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Supply-chain impacts of Sichuan earthquake: a case study using disaster input–output analysis

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Abstract

With the development of interregional trade, a potential disaster that happens in one place could cause enormous economic losses in distant areas. Timely and comprehensive post-disaster assessments play a significant role in guiding disaster recovery, and for reconstruction and planning for future disaster risk reduction. In this study, we evaluate the post-disaster economic impacts due to Sichuan earthquake in 2008 and its regional and industrial spillover effects based on a Chinese multi-regional input–output table. The results show that the 2008 Sichuan earthquake caused around 1725 billion US dollars of value-added losses and 69.9 million people of employment losses. The Chemical industry in Guangdong and Zhejiang suffered severe value-added losses due to indirect effects through supply chains. Furthermore, public administration in Henan, Sichuan, and Guangdong suffered large employment losses. In general, we find that the economically less developed provinces are more susceptible to larger losses compared to the economically developed provinces. The results in this study can provide information for decision-makers to devise effective solutions on how to release relief funds and for dividing adaptation plans to avoid serious economic losses due to future disasters.

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Acknowledgments

This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (41701615) Jiangsu Provincial Natural Science Foundation (BK20171038). The authors would like to thank the editors and anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment for the Ministry of Education, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, 210023, China

    Rui Huang & Zhiyi Zhu

  2. Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing, 210023, China

    Rui Huang & Zhiyi Zhu

  3. ISA, School of Physics A28, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2006, Australia

    Rui Huang, Arunima Malik, Manfred Lenzen & Yutong Jin

  4. Discipline of Accounting, Business School, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2006, Australia

    Arunima Malik

  5. School of Statistics and Institute of National Accounts, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China

    Yafei Wang

  6. Fiscal Policy Agency, Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia

    Futu Faturay

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  1. Rui Huang
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  2. Arunima Malik
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Huang, R., Malik, A., Lenzen, M. et al. Supply-chain impacts of Sichuan earthquake: a case study using disaster input–output analysis. Nat Hazards 110, 2227–2248 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05034-8

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