Abstract
This study evaluates the effect of credit guarantee on SMEs at the firm level. To estimate the effect of credit guarantee, we analyze relations between credit guarantee, the survival of guaranteed firms, and their productive performance. The result indicates that credit guarantee frequency enabled guaranteed firms to achieve good performances in general. On the contrary, the effect of guarantee amounts is ambiguous in that there is difference between the contemporary effect and the lagged effect. Therefore, we conclude that credit guarantee satisfied partially its goal to alleviate SMEs’ difficulty in acquiring finance and to stabilize employment.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
Policy loans include not only credit guarantees but also all other funds provided by the government or public institutions.
According to Gudger (1998), additionality means that “a small investment in a guarantee institution’s capital and/or on-going administrative support to guarantee institutions can produce a significantly larger volume of lending to a credit constrained sector than would have been achieved without such guarantees”.
Hong et al. (2003) indicated that only indirect effect is considered in input-output analysis, which might underestimate the outcomes. On the other side, fixed prices enable to overestimate the effects.
Credit Guarantee Identification (CGI) is 0 if a firm receives credit guarantee from KCGF, 1 if a firm receives credit guarantee from KOTEC. KSIC is two digits. When location is considered, firms are divided into 5 categories. Seoul, Gyunggi, Inchon constitute first, Gangwon is second, Daejeon, Chungnam, and Chungbuk are third, fourth is consist of Busan, Daegu, Ulsan, Gyungnam, and Gyungbuk, Gwangju, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk are fifth regions. Size number varies from 1 to 15 according to the number of employees. Bankruptcy is 1 if the firm is bankrupt and 0 if not.
Credit guarantee institutions do not require all detailed information at once in the first part of their application since determination of acceptance or rejection to provide credit guarantee proceeds in a number of steps. The datasets include information only on accepted applications rather than on all applicants.
Korea Securities Dealers association Automated Quotation (KOSDAQ) is an alternative source of finance for SMEs which are not listed on the Korea Securities Exchange (KSE). It is an electronic trading system benchmarking NASDAQ in U.S.
The value of financial variables is transformed into constant 2004 prices using yield of treasury-bond (3 years). For the reasons of simplification of the notation, the firm (f) subscript is omitted from all equations.
Predicted value of credit guarantee amount is used instead in case that the credit guarantee amount variable is endogenous.
The cohort (firm) subscript is excluded in order to simplify. In model 1, the lagged variable of credit guarantee amount is omitted.
All explanatory variables except millsr are same as those explained in Eq. 3.
Usually, the number of employee is used for firm size. However, we use logarithmic sales as firm size since (1) credit guarantee institutions consider total sales more than the number of employees in actual evaluations and (2) there is high correlation between sales and the number of employees (see Table A5).
In Korea, firms are classified according to the number of regular employees. If the number of employees is less than 50, a firm is classified as a micro enterprise. In general, SMEs have less than 300 employees.
Of course, there are differences across industries.
References
Agarwal, R. (1996). Technological activity and survival of firms. Economic Letters, 52, 101–108.
Almus, M., & Nerlinger, E. A. (1999). Growth of new technology-based firms: Which factors matters? Small Business Economics, 13, 141–154.
Arrighetti, A., & Vivarelli, M. (1999). The role of innovation in the postentry performance of new small firms: Evidence from Italy. Southern Economic Journal, 65, 927–939.
Audretsch, D. B. (1991). New-firm survival and the technological regime. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 73, 441–450.
Audretsch, D. B. (1995). Innovation, growth and survival. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 13, 441–457.
Audretsch, D. B., & Mahmood, T. (1995). New firm survival: New result using a hazard function. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 77, 97–103.
Audretsch, D. B., Santarelli, E., & Vivarelli, M. (1999). Start-up size and industrial dynamics: Some evidence from Italian manufacturing. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 17, 965–983.
Baas, T., & Schrooten, M. (2006). Relationship banking and SMEs: A theoretical analysis. Small Business Economics, 27, 127–137.
Bartelsman, E., Scarpetta, S., & Schivardi, F. (2005). Comparative analysis of firm demographics and survival: Evidence from micro-level sources in OECD countries. Industrial and Corporate Change, 14, 365–391.
Becchetti, L., & Trovato, G. (2002). The determinants of growth for small and medium sized firms. The role of availability of external finance. Small Business Economics, 19, 291–306.
Calvo, J. L., (2006). Testing Gibrat’s law for small, young and innovating firms. Small Business Economics, 26, 117–123.
Colombo, M. G., Delmastro, M., & Grilli, L. (2004). Entrepreneurs’ human capital and the start-up size of new technology-based firms. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 22, 1183–1211.
Colombo, M. G., & Grilli, L. (2005). Founders’ human capital and the growth of new technology-based firms: A competence-based view. Research Policy, 34, 795–816.
Cressy, R. (2006). Why do most firms die young? 2006. Small Business Economics, 26, 103–116.
Davidson, R., & MacKinnon, J. G. (1990). Specification tests based on artificial regressions. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 85, 220–227.
