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Individual willingness to prepare for disasters in a geological hazard risk area: an empirical study based on the protection motivation theory

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Abstract

Public participation in disaster preparedness and mitigation activities become an important part of disaster risk management. The impact of risk perception and protection motivation theory on preparedness in various types of disasters have been widely reported, and risk attitudes have similarly been studied as a factor influencing preparedness decisions. However, the adaptability of the results on the impact of risk perception on preparedness behavior was questioned in recent years. Especially in the field of geological disasters, very limited studies about the protection motivation theory and risk attitudes have been conducted in China. Therefore, this study designed a questionnaire of people’s risk perceptions and the perception of protective measures based on the protection motivation theory and individual risk attitude factors. The involved field research was conducted in Ganluo County, Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province in 2020. Based on the research data, the structural equation modeling method was used to analyze the effects of threat appraisal, coping appraisal and risk attitudes on people’s willingness to engage in protective behaviors. The results show that individual coping appraisals have a significant effect on the willingness to engage in adaptive behavior, and the risk attitude factor added to the extended model also shows a significant effect on the willingness to prepare for disasters. The results of the study have important practical implications for the encouragement of multilevel participation in risk management in geological hazard-prone areas.

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Acknowledgements

We thank the many individuals who helped with the data collection process, especially the research team and local participants. We also gratefully acknowledge support provided through the National Key R&D Program of China (2019YFC1510705) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U20A20111). Critical comments by the anonymous reviewers greatly improved the initial manuscript.

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Correspondence to Hui-ge Xing.

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Appendix Detailed questionnaire with statistical results and item wording

Appendix Detailed questionnaire with statistical results and item wording

Factor

Item

Response scale

N

Mean

Standard deviation

Perceived severity

If a geological disaster were to occur in my location:

Five-step 5 = fully agree

   

Public facilities (e.g., roads) in my area would be severely damaged

165

3.68

1.141

There would be serious damage to my house and its contents

165

3.43

1.236

My daily life and work would be seriously affected

165

3.49

1.252

Perceived probability

In my subjective view:

Five-step 5 = fully agree

   

My property may one day be threatened by geological disasters

165

3.22

1.181

The safety of my family and myself may be threatened by geological disasters in future

165

3.20

1.180

There is a possibility that the next geological disaster will occur within five years in the vicinity of where I live

165

2.92

1.139

Fear

In my life:

Five-step 5 = fully agree

   

I worry about geological disasters regularly

165

3.73

1.038

Once the rainy season comes, I become very worried about geological hazards

165

4.24

0.890

When I think of a geological disaster, I feel scared

165

3.82

0.977

I worry about a geological disaster affecting our families and our village

165

4.01

0.904

Response

efficacy

In my subjective view:

Five-step 5 = fully agree

   

Afforestation can effectively reduce the occurrence of geological disasters

165

3.82

1.047

The disaster early warning system and previous geological disaster education and evacuation training have been effective in preventing geological disasters from threatening my life

165

4.18

0.796

Self-efficacy

Based on my experience and subjective view, to reduce losses in the event of a geological disaster:

Five-step 5 = fully agree

   

I plant trees on dangerous slopes in front of and behind my house

165

3.89

0.931

I can evacuate in time before geological hazards occur from early warning of hazards and familiarity with evacuation routes and shelters

165

4.00

0.757

Response costs

What are your estimates of the costs (in terms of time, money, effort, etc.) of the following measures?

Five-step 5 = very high

   

Planting trees in more dangerous areas such as on slopes

165

2.80

0.964

Constant attention to early warnings and participation in evacuation training

165

2.90

1.117

Risk attitudes

If the cost of investing in geological disaster mitigation measures were roughly equal to the results you expect to achieve, would you adopt mitigation measures?

Five-step 5 = definitely

165

1.74

0.833

In the event of a geological disaster, would you discard valuables that would affect your running speed?

165

1.59

1.024

Willingness

In your subjective view:

Five-step 5 = very much so

   

Would you like to plant trees on some of the slopes in front of your house?

165

4.30

0.798

Would you like to participate in evacuation drills and other similar activities?

165

4.22

0.832

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Hu, Sy., Yu, M., Que, T. et al. Individual willingness to prepare for disasters in a geological hazard risk area: an empirical study based on the protection motivation theory. Nat Hazards 110, 2087–2111 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05026-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05026-8

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