1 Introduction

Children’s gender has been demonstrated to influence family stability (Dahl and Moretti 2008), fertility (Ben-Porath and Welch 1976; Das 1987), abortion rates (Sen 1990; Jha et al. 2006), investment in nutrition and child care (Behrman 1988; Jayachandran and Kuziemko 2011; Barcellos et al. 2012), household expenditure (Lundberg and Rose 2004), educational and behavioural outcomes (Bertrand and Pan 2013, Autor et al. 2015), voting preferences (Oswald and Powdthavee 2010) and labour market activity (Lundberg and Rose 2002; Ichino et al. 2013).Footnote 1 These effects are sometimes explained by gender-biased preferences of parents who, for example, would rather have a boy than a girl. On a number of outcomes, however, they are also consistent with gender-neutral preferences. In these instances, they refer to differences in costs of bringing up boys and girls, differences in the returns from investment in the child’s human capital (especially prevalent in the developing world) and the importance of gender-specific roles in the upbringing process. In some cases, such as the effect on voting behaviour, the most natural explanation is a direct causal consequence of children’s gender on changes in parental preferences.Footnote 2

Using a detailed dataset on expenditures of Polish households, we extend the existing pool of evidence on the effects of children’s gender to include its role in changing household consumption behaviour. Focusing on expenditure patterns may provide further clues in understanding the mechanisms behind the already-identified effects on parental outcomes. If there is differential treatment of boys and girls by their parents, then it should be reflected in the way households allocate their resources, which is of particular importance in the light of the growing evidence on the role of early interventions (Blau and Currie 2006; Cascio 2009; Almond and Currie 2011; Carneiro and Ginja 2014) and investment in children in the form of prenatal care, vaccinations or medical care (Aizer 2003; Figlio et al. 2009; Levine and Schanzenbach 2009). Thus, differential levels of expenditure related to the child’s human capital development or on items that may solidify gender stereotypes could have long-term consequences for children’s outcomes in the future.

The Polish Household Budget Survey (PHBS), which we use in this paper, offers a unique chance to study detailed patterns of household expenditures differentiated by a child’s gender as well as other family characteristics. In contrast to most expenditure datasets, in the PHBS it is possible to classify a number of detailed expenditures by age and gender. This allows us to split spending between adults and children aged up to 12 and by gender among adults.Footnote 3

Using data for the years 2003–2011, in the main analysis we compare 14,893 married couples with first-born girls and 16,164 married couples with first-born boys to study the differential patterns of household expenditure.Footnote 4 Subsequently we restrict the sample to families with two children of the same gender where we compare households with two girls versus two boys.Footnote 5 Since we observe some families in two consecutive years, in total we work with the main sample of 46,185 observations and the two girls versus two boys sample of 9515 observations. We first discuss three main potential confounding factors, namely marital stability, fertility and labour supply. We then examine the effect of child’s gender on total expenditure, adult clothing expenditure (Lundberg and Rose 2004) and child-related expenditure items, such as spending on clothing for children aged below 13 and expenditure on kindergarten. Additionally, we examine two categories of expenditure that include mainly child-related goods, namely ‘games, toys and hobbies’ and ‘educational books and materials’.

We confirm that having a first-born girl decreases marital stability and fertility, but we do not find any relationship between child’s gender and parental labour supply. Our findings suggest that the gender of children can have a significant effect on household expenditure patterns. We find that having a first-born girl increases spending on clothing and shoes by 3.6 %, and this overall effect is found to reflect a 7.2 % increase in spending on women’s clothing, a 5.8 % decrease on men’s clothing and a 6.0 % increase on children’s clothing (in all cases in the text when we refer to clothing, the category also includes shoes expenditure). Moreover, households with a first-born girl spend less on games, toys and hobbies (by 13.4 %). We show that expenditure data can also be used to examine differential investment in human capital of sons and daughters. For example we find some suggestive yet not definitive evidence that spending on kindergarten in Poland is lower for girls. Overall the findings seem to point towards a gender-stereotypical pattern of child-related expenditure rather than deliberate differential investment in childhood human capital, with girls’ parents buying them more clothing and boys’ parents spending more on games. These findings naturally raise questions concerning long-term consequences of such behaviour for the development of boys and girls and their perception of social and gender roles.

The findings on clothing expenditure are consistent with a number of potential hypotheses, and are in line with those already documented in the US for the total clothing expenditure (Lundberg and Rose 2004). First of all, the gender of the first child might have a direct effect on parents’ consumption preferences, which would be in line with the effect of having a girl on voting preferences (Oswald and Powdthavee 2010). Alternatively, mothers’ and daughters’ clothing might be complements, in which case spending more on one may lead to higher spending on the other, at the expense of fathers’ clothing.