Dhawan, R. (2001). Firm size and productivity differential: Theory and evidence from a panel of US firms. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 44, 269–293.
Dunne, P., & Hughes, A. (1994). Age, size, growth and survival: UK companies in the 1980s. Journal of Industrial Economics, 42, 115–140.
Evans, D. S. (1987). The relationship between firm growth, size, and age: Estimates for 100 manufacturing industries. Journal of Industrial Economics, 35, 567–581.
Evans, D. S., & Jovanovic, B. (1989). An estimated model of entrepreneurial choice under liquidity constraints. Journal of Political Economy, 97, 808–827.
Gudger, M. (1998). Credit guarantees: An assessment of the state of knowledge and new avenues of research. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, M-63 ISBN 92-5-104173-3. .
Hall, B. H. (1987). The relationship between firm size and firm growth in the US manufacturing sector. Journal of Industrial Economics, 35, 583–606.
Hancock, D., & Wilcox, J. A. (1998). The “credit crunch” and the availability of credit to small business. Journal of Banking & Finance, 22, 983–1014.
Hanley, A., & Girma, S. (2006). New ventures and their credit terms. Small Business Economics, 26, 351–364.
Heckman, J. J. (1979). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica, 47, 153–162.
Heshmati, A. (2001). On the growth micro and small firms: Evidence from Sweden. Small Business Economics, 17, 213–228.
Heshmati, A., & Kumbhakar, S. C. (1997). Estimation of technical efficiency in Swedish crop farms: A pseudo panel data approach. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 48, 22–37.
Hong, B. K., Park, K. B., & Jeon, T. S. (2003). Application performance of credit guarantee and proper estimating of contribution. Korea Institute of Public Finance (in Korean).
Honjo, Y. (2000). Business failure of new firms: An empirical analysis using a multiplicative hazards model. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 18, 557–574.
Hyytinen, A., & Väänänen, L. (2006). Where do financial constraints originate from? An empirical analysis of adverse selection and moral hazard in capital markets. Small Business Economics, 27, 323–348.
Jovanovic, B. (1982). Selection and the evolution of industry. Econometrica, 50, 649–670.
Kim, H. W. (2004). Effect of policy loan on SMEs. Korea Development Institute (in Korean).
Kiyota, K., & Okazaki, T. (2005). Foreign technology acquisition policy and firm performance in Japan, 1957–1970: Micro-aspects of industrial policy. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 23, 563–586.
Lee, B. K. (2003). The survival of new firms in Korean manufacturing: Start-up conditions and post-entry evolution. Korea Economic Research Institute (in Korean).
Lim, B. C., Park, J. K., & Han, S. I. (2003) Vision and development of Korea technology credit guarantee fund. Korea Institute of Finance (in Korean).
Lotti, F., Santarelli, E., & Vivarelli, M. (2003). Does Gibrat’s law hold among young small firms? Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 13, 213–235.
Mansfield, E. (1962). Entry, Gibrat’s law, innovation, and the growth of firms. The American Economic Review, 52, 1023–1051.
Mata, J., Portugal, P., & Guimaraes, P. (1995). The survival of new plants: Start-up conditions and post-entry evolution. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 13, 459–481.
Oliveira, B., & Fortunato, A. (2006). Firm growth and liquidity constraints: A dynamic analysis. Small Business Economics, 27, 139–156.
Riding, A. L., & Haines, Jr. G. (2001). Loan guarantees: Costs of default and benefits to small firms. Journal of Business Venturing, 16, 595–612.
Santarelli, E., & Vivarelli, M. (2002). Is subsidizing entry an optimal policy? Industrial and Corporate Change, 11, 39–52.
Scott, A. J. (2006). Entrepreneurship, innovation and industrial development: Geography and the creative field revisited. Small Business Economics, 26, 1–24.
Stearns, T. M., Carter, N. M., Reynolds, P. D., & Williams, M. L. (1995). New firm survival: Industry, strategy, and location. Journal of Business Venturing, 10, 23–42.
Stiglitz, J. E., & Weiss, A. (1981). Credit rationing in markets with imperfect information. The American Economic Review, 71, 393–410.
Taymaz, E., & Köksal, M. Y. (2006). Entrepreneurship, start-up size and selection: Why do small entrepreneurs fail? Ekonomiaz: Basque Economics Journal (forthcoming)..
Verbeek, M., & Vella, F. (2005). Estimating dynamic models from repeated cross-sections. Journal of Econometrics, 127, 83–102.
Acknowledgements
A previous version of this article was presented at the Far Eastern Meeting of the Econometric Society in Beijing, July 11, 2006. The authors wish to express gratitude to Dr. G. G. Choi for providing data and useful references. For helpful comments on this article, we are grateful to Dr. Marco Vivarelli and two anonymous referees for the journal. Needless to say, any remaining errors are our own.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
An erratum to this article can be found at http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11187-008-9144-8
Appendix
Appendix
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Kang, J.W., Heshmati, A. Effect of credit guarantee policy on survival and performance of SMEs in Republic of Korea. Small Bus Econ 31, 445–462 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-007-9049-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-007-9049-y