinations, as well as different model specifications. The core findings, as reported in Tables 14, were remarkably insensitive to model specifications.

  18. An interesting pattern in the data, not reported here because of space and data limitations, concerned the differing role of primary and higher educational institutions in low- and high-income economies, respectively. Where we observed a mediating effect for higher education EFC, opportunity perception and entrepreneurship in high-income economies, a similar mediation was observed for primary education EFC, opportunity perception and TEA in low-income economies. This may suggest that the role of the educational system varies according to the level of economic development.

  19. www.entrepreneurial-exchange.co.uk.

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Acknowledgements

Both authors contributed equally to the development of this article. They are grateful to Paul Reynolds, David Audretsch and Zoltan Acs and to participants in the 2007 GEM Research Conference, Washington, D.C., for their encouragement and comments.

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Correspondence to Jonathan Levie.

Appendix 1

Appendix 1

Items employed in the 2006 National Expert Survey

EFC type

Item code

Item wording

Finance EFC

A01

In my country, there is sufficient equity funding available for new and growing firms

Finance EFC

A02

In my country, there is sufficient debt funding available for new and growing firms

Finance EFC

A03

In my country, there are sufficient government subsidies available for new and growing firms

Finance EFC

A04

In my country, there is sufficient funding available from private individuals (other than founders) for new and growing firms

Finance EFC

A05

In my country, there is sufficient venture capitalist funding available for new and growing firms

Finance EFC

A06

In my country, there is sufficient funding available through initial public offerings (IPOs) for new and growing firms

Policy EFC

B01

In my country, government policies (e.g., public procurement) consistently favor new firms

Policy EFC

B02

In my country, the support for new and growing firms is a high priority for policy at the national government level

Policy EFC

B03

In my country, the support for new and growing firms is a high priority for policy at the local government level

Regulations EFC

B04

In my country, new firms can get most of the required permits and licenses in about a week

Regulations EFC

B05

In my country, the amount of taxes is NOT a burden for new and growing firms

Regulations EFC

B06

In my country, taxes and other government regulations are applied to new and growing firms in a predictable and consistent way

Regulations EFC

B07

In my country, coping with government bureaucracy, regulations and licensing requirements is not unduly difficult for new and growing firms

Programs EFC

C01

In my country, a wide range of government assistance for new and growing firms can be obtained through contact with a single agency

Programs EFC

C02

In my country, science parks and business incubators provide effective support for new and growing firms

Programs EFC

C03

In my country, there are an adequate number of government programs for new and growing businesses

Programs EFC

C04

In my country, the people working for government agencies are competent and effective in supporting new and growing firms

Programs EFC

C05

In my country, almost anyone who needs help from a government program for a new or growing business can find what they need

Programs EFC

C06

In my country, government programs aimed at supporting new and growing firms are effective

Primary education EFC

D01

In my country, teaching in primary and secondary education encourages creativity, self-sufficiency and personal initiative

Primary education EFC

D02

In my country, teaching in primary and secondary education provides adequate instruction in market economic principles

Primary education EFC

D03

In my country, teaching in primary and secondary education provides adequate attention to entrepreneurship and new firm creation

Higher education EFC

D04

In my country, colleges and universities provide good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms

Higher education EFC

D05

In my country, the level of business and management education provides good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms

Higher education EFC

D06

In my country, the vocational, professional and continuing education systems provide good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms

R&D transfer EFC

E01

In my country, new technology, science, and other knowledge are efficiently transferred from universities and public research centers to new and growing firms

R&D transfer EFC

E02

In my country, new and growing firms have just as much access to new research and technology as large, established firms

R&D transfer EFC

E03

In my country, new and growing firms can afford the latest technology

R&D transfer EFC

E04

In my country, there are adequate government subsidies for new and growing firms to acquire new technology

R&D transfer EFC

E05

In my country, the science and technology base efficiently supports the creation of world-class new technology-based ventures in at least one area

R&D transfer EFC

E06

In my country, there is good support available for engineers and scientists to have their ideas commercialized through new and growing firms

Business services EFC

F01

In my country, there are enough subcontractors, suppliers and consultants to support new and growing firms

Business services EFC

F02

In my country, new and growing firms can afford the cost of using subcontractors, suppliers and consultants

Business services EFC

F03

In my country, it is easy for new and growing firms to get good subcontractors, suppliers and consultants

Business services EFC

F04

In my country, it is easy for new and growing firms to get good, professional legal and accounting services

Business services EFC

F05

In my country, it is easy for new and growing firms to get good banking services (checking accounts, foreign exchange transactions, letters of credit and the like)

Market dynamism EFC

G01

In my country, the markets for consumer goods and services change dramatically from year to year

Market dynamism EFC

G02

In my country, the markets for business-to-business goods and services change dramatically from year to year

Market openness EFC

G03

In my country, new and growing firms can easily enter new markets

Market openness EFC

G04

In my country, the new and growing firms can afford the cost of market entry

Market openness EFC

G05

In my country, new and growing firms can enter markets without being unfairly blocked by established firms

Market openness EFC

G06

In my country, the anti-trust legislation is effective and well enforced

Physical infra EFC

H01

In my country, the physical infrastructure (roads, utilities, communications, waste disposal) provides good support for new and growing firms

Physical infra EFC

H02

In my country, it is not too expensive for a new or growing firm to get good access to communications (phone, Internet, etc.)

Physical infra EFC

H03

In my country, a new or growing firm can get good access to communications (telephone, Internet, etc.) in about a week

Physical infra EFC

H04

In my country, new and growing firms can afford the cost of basic utilities (gas, water, electricity, sewer)

Physical infra EFC

H05

In my country, new or growing firms can get good access to utilities (gas, water, electricity, sewer) in about a month

Entrep culture EFC

I01

In my country, the national culture is highly supportive of individual success achieved through own personal efforts

Entrep culture EFC

I02

In my country, the national culture emphasizes self-sufficiency, autonomy and personal initiative

Entrep culture EFC

I03

In my country, the national culture encourages entrepreneurial risk-taking

Entrep culture EFC

I04

In my country, the national culture encourages creativity and innovativeness

Entrep culture EFC

I05

In my country, the national culture emphasizes the responsibility that the individual (rather than the collective) has in managing his or her own life

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Levie, J., Autio, E. A theoretical grounding and test of the GEM model. Small Bus Econ 31, 235–263 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-008-9136-8

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