Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Regional disaster risk evaluation of China based on the universal risk model

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A comprehensive understanding and scientific evaluation of natural disasters risk is not only the basis of disaster prevention and mitigation, but also the urgent needs of the economic and social sustainable development. Disaster risk evaluation index system in accordance with Chinese reality was constructed, which contains 5 second-class indicators and 28 third-class indicators; moreover, the universal risk evaluation model was designed combined with nonlinear damage evaluation method; then, the disaster risk of China’s 31 provinces was evaluated, as well as the urban risk ranking and risk map of 31 provinces were presented. The evaluation results can make us see the urban risk situation clearly and intuitively, which helps the related department to clearly focus on their work, as well as provides theoretical guidance for the national and local disaster prevention and mitigation planning.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Gao XR, Wang CY, Zhang JQ et al (2014) A risk assessment system of the main meteorological disasters for maize in Northeast China. Sci Agric Sin 47(21):4257–4268

    Google Scholar 

  • Hochrainer-Stigler S, Mechler R, Pflug G (2013) Modeling macro scale disaster risk: the CATSIM mode. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 119–144

    Google Scholar 

  • Jian L, Gong H, Li X et al (2009) Design and development of flood/waterlogging disaster risk model based on arcobjects. J Geo Inf Sci 11(3):376–381

    Google Scholar 

  • Jiang W, Jin L (1992) Urban comprehensive disaster reduction countermeasures in China. China Architecture & Building Pres, Beijing, pp 74–85

    Google Scholar 

  • Li YB, Li J, You F et al (2015) Comprehensive evaluation model of agricultural drought disaster risk. INMATEH Agric Eng 46(2):165–174

    Google Scholar 

  • Li M, Wang J, Sun X (2016) Scenario-based risk framework selection and assessment model development for natural disasters: a case study of typhoon storm surges. Nat Hazards 80(3):2037–2054

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu CF, Su JY, Wang W et al (2014) An observability–controllability model of urban earthquake disaster risk based on system periphery theory. Nat Hazards 73(2):303–315

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lu XN, Hong J, Wang LL et al (2015) Drought risk assessment in complex landform area. Trans Chin Soc Agric Eng 31(1):162–169

    Google Scholar 

  • Shi PJ (2002) Theory and practice of disasters research. J Nat Disasters 11(3):1–9

    Google Scholar 

  • UNISDR (2004) Living with risk. A global review of disaster reduction initiatives. United Nations Publication, Geneva

  • Wang S, Tang G (2009) Exploratory analysis of theoretical basis for integrated natural disaster risk management. J Nat Disasters 18(2):33–38

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu F, Wang M, Liu N (2012) Discussion of the geo-hazard in US earthquake risk assessment. J Catastrophol 27(2):109–113

    Google Scholar 

  • Yan J, Zuo Z (2010) Research on natural disaster risk assessment index system and method. China Saf Sci J 20(11):61–65

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang JQ, Okada N, Tatano H (2006) Integrated natural disaster risk management: comprehensive and integrated model and chinese strategy choice. J Nat Disasters 15(1):29–37

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang ZG, Wen JH, Li XL (2013) Research on community-based participatory disaster risk assessment model. J Catastrophol 28(3):142–146

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

I hereby express gratitude to my dear partner Huang Yuecheng who contributed equally to this work and should be considered as co-first authors. Without his effort, this thesis cannot be accomplished. In the process of compilation, he made great contribution to data collection, calculation and analysis. This thesis is rather a common achievement than a private possession. This project was supported by the National Social Science Fund (Grant No. Z8934782) and Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. Y600781605).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Lu Chen.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chen, L., Huang, Yc., Bai, Rz. et al. Regional disaster risk evaluation of China based on the universal risk model. Nat Hazards 89, 647–660 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2984-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2984-2

Keywords

Navigation