Our findings constitute first evidence suggestive of the fact that a child’s gender affects the patterns of both parental and child-related expenditure. On the one hand, this evidence may reflect the direct effect of a child’s gender on parental consumption preferences. On the other, it points towards a pattern of consumption suggestive of early assignment of stereotypical gender roles. Thus, girls get to look nice and boys get to play. Finally, we are also the first to study the relationship between children gender and household behaviour in a post-communist country.

2 Data and sample statistics

We use a dataset from the Polish Household Budget Survey for years 2003–2011. It is a nationally representative dataset collected annually by the Central Statistical Office in Poland (GUS).Footnote 6 The data include information on household demographic composition and labour market activity, as well as income and expenditure data recorded over the period of a month in which households participate in the survey. In total, we have information on 323,754 households and 965,082 individuals over the 9 years from 2003 to 2011. The PHBS contains a rolling panel element covering over a third of the participating households, which are interviewed in two consecutive years (in the same calendar month). In the full sample, we identify 121,382 households for which information is available for two periods.

Since the dataset does not contain retrospective fertility information, we rely only on contemporaneous family composition. Individuals in every household are matched into families, which we define as a single adult or a couple (married or cohabiting) with any dependent children. This is done using available information on the relationship to the head of household and detailed pairing in the data based on the unique identifiers of mothers, fathers and partners of each individual. Following other studies in the literature, we limit the analysis to mothers aged between 18 and 40 who had their first child at the earliest at the age of 16. The limit for the age of the oldest child is set at 12 years, which is consistent with the approach of Dahl and Moretti (2008) and at the same time corresponds to the grouping of expenditure information on clothing.Footnote 7

Because expenditure data are collected at the household level, we additionally limit the sample to households where there is only one family with children below 13 years of age. This does not preclude the possibility of there being more than one family in the household (for example, parents living with children and their grandparents). In fact, such complex households are relatively common in Poland (Haan and Myck 2012). In the full PHBS sample, 71.0 % of households contain only one family, 22.2 % include two and 6.8 % three or more. In the main sample used in this analysis, 77.9 % are single-family households.Footnote 8 We further restrict the sample to families with a mother present in the household and where the child-mother relationship is clearly specified in the data. We exclude twins and triplets at first birth, widowed mothers and lone fathers.Footnote 9

The analysis is conducted, for the most part, for the sample of married couples.Footnote 10 If the welfare of families is affected by the marital status of parents, and the latter driven to some extent by the gender of children, then any identified effect of gender on expenditure in the full sample could be a consequence of different partnership arrangements of girls’ and boys’ families, rather than directly a consequence of different expenditure behaviour of boys’ and girls’ parents. Section 4 also presents analysis of other potential sources of bias, namely the indirect effects of gender through fertility, parental labour supply or household income. Since we do not find a strong evidence for fertility effects we also present the main estimates for the sample of families with two children where both children are of the same gender. This sample provides a robustness test to verify the magnitude of the estimated effects.Footnote 11 We chose the sample of married families for the main analysis based on two key premises: one, we can observe father’s labour supply and expenditure on both male and female adult clothing; two, the outcomes that we observe in the married and the full sample are very similar.Footnote 12

Descriptive statistics are presented in Table 1 separately for all families and for married couples. The sample size for all families is 53,300 and for the married couples, used in the main analysis, it is 46,185. Among all families, 9.0 % of children live without a father. The fraction of families living without a father, in the full sample, can be decomposed into 4.6 % of mothers who haven’t been married and 4.4 % of mothers who are divorced or separated. The average number of children in the full sample is 1.62 and it is lower than among married couples. As we show in Sect. 4 this could be due to the small first-born girl effects on having two or more children. At the same time, the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the mothers are similar in the sample of all families and married families. These characteristics are also similar in the sample with two children of opposite gender.

Table 1 Descriptive statistics—demographics and labour market information

The PHBS contains detailed information on over 400 specific household expenditure items collected over a period of a month. These items are aggregated into 11 basic broad categories of expenditures such as food, clothing, housing and energy, health, education and transport. Additionally, the dataset separates spending on such items as clothing and shoes into male and female adult (aged at least 13) and child (aged under 13) expenditures.Footnote 13 Moreover, the detailed categories allow us to identify the following items (see Table 2):

Table 2 Descriptive statistics—expenditure information
  • games, toys and hobbies (labelled as ‘Games and toys’);

  • educational books and educational stationery (‘Educational materials’);

  • kindergarten expenditure (‘Kindergarten’).

While the first two of these three categories could include spending on adult goods (e.g. on sports or fishing equipment and on training or educational books unrelated to children’s education), they are most likely to cover child-related expenses.Footnote 14 The last category is directly related to expenditure on children.Footnote 15 Among all families and married families, 15 % of households declare expenditure on kindergarten in the month of the survey; 67–69 % of families declare positive expenditure on child clothing, with an average (unconditional) expenditure of about 60 PLN ($19) per month.Footnote 16 Positive spending on games and toys is recorded in about 41 % of the households, and about 34 % declare positive expenditure on educational books and materials, with the average (unconditional) amounts spent on each of these categories equal to around 20 PLN ($6) per month. Thus, married families do not seem to depart a lot from full population in terms of expenditure patterns. Columns two and four in Table 2 present our main “raw” results documenting differences in spending on children clothing, adult clothing as well as games and toys. The differences in spending on educational materials and kindergarten are more modest. As expected the average expenditure is generally higher once we focus on families with two children of the opposite sex. The gender differences are also aggravated, and we formally document this in a regression framework in Sect. 5.

3 Modelling the effect of children’s gender on household expenditures

Our identification strategy relies on treating the child’s gender at first birth as randomly determined. While some doubts have been raised with respect to the randomness of this outcome (Das Gupta 2005; Hesketh et al. 2005; Dahl and Moretti 2008; Almond and Rossin-Slater 2013), there are institutional reasons to believe that the random assignment is not confounded in the case of Poland. These include principally a culturally homogenous society, strict abortion legislation and very limited access to in vitro fertilization and other assisted reproductive treatments.Footnote 17 The assumption of gender randomness implies that any differences that we observe in terms of household expenditure can be attributed to the gender of the child. Since the higher-parity fertility might be affected by the gender of the first child (see Table 4), the most common approach in the literature is to focus on the gender of the first child, in which case the estimated model for each of the expenditure categories takes the following form:

$$E_{i}^{j} = (First\;child\;girl_{i} )^{{\prime }} \alpha_{1} + X_{1i}^{{\prime }} \alpha_{2} + X_{2i}^{{\prime }} \alpha_{3} + \varepsilon_{i}$$
(1)

where E j i is the expenditure of household i in expenditure group j, vector X 1 contains mother’s socio-demographic characteristics (mother’s age at first birth, cubic polynomial in age, educational attainment indicators), while X 2 includes town size indicators and regional and year dummies.Footnote 18 The First child girl indicator takes value 1 if the first-born child was a girl and 0 if it was a boy. ε i is the residual, which is clustered at household level because some households are observed twice in our data. Since we are interested in estimating the differences between a single female birth and a single male birth, we exclude twin and triplet births at first pregnancy from the sample. Equation (1) is estimated by ordinary least squares (OLS) in levels, and in each case we also report the percent effect.Footnote 19 Since our consumption data are at the household level, especially in the case of endogenous subsequent fertility, the estimated differences based on the first-born child could be compressed among families with more than one child. Nonetheless, if the endogenous fertility effects are small we can also estimate the model using the sample of families with two or more children specifying if the first two children are either girls or boys. If the gender-stereotypical spending hypothesis is correct we would expect to see larger differences among households with two kids of the same gender than among all households with first-born girls versus boys.

As already noted above, our results should be interpreted with caution if there are substantial effects of child’s gender on partnership stability, fertility or parents’ labour supply. For example, if a first-born boy increases the probability of partnership stability, and this has a positive effect on family resources, then expenditure levels in such families could be higher. This would show up in the estimations as the effect of a first-born boy, but could reflect only the indirect effect of higher resources among families with a first-born boys, and not the effect of different expenditure patterns directly resulting from the gender of the first child. We show that partnership stability and fertility are significantly related to the gender of the first child in Poland, but parental labour supply is not. In most cases, however, the estimates for all and married families are very close, and in our results section we focus on the latter subsample in which we can analyse both maternal and paternal outcomes. Due to small sample sizes, we cannot provide meaningful inference in the case of unmarried mothers (Karbownik and Myck 2015).

4 Potential confounding factors: partnership stability, fertility and labour supply

In this section we first address the potential confounding factors in our analysis related to family structure, fertility and labour supply. This analysis also motivates our sample selection for consumption estimates. Table 3 presents regression results from the model specified in Eq. (1) for the probabilities of living without a father, of the mother having never been married and of the mother being divorced or separated conditional on having been married. A significant coefficient on the First child girl variable has usually been interpreted in the literature as a reflection of parents’ gender preferences through its effect on the stability of parental partnership. Our results confirm the influence of the gender of the first-born child on family structure. The first child being a girl increases the probability of children living without a father by 5.8 % and of the mother having never been married by 10.0 %. Unlike previous studies, however, we do not find any significant or sizable effects of first-born child gender on the probability of divorcing or separating conditional on being ever married. This could potentially be a consequence of the Polish legal system, in which it is much harder and more costly to obtain a divorce than in countries such as the US or Sweden. At the same time, in the sample with two boys and two girls we see large, but insignificant, estimates for the probability of divorce or separation. The results suggest that the gender of a child can have a detrimental effect on family stability through selection into marriage, and this could influence family resources and expenditure decisions.Footnote 20 Therefore, especially in the case of families with two children, we focus on the sample of married couples.

Table 3 Child’s gender and family status

Another important channel that can indirectly affect family expenditure is the influence of the gender of the first child on subsequent fertility, and hence its effects on total and per capita resources (Table 4 panel A). Furthermore, child’s gender could influence not only fertility per se but also the spacing between the first and second child, and closely-spaced siblings might impose a larger financial burden on the household’s budget. Fertility decisions could also be affected indirectly through the effect on partnership stability. For example, more stable relationships might result in higher fertility. Strong fertility effects would also preclude us from using the girl–girl versus boy–boy comparison.

Table 4 Effect of child’s gender on fertility, labour supply and income among married couples

Our results suggest that although a first-born’s gender does not have an effect on total family size or spacing between the first and second births, a first-born girl does have a negative effect on fertility decisions at parity two. Married couples with first-born daughters are around 2.4 % less likely to have a second child than families with first-born sons. We do not find any statistically significant or economically meaningful evidence that gender affects fertility at any other parity margin and, given the fact that controlling for fertility does not alter our consumption estimates, we conclude that these relatively small effects should not substantially bias our main estimates. Because the fertility effect sizes are relatively small we present the consumption estimates also for families with first two girls versus first two boys, however, we treat these estimates with caution as gender of the child can be assumed, conditional on cultural and institutional caveats, to be purely random only in the case of the first birth. It is notable, though, that the negative coefficient on First child girl in the fertility equation points towards girl preferences, which seems to contradict our family stability findings. In this case, however, lower fertility could be driven by sample selection bias related to partnership stability.

Results in panels B and C show the effect of children’s gender on parental employment, labour market income as well as on total household disposable income. The sample focuses on married mothers and their husbands but the results are very similar in the full population.Footnote 21 The first column presents estimates for maximum number of families, the second column intends to uncover the direct effect of gender on outcomes that are independent from fertility by focusing on households where the oldest child is between 0 and 2 years old, while the third column displays estimates from the sample where we compare girl-girl to boy-boy families.Footnote 22 In panel B we report results for mothers or households, and in panel C for labour supply of fathers. With the exception of a marginally significant effect on paternal labour income among families with oldest child between 0 and 2, we do not find any evidence that gender of the first-born child significantly affects any of the labour market outcomes. The estimates are generally small in magnitude compared with our consumption estimates and, if anything, they work in the opposite direction to the effects found for advanced economies in Ichino et al. (2013). Thus, in the case of Poland, we reject the hypothesis that the gender of a first-born child or first two children matters significantly for parental labour supply or household resources as proxied by disposable income.

5 Differential expenditure by gender

In this section, we present the main results (Table 5) from the model outlined in Sect. 3 for various expenditure categories: total household consumption, child-related goods as well as clothing spending for adults split by gender.Footnote 23

Table 5 Child’s gender and child expenditure among married couples

In the case of the total household expenditures we do not find any meaningful differences by either the gender of the first-born child or the first two children being of the same gender. At the same time there are gender differences in spending on clothing, and these are present for both children and adults. In particular, we can decompose the 3.6 % increase in spending on clothing in families with first-born girls into a 5.8 % reduction in adult male spending, a 7.2 % increase in adult female spending and a 6.0 % increase in child spending. These differentials are aggravated for the sample of families with two children of the same gender.Footnote 24 This suggests that either there is a direct effect of child’s gender on parental consumption preferences or there is a degree of complementarity between mothers’ and daughters’ clothing consumption that is also reflected in the reduction of spending on adult male clothing.

Among the analysed child-related expenditures other than clothing, we also find precisely estimated effects of the first-born’s gender on other items of spending. On the intensive margin, these include ‘games and toys’ expenditure, which is lower among households with first-born girls by 13.4 %. On the extensive margin, households with first-born girls are less likely to declare expenditure within this category by 4.2 %. The differences for families with two children of the same gender are about twice the size in comparison to all families confirming our hypothesis of aggravated differentials in the sample with more extreme gender contrast. We also find that parents of first-born girls more frequently declare expenditure on ‘educational materials’. At first, this seems contradictory to our results on games and toys; however, when we split this category into educational books and stationery, we find positive, substantive and significant coefficients only for the latter category. This suggests that families may have a lot of very small expenditures on educational stationery, such as pencils and crayons, which are skewed towards girls. This is further confirmed by moderate decrease in the estimated extensive margin effect between all families and families with either two girls or two boys, suggesting that some of these purchases could be transferable across children.

Finally, we find 5.1 % reduction in kindergarten expenditures for households with first-born girls, which although marginally statistically insignificant (p value 0.105), is economically meaningful. These negative effects do not hold for the sample where we compare two girls to two boys. However, as we demonstrate in the “Appendix”, this is because expenditure on kindergarten is strongly determined by the age of children as it can be positive only in households with children of eligible age. Table 7 in “Appendix” provides estimates taking into account presence of children in the relevant age range (3–6 years old), as well as their number and gender.Footnote 25 Due to lack of statistical power our conclusions regarding kindergarten expenditure are not as strong as in the case of clothing or games and toys. The point estimates for households with one eligible girl (the dummy for a girl) are negative but insignificant in three out of four cases, and they seem to be driving the negative coefficient found in Table 5. In the case of two eligible children expenditure on kindergarten is more likely to be observed (the “both eligible” dummy) but the signs are inconsistent across the gender compositions.

We have also investigated whether the differentiated pattern of expenditure documented thus far is aggravated in families with lower socio-economic status based on maternal education.Footnote 26 We do not find much support for this hypothesis with relatively similar spending on games and toys, however, the degree of complementarity between mother and first-born daughter spending on clothing (and substitutability with father’s spending) is higher among more affluent families. This may be related to higher incomes and greater potential to treat clothing as luxury spending beyond the necessary expenditures in these families.

Results are also presented separately by subsamples defined by the age of the oldest child (Table 8 in “Appendix”), and older kids might express preferences towards particular items and influence households’ expenditure patterns. We therefore split the data into families where the oldest child is either 0–4 or 5–8 or 9–12 years of age. The estimates of gender differentials seem to reflect a u-shape pattern in games and toys, clothing and educational materials, with the largest gender differentials in expenditure for children aged 5–8. These differences however, in most cases, are not statistically significant due to relatively small sample sizes.

6 Conclusion

Gender of children has been shown to influence their parents’ decisions in many important dimensions. There is also ample evidence from the developing countries that parents treat boys and girls differently when it comes to human capital investment. In both cases, the mechanisms believed to be responsible for parental decisions involve either biased preferences against one gender or an optimization mechanism reflecting different costs of investment in boys and girls or different returns from these investments. Some of the findings presented in this paper can also be explained within these frameworks. Parents may be biased against girls when it comes to expenditure on games, toys and hobbies (on average 13.4 %) and against boys when it comes to expenditure on children’s clothing and shoes (6.0 %). They may also differentiate expenditure on boys and girls because they believe that there are different returns from such ‘investments’. In our view, however, some of our results are difficult to square with these explanations and should rather be attributed to a direct effect of children’s gender on parental preferences. For example, the fact that parents with first-born girls spend more on adult female and child clothing and less on adult male clothing than households with first-born boys is hard to reconcile with any of the above explanations using either gender-biased or gender-neutral preferences.Footnote 27

Differentiated spending on clothing and toys by child’s gender, which could be thought of as gender stereotypical, could suggest a so-far unexamined role of gender in child development. The data suggest that while parents focus more on boys’ activities, they pay more attention to how girls look, which is reflected in the expenditure on clothes. Expenditure data may also be informative on more direct forms of human capital investment such as spending on kindergarten. While the evidence in the PHBS in this regard is inconclusive we find some indication that parental investment decisions take gender of their kids into account, and although our estimates lack statistical power, they generally suggest that spending on girls is lower. If parents invest less in girls in this regard, this could potentially have important future consequences for the welfare of these children (Blau and Currie 2006). While we do not know what happens to these children later in adolescence and adulthood, the differentiated expenditure patterns we document could have consequences in adult life and contribute to sustaining gender inequalities.