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Short-Term Prediction of Travel Time using Neural Networks on an Interurban Highway

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Abstract

The main purpose of this study was to investigate the predictability of travel time with a model based on travel time data measured in the field on an interurban highway. Another purpose was to determine whether the forecasts would be accurate enough to implement the model in an actual online travel time information service. The study was carried out on a 28-kilometre-long rural two-lane road section where traffic congestion was a problem during weekend peak hours. The section was equipped with an automatic travel time monitoring and information system. The prediction models were made as feedforward multilayer perceptron neural networks. The main results showed that the majority of the forecasts were close to the actual measured values. Consequently, use of the prediction model would improve the quality of travel time information based directly on the sum of the latest measured travel times.

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  1. VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, P.O. Box 1800, 02044, VTT, Finland

    Satu Innamaa

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  1. Satu Innamaa
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Correspondence to Satu Innamaa.

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Innamaa, S. Short-Term Prediction of Travel Time using Neural Networks on an Interurban Highway. Transportation 32, 649–669 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-005-0219-y

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