Abstract
A comprehensive understanding and scientific evaluation of natural disasters risk is not only the basis of disaster prevention and mitigation, but also the urgent needs of the economic and social sustainable development. Disaster risk evaluation index system in accordance with Chinese reality was constructed, which contains 5 second-class indicators and 28 third-class indicators; moreover, the universal risk evaluation model was designed combined with nonlinear damage evaluation method; then, the disaster risk of China’s 31 provinces was evaluated, as well as the urban risk ranking and risk map of 31 provinces were presented. The evaluation results can make us see the urban risk situation clearly and intuitively, which helps the related department to clearly focus on their work, as well as provides theoretical guidance for the national and local disaster prevention and mitigation planning.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Gao XR, Wang CY, Zhang JQ et al (2014) A risk assessment system of the main meteorological disasters for maize in Northeast China. Sci Agric Sin 47(21):4257–4268
Hochrainer-Stigler S, Mechler R, Pflug G (2013) Modeling macro scale disaster risk: the CATSIM mode. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 119–144
Jian L, Gong H, Li X et al (2009) Design and development of flood/waterlogging disaster risk model based on arcobjects. J Geo Inf Sci 11(3):376–381
Jiang W, Jin L (1992) Urban comprehensive disaster reduction countermeasures in China. China Architecture & Building Pres, Beijing, pp 74–85
Li YB, Li J, You F et al (2015) Comprehensive evaluation model of agricultural drought disaster risk. INMATEH Agric Eng 46(2):165–174
Li M, Wang J, Sun X (2016) Scenario-based risk framework selection and assessment model development for natural disasters: a case study of typhoon storm surges. Nat Hazards 80(3):2037–2054
Liu CF, Su JY, Wang W et al (2014) An observability–controllability model of urban earthquake disaster risk based on system periphery theory. Nat Hazards 73(2):303–315
Lu XN, Hong J, Wang LL et al (2015) Drought risk assessment in complex landform area. Trans Chin Soc Agric Eng 31(1):162–169
Shi PJ (2002) Theory and practice of disasters research. J Nat Disasters 11(3):1–9
UNISDR (2004) Living with risk. A global review of disaster reduction initiatives. United Nations Publication, Geneva
Wang S, Tang G (2009) Exploratory analysis of theoretical basis for integrated natural disaster risk management. J Nat Disasters 18(2):33–38
Wu F, Wang M, Liu N (2012) Discussion of the geo-hazard in US earthquake risk assessment. J Catastrophol 27(2):109–113
Yan J, Zuo Z (2010) Research on natural disaster risk assessment index system and method. China Saf Sci J 20(11):61–65
Zhang JQ, Okada N, Tatano H (2006) Integrated natural disaster risk management: comprehensive and integrated model and chinese strategy choice. J Nat Disasters 15(1):29–37
Zhang ZG, Wen JH, Li XL (2013) Research on community-based participatory disaster risk assessment model. J Catastrophol 28(3):142–146
Acknowledgements
I hereby express gratitude to my dear partner Huang Yuecheng who contributed equally to this work and should be considered as co-first authors. Without his effort, this thesis cannot be accomplished. In the process of compilation, he made great contribution to data collection, calculation and analysis. This thesis is rather a common achievement than a private possession. This project was supported by the National Social Science Fund (Grant No. Z8934782) and Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. Y600781605).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Chen, L., Huang, Yc., Bai, Rz. et al. Regional disaster risk evaluation of China based on the universal risk model. Nat Hazards 89, 647–660 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2984-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2984-